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  1. #326  
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    CFL Betting Recap - Week 18
    October 23, 2016



    League Betting Notes


    -- Favorites/underdogs went 2-2 SU in Week 18
    -- Favorites/underdogs went 2-2 ATS in Week 18
    -- Home/road teams posted a 2-2 SU record in Week 18
    -- Home/road teams posted a 2-2 ATS record in Week 18
    -- The 'Under' went 3-1 in Week 18

    Team Betting Notes



    -- Calgary (15-1-1) continues to be the class of the CFL, steamrolling teams each and every week. In Week 18 it was Toronto (5-12) as the latest victim, falling 31-13. After a rare non-cover last week, the Stampeders covered a 17-point number, improving to 13-3 ATS over the past 16 outings.


    -- The Argonauts are in freefall, and the end of the season cannot come soon enough for them. Toronto started out 4-2 SU/ATS in the first six outings, but they're 1-10 SU/ATS since, including non-covers in each of the past six games.


    -- Hamilton (7-9) exacted revenge for last weekend's home loss, returning the favor at Ottawa (7-8-1) in a 39-36 overtime thriller. The Tiger-Cats snapped a three-game losing streak, and a five-game non-cover skid.


    -- The RedBlacks have been decent on the road, but they're struggling at home. Ottawa has been dropped in overtime in each of their past two outings, and they're 2-5-1 SU/1-7 ATS in eight home games this season.


    -- The BC Lions (10-6) posted a 32-25 win over Edmonton (8-8), as the Eskimos saw their three-game win streak come to an end. The Lions bounced back from a loss last week, and they're now 3-1 SU/ATS over the past four in Vancouver.


    -- The Montreal (5-12) cooled off Saskatchewan (5-11), snapping a four-game win streak for the Roughriders. The Alouettes have now covered four of their past five games, and they're popular at the betting window for totals, too. The 'under is 3-1-1 in the past five for Montreal.
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    CFL Betting Notes - Week 19


    The Hamilton Tiger-Cats successfully avenged last week’s loss to Ottawa with a 39-36 overtime victory this past Friday as 3 -point road underdogs to kick off action in Week 18 of the CFL regular season. Calgary extended its incredible straight-up winning streak to 14 games later that night with a 31-13 win at home against Toronto as a heavy 16 -point favorite.


    In the first of two games on Saturday’s slate, Montreal snapped Saskatchewan’s four-game winning streak with a 19-14 victory as a 6 -point underdog on the road. British Columbia bested Edmonton 32-25 as a 2 -point home favorite in a West Division clash to close things out for the week.


    Friday, Oct. 28


    Edmonton Eskimos (8-8 SU, 6-9-1 ATS) vs. Hamilton Tiger-Cats (7-9 SU, 6-10 ATS)
    Point-spread: Hamilton -1
    Total: 56



    Game Overview


    Edmonton is in the CFL Playoffs as a crossover team from the West Division so this game could be a preview of a first round matchup a couple of weeks from now. In last week’s loss to BC, the Eskimos fell behind early before making it a game in the second half. Mike Reilly completed 24-of-32 passing attempts for 261 yards and a score to increase his total passing yards this season to 5,315, which is the second-most in the CFL.


    The Tiger-Cats have also clinched a playoff spot and last week’s win against Ottawa closed the gap to just a half game between the two teams for the lead in the East Division. Jeremiah Masoli remains Hamilton’s starting quarterback for an injured Zach Collaros and he may have secured a permanent role at that spot with 359 yards passing and three scoring strikes in last week’s crucial win. Kevin Elliott had a big day catching the ball with five receptions for 102 yards and a score.

    Betting Trends



    Hamilton won the first meeting this season 37-31 as a 4 -point road underdog to improve to 4-2 both SU and against the spread in the last six meetings. The total went OVER 54 points in that game after staying UNDER in three of the previous four matchups.




    Saturday, Oct. 29


    Ottawa RedBlacks (7-8-1 SU, 6-10 ATS) vs. Winnipeg Blue Bombers (10-6 SU, 9-6-1 ATS)
    Point-spread: Winnipeg -5
    Total: 55


    Game Overview



    Ottawa needs to win its last two games to guarantee another East Division title, but it has only notched two wins (both SU and ATS) in its last six contests. The total went OVER 53 points in last week’s loss and it has now gone OVER in the RedBlacks last four games behind a defense that has allowed an average of 35 points a game in this same span. On the year, they are giving up 28.4 points a game.


    Winnipeg is now tied with BC for the second spot in the West and it has just two SU losses in its last 11 games while going 8-3 ATS. The total has gone OVER in the Blue Bombers’ last five games with a scoring average of 35.6 points a game. They are coming off a bye week following a 35-32 victory on the road against BC as 5 -point road underdogs. Matt Nichols completed 27-of-38 passing attempts for 301 yards and a score in that game.

    Betting Trends



    This will be the first game in a home-and-home series to close out the regular season. Ottawa has won the last three meetings SU and it has a slight 2-1 edge ATS. The has stayed UNDER in the last two games of this inter-division tilt.


    British Columbia Lions (10-6 SU, 11-5 ATS) vs. Saskatchewan Roughriders (5-11, 9-7 ATS)
    Point-spread: BC -2
    Total: 53



    Game Overview


    The Lions bounced back from that Week 17 loss to Winnipeg with a very important victory against Edmonton, but they are still just 2-3 both SU and ATS in their last five games. The total stayed UNDER 58 points in the win at home against the Eskimos after it had gone OVER in four of BC’s previous five contests. This defense has allowed at least 30 points in three of its last four games, while averaging 34.8 points on offense.


    Saskatchewan’s late season run proved to be too little too late has far as securing a spot in the postseason, but bettors along for the ride pocketed some nice cash with a 7-1 run ATS over its last eight games. The Roughriders’ offense finally stumbled after averaging 26.8 points during their SU four-game winning streak. Darian Durant completed 25-of-37 attempts in the loss to Montreal, but it only led to 208 passing yards on the day.

    Betting Trends



    BC comes into this home-and-home series opener with a SU four-game winning streak against Saskatchewan while going 3-0-1 ATS. This includes a 40-27 victory on July 16 as a 1 -point road underdog. The total has gone OVER in three of those four games.




    Sunday, Oct. 30


    Calgary Stampeders (15-1-1 SU, 13-4 ATS) vs. Montreal Alouettes (5-11 SU, 7-9 ATS)
    Point-spread: Calgary -8
    Total: 50



    Game Overview


    Calgary’s final game of the season before returning to action a few weeks from now in the West Division Final is against the only team were it failed to score at least 30 points over the course of the Stampeders’ last 10 games. The league’s top scoring team is averaging 34 points a game, which is by far the most in the CFL and its defense has allowed the fewest points (352) this year. Bo Levi Mitchell will try and exceed the 5,500 mark in total passing yards after throwing for 5,385 yards in 17 previous games.


