Wednesday 6/29/16 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

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Post your request, Comments or concerns here.
Good luck on all your plays.

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European Championships Th 30Jun 20:00
PolandvPortugal
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HOMEDRAWAWAY
325/4More markets
RECENT FORMLAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT ALL VENUESRECENT FORM
HLHDNWNDNWND*
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  • 0 - 0
  • 2 - 2
  • 2 - 1
  • 0 - 4
ALNWNDNDNDND*
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KEY STAT: Poland have kept six clean sheets in their last eight internationals

EXPERT VERDICT: Poland required penalties to get past Switzerland in the last 16 while Portugal scored a 117th-minute goal to see off Croatia and the teams' quarter-final meeting could be another epic. The Poles have conceded only one goal – a stunner from Swiss star Xherdan Shaqiri – in the tournament while Portugal are similarly defensive-minded and the 90-minute draw looks a decent bet.

RECOMMENDATION: Draw
1


REFEREE: Felix Brych STADIUM:

 

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European Championships Fr 1Jul 20:00
WalesvBelgium
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HOMEDRAWAWAY
513/58/11More markets
RECENT FORMLAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT ALL VENUESRECENT FORM
ALALNWNLNWNW*
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  • 1 - 0
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HDHWNLNWNWAW
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KEY STAT: Wales took four points from a possible six against Belgium in qualifying

EXPERT VERDICT: Belgium were impressive in their 4-0 last-16 win over Hungary but Wales should provide the Red Devils with a tougher test in Friday's quarter-final. Thomas Vermaelen's suspension means a defensive reshuffle for Belgium and Wales, who have scored in all four of their games at the finals, could cause the favourites a few problems.

RECOMMENDATION: Both teams to score
2


 

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European Championships Sa 2Jul 20:00
GermanyvItaly
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HOMEDRAWAWAY
5/423More markets
RECENT FORMLAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT ALL VENUESRECENT FORM
HLNWNWNDNWNW
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  • 4 - 1
  • 1 - 1
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HWNWNWNWNLNW
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KEY STAT: Italy have kept five clean sheets in their last six matches

EXPERT VERDICT: Italy produced a defensive masterclass to knock holders Spain out of the tournament and are likely to make life tough for Germany in Bordeaux. The Azzurri’s cautious, counter-attacking style is perfectly suited to taking on the biggest teams and Germany may find it much tougher to find the breakthrough than they did against Slovakia.

RECOMMENDATION: Draw
1


 

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European Championships Su 3Jul 20:00
FrancevIceland
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HOMEDRAWAWAY
2/515/49More markets
RECENT FORMLAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT ALL VENUESRECENT FORM
NWNWNWNWNDNW
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  • 3 - 2
  • 3 - 2
  • 1 - 1
  • 3 - 1
ALHWNDNDHWNW
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KEY STAT: Iceland have kept just one clean sheet in their last ten games

EXPERT VERDICT: Iceland are not getting the credit they deserve for knocking out England on Monday but their amazing adventure is set to come to an end at the Stade de France. France have been making life hard for themselves by making slow starts but it could be different against Iceland, who have conceded in every one of their four matches.

RECOMMENDATION: France-France double result
1


 

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Poland v Portugal - Thursday 30th June, 20:00 BST

Two of the greatest players in the world square off on Thursday for a chance to face Wales or Belgium in the semi-final of Euro 2016. Bayern Munich striker Robert Lewandowski hasn’t set this tournament alight yet but he showed his class by stepping up to take Poland’s opening penalty in their shootout win over Croatia. Portugal looked like they might need penalties to reach the quarters also but their star-man Cristiano Ronaldo made the winning goal for Ricardo Quaresma as extra-time drew to a close against the much-fancied Spain-conquering Croatia. At the time of writing, it looks as if the four other quarter-finalists in the other half of the draw will be France, Germany, Spain/Italy and England so avoiding all five of those teams is a huge bonus for both of these sides as they both search for maiden European Championship wins.

Portugal have reached the quarter-finals without winning a match. They’ve tied all of their four games in the tournament (after 90 minutes) despite being the higher-ranked side, as they are here, each time. Their recent record against teams they are ranked 1-10 places higher than in all matches is a very encouraging W7-D2-L1. The Iberians went out in the group stage of Brazil 2014 but that was the first Finals tournament that they’ve failed to reach the knockout stage at since 2002. They’ve played 11 knockout matches since Euro 2004 and an incredible eight of them, including the last four, have had Under 1.5 Goals while just three saw both teams net.


