Mo's August 1st

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Terrible past 3 days. I'm only going with one play tomorrow and try to work out of this slump. Royals/Rays over 7. Seems I do better when I do a quick write up on a game. Current Tampa hitters are batting .325 vs Duffy with an obp of .417 and 8 runs in 40 at bats. Current KC hitters are batting .408 vs Archer with an obp of ..449 and 17 runs in 71 at bats. 8 out of the last 10 recent games have gone over 7 runs. Rays score an average of 5.15 rpg vs lefty pitchers.

August 1st


Royals/Rays over 7 -120 2.4/2 POD


2016 2nd Half POD Sides: 8-4 +6.90 units
2016 2nd Half POD Totals: 2-1 +3.00 units
2016 2nd Half Sides: 27-189+9.2 units
2016 2nd Half Totals: 16-14 -1.55 units
2016 2nd Half TTs: 3-5 -2.80 units
2016 2nd Half Cumulative: 56-43 +14.75 units

2016 1st Half Cumulative: 268-220 +40.44 units

Good luck with all of your plays fellow Rxs.

 

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Mo........BOL with all your action today and a great start for Aug.............indy
 
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Ok, I lied. Adding another play today.

August 1st

Royals/Rays over 7 -120 2.4/2 POD
Twins/Indians over 8 -110 1.1/1

Berrios has been a nice triple-A pitcher, but has gotten bombed when called up to the bigs. Now he's got to face the hot Tribe. I hope he's on a long leash to try to eat up some innings. The Indians should be able to get to him. On the other side, I do love the Indians pitchers, and I think they have what it takes to compete in the playoffs. But I look for certain matchups, and this is one of them. Current Twin hitters are batting .291 vs Salazar, with a .390 obp, and scoring 8 runs in 86 at bats, which comes to about 3 rpg. Along with some other stats, I like this game to go over.
 
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Thanks Eagle. And just another note on this Indians game. I was tempted to take the Indians RL, but the Twins successful hitting against Salazar scared me off. The only thing stopping me from making the over 8 play a POD is the 7 mph straight to home plate.
 
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Thanks BM. Sally got hit hard. Was afraid of that. Easy over.

Adding another live:

August 1st

Royals/Rays over 7 -120 2.4/2 POD
Twins/Indians over 8 -110 1.1/1
Astros -110 1.65/1.5 LIVE
 

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Great call on the over.....i thought i had a solid call with the rl.....glad im not a big juice player.... bol rest of ur card
 
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Yeah, bad call on the over in the Rays game. This is a learning process for me, being this is my 1st season wagering on the bats. I don't learn something on every play, but I learned something on this one. Don't count on a team like the Rays to score runs.

I am happy about my read on the Indians game though. Hopefully the Astros hold on to make it a much needed profitable evening.
 

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Yeah, bad call on the over in the Rays game. This is a learning process for me, being this is my 1st season wagering on the bats. I don't learn something on every play, but I learned something on this one. Don't count on a team like the Rays to score runs.

I am happy about my read on the Indians game though. Hopefully the Astros hold on to make it a much needed profitable evening.

Mo....always looking in your thread for your leans....I remember you saying this a few weeks ago.

Just a random thought on playing unders and why they are not popular plays. When you look at averages, a team's total offense/defense runs per game may be 9.5. So it's easy to figure that their games should reach 9 many times. But if you look at how those numbers are distributed, most of their games go under 9. It's just those few games that there are many runs scored that skew that average and fake us into believing that overs are the way to go. On top of that, we like home runs and doubles in the gap, and strings of base hits. So I think we tend to prefer to look for high potency offenses vs weak pitching. But that's only one angle. If I can go 2-1 or better finding unders, I'm