Back after a break

Search

New member
Joined
Oct 5, 2015
Messages
784
Tokens
After a break and bad beats I am back. I will try to keep my plays limited to a couple a day at the very max. New link for plays just incase I do not make it on here from time to time.

https://tipstrr.com/portfolio/majorktips

Two plays in Sweden today:
Djugardens over 2.5 -128
In this match we have the case of two teams in desperate need of a win. Coming out the first half of season break both teams are 0-2. I usually stay away from these types of scenarios since they tend to lead to 0-0 or 1-1 draws where both teams are happy with a point but in this case I do not think either defense can stop each other. I'm expecting a 2-1 or 2-2 type of game and expect Dju to come out firing on all cyclinders. the 1st half over 1 also looks enticing. BOL

Eslfburg ML -127
Liking the home team advantage in this game. Elfs have not lost at home since losing to Malmo back in April and Oster have not won on the road in last 5 tries. If history can help us predict this game I like our chances with home win.
 

Been Around
Joined
Oct 28, 2010
Messages
1,384
Tokens
Nice way to come back with 2 easy winner. Good work.
 

New member
Joined
Oct 5, 2015
Messages
784
Tokens
Thanks jles! I will try to add 1-2 sentence write ups for each pick. I would like to say I have learned a lot about soccer wagers since I started tracking all soccer plays. I just hope that this new disciplined approach pays off in the long run.
 

New member
Joined
Oct 5, 2015
Messages
784
Tokens
decided to stick to 3 plays today. almost added Everton and Werder Bremen Over 3 in friendly action but stayed away.

FC Shakhtar Donetsk vs BSC Young Boys (Over2.5 -156)

of all the games in CL today this one stuck out the most to me. Shak playing at home VS as Swedish young Boys which is known to concede plenty of goals. I expect this game to be rather entertaining with ton of goals. My only concern is the 1st leg of 2 leg playoff can start of slow at times but shak playing at home should put the pressure on early. An earl 2-0 start would force YB to get one away goal and take this playoff home. Lets hope for an OVER, OVER OVER game!

Ajax vs PAOK Saloniki (U2.5 -143)

Both teams coming off long break with a few easy Friendlies between them. A couple of Midfielders are also missing for AJAX today so I expect a slower start than usual while players attempt to get. This looks like a 1-0 or 1-1 type of game.

[h=2]Villarreal vs Sporting CP (-.25 -133)[/h]Loving this friendly match up today. Sporting has been getting killed in friendlies and playing this one away at villa will not help. Villa should win easy but will take -.25 as insurance on 1-1 type of game.
 

New member
Joined
Oct 5, 2015
Messages
784
Tokens
5 plays today. which is very high for my new strategy. so if its to much for you just stick to the first 3.

Fenerbahçe vs Monaco ( Over 2 -161)
Monaco has had 7-8 club friendlies over the course of the past month compared to Feners 4. Fener have a ton of missing players including Van Pierse and no longer have Nani. I was actually leaning Monaco PK and may add to that play later but I think with the absence of experienced players for Fener and the amount of practice Monaco has had there may be some goals scored here.

Rosenborg vs APOEL Nicosia (ML -143)
Not much on this one other than Rosenborg at home can be awesome show to watch. I expect them to score atleast 2 today and come away with the win.

Real Madrid vs Paris Saint-Germain FC (PSG PK -145)
I like the way PSG performed with their first ICC game and expect more out of them with this game. I have not heard much from the RM camp and not sure if Bale or Renaldo will be suited with this evenings game. Good to watch for lines up in the one. If both suit up I recommend ignoring this play.

FC Bayern München vs AC Milan (ML -160)

Not much to this one. Bayern > AC Milan


Chelsea vs Liverpool (Liverpool +.25 -133)
I think Liverpool win straight up here but since this is a friendly I like taking the team that's has had more than two months with their current coach. I will take Chelsea time to get accustomed to Contes new style and approach.
 

New member
Joined
Oct 5, 2015
Messages
784
Tokens
4 plays today.. I didn't have time for write ups since I'm swamped at work so please research if you tail or do the extra work to understand the match ups.