That Shaqiri goal is the only one that Poland have conceded this tournament. Their three group stage games had Under 1.5 Goals and all of their 10 Finals matches since 2008 have had Under 2.5 Goals. The 1-1 draw (after 90 minutes) against Switzerland extended Poland’s poor record against teams ranked 11-20 to W1-D6-L5 in their last 12 fixtures though.

Since England 1996, there have been 22 knockout matches at the European Championships between teams separated by fewer than 10 ranking places and a staggering 12 have been tied after 90 minutes. The higher-ranked team has won seven of the games with the underdogs picking up just three victories. The most common scoreline in these games has been 0-0 (eight times) while 12 have been goalless at the break and 10 ended with fewer than two goals.

This game looks like it’ll go in a similar fashion to most of the matches we’ve seen so far in this tournament with neither side budging an inch despite great attacking talent on show. Neither Lewandowski or Ronaldo have had much of the ball in their matches so far and we aren’t scared to back unders despite their presence. All markets correlated to unders here interest us including Both Teams Not to Score, a drawn match after 90 minutes and a goalless opening 45 but our strongest selection is for another Euro 2016 nil nil.
 
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Preview: Stars (3-11) at Mystics (8-8)

Date: June 29, 2016 11:30 AM EDT

The Washington Mystics, coming off an impressive defensive performance against defending WNBA champion Minnesota, takes aim at the lowest-scoring team in the league Wednesday afternoon.

Washington (8-8) will play host to the San Antonio Stars, averaging 74.2 points per game and shooting 40.6 percent from the field, also a league-worst. The Stars (3-11) are last in the Western Conference.

The Mystics on Sunday defeated the visiting Lynx 87-63 at the Verizon Center, handing Minnesota just its second loss of the season. Washington limited forward Maya Moore to five points (14 below her average) and held guard Seimone Augustus scoreless for the first time in her 11-year WNBA career.

"It started on our defensive end," Washington guard Tayler Hill said on WNBA.com. "We came out with so much energy and pressure in full court and that translated into our offense."

Hill and forward Emma Meesseman are each having the best seasons of their careers. Meesseman, who scored 16 of her 20 points against Minnesota in the first quarter, is averaging 15.1 points per game. Hill is at a team-best 15.8.

Meesseman was the WNBA leader in 3-point shooting (54.2 percent) entering Tuesday night's league action.

Defensively, the Mystics' focus will be on San Antonio's Kayla McBride. The third-year guard is averaging 18.6 points per game and is coming off a 28-point effort in Saturday's 73-69 victory over the Atlanta Dream. That ended a four-game skid for the Stars.

"I was just sick of losing close games. I'm serious," McBride said. "As a leader and as a competitor, I felt like I had to step up. There were contributions from everybody, but to bring that energy and to be that leader and that scorer that I like to be, that was good for us."

Washington has won six of its past eight games to get to .500 for the second time after an 0-3 start. San Antonio, which is 0-6 away from home, is starting a three-game road trip that includes visits to Indiana and Minnesota.

This is the first meeting of the season between the teams. The Mystics won both matchups in 2015.
 
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Preview: Fever (6-9) at Sky (6-8)

Date: June 29, 2016 12:30 PM EDT

The Indiana Fever are hoping a lineup change pays dividends for the second game in a row.

Indiana, coming off a 92-87 victory at Dallas, plays at Chicago on Wednesday afternoon. The Fever (6-9) and the Sky (6-8) are battling for the last couple of spots in the eight-team playoff as the league nears the halfway point of the season.

Indiana coach Stephanie White inserted guard Erica Wheeler and forward Lynetta Kizer into the starting lineup against Dallas on Saturday. Wheeler scored 15 and Kizer added six as the Fever ended the Wings' four-game winning streak.

"We're looking to find a lineup that can start the game really well on both ends of the floor, looking to find players who can give us a punch off the bench, and looking for the consistency to sustain that for a 40-minute ballgame," White said.

"It was just something that we did because we wanted to see what a different lineup looked like because we needed to find a way to start the game and third quarter better."

Despite the win Saturday, Indiana has lost five of its past seven games.

Chicago has dropped four of five, including an 80-79 decision at the New York Liberty on Friday, when forward Elena Delle Donne scored a season-high 31 points. She leads the Sky with an average of 19.7 points per game.