    The Alouettes upset win against Saskatchewan was just its second SU victory in their last eight games, but they come into this game with a 4-1 record ATS in their five outings. The total has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in five of their last seven games after scoring 20 points or less in five of those games. One positive for Montreal has been the running back tandem of Brandon Rutley and Tyrell Sutton with a combined 838 yards, but both players remain out of the lineup with injuries.

    Betting Trends



    Two weeks ago Calgary got past Montreal 22-8, but it could not cover as a heavy 15-point home favorite. It is now 5-2 SU in the last seven meetings, but ATS the Alouettes have come out on top in the last four games. The total in this inter-division matchup has stayed UNDER in the last five meetings.
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    CFL
    Long Sheet


    Week 19


    Friday, Octob
    er 28


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    EDMONTON (8 - 8) at HAMILTON (7 - 9) - 10/28/2016, 7:00 PM

    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    HAMILTON is 3-1 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
    HAMILTON is 3-2 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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    Saturday, October 29



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    OTTAWA (7 - 8 - 1) at WINNIPEG (10 - 6) - 10/29/2016, 4:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    OTTAWA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1996.
    OTTAWA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) off a division game this season.
    OTTAWA is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    WINNIPEG is 2-2 against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
    OTTAWA is 3-1 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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    BRITISH COLUMBIA (10 - 6) at SASKATCHEWAN (5 - 11) - 10/29/2016, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    SASKATCHEWAN is 127-91 ATS (+26.9 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
    SASKATCHEWAN is 18-4 ATS (+13.6 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less since 1996.
    SASKATCHEWAN is 117-85 ATS (+23.5 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
    BRITISH COLUMBIA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) off a division game this season.
    BRITISH COLUMBIA is 40-23 ATS (+14.7 Units) in road games off a win over a division rival since 1996.
    SASKATCHEWAN is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    BRITISH COLUMBIA is 4-1 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
    BRITISH COLUMBIA is 5-1 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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    Sunday, October 30



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    CALGARY (15 - 1 - 1) at MONTREAL (5 - 11) - 10/30/2016, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CALGARY is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all games this season.
    CALGARY is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
    CALGARY is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) as a favorite this season.
    CALGARY is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games this season.
    CALGARY is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road lined games this season.
    CALGARY is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in games played on turf this season.
    CALGARY is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins this season.
    CALGARY is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
    MONTREAL is 12-28 ATS (-18.8 Units) in home games in October games since 1996.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    MONTREAL is 4-1 against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
    CALGARY is 3-2 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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    CFL


    Week 19



    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    Friday, October 28


    7:00 PM
    EDMONTON vs. HAMILTON
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Edmonton's last 9 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
    Edmonton is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games on the road
    Hamilton is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
    Hamilton is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home




    Saturday, October 29


    4:00 PM
    OTTAWA vs. WINNIPEG
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Ottawa's last 11 games when playing Winnipeg
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Winnipeg's last 11 games when playing Ottawa
    Winnipeg is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home


    7:00 PM
    BRITISH COLUMBIA vs. SASKATCHEWAN
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of British Columbia's last 5 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
    British Columbia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Saskatchewan
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Saskatchewan's last 9 games when playing British Columbia
    Saskatchewan is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games when playing at home against British Columbia




    Sunday, October 30


    1:00 PM
    CALGARY vs. MONTREAL
    Calgary is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Montreal
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Calgary's last 10 games when playing on the road against Montreal
    Montreal is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing Calgary
    Montreal is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
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    CFL
    Armadillo's Write-Up


    Week 19



    Eskimos (8-8) @ TigerCats (7-9)— Hamilton (+4.5) won first meeting 37-31 in Edmonton July 23, rallying back from 24-6 halftime deficit- they outscored Eskimos 17-0 in 4th quarter. TiCats snapped 3-game skid with OT win in Ottawa LW; they’re 3-4 SU at home, 2-4 as home favorite. Eskimos are 3-2 in last five visits here; they won three of last four games but are on road for 4th game in row. Edmonton is 4-4 on road, 2-2 as a road underdog. Last three series games here stayed under the total.


    RedBlacks (7-8-1) @ Blue Bombers (10-6)— Senators won last three games with Winnipeg, sweeping Bombers 27-24/27-20 LY; teams split two games here. Ottawa lost three of its last four games, with last two losses both in OT; average total in their last four games: 67.3, with all four going over total. RedBlacks are 2-2 as a road underdog. Winnipeg is 9-2 in its last 11 games after a 1-4 start; they’re 2-3 as home favorites, but scored 34+ points in four of their last five games. Eight of their last nine games went over.


    Lions (10-6) @ Roughriders (5-11)— BC (+1.5) won first meeting 40-27 on this field July 16, rallying back from down 23-10 at half; Lions outscored Riders 21-4 in 4th quarter in their fourth straight series win- they won last three visits here, by 13-3-13 points. Three of last four series games went over. BC split its last four games, despite scoring 34.8 pts/game; they’re 5-3 SU on road, 2-0 as a road favorite. Saskatchewan won four of last five games, covered seven of last eight; five of their last six games stayed under. Riders are 3-5 SU at home, 4-1 as home dogs.


    Stampeders (15-1-1) @ Alouettes (5-11)— Calgary won first meeting 22-8 (-15) at home two weeks ago; Stampeders are 8-3 in last 11 series games, but they lost 31-15/29-11 in last two visits here, as home side won last six series games. Calgary hasn’t lost since Opening Day; they tied their third game, in Ottawa, but are 14-0 since then, covering 10 of last 12 games. Three of their last four games stayed under. Montreal won in Regina LW with Oregon alum Adams at QB; Alouettes lost six of last eight games; they’re 0-4 as a home underdog.


    — Underdogs 38-30-1, home teams 27-44-2 vs spread…….Over: 36-34-3
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    CFL Betting Recap - Week 19
    October 31, 2016



    League Betting Notes


    -- Underdogs went 3-1 SU in Week 19
    -- Underdogs went 3-1 ATS in Week 19
    -- Road teams posted a 3-1 SU record in Week 19
    -- Road teams posted a 3-1 ATS record in Week 19
    -- The 'Under' went 4-0 in Week 19



    Team Betting Notes


    -- Defense is starting to ramp up for the playoffs, as the 'under' went 4-0 in Week 19, and is 7-1 over the past two weekends of CFL action.


    -- Calgary (15-2-1) finally lost again, and not many people figured it would be Montreal (6-11) would be the team rising up to get them. The Alouettes have won back-to-back games for the first time this season, topping the Stampeders 17-8 at Stade Percival Molson for a third straight 'under' result for Montreal. The Stamps elected to rest QB Bo Levi Mitchell, going to backup QB Drew Tate for the start.


    -- Hamilton (7-10) suffered a painful 29-26 overtime loss at home at the hands of Edmonton (9-8), as the Tiger-Cats are now 1-4 SU over their past five and in the midst of an ugly 1-6 ATS skid.


    -- The Eskimos are enjoying a renaissance after an ugly September, going 4-1 SU/ATS over their past five games. The Esks will wrap up the regular season with a home game against Toronto (5-12).


