DETROIT -1½ +177 over Seattle

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Sherwood is on that. PW has the Tigers ML.

On the other side of the ML are GB2 & Dr. M.

GL to all on your wagers today!

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"7:10 PM EST. Michael Fulmer is emerging as a starter with breakout potential. No starter in the AL has posted better skills against righties than Fulmer has. In addition, only Jose Fernandez has a higher strikeout rate vs. RHers than Fulmer's 12.9 K’s/9. A strikeout pitch against LH bats (5.3 K’s/9) is the biggest missing piece to a breakout. He is getting a 15%+ swing and miss rate on two off-speed pitches and his 95-mph four-seam fastball is generating more swings-and-misses than that type of pitch normally does. He’s also done a good job keeping the ball on the ground. His 13% hr/f is high, but with so few fly balls, he’s not been hurt too much. With a 7-2 record, Fulmer has been a much-needed revelation for the Tigers’ staff. But keep in mind he’s still quite young (just turned 23), and his AAA time in 2016 was his first exposure at the level. We like that Fulmer was knocked around in his last start. That prevents him from being a little too complacent and cocky after going three straight without giving up a run. We also like that the Mariners have never faced him before.

"This bet, however, is more about fading Hisashi Iwakuma, a pitcher that is performing a dangerous high-wire act. Iwakuma is coming off a 7-inning, four-run performance in Boston against the suddenly weakening offense of the Red Sox. Iwakuma induced a mere eight grounders in that game against 17 fly-balls. The game before that, he induced just six grounders against 17 fly-balls. Iwakuma’s batted ball profile of 38%/24%/38% groundballs/line-drives/fly-balls is one of the more disturbing batted ball profiles in baseball. Iwakuma gets hit hard every single game and now it’s just a matter of where those balls land. His velocity is way down to 87 MPH. His swing and miss rate is sinking every month and is down to 7% in June and 5% in his last start versus the Red Sox. Iwakuma’s xERA over his last three starts is 5.18. The cherry on the top here is that current Tigers have hit .356 against Iwakuma by going 37 for 104. Eight of those 37 hits were home runs and that was mostly when Iwakuma was better than he is right now. Iwakuma is getting far too much credit here."
 

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