Guard Cappie Pondexter is the team's other double-digit scorer, averaging 13.6.

The Fever also have two double-digit scorers -- forward Tamika Catchings (13.0) and guard Tiffany Mitchell (11.9).

The Sky won the season's first matchup against the Fever, 73-64 on June 10. Imani Boyette, a 6-foot-7 rookie center from Texas, posted her first career double-double with 16 points and 12 rebounds.

Indiana shoots just 27.3 percent from 3-point range -- ranking 11th in the 12-team league -- and that was a factor in the first meeting against Chicago. The Fever was only 4 of 24 from behind the arc in the loss. Guard Briann January led Indiana in that game with 17 points.
 
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Preview: Liberty (10-5) at Lynx (13-2)

Date: June 29, 2016 8:00 PM EDT

Two of the top teams in the WNBA will meet for the second time this season when the New York Liberty visits the Minnesota Lynx on Wednesday at Target Center in Minneapolis.

Minnesota (13-2) is coming off back-to-back losses after winning 13 in a row to set a WNBA record for most consecutive victories to start a season. The losses dropped the Lynx to second in the WNBA's Western Conference, a half-game behind Los Angeles (13-1).

Minnesota suffered a 94-76 loss to Los Angeles on Friday and an 87-63 loss to Washington on Sunday.

The Lynx never recovered after being outscored 33-13 in the first quarter against Washington. Renee Montgomery scored 15 points and Sylvia Fowles had 13. Maya Moore, one of the league's stars, was held to five points on 2-of-9 shooting from the field, and Seimone Augustus was held scoreless for the first time in her illustrious career.

Minnesota coach Cheryl Reeve was not pleased with her team's performance.

"We were down 20 in the first quarter, if I'm not mistaken, let alone the first half," Reeve said. ""What I shared with the team was not something I'd be able to tell you, to be honest with you."

New York (10-5) is coming off a 104-97 overtime loss to Phoenix after winning six in a row. The Liberty sit atop the Eastern Conference, 1 1/2 games ahead of Atlanta (8-6).

Tina Charles had 26 points, eight rebounds and five assists in the loss to Phoenix but made just 12 of 27 shots from the field. Sugar Rodgers had 23 points and Shavonte Zellous added 13.

Minnesota beat New York 79-69 when they met May 31 at Madison Square Garden. Moore led all scorers with 25 points. Charles had 23 points and 11 rebounds for New York.

The Lynx shot 49.2 percent from the field in that game while holding the Liberty to 40.4 percent shooting.
 
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Preview: Sun (3-12) at Mercury (6-9)

Date: June 29, 2016 10:00 PM EDT

Kelsey Bone will face her former team for the first time just days after she was traded when the Phoenix Mercury plays host to the Connecticut Sun on Wednesday at Talking Stick Resort Arena in Phoenix.

Phoenix (6-9) acquired the WNBA All-Star on Saturday. In exchange, Connecticut (3-12) received rookie Courtney Williams, the rights to 2016 second-round pick Jillian Alleyne and San Antonio's 2017 second-round draft pick that was acquired by Phoenix earlier this season.

Bone, a 6-foot-4, 215-pound forward/center, averaged 15.4 points and 6.3 rebounds for Connecticut last season. She garnered her first All-Star selection and was named the WNBA's Most Improved Player. She joins a front line that already includes Brittney Griner, Candice Dupree and Penny Taylor.

"In-season trades rarely net you an All-Star like Kelsey Bone," Mercury general manager Jim Pitman said. "Even though she is in just her fourth year, Kelsey is an established talent in our league and we think this deal makes us a better team today and in the future.

"She competes, she rebounds, has great size, and plays with great strength and toughness on both ends of the floor. We are excited about her potential here in Phoenix."

The Mercury will try to achieve its first three-game winning streak after winning its last two games to improve to fourth in the Western Conference. The Mercury beat the Washington Mystics 91-79 on Friday and upset the New York Liberty, the top team in the Eastern Conference, 104-97 in overtime on Sunday.

Dupree had 26 points and eight rebounds against New York. Diana Taurasi, who was named Western Conference Player of the Week on Monday, had 24 points. Bone scored six points in eight minutes off the bench in her Phoenix debut.

Connecticut has lost two in a row and five of its last six. The Sun, who are in the midst of a four-game trip, are coming off an 80-73 loss to the Los Angeles Sparks. Chiney Ogwumike had 16 points and eight rebounds, Jasmine Thomas scored 14 points, and Alyssa Thomas had 11 points, nine rebounds and seven assists.
 