    -- The Argonauts were off in Week 19, but they head into the regular season finale with the Eskimos winless since Sept. 11, and 1-10 SU/ATS over the past 11 games after a 4-2 SU/ATS start.


    -- The BC Lions (11-6) remain the biggest threat to the Stamps. They posted a solid 24-6 win on the road against Saskatchewan (5-12), as the Roughriders had been playing well. The 'under' cashed for the third straight game, and sixth time in seven tries for the Roughriders. The two sides meet again in the season finale Saturday in Vancouver. BC is 2-0 SU/ATS in the two previous meetings this season.


    -- Ottawa (8-8-1) went to Winnipeg (10-7) and dropped the Blue Bombers 23-10, knocking Winnipeg out of a tie for second place in the West Division. The 'over' is 4-1 in the past five games for Ottawa.
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    WEEK 20


    Friday, November 4, 2016
    Time (ET) Away Home
    7:00 PM Winnipeg Blue Bombers Ottawa Redblacks


    Saturday, November 5, 2016
    Time (ET) Away Home
    1:00 PM Montreal Alouettes Hamilton Tiger Cats
    4:00 PM Toronto Argonauts Edmonton Eskimos
    7:00 PM Saskatchewan Roughriders British Columbia Lions
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    CFL
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    Week 20


    Friday, November 4



    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    WINNIPEG (10 - 7) at OTTAWA (8 - 8 - 1) - 11/4/2016, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    OTTAWA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    OTTAWA is 3-2 against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
    OTTAWA is 4-1 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Saturday, November 5



    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    MONTREAL (5 - 11) at HAMILTON (7 - 10) - 11/5/2016, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MONTREAL is 49-80 ATS (-39.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1996.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    HAMILTON is 4-4 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
    HAMILTON is 5-3 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    TORONTO (5 - 12) at EDMONTON (9 - 8) - 11/5/2016, 4:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    EDMONTON is 4-1 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
    EDMONTON is 3-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    SASKATCHEWAN (5 - 12) at BRITISH COLUMBIA (11 - 6) - 11/5/2016, 7:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    BRITISH COLUMBIA is 5-1 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
    BRITISH COLUMBIA is 6-1 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------








    CFL
    Armadillo's Write-Up


    Week 20


    Winnipeg (10-7) @ Ottawa (8-8-1)
    — RedBlacks (+5.5) won first meeting this year 23-10 in Winnipeg last week; Ottawa picked off three passes in winning fourth straight series game, with last three staying under total. Blue Bombers are 2-3 in last five games but won six of last seven on road, with lone loss 36-34 at Calgary in Week 14. Ottawa is 2-3 in last five games, losing last two home games in OT- they’re 2-5-1 overall at home. Four of Ottawa’s last five games went over total; over is 8-2 in Winnipeg’s last ten games.


    Montreal (6-11) @ Hamilton (7-10)— TiCats won first two meetings 31-7 (-2) in Montreal, 20-17 (-10) here- they’ve won last three series games by 12-24-3 points- under is 9-2 in last 11 series games, with last five all staying under total. Alouettes won last two games 19-14/17-8, upsetting Calgary LW; under is 4-1-1 in their last six games. Montreal is 5-3 as a road underdog this year. Hamilton lost four of its last five games; they’re 2-5 as a home favorite. Four of last six TigerCat games stayed under the total.


    Toronto (5-12) @ Edmonton (9-8)— Argonauts lost last six games, are 1-10 vs spread in last 11; their last seven losses are all by 13+ points. Toronto is 3-5 as road underdog this year, with last cover on road back in July. Eskimos (-3) won first meeting 46-23 in Toronto August 20. Edmonton won four of last five games after losing consecutive OT games before that; Eskimos are playing at home for first time since September 23; they’re 1-5 vs spread as a home favorite this season- they’re 4-4 at home SU. Four of last six Edmonton games stayed under.


    Saskatchewan (5-12) @ British Columbia (11-6)— Lions won both meetings this year, 40-27 (+1.5) July 16, 24-6 (-4) last week; both games were in Regina. Roughriders lost 35-32/46-20 in last two visits here. Under is 16-5 in last 21 series games. Saskatchewan started season 1-10, then won four in a row, before losing 19-14/24-6 in last two games; Riders are won their last two road games SU, covered their last four- they’re 5-3 overall as road dog. BC won its last two games 32-25/24-6; they’re 4-3 as home favorites- three of their last four home games went over.








    CFL


    Week 20



    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    Friday, November 4


    7:00 PM
    WINNIPEG vs. OTTAWA
    Winnipeg is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Ottawa's last 12 games when playing Winnipeg
    Ottawa is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Winnipeg




    Saturday, November 5


    1:00 PM
    MONTREAL vs. HAMILTON
    Montreal is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
    Montreal is 5-12 ATS in its last 17 games when playing Hamilton
    The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Hamilton's last 15 games at home
    Hamilton is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home


    4:00 PM
    TORONTO vs. EDMONTON
    Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
    Edmonton is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games at home
    Edmonton is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games at home


    7:00 PM
    SASKATCHEWAN vs. BRITISH COLUMBIA
    Saskatchewan is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Saskatchewan's last 10 games when playing British Columbia
    British Columbia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Saskatchewan
    British Columbia is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
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    WLT PCT UNITS


    ATS Picks 34-41-2 45.33% -5550


    O/U Picks 36-37-4 49.32% -2350
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    CFL Betting Notes - Semis
    November 7, 2016



    The 2016 CFL regular season came to a close this past weekend and Winnipeg was able to avenge a previous loss to Ottawa in the backend of a home-and-home series with a 33-20 victory on Friday as a four-point road favorite. Montreal closed out its season with a 32-25 win over Hamilton as a 2 -point road underdog in the first of three Saturday games.


    Edmonton tuned up for the postseason with a 41-17 rout of Toronto as a 3 -point favorite at home and the regular season ended with British Columbia pounding Saskatchewan 41-18 as a heavy 15-point home favorite to pull off the sweep that home-and-home West Division clash.


    East Division Semifinals (ESPN2, 1:00 p.m. ET)


    Edmonton Eskimos (10-8 SU, 8-9-1 ATS) vs. Hamilton Tiger-Cats (7-11 SU, 6-12 ATS)
    Point-spread: Edmonton -2
    Total: 56



    Game Overview


    The Eskimos come into the playoffs as a crossover team from the West in what could easily be a direct path back to the Grey Cup Championship against a very weak lineup of East Division teams. They have gotten hot down the stretch with a 5-1 run both straight-up and against the spread over their past six games. The total went OVER 50 in this past Saturday’s win and it has gone OVER in three of their last five games.


    Edmonton quarterback Mike Reilly sat out last week’s game and still led the CFL in passing with 5,554 yards on the year. He was second in the league in touchdown throws with 28. Reilly also showed great mobility with 406 yards and nine scores on the ground. Running back John White was fourth in the CFL in rushing with 886 yards and he found the end zone eight times.