AZ vs PAS Giannina (O2.5 -149)* 2 unit play
THis is my Favorite play today and I have been eyeing this game all week. AZ has been playing lights out offense during friendly action and I do not expect them to stop today. Over 2.5 seems like a gift but you never know with 1st leg sometimes. GL

Hertha BSC vs Brøndby (O2.25 -141)

IFK Göteborg vs HJK (O2.5 -104)

KAA Gent vs Viitorul Constanta (-1.25 -109)
 

New member
Joined
Oct 5, 2015
Messages
784
Tokens
YR KV Mechelen vs Club Brugge KV (CB ML -125)

Club Brugge (CB) has owned mechelen recently with wins in the last 3 games. In each of the past 3 games CB has scored 3 ore more goals. I expect CB to extend their winning streak against Mechelen. The host will fight hard and BTTS and Over 2.5 also look enticing. GL


Sarpsborg 08 vs Start (BTTS -116)
Initially I loved the over 3 in the game but to be honest I'm not sure what to expect. Sarpsborg are huge favorites here but I do not expect them to walk over Start. I think we get a closer game than expected today so I will stick with the BTTS.


Viborg vs Esbjerg (O2.25 -119)
Both teams in desperate need of a win and starting the season 0-2. Vborg has some injured players expected back in the line up today that should cause some issues for esberg but regardless I expect both teams to attack and attempt to get their first win. recommending the O2.25 just incase we get a 1-1 and both teams get happy with a point. However 2-2 would be a lot better :)
 

New member
Joined
Oct 5, 2015
Messages
784
Tokens
Week 1 recap with new formula:ROI: 24.08%
Profit: 6.4units ( each play risk 1 unit avg)
Tips: 24
Win: 63%
Average Odds: -114
 

New member
Joined
Oct 5, 2015
Messages
784
Tokens
Vålerenga vs Molde (O2.5 -135)Today we have relegation team in Valenrenga that scored 4 last week and a middle tier Molde that has not won in the last 4-5 games. With that said, I expect desperation mode for both squads. Molde will want to score a win to knock out the funk they are in and Valenrenga wants to relegation zone they are currently in. Hoping for open game with goals in this one as both teams need this win badly.

Krasnodar vs Tomsk (U2.75 -112)Krasnodar are clear favorites in this one as they play newly promoted Tomsk team. However Krasnodar just played Europa game last Thursday and won 3-0 and have 2nd leg this Thursday. I expect them to try to get an early goal and coast the rest of the game.

Once Caldas vs Fortaleza FC (O2.25 -116)I do not think I have ever seen Once Caldas as big Favs as today. Playing at home helps but they usually concede 1 goal. Again, two badly shaped teams but I expect Caldas to pull it off with 2-1 type of win.
[SUB][SUP]
[/SUP][/SUB]
 

Member
Joined
Nov 9, 2010
Messages
1,873
Tokens
I was leaning Molde and Over today and then saw your posted plays and stuck with over only. Thanks!!!
 

New member
Joined
Oct 5, 2015
Messages
784
Tokens
I was leaning Molde and Over today and then saw your posted plays and stuck with over only. Thanks!!!
NP, Molde are in bad shape and spiraling out of control at the moment. Truth be told I expected them to score in this game but luckily we got all three from Valerenga. BOL to you this week!
 

New member
Joined
Oct 5, 2015
Messages
784
Tokens
I have a couple games today that have two plays. If I had to choose I would play the O/U play on both rather than the points. But I am personally both since I like both. I hope it doesn't bite me in the but since I like to keep daily plays to a minimum of 3-5 max. GL

FK Karabakh vs FC Viktoria Plzen (
U2.25 -141)
Today we have two teams that play solid defense in their respective leagues and do not concede many goals. The first leg of this match up was a good example with 0-0 score. I expect more of the same with todays match. This could be a very tight match for the 1st 45 minutes before it opens up in the 2h. I am expecting a 0-0 or 1-0 game. at the worst it will be 1-1 or 2-0. either if one team scores early you better expect that scoring team to drop 10 back and just play defense.

FK Karabakh vs FC Viktoria Plzen ( Karabakh+.25 -141)I am adding another unit to this game with the home team dog at .25... I am not sure I should call them dog here since they are evenly matched but home field advantage is key for CL and Europa and will gladly take the odds given for +.25.

Dundalk vs Bate Borisov (U2.25 -132)
Bate have a good history of making it to the CL league and I expect them to do the same today. They currently have a 1-0 home goal lead and simply need to sit back and play defense today. A defense that has done this many times before. In fact last year playing the same team with a 1 goal lead they finished 0-0 for the 2nd leg. My only concern is that Dundalk try to hard to attack and bate punishes them badly with counters. lets hope for another 0-0 or 1-0 and worst 1-1 game.