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Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Harrington Raceway

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 5 - Post: 6:08 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 92 - Purse:$16000 - OPEN HARRINGTON RACE CONDITIONS DRIVER CHOICES:


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 5 ROYAL BECCA J 7/2


# 7 TIRADE HANOVER 4/1


# 3 AWSOME VALLEY 5/2


If you want a really good play for this one, feast your eyes on ROYAL BECCA J. Appears that this race horse's running style fits well in this race. Positively will be there at the finish. The panel of smart guys noted a bang-up event out of this contender last time. Looking for a duplicate of that to dominate. TIRADE HANOVER - He's performing in fine form, recording substantial TrackMaster SRs. An excellent choice. Talk about a dynamic duo, Kirby and Raymer have some of the best driver/conditioner ratings at the track. AWSOME VALLEY - Don't count out this nice horse, especially with Lare as the trainer. In the money rate is excellent. Really liked this gelding's last race. Ran a solid 92 speed rating. Major player.
 
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Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Northfield Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 8 - Post: 8:20 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 81 - Purse:$6400 - GUARANTEED $10,000 PICK 4 STARTS HERE $20,000 GUARANTEED TRIFECTA POOL NON WINNERS $4000 IN LAST 5 STARTS THAT ARE N/W $25,000 IN 2016. AE: N/W 5 PARI-MUTUEL RACES. NO. 9 STARTS FROM 2ND TIER NORTHFIELD TRAINER CHANGE HN 7 K.KAUFFMAN TO R.ANGUS


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 9 IWILLDOWHATIDO 7/5


# 4 MOST HAPPY DRAGON 5/1


# 7 MAJESTOS 5/1


Hard not to think about IWILLDOWHATIDO as the top pick in this race. Has formidable speed ratings and more than likely has to be considered for a wager in this one. Tough to pass on this gelding with experienced Merriman in the cart. Major player for the score. Some drivers just ride better with certain harness racers. That seems to be the case here with Merriman. A really strong bet. MOST HAPPY DRAGON - Competing soundly, earned a huge TrackMaster Speed Rating in his most recent race (75). Look for Blodgett and this fine animal to dominate today. Excellent in the money percentage for the trainer/horse combination. MAJESTOS - Could surprise us at a good price. Don't leave out. The consortium happens to know that when you put Merriman and Angus together competitive results are not far behind.
 
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Albuquerque

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 1 - Maiden Claiming - 870y on the Dirt. Purse: $9700 Class Rating: 79

QUARTER HORSE 870Y, FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000


RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 4 INTREPID JESS 4/1


# 2 JMCASHN AFULLHOUSE 7/2


# 7 LOUD AND PROUD RYDER 7/2


INTREPID JESS looks to be a competitive contender. He ought to be carefully examined given the respectable speed figures. The average class figure alone makes this entrant a solid contender. Strong average speed figures in longer quarter horse races make this horse a key contender. JMCASHN AFULLHOUSE - Medellin will most likely be able to get this gelding to break out sharply in this event. Should be given a chance based on the very good speed fig put up in the last contest. LOUD AND PROUD RYDER - Could best this field based on the Equibase Speed Figure - 59 - of his last effort.
 
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Finger Lakes

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 7 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $14300 Class Rating: 91

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES SINCE MAY 29 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 4 IMA WILDCAT 6/5


# 6 PRIVATE THRILL 6/1


# 3 SIP N ZIP 6/1


IMA WILDCAT has a very strong shot to take this race. Difficult to pass on this gelding with Davila in the saddle. He looks very strong in this spot and I expect will be on the front end or close at the midpoint. Could best this group of animals based on the speed rating - 102 - of his last effort. PRIVATE THRILL - Has been racing solidly and has among the top speed in the race for today's distance. Demonstrates the look of a money-making play, averaging a solid 80 speed rating which is one of the strongest in this field. SIP N ZIP - Must be in sound condition if the conditioner is bringing him back so soon. Has some encouraging handicapping angles which make this horse a wager.
 