    You can honestly say that Hamilton backed into the playoffs on the strength of it early season record. Since an early September loss to Toronto as 6 -point road favorites, the Tiger-Cats have just two SU wins in their last eight games. Even worse for bettors is a 1-7 record ATS over this same stretch of games. The total has stayed UNDER in four of their last seven games.


    To have any shot at advancing to the East finals, Hamilton is going to need a big effort from quarterback Zach Collaros. He ended the regular season with 2,938 passing yards and 18 touchdown throws while battling through an injury-plagued campaign. When his game is on he has proven to be one of the top passers in the league. Hamilton will also need a much better effort from a defense that has allowed at least 29 points in each of its last five games.


    Betting Trends


    The road team has won the last four meetings both SU and ATS. Edmonton beat the Tiger-Cats 29-26 on Oct. 28 as 2 -point road underdogs. The total stayed UNDER the 57 -point closing line in that game and it has stayed UNDER in four of the last six games in this inter-division matchup.


    West Division Semifinals (ESPN3, 4:30 p.m. ET)


    Winnipeg Blue Bombers (11-7 SU, 10-7-1 ATS) vs. British Columbia Lions (12-6 SU, 13-5 ATS)
    Point-spread: BC -5
    Total: 55


    Game Overview



    The Blue Bombers went 3-1 both SU and ATS in their last four regular season games with Friday’s win at Ottawa and they come into this game with a 7-2 record ATS on the road this year. They have also been a solid bet as underdogs with a 7-2-1 record ATS when getting points. The total has gone OVER in six of their last seven games.


    Matt Nichols took over the starting role at quarterback mid-summer and he led Winnipeg to a 10-3 SU record in 13 games. He is fifth on the list in total passing yards with 3,666 and he has tossed 18 touchdowns on the year. Another big part of this offense is running back Andrew Harris with 974 rushing yards on the year. The Blue Bombers averaged 27.6 points a game this season, while allowing an average of 25.2 points on the other side of the ball.


    BC needed that win over Saskatchewan to lock up home field advantage for this game and with that victory it closed out the regular season with a 4-2 record both SU and ATS in its last six games. The total went OVER in four of those contests. The Lions are 6-3 ATS at home this season and they went 8-3 ATS when closing as favorites. The total has gone OVER in four of their last five games played at home.


    The combination of Jonathon Jennings throwing the ball to slotback Emmanuel Arceneaux accounted for 1,566 yards and 13 touchdowns on 105 receptions. Jennings ended the year with 5,226 passing yards which was third-most in the CFL and he was also third in touchdown throws with 27. BC was able to average 30.3 points a game on offense and its defense matches up exactly with Winnipeg in points allowed (25.2).


    Betting Trends


    These division foes met twice this year with Winnipeg pulling off the season sweep both SU and ATS. They last met on Oct. 14 and the Blue Bombers outlasted BC 35-32 as 5 -point road underdogs. The total went well OVER the 56-point closing line in that win and it has gone OVER in four of the last five meetings. Winnipeg is now 4-0 (SU and ATS) in its last four games against BC.
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    First round CFL playoff games


    Edmonton (11-7) @ Hamilton (8-10)— Eskimos are on road for 5th time in last six games; they won five of last six games, with only loss 32-25 at BC three weeks ago. Edmonton is 3-1 vs spread as a road favorite this year. Hamilton lost five of last six games, with only win in OT at Ottawa; they’ve lost last four home games, are 0-1 as a home underdog. Teams split season series for 5th year in row; road team won both meetings this year, TiCats (+4.5) winning 37-31 in Edmonton July 23, then losing 29-26 at home to Eskimos two weeks ago. Edmonton won four of last six visits here. Four of last six series games stayed under total.


    Winnipeg (11-7) @ British Columbia (12-6)— Blue Bombers went 10-3 in last 13 games after a 1-4 start; they won seven of last eight road games, with only loss by 2 at Calgary. Six of last seven Winnipeg games went over the total. Bombers are 6-3 vs spread as an underdog this year; they won last four series games, sweeping BC this season, 37-35/35-32; four of last five series games went over. Lions scored 32.7 pts/game in winning last three games, but two of those were vs lowly Saskatchewan; BC is 8-3 as a favorite this year- four of their last six games went over the total.


    First round CFL playoff games


    — Edmonton (-2.5, 57) @ Hamilton


    — Winnipeg @ British Columbia (-4.5, 55)
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    SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 13


    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


    EDM at HAM 01:00 PM


    EDM -3.0


    U 57.0



    WPG at BC 04:30 PM


    WPG +5.0


    O 55.0
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    GAME RECAP


    ESKS GROUND GAME OUT-MUSCLES TICATS IN EASTERN SEMI



    HAMILTON – John White was almost unstoppable as he rushed for 165 yards on 19 carries as the Edmonton Eskimos topped a feisty Hamilton Tiger-Cats squad 24-21 in the 2016 Eastern Semi-Final Sunday afternoon at Tim Hortons Field.


    A first half dominated by the Eskimos led to a furious comeback by Hamilton in the second half but with under two minutes left in a tie game, Zach Collaros tossed an interception that led to a 9-yard Sean Whyte field goal with 10 seconds remaining.


    The Eskimos will now travel to Ottawa next Sunday to take on the Ottawa REDBLACKS in the Eastern Final at TD Place.


    The big question mark will be under centre after Mike Reilly left midway through the third quarter with an injury. James Franklin entered and helped close out the game for the Esks.


    Perhaps even more important than a strong start was the coin toss in this one with the wind coming off the southwest at between 25 and 35 miles per hour. Hamilton won the toss and deferred to the second half.


    The Tiger-Cats took possession first with Zach Collaros quickly putting together a 32-yard drive but on a third down gamble and a yard to go inside the Edmonton 40, Hamilton elected not to kick the field goal with the wind and go for it. They were stuffed and turned the ball over to put Reilly and the Eskimos offence on the field.


    When they did, the made sure that their stud running back, John White, helped navigate them through the gusting winds. White contributed 37 yards of a 77-yard touchdown march where he powered his way to an 11-yard touchdown to strike first as Edmonton took a 7-0 lead with 2:43 remaining in the first quarter.


    Hamilton entered the game with a receiving corps that was almost entirely different than the one that started the year. Injuries to three star receivers who were poised for 1,000 yards forced some late-season roster juggling but opened up opportunities to a host of newcomers. One of those new arrivals was Brian Tyms, who helped the Ticats get on the board late in the first quarter as they tried to attack the Esks secondary while they still had the wind.


    Tyms hauled in a 13-yard pass followed immediately by a 47-yard catch-and-run that set the Ticats up inside the Edmonton 10 yard line. A pair of incompletions followed however, and the Ticats were forced to settle for a Brett Maher field goal.


    Edmonton made the ‘Cats pay for the missed opportunity on the ensuing possession once again letting White do the talking. Completions of 10-yard plus from Reilly to Mike Miller and Derel Walker preceded a pass-interference call on Chris Davis. White then took a handoff, brushed off a defender and accelerated as hit pay dirt on a 19-yard rush to expand the Esks lead. The wind aided a 94-yard ensuing kickoff for a single point for a 15-3 Eskimo lead with 10:05 remaining in the half.