Crvena Zvezda vs Ludogorets (O2.5 -120)In this 2nd leg we have Ludogrets team that makes it to the CL qualifying almost every year from Bulgaria vs the Czech champs. Both teams are known to score plenty of goals and today I expect a little of the same from the first game of 2-2.. Ludogrets cleary are behind by conceding 2 goals so they will need to score to make it to 2nd round the question is can they stop Crvena? I highly doubt they will and expect 2-1 or another 2-2 type of game.

Crvena Zvezda vs Ludogorets ( Ludo +.25 -133)
Again posting 2 bets with same game however instead of taking the home team I am taking points with away team. I just think Ludogorets squad may concede a goal or two but do not see them losing unless they get red or penalty kick against them. We all know how those situations usually favor home team. BOL
 

New member
Joined
Oct 5, 2015
Messages
784
Tokens
Also, I see a lot of value in Brazil serie B later today.. I may post 1-2 more if all goes well this morning.. Again, will post more only if I am up.. otherwise. on to the next day.. a Unit a day keeps the bookie away.
 

New member
Joined
Oct 5, 2015
Messages
784
Tokens
Dundalk 90th minute goal rubbed me the wrong way and messed up the no loss day.. So I will stay away from brasil serie B tonight..
 

New member
Joined
Oct 5, 2015
Messages
784
Tokens
FC Slovan Liberec vs FC Admira Wacker Modling (BTTS -125)
I was going back and forth between Over 2.25 and BTTS with this game but landed with BTTS. I think this will be very similar to first leg and expect Admira to give it everything the have for the 1st 30 mins or so. However, I do expect the home team to counter and take advantage of any mistakes Admira make. 2-1 or 1-1 type of game here.

Legia Warszawa vs AS Trencin (ML -137)
Warszawa have the lead with 1-0 win in the first game and I expect them to add to that lead playing at home. No chance Legia lose today. and will take them at home vs most 2nd tier teams such as trencin.

Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Olympiakos (-.25 -125)
Tough game here but I think there is value with -.25 its bit price than the ML but will protect you from a 0-0 type of game with half loss.. Its not that I am not confident in Olympiakos its just that away wins can be tough in CL. 1-0 or 2-0 would be wonderful today!

Double PARLAY: FC København ML and Sport Recife ML (-106)
Today I am posting my first Parlay with new profile. I will try to stay away from parlays unless I see good value.. Trust me this hard for me since I LOVE parlays. But for the sake of this account I must be disciplined not post many of them. Back to the game we have two teams flying high! Recife are on a 3 game tear and Fc Kob have not lost since new season started in Denmark or qualifers. Overall with both their MLs being way to pricey I see value on both teams to win in a parlay with about 1-1 odds. BOL
 

New member
Joined
Oct 5, 2015
Messages
784
Tokens
Pretty awful day yesterday. And even Sport Recife drew at home against the worst team in in Serie A... These days happen that's why I play 1 unit plays.. There will be hot streaks and there will be cold streaks.. I hope to be on the winning side more often but this is not a one way ticket up game. There will always be dips. I say this same information on my intro to this soccer portfolio. https://tipstrr.com/tipster/majorktips ... With that said, I will not discuss this topic again but continue to grind. Todays plays will be posted shortly.
 

New member
Joined
Oct 5, 2015
Messages
784
Tokens
HJK vs IFK Goteborg (_O2.5 -110)
IFK Goteborg come into this game down 1 goal and need at least 2 goals to get a head. However, I do not think it will come easy playing away at HJK. I actually had the over in the 1st game and I am following up with the same play today. I also thought Goteborg were a more superior team so to my surprise they lost at home. I expect them to come out today firing on all cylinders in what should be an entertaining game.

FC Midtjylland vs Videoton FC (O2.25 -145_)
FC Midtjylland took this first game 1-0 and expect more of the same today but I would not be surprised with a higher scoring affair. Playing at home I see at least 2 goals on the table from Midtjylland but I would not be surprised with an away goal from the visitors.



PAS Giannina vs AZ (_ML -133)

I previously had AZ over in the 1st game but it was clear that AZ were content with 1 goal lead in 2h of the 1st leg. Today will be a different story playing away where AZ have had complications. I expect them to win a tight game but they will not have a clean sheet. I am also favoring the over for this game.

PAS Giannina vs AZ (O2.25 -147_)
as stated with previous post I in belief that the Netherlands team is far more superior than the Greece squad but know the difficulties teams have playing away. I am expect scoring in this game as Giannina need at least one goal which should lead to some great counter attacks for AZ Alkmaar.
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,106,899
Messages
13,439,372
Members
99,340
Latest member
fulfillworks
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com