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Woodbine - Race #7 - Post: 9:46pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $20,000 Class Rating: 72

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#9 KAT'S GOOD SCOUT (ML=7/2)
#8 INCORPORATER (ML=8/1)


KAT'S GOOD SCOUT - I have to figure Simon is making a good move here. This gelding can only profit from the shorter distance. INCORPORATER - I like to invest in this handicapping theory, a horse coming back off a solid contest within the last month or so.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 VICTORY CANYON (ML=5/2), #2 WAR EXECUTIVE (ML=3/1), #5 RUMBLEINTHEJUNGLE (ML=6/1),

VICTORY CANYON - Finished second in his most recent effort with a somewhat easily forgotten fig. When I look at today's class figure, it would take an improved performance to score after that in this bunch. WAR EXECUTIVE - This thoroughbred likes to be there at the wire, but doesn't usually finish on top. Keep out of the top spot. RUMBLEINTHEJUNGLE - 6/1 is not pegged at the proper price for any horse in a sprint of 5 furlongs that hasn't hit the board in a short distance contest of late. Hasn't been getting close at all lately.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Go with #9 KAT'S GOOD SCOUT on top if we're getting at least 3/2 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [8,9]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None
 
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Delaware Park - Race #5 - Post: 3:15pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $26,000 Class Rating: 64

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#1 HOWBOUTTHEMCOWBOYS (ML=2/1)


HOWBOUTTHEMCOWBOYS - Trainer Ness moves this horse down the ladder based on class rating points to face a less competitive field. Look for a sharp race in this race. This gelding is in nice condition, having run a strong race on Jun 8th, finishing third. This animal brings in a lot of dough per race. At the top in this affair.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1A PROUDMIAMICITIZEN (ML=2/1), #5 TACTICAL HERO (ML=7/2), #7 MAJESTIC DOCTOR (ML=9/2),

PROUDMIAMICITIZEN - I'm forecasting a less than stellar effort out of him today. TACTICAL HERO - Didn't do a whole lot last time out. Probably won't do much running today. This colt recorded a speed rating in his last affair which likely isn't good enough in today's event. MAJESTIC DOCTOR - The speed figure last time around the track doesn't fit very well in this affair when I look at the class figure of today's contest. Mark this horse as a possibly overvalued contestant.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - HOWBOUTTHEMCOWBOYS - This gelding has the top speed figure last race with a very good 65. He is the top wager here.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #1 Entry to win if we can get at least 1/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
1 with 5

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

** Some or all wagers above involve entries and assume all parts of entry start the race **
 
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Northfield: Wednesday 6/29 Analysis + Pick Four Ticket
By Jeremey Day

DRF HARNESS

Race 8 - $10,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Jeremey’s $1 Pick Four Play:

1,9 / 1,4,6 / 1 / 2,6,9 = $18


Best Bet: ANASTASIA GUNNER (5th)

Spot Play: BOSSTON BNZ (12th)


Race 1

(1) PRICELESS DREAM three-year-old filly gets the best post and looks to offer the best price of the contenders. (2) POPPET has been competitive against similar; threat. (4) HS BABY GRACE might be the fastest of the bunch but gets sent out for a low percentage provisional pilot.

Race 2

(2) VELOCITY RAQUEL well bred mare will look to make it two straight at this level. (1) RADIO OVER filly has room to improve second start in a new barn. (3) OAKS CROWN sophomore pacer makes his career debut of a promising qualifier.

Race 3

(3) SECRET SWAN has just been racing evenly but finds a weak and inconsistent field. (1) ABC CAPTAIN MAN gelding has been close but has never had much stamina late; use underneath. (9) SMOKEY JOE lightly raced 4-year-old has room to improve in his second start back off a long layoff.

Race 4

(9) THIRD DATE has shown improvement in two straight. (3) SIGN OF A QUEEN has flashed good early gate speed and can threaten with a smooth trip. (1) VIRESSA'S DREAM gets the best post in a weak and inconsistent field. .

Race 5

(5) ANASTASIA GUNNER has question marks coming off some bad lines, however if the 3-year-old minds his manners he can handle this group. (9) I GOT THIS put in a nice effort at this track two back; threat. (6) MIKES MAJESTIC raced gamely last week against similar.

Race 6

In a wide open race, (2) FIERCE DESIRE owns the most wins on the year and looks to offer a big price. (3) WESTERN COBY is probably the horse to beat but has not won a race in two years; use caution. (1) ALLAMERICAN PEWTER has yet to win on the year but does get the best post.

Race 7

(4) JOYEUX DREAM is just now back in racing shape after a long layoff. The 7-year old owns a touch of back class and has room to move forward. (6) UPFRONTSTRIKESGOLD has been facing much tougher on the year and picks up a huge driver change. (7) SNOWSON had no excuse last week against weaker but is one of the faster trotters in the race.