    With Hamilton in need of a momentum swing, the got a quick two-and-out off Reilly’s next series and with Edmonton punting from their own 33-yard line, DB Terrell Davis broke through and blocked a Grant Shaw boot which set Collaros and the offence up at the Esks’ 27-yard line.


    Once again, the Ticats settled for a field goal but this time Maher pushed a 35-yard attempt wide right and Esks RB Shakir Bell negated the single point by returning it to the Hamilton 31-yard line.


    Before halftime, the Esks chalked up three more almost single-handedly off of White who ripped off runs of 19, 9 and 29 right through the teeth of the Hamilton defence. White finished the half with 110 total yards.


    The Tiger-Cats elected to defer the wind to the fourth quarter, putting pressure on their defence to hold the Esks within striking distance. A massive lift was given on Hamilton’s first possession of the half when Collaros and RB CJ Gable marched the Ticats to an 8-play drive which Gable capped off with a 2-yard TD plunge. Maher missed the extra point but the lead was cut to 18-9.


    Each respective defence held tough with the Esks finally getting on the board in the second half with 2:43 remaining when Sean Whyte punched a 42-yarder through the uprights, after being set up by a 32-yard Adarius Bowman reception.


    As the quarter came to a close, injuries started to once again creep up on the ‘Cats. Two Canadians, safety Courtney Stephen and his backup Mike Daly both left the game with injury forcing Kent Austin and his staff to toy with the ratio mid-game.


    Offensively, the Ticats started running a set for backup Jeremiah Masoli who adds a more athletic dimension to their attack. Misoli dropped back in a rare first-down situation and stepped into a throw to WR Spencer Watt down the sideline who muscled his way 46 yards down to the Edmonton 17 yard line.


    Once again, however, the only mustered a field goal, this one from 24-yards out to cut the Eskimos lead to 21-12.


    Reilly left midway through the fourth and went almost immediately to the locker room as trainers tended to what seemed to be his left shoulder. He did not return. When he exited the game he was 10 of 19 for 133 yards with no touchdowns and no interceptions.


    With Reilly on the bench, the ‘Cats clawed back into the game. A 3rd down gamble paid off when an onside punt recovered by Jermaine Robinson set the Ticats up with a fresh set of downs. Collaros then moved Gable out to the slot where he hauled in a throw-behind for 34 yards. Masoli took it in from two yards out to close the gap. A successful two-point conversion and a monstor 89-yard kick by Maher with the wind tied the game up at 21 with just over 4 minutes remaining.


    Franklin remained in the game and on the following series calmly delivered a pass to Brandon Zylstra for a first down before handing off to White for another 20 yards on the ground to get into Hamilton territory at the three-minute warning.


    With under two minutes remaining and the game in the balance, the Tiger-Cats had a 19-yard gain wiped away by a holding call on Peter Dyakowski and on second-and-long, Collaros threw an interception into the hands of DB Kenny Ladler that would lead to the game-winning points.


    White rumbled for another first down to set up the game-winning field goal.
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    WESTERN SEMI-FINAL


    LIONS FLIP THE SCRIPT; SCORE LATE TO WIN WESTERN SEMI



    VANCOUVER — Just when it looked like everything was going according to the script, Jonathon Jennings had other ideas.


    The 24-year-old sophomore quarterback overcame two first-quarter turnovers and a 28-12 third-quarter deficit to lead the Lions to a 32-31 win over the Winnipeg Blue Bombers in the Western Semi-Final on Sunday at BC Place.


    With the offence in motion and the one-minute mark approaching, Jennings evaded defenders and scrambled to his right, racing past Taylor Loffler on the way to a nine-yard game-winning touchdown.


    That, with 1:06 left in the game, was the first lead the Lions would take and the only one they’d need.


    The Bombers got one more crack after that but after Head Coach Mike O’Shea opted to try a 61-yard field goal instead of trying to convert third and four, Justin Medlock’s try came up short, clinching BC’s first win over Winnipeg this year.


    The Lions will take on the Stampeders on Sunday, Nov. 20 in the Western Final in Calgary.


    While the Bombers managed only six second-half points, Matt Nichols put forth a strong outing for Winnipeg with 390 passing yards, two touchdowns and no turnovers on 26-of-40 throwing.


    Jennings bounced back with 329 yards, two passing touchdowns and a rushing touchdown on top of 43 rushing yards on nine attempts.


    Emmanuel Arceneaux left the game after absorbing a hit in the end zone in the third quarter and did not return.


    The narrative surrounding Sunday’s playoff meeting screamed ‘turnovers’, which was enforced almost immediately when Jennings was picked off by Chris Randle on just the second play of the game.


    Arceneaux was running a comeback route and Randle beat him to the football, intercepted the pass and returned it 10 yards into BC territory.


    The Bombers took the role of bully early on, riding the coattails of Andrew Harris on the way to an eventual four-yard rushing touchdown, the former Lion hushing the BC Place gathering and giving Winnipeg a 7-0 lead out of the chute.


    After Medlock’s kick rolled into the end zone for a single to make it 8-0, the Bombers forced another quick two-and-out. Not long later, just as BC’s offence began to pick up some steam, the Winnipeg turnover machine struck again.


    A couple of plays after Jennings threaded the needle in double coverage to Arceneaux, the 24-year-old quarterback coughed up the football when he was met by Maurice Leggett in the BC backfield.


    Barely any sooner than Khalil Bass could scoop up the fumble, the Bomber offence took the field and set up an 18-yard chip shot by Medlock to make it an 11-0 game.


    At the risk of their home crowd fading, the Lions needed to mount a response and quickly. Jennings stepped into the pocket and fired to a wide open Bryan Burnham for 22 yards and then, after an incompletion on first down, it was Jeremiah Johnson dashing for 17 on a second-down grab.


    Rainey and Johnson teamed up to deliver two more first downs for the Lions’ offence and before Burnham was able to find space outside after the catch and extend for the goal line, striking the Lions’ first points of the game on a 13-yard score.


    The two-point conversion failed, but the Lions were within five nonetheless following a 75-yard drive to make it 11-6 Winnipeg.


    Just when it seemed like the Lions were right in it, the Bombers responded almost like they had found a glitch in the system.


    There was no one within 10 yards of Weston Dressler when he snuck behind the Winnipeg defence for a 60-yard pickup, while on the very next play, Smith got behind Ryan Phillips for a 27-yard touchdown.


    A lightning-fast two-play, 87-yard drive put Winnipeg back in front 18-6 and the Bombers weren’t done there.


    With the ball back in their hands and a second down in progress, Harris was able to slip the tackle of Adam Bighill, a key play on a drive that would end up going so much further.


    Nichols made the Lions’ secondary pay, calmly connecting with Smith who was able to reach out and touch the pylon to give Winnipeg another six points – the extra point extending Winnipeg’s lead to 25-6 with just 2:18 to go in the second quarter.


    Just when it seemed like the Lions were destined to punt once again, Chris Rainey made magic. The former Florida Gator appeared to meet a dead end before making the first man miss and sprinting 37 yards into Winnipeg territory.


    On the very next play it was more of the same, but this time from Johnson, the first-year Lion escaping defenders, finding a crease and running for a 40-yard touchdown to the roar of the hometown crowd.


    Another failed two-point conversion capped off the 88-yard scoring drive and kept the Lions hanging on heading into the half trailing 25-12.


    After the teams swapped punts to start the second half, the Bombers had the first strike of the third quarter with a Medlock field goal.


    But after avoiding penalties throughout the first half, a couple of orange flags hurt the Bombers’ defence. A 15-yard penalty for unnecessary roughness after an Arceneaux first down put BC in a favourable position, then an illegal contact penalty kept the drive alive after a second-down stop.


    From the 15-yard-line, the pass intended to Arceneaux was incomplete but the ensuing hit drew a flag for unnecessary roughness. Arceneaux had to leave the game, but two plays later, Jennings was on his way into the end zone, cutting the Lions’ deficit to nine points, 28-19.


    A big defensive stop deep in Winnipeg territory appeared to put the wind in the Lions’ sails heading into the fourth quarter, but a roughing the kicker penalty hit the Lions hard and extended the drive.


    The Bombers added a field goal but even all that wasn’t enough to kill BC’s upward momentum.


    Johnson converted a pair of second-down tries, then Jennings kept the drive moving with consecutive first-down completions to Marco Iannuzzi and Terrell Sinkfield.


    The drive finished with a wide open touchdown to Sinkfield for six yards in front of coverage, pulling the Lions to within five points with fewer than seven minutes remaining.


    With not much time left, BC got the ball back and went to work.


    Jennings completed seven straight passes, setting up his eventual game-winning touchdown run.


    The Bombers were left with a minute to try and set up Medlock, one of the strongest-legged kickers in the game, with a potential game-winning field goal try. But in the end, Medlock’s 62-yard field goal try fell well short of the upright.


    Johnson finished with a game-high 110 rushing yards on 11 carries for the Lions, who ran for 193 yards in total on the night. Rainey chipped in with 97 yards from scrimmage on seven carries and four receptions.


    While five BC Lions receivers had at least 40 yards, none had more than Burnham’s 63 on an offence that distributed the ball equally among playmakers.
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    eastern final


    sun nov 20


    10:00 am


    edm
    @
    ott


    western final


    sun nov 20


    1:30 pm


    bc
    @
    cgy
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    Record for the CFL Playoffs:


    11/13/2016 3-0-1 100.00% +1500
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    CFL Betting Notes - Finals


    2016 Playoff Results



    The final four teams in this year’s quest for a CFL Grey Cup title are set after Edmonton got past Hamilton 24-21 as a three-point road favorite in the East Division Semifinal Round and British Columbia snuck past Winnipeg 32-31 in the West Semifinals as a five-point favorite at home.


    Here is the betting breakdown for this Sunday’s Division Finals.

    East Division Final (ESPNNews, 1:00 p.m. ET)


    Edmonton Eskimos (10-8 SU, 8-9-1 ATS) vs. Ottawa RedBlacks (8-9-1 SU, 7-11 ATS)
    Point-spread: Edmonton -3
    Total: 56


    Game Overview



    Edmonton’s PUSH against Hamilton raised its record to 6-1 straight-up over its last seven games. The Eskimos have gone a profitable 5-1-1 against the spread during this run and the total has stayed UNDER in three of their last four games. Edmonton has been a tough out on the road lately with a SU 4-1 SU (3-1-1 ATS) record in its last five road games.


    Mike Reilly led the CFL in total passing yards this season with 5,554, but he went just 10-of-19 for 133 yards in this past Sunday before leaving the game with an injury. His playing status for this game has been upgraded to probable. The difference maker was running back John White with 160 rushing yards and two scores on 20 carries. This is the time of the year in Canada when effectively running the ball can make all the difference in the world.


    Ottawa stumbled its way to a second-straight East Division title with just two victories in its last six games both SU and ATS. The RedBlacks closed out the regular season with a 33-20 loss to Winnipeg as four-point home underdogs in a game that went OVER the 49 -point closing line. It has now gone OVER in five of their last six games.


    To earn a return trip to this year’s Grey Cup, Ottawa is going to need a big effort from quarterback Trevor Harris, who was sixth in the league in passing with 3,666 yards. The RedBlacks also got a strong contribution from veteran quarterback Henry Burris with 2,419 passing yards. The trio of Greg Ellingson, Chris Williams and Ernest Jackson each posted more than 1,200 yards in receptions; however Williams was lost for the season with a knee injury in late October.

    Betting Trends



    Ottawa won both meetings this season SU with a 1-1 split ATS. The total stayed UNDER 58 in a tight 23-20 victory at home on Aug. 6 in a game where Edmonton covered as a 3 -point road underdog. Before this season’s series, the Eskimos had won five previous meetings SU while going 3-2 ATS.




    West Division Final (ESPN3, 4:30 p.m. ET)


    British Columbia Lions (12-6 SU, 13-5 ATS) vs. Calgary Stampeders (15-2-1 SU, 13-5 ATS)
    Point-spread: Calgary -7
    Total: 54


    Game Overview



    The Lions started this season with a stunning 20-18 victory against Calgary as 2 -point underdogs at home and they are just one of two teams to actually beat the Stampeders SU this season. They failed to cover in Sunday’s win against Winnipeg; however they are 3-1 ATS in their last four games while going a perfect 4-0 SU. The total went OVER 55 -points against the Blue Bombers and it has gone OVER in five of BC’s last seven games.


    BC needed a 13-point fourth quarter effort to earn a trip to this division final. Jonathon Jennings overcame two first-quarter turnovers by saving his best for last with a nine yard game-winning touchdown run late in the fourth quarter. He ended the day with 329 passing yards and two scores while completing 26-of-35 attempts. Jeremiah Johnson anchored the running game with 110 yards and a score on 11 carries.


    Calgary has been patiently waiting for the chance to complete its run to a title after cruising its way through the regular season. You can basically throw-out a meaningless loss to Montreal in Week 19 in what was one of the most dominating runs in recent CFL memory. The Stampeders’ SU winning streak this season extended to 14 games and going back to early August they went 10-2 ATS before that loss to the Alouettes.


    This is going to be a very tough team to take down behind an offense that led the league in scoring with an average of 32.6 points a game. This effort complemented the stingiest defense in the CFL that allowed just 20.5 points a game over the course of its 18-game regular season schedule. Bo Levi Mitchell was second in the league in passing yards (5,385) and he led the way in passing touchdowns (32). Jerome Messam rushed for 1,198 yards while finding the end zone 11 times. Both stats were both at the top of the list in the CFL.