Race 8

(9) IWILLDOWHATIDO put in an excellent effort last week against slightly better. (1) HA HA should be in line for a much nicer trip up close; threat. (4) MOST HAPPY DRAGON veteran pacer is very consistent and just needs a good setup for a piece.

Race 9

(4) COOTER DUNN will look to make it three of four; fires early. (6) MAXIMUS DEO well bred trotter is a major player with some racing luck. (1) CALLING A VICTORY drew off down in class last week. The eight-year-old gets the best post in a fairly wide open race.

Race 10

(1) TOMSAMERICANDREAM finds a soft spot to do some damage with the best post. (2) BOSSY AUSSIE has just been racing evenly; command a price. (3) CAMS LITTLE MAN has room to improve third start back off a long layoff.

Race 11

(2) VELOCITY U BET gelding has paced some really fast miles in his last two and should beat this bunch with a similar effort. (6) MYSTICAL HEART is definitely heading in the right direction and appears to be getting better. (9) BOOMERS SIDEKICK hit the board last week from a tough spot and looks to offer good value.

Race 12

(5) BOSSTON BNZ five-year-old trotter owns some ability if he can mind his manners. (6) FLYING MUCLES beat the top choice in the qualifier pretty soundly. The well bred 4-year-old is the horse to beat but also shows miscues. (4) JAILHOUSE BRIDE mare rarely wins but can hit the ticket underneath.

Race 13

In a very tough race to handicap, (3) AUDITORIAL has been off for over a month but has been competitive against better on the year. (8) FIXTHEDEFICIT with a better post the pacer would be considered the horse to beat. (1) GET JAZZED impeccably bred stallion gets the best post in an inconsistent field.

Race 14

(3) REVERAND SPEED might have needed the start off the scratch. The gelding's best effort beats this bunch. (4) ST ELIAN'S FIRE trotting mare is 0 for the year but will offer a big price and is a contender should the top choice falter. (9) TP MAXIMUS owns a win against better on the year; threat.

Race 15

(3) DIVULGE will look to drop and pop down in class. (9) LIMA RITCH rarely wins but is capable of a big brush when timed right. (7) MIDNIGHT DRAGON paced a big mile off a layoff and any improvement puts him in the mix.
 
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SPOT PLAYS

For Wednesday


TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE


Charles Town (1st) My Girl Grace, 10-1
(5th) Really Boppin, 3-1


Delaware Park (3rd) Harlington Romance, 9-2
(7th) Big Timer, 3-1


Evangeline Downs (2nd) D'wild Misty, 5-1
(9th) Zeeway, 5-1


Finger Lakes (2nd) Beat of the Drum, 5-1
(7th) Ta Bueno, 8-1


Indiana Grand (2nd) Dollar Whiskey, 6-1
(9th) Slickly Done, 9-2


Louisiana Downs (1st) Jami Road, 7-2
(3rd) Guska Mon Shoes, 10-1


Mountaineer (3rd) The Devil We Know, 8-1
(5th) C Mischief, 8-1


Penn National (4th) Foxy Heroine, 5-1
(8th) My Little Annie, 9-2


Presque Isle Downs (1st) Hillaryinthehouse, 6-1
(4th) Tale of the Nile, 7-2


Thistledown (4th) Oliver's Bull, 7-2
(6th) Canaryinacoalmine, 4-1


Woodbine (2nd) Success Phil, 10-1
(8th) Heaven's Sake, 10-1
 
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June Pitchers Report
By Marc Lawrence

You know the saying, “May flowers bring June showers.”

For Major League Baseball pitchers hurling during the month of June, showers are hopefully not in their immediate plans. Instead, it’s the hope of all MLB starting pitchers to stay around long enough in their starts to avoid having to clean up and go home early.

Listed below are hurlers that have enjoyed a two-to-one or better success ratio in team-starts over the course of the last three seasons during the month of June. On the flip side, we've also listed pitchers that struggle in June, winning 33% percent or less of their team-start efforts.

To qualify pitchers must have made a minimum of 10 starts, with at least one start each June over the last three years. And for your convenience alongside each record we break down each pitcher’s greatest success or greatest failure rate either home (H) or away (A) within his good or bad month.

Note: * designates a categorical repeat appearance by this pitcher, maintaining status quo from last season’s June list.


GOOD MONTH PITCHERS:

Arrieta, Jake - 8-4 (6-2 A)

Only Clayton Kershaw has been in Arrieta's stratosphere since 2015. The right-hander is in the right organization which has allowed his abundant talents to flourish and this season opposing batters are hitting a mere .168 against him. His effortless delivery and mid-90's fastball causes a lot of swings and misses as does his breaking pitches.

Cole, Gerrit - 10-2 (6-0 A)

Cole is now the ace of the Pittsburgh staff and expertly commands a two and four-seam fastball in the mid to upper 90's which he can sink or have riding action. After a sluggish start to season, his ERA is down to close to 2.50 and expect him to have another fine month. Note: Cole’s numbers above reflect his career team mark during June.

*Colon, Bartolo - 10-5 (7-0 H)

The 43-year old right-hander just keeps churning along on staff that is very talented and youthful. Colon knows how and where to spot his fastball, which he tosses 70 or more percent of the time and blends in a quick slider that has excellent depth. The fact is Colon understands his craft and wins.

Lackey, John - 11-5 (6-1 H)

Remember for years no pitcher in his right mind would want to pitch at Wrigley Field, now they line up for the chance. Being a talented young team helps and Lackey is the right fit, with fastball he keeps low in the zone and sinker opposing hitters cannot elevate. Through two months, the batter's Lackey has faced are at a lowly .209 batting average and his WHIP is sick 0.97.

Sanchez, Anibal - 9-4 (8-3 H)

The Detroit hurler has gotten off to a rugged start with ERA over 6 as June began. Sanchez's problems revolve around lack of pitch placement, not even having 2-to-1 strikeout to walk ratio and giving up more than a hit an inning. Of the 58 hits allowed, 11 have left the yard and if the Tigers are going to be contenders in the AL Central, Sanchez will have to throw like previous June's.

*Scherzer, Max - 11-4 (6-2 A)

If you research Mad Max's numbers, many are at or below career norm, yet he begins this month with an ERA over 4. The problem is too many pitches right down the middle, which is why he on pace to give up 45 home runs (15 thru May). If Scherzer solves this, he will have a great rest of the year.

Tillman, Chris - 11-3 (4-1 A)

After an off year in 2015, the Orioles righty has come back in a big way. When he's at his best like he has been this year, Tillman works his low 90's heater at the knees on both sides of the dish and his curve and changeup have sharp downward motion. He starts this month with hitters at .203 batting average versus his tosses.

Volquez, Edinson - 11-5 (7-1 A)

The Royals right-hander is doing what he does best, as in nine of his 11 starts for Kansas City he has induced double digit groundball outs. Volquez is still thought to be a power pitcher and gets numerous weak swings with tilted curve and deluxe changeup he will throw on any count.

*Zimmermann, Jordan - 12-5 (8-3 H)

After an unbelievable start, Zimmermann has drifted back to the previous career numbers. He pulled a groin late last month, but is expected to make start on June 3rd and continue from that point. His strengths include four pitches he trusts to throw for strikes and he has shown greater durability thus far in the AL.


BAD MONTH PITCHERS:

Miller, Shelby - 6-12 (2-6 A)

After disastrous start with Arizona, having ERA over 7, maybe a trip to the DL with bad finger on throwing hand will settle Miller down, who looks like he is trying to throw a no-hitter on every pitch and is getting hammered. The talent has always been in place, just not the execution as this record shows. Note: Miller’s numbers above reflect his career team mark during June.

Verlander, Justin - 4-10 (2-5 H)

No longer equipped with high 90's fastball, Verlander tends to give up runs in bunches these days. He can be sailing along for three to five innings and then give up three or four runs in single inning. Without the necessary secondary pitches, he's become easier to hit a third time through the lineup.

Weaver, Jered - 5-10 (1-6 A)

It is sometimes tough to watch former aces who were among the best in the game, as their stuff is in decline and they are not close to what they used to be. This is the case of Weaver, whose fastball barely reaches 85 MPH, which makes his breaking ball and assortment of change-ups less effective. It is no accident at this juncture hitters are clocking him for .311 BA.
 
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Let the home plate umpire be your guide when wagering on baseball
By JOE FORTENBAUGH

On April 10, 2016 at the pitcher-friendly confines of AT&T Park, southpaw Scott Kazmir of the Los Angeles Dodgers and World Series champion Johnny Cueto of the San Francisco Giants took the mound for their respective clubs in an N.L. West blood feud that featured an over/under of 7.5 runs.