    Betting Trends



    Calgary got the best of things in the final two meetings this season SU, but BC was able to cover in a wild 44-41 overtime loss on July 29 as a 4 -point road underdog. The total in this West Division rivalry has stayed UNDER in four of the last five meetings.
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    CFL
    Long Sheet


    Week 22


    Sunday, November 20



    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    EDMONTON (11 - 8) at OTTAWA (8 - 9 - 1) - 11/20/2016, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    EDMONTON is 36-58 ATS (-27.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1996.
    OTTAWA is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in home games this season.
    OTTAWA is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in home lined games this season.
    OTTAWA is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in home games in games played on turf this season.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    OTTAWA is 3-3 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
    EDMONTON is 5-2 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    BRITISH COLUMBIA (13 - 6) at CALGARY (15 - 2 - 1) - 11/20/2016, 4:30 PM

    Top Trends for this game.
    CALGARY is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all games this season.
    CALGARY is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all lined games this season.
    CALGARY is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) in games played on turf this season.
    BRITISH COLUMBIA is 55-28 ATS (+24.2 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1996.
    BRITISH COLUMBIA is 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) in all games this season.
    BRITISH COLUMBIA is 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) in all lined games this season.
    BRITISH COLUMBIA is 91-63 ATS (+21.7 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
    BRITISH COLUMBIA is 37-18 ATS (+17.2 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1996.
    BRITISH COLUMBIA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) off a division game this season.
    BRITISH COLUMBIA is 41-23 ATS (+15.7 Units) in road games off a win over a division rival since 1996.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    CALGARY is 6-3 against the spread versus BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
    CALGARY is 7-2 straight up against BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------








    CFL


    Week 22



    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    Sunday, November 20


    1:00 PM
    EDMONTON vs. OTTAWA
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Edmonton's last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Ottawa's last 8 games when playing Edmonton
    Ottawa is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Edmonton


    4:30 PM
    BRITISH COLUMBIA vs. CALGARY
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of British Columbia's last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of British Columbia's last 8 games when playing on the road against Calgary
    Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Calgary is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing British Columbia
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    CFL playoffs, second round


    Keep in mind that the two home teams this week had last week off; the two road teams both won close games to get here:


    Edmonton (12-7) @ Ottawa (8-9-1)— Redblacks beat Edmonton twice this year, 45-37 (-6) in OT in Edmonton June 25, then 23-20 (-3.5) here August 6. Under is 5-2 in series games, 3-0 here. Eskimos won six of last seven games; four of their last five wins were on road. Edmonton is 3-3 as an underdog this year; three of their last four games stayed under the total. Ottawa lost its last three home games, with two of those in OT; they’re 2-4 in last six games, with five of those six going over total. RedBlacks are 3-8 vs spread as a favorite this season.


    British Columbia (13-6) @ Calgary (15-2-1)— Stampeders had their 14-game win streak ended by Montreal in regular season finale; Calgary won two of three vs British Columbia this season, winning 44-41 in OT in only meeting here July 29,- they’re 7-1 in last eight series games. Lions lost last four visits to Calgary by 7-12-26-3 points. Stampeders are 6-3 vs spread as a home favorite this season; five of their last six games went over total. BC Lions won last four games, winning 32-31 over Winnipeg last week; they’re 5-1 vs spread as an underdog this season. Four of their last five road games stayed under.


    Second round CFL playoff games


    — Edmonton (-2, 56) @ Ottawa


    — British Columbia @ Calgary (-7.5, 54)
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    Record for the CFL Playoffs:


    11/13/2016 3-0-1 100.00% +1500





    SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 20


    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


    EDM at OTT 01:00 PM


    OTT +2.0


    U 54.0 *****




    BC at CGY 04:30 PM


    CGY -7.0 *****


    U 54.0 *****
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    Grey Cup Final
    November 23, 2016



    Following a long and grueling 18-game regular season schedule plus two rounds of playoffs, the stage has been set for this Sunday’s CFL Grey Cup title showdown between the East’s Ottawa RedBlacks and the West’s Calgary Stampeders in a 6 p.m. (ET) kickoff at BMO Field in Toronto.


    This past Sunday, Ottawa outlasted Edmonton in the snow with a 35-23 victory as a 2 -point home underdog, while Calgary stayed on track to win this season’s Grey Cup with a crushing 42-15 win at home against British Columbia as a 7 -point favorite.


    Sunday, Nov. 27


    Ottawa RedBlacks (9-9-1 SU, 8-11 ATS) vs. Calgary Stampeders (15-2-1 SU, 13-5 ATS)
    Point-spread: Calgary -9
    Total: 54.5



    Game Overview


    Ottawa may have backed into its second-straight East Division title with just two straight-up wins in its last six regular season contests, but it came up with a victory when it needed to the most to make its second-straight trip the Grey Cup Championship. The RedBlacks went 4-3 against the spread this season when closing as underdogs and the total has now gone OVER in six of their last seven games after going OVER the closing 53-point line in last week’s win against Edmonton.

    If Ottawa is going to have any chance to win the CFL title this time around following a tough six-point loss to Edmonton last season as a seven-point underdog, it is going to need another strong effort from an offense that rolled up 425 yards of total offense in last week’s win. Henry Burris got the start at quarterback and while he ended the day with 246 yards passing, he only managed to complete 57.7 percent of his 26 attempts. The big story was Kienan LaFrance’s 157 yards rushing on 25 carries.


    Going all the way back to a rare 26-26 tie against Ottawa in Week 3 of the regular season, the Stampeders’ only loss since then was in a meaningless game against Montreal in Week 19. At one point their SU winning streak reached 14 games and over the final 12 games of that impressive run they went a highly profitable 10-2 ATS. Calgary left little doubt as to just how good this team really is by completely dismantling BC in the West Division Finals.


    In that lopsided victory against the Lions, Calgary was able to put things away early with a 32-0 lead at the half. Bo Levi Mitchell ended the day with 365 yards passing and three touchdown strikes while completing 75 percent of his 28 attempts. Jerome Messam added 84 yards rushing on 14 carries as part of a ground game that gained 166 total yards. These two players have been getting it done all season long on an offense that averaged a CFL-high 32.6 points a game. Defensively, the Stampeders also led the league in average points allowed (20.5).


    Betting Trends


    The RedBlacks are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games against a team with a SU winning record and they have failed to cover in their last seven games following a SU win. The total has gone OVER in four of their last five games against a team with a SU winning record.


    The Stampeders are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games following a SU win and they have covered in 19 of their last 26 games overall. The total has gone OVER in seven of their last 10 postseason games.


    Head-to-head in this matchup, Calgary has a 4-1-1 edge SU while going 5-1 ATS. The total has gone OVER or ended as a PUSH in the last four meetings. Following that Week 3 tie, the Stampeders went on to beat Ottawa 48-23 on Sept. 17 as eight-point favorites at home. The total easily went OVER the closing 54-point line in that game.
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  21. #346  
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    CFL
    Long Sheet


    Grey Cup


    Sunday, November 27



    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    OTTAWA (9 - 9 - 1) vs. CALGARY (16 - 2 - 1) - 11/27/2016, 6:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CALGARY is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all games this season.
    CALGARY is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all lined games this season.
    CALGARY is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) as a favorite this season.
    CALGARY is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
    CALGARY is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) off a division game this season.
    CALGARY is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in games played on turf this season.
    CALGARY is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) off a win over a division rival this season.
    OTTAWA is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    CALGARY is 5-1 against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
    CALGARY is 4-1 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------








    CFL
    Armadillo's Write-Up


    Grey Cup, Toronto



    Calgary (16-2-1) vs Ottawa (9-9-1)— RedBlacks are in only third year of existence, but are playing in Grey Cup for second year in row- they lost 26-20 to Edmonton LY. These two teams tied 26-26 in Ottawa July 8; Stampeders won 48-23 in rematch Sept 17. Stamps are 4-1-1 in series games, all four wins were by 21+ points- the one loss was LY in Ottawa. Calgary is 15-1 since that tie game in July, with lone loss in regular season finale, a meaningless game. Stampeders won 48-20 on this field last month- they’re 11-3 vs spread in last 14 games, 4-3 in last seven. Ottawa is just 3-4 in its last seven games; they won 30-20 on this field back in July. RedBlacks are 4-3 as underdogs this year. Six of last seven Ottawa games went over.








    CFL


    Grey Cup



    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    6:30 PM
    CALGARY vs. OTTAWA
    Calgary is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 6 games
    Ottawa is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Ottawa's last 7 games
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  22. #347  
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    CFL


    Sunday, November 27



    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Grey Cup betting preview: Calgary and Ottawa
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    Calgary is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings vs. Ottawa and are 9.5-point favorites for the 104 Grey Cup.


    Calgary Stampeders and Ottawa Redblacks (+9.5, 54.5)


    The Calgary Stampeders and Ottawa Redblacks meet in the 104th Grey Cup in Toronto on Sunday. The Stampeders followed up on one of the greatest regular seasons in CFL history with a 42-15 victory against the BC Lions in the West Division final to advance to the Grey Cup for the third time in five years, while the Redblacks beat the Edmonton Eskimos 35-23 to punch their ticket to the championship game for the second time in as many seasons.


    Ottawa was one of the few teams able to slow down Calgary as they played out a memorable 26-26 tie in Week 3 before the Stampeders won the second meeting 48-23 on Sept. 17, and are 9.5-point favourites to win their eighth Grey Cup in franchise history.


    "Favourites are something y'all can deal with," Calgary quarterback Bo Levi Mitchell told reporters. "It's so damn hard to win in the CFL that you have to understand if a team is in the Grey Cup they're there for a reason."


    The Redblacks struggled against the Stampeders in recent years, managing one victory in the last six meetings, but Henry Burris turned back the clock since reclaiming the starting job from Trevor Harris by averaging 349 passing yards in his last four starts to put Ottawa on the cusp of lifting its first Grey Cup since 1976.


    "We have always been looked at as the underdog on this team," Burris told reporters. "No matter what we have done it seems nobody want to give us respect."

    TV:
    6 p.m. ET, TSN, RDS, ESPN2


    LINE HISTORY: The line opened with Calgary as 9-point favorites and by Saturday morning that line has risen to 9.5. The total opened at 54.5 and hasn’t moved all week. Check out the complete history here.


    WHAT SHARPS SAY: Since making their return to the league in 2014, Ottawa has played Calgary six times. Two of them have gone to overtime with the REDBLACKS producing an outright win and a tie. But the other four have all gone the Stamps' way - by double digits.


    WEATHER REPORT: The forecast for BMO field home of the 104th Grey Cup is partly cloudy with slight winds coming out of the south east and temperatures at kickoff in the mid-30’s.


    INJURY REPORT:


    Calgary -
    DL Brandon Boudreaux (questionable, undisclosed), LB Deron Mayo (questionable, knee), DT Zach Minter (questionable, undisclosed), CB Shaq Richardson (questionable, undisclosed), WR Anthony Parker (questionable, shoulder), WR Joe West (questionable, undisclosed), DL Ben D’Aguilar (questionable, undisclosed), WR Simon Charbonneau-Campeau (questionable, undisclosed), OL Brad Erdos (doubtful, undisclosed), OL Cameron Thorn (doubtful, undisclosed), Pierre Lavertu (doubtful, undisclosed)


    Ottawa - DL Aston Whiteside (questionable, undisclosed), DB Nicholas Taylor (questionable, undisclosed), OL Jake Silas (questionable, undisclosed), OL Sir Vincent Rogers (questionable, undisclosed), DL Mike Moore (questionable, undisclosed), K Chris Milo (questionable, undisclosed), DB Kevin Malcolm (questionable, undisclosed), DL Ettore Lattanzi (questionable, undisclosed), QB Brock Jensen (questionable, undisclosed), DB John Boyett (questionable, undisclosed), DL Andrew Marshall (questionable, undisclosed), OL Tommie Draheim (questionable, undisclosed), WR Khalil Paden (questionable, undisclosed), QB Danny O’Brien (questionable, undisclosed), RB Mossis Madu (out, shoulder)


    ABOUT THE STAMPEDERS (16-2-1 SU, 14-5 ATS, 8-9-2 (O/U): Mitchell continues to pick apart opposing defences as he threw for 365 yards and three touchdowns against BC. There is plenty of uncertainty on the offensive line as guard Brad Erdos suffered a lower-body injury in the fourth quarter against the Lions and was replaced by Cam Thorn, who was promptly knocked out of the game a few minutes later, while Pierre Lavertu is battling a neck issue. Jerome Messam, who led the league in rushing (1,198) during the regular season, churned out 84 yards on 14 carries in the Western Final and hopes for another strong performance as the eight-year veteran strives to win his first Grey Cup in his hometown.


    ABOUT THE REDBLACKS (9-9-1 SU, 8-11 ATS, 10-8-1 O/U): Backup running back Kienan Lafrance racked up a career-high 157 rushing yards and a touchdown after replacing Mossis Madu Jr., who suffered a shoulder injury on the opening possession against Edmonton. Lafrance will likely get the starting nod Sunday but will share snaps with Travon Van, who is set to be activated after sitting out the Eastern Final while linebacker Taylor Reed is expected to play after missing a majority of the second half with a head injury. Ray Early made 2-of-2 field goals against the Eskimos with Chris Milo nursing a lower-body injury but Milo practiced during the week and should be ready to assume the kicking duties Sunday.


    TRENDS:


    * Stampeders are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games.
    * Stampeders are 10-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
    * RedBlacks are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
    * Over is 4-0 in Stampeders last 4 playoff road games.
    * Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings.


    CONSENSUS: The underdog Redblacks are getting 60 percent of the point spread action and the under is getting 62 percent of the action.
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  23. #348  
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    ATS Picks 37-42-3 46.84% -4600


    O/U Picks 39-39-4 50.00% -1950


    SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 27



    GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


    CGY at OTT 06:00 PM


    OTT +9.5 *****


    O 55.0 *****
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  24. #349  
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    Nice way to end the year, congrats!
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