The 32-year-old Kazmir, who had posted an incendiary 2.38 ERA in 18 starts with the Oakland Athletics last summer before being shipped to Houston at the trade deadline, entered his April 10 showdown against Cueto with a 1-0 record thanks to a 3-0 victory in San Diego just five days prior in which the lefty blanked the Padres for six innings while surrendering only one hit.

Cueto, who signed a six-year, $130 million deal with San Francisco last December, also entered that April 10 matchup with a 1-0 record due to a brilliant Orange & Black debut in Milwaukee in which he limited the Brewers to just one run on six hits over seven solid innings of work en route to a 2-1 victory.

So the stage has been set: Two talented and accomplished starting pitchers taking the mound on a Sunday afternoon in a ballpark that allowed fewer home runs than any other venue in baseball last season with a Las Vegas over/under of 7.5. This sort of feels like a game in which we might lean to the under, doesn’t it?

Hopefully all of you passed on that instinct because over bettors were celebrating a win after just three innings of baseball in which Kazmir and Cueto both allowed five runs to cross home plate in what eventually became a wild 9-6 victory for the Giants.

So how exactly did two of the game’s more accomplished starting pitchers find themselves so bruised and battered in the box score so quickly while playing at AT&T Park?

There are several reasons, actually, for what went down on April 10 ranging from Cueto’s potential nerves in his home debut for the Giants to Kazmir’s issues with consistency to two talented and highly productive lineups.

But the one reason that tends to slip between the cracks when trying to explain an anomaly game such as this one has to do with the man in the mask behind home plate.

Yes, I’m talking about the umpire.

When betting on baseball, whether it be the side, run line or total, it is essential to research and evaluate the man tasked with differentiating balls and strikes. On April 10 in San Francisco, that man was Alan Porter, who was behind the plate for 29 games during the 2015 Major League Baseball season. And in those 29 games, the over went 15-11-3 with an average of 8.79 runs scored per contest. But for those of you who are willing to go the extra mile, your research would have indicated that in games featuring an over/under of exactly 7.5 runs during the 2015 season with Porter behind the plate, the over went 6-3.

So far during the 2016 campaign, the over is 9-5 with an average of 9.86 total runs scored per game with Porter behind the plate.

This isn’t to suggest that Porter’s presence on April 10 was the sole reason the over hit in such immediate fashion, but it does help to partially explain why a matchup between Johnny Cueto and Scott Kazmir at AT&T Park could go from being viewed as a pitcher’s duel to a shootout in such a short span of time. More importantly, however, it helps to reinforce the point of how essential it is to study the umpire assignments before placing each and every MLB bet you consider.

Entering Saturday’s slate of action, with the 2016 MLB regular season approximately 46% complete, here’s a breakdown of some key umpire date that will prove useful in your baseball handicapping:

TOP FIVE OVER UMPIRES

Brian Gorman: 7-2 (.778), 9.8 runs per game
Jerry Meals: 10-3 (.769), 10.7 runs per game
Bill Welke: 10-3 (.769), 9.4 runs per game
Bill Miller: 12-4 (.750), 9.3 runs per game
Jerry Layne: 8-3 (.727), 9.3 runs per game

TOP FIVE UNDER UMPIRES

Eric Cooper: 9-2 (.818), 5.9 runs per game
Mark Ripperger: 11-3 (.786), 5.6 runs per game
Todd Tichenor: 10-3 (.769), 6.0 runs per game
D.J. Reyburn: 8-3 (.727), 5.7 runs per game
Larry Vanover: 8-3 (.727), 7.9 runs per game

TOP FIVE HOME UMPIRES

Bill Welke: 11-2 (.846), 9.4 runs per game
Clint Fagan: 10-2 (.833), 11.7 runs per game
Fieldin Culbreth: 10-3 (.769), 8.8 runs per game
Ted Barrett: 12-4 (.750), 10.1 runs per game
Bill Miller: 12-4 (.750), 9.3 runs per game

TOP FIVE ROAD UMPIRES

Adam Hamari: 11-2 (.846), 9.0 runs per game
Tom Hallion: 10-3 (.769), 7.9 runs per game
Jim Reynolds: 10-3 (.769), 9.1 runs per game
Ryan Blakney: 10-4 (.714), 9.1 runs per game
Andy Fletcher: 9-5 (.642), 9.1 runs per game
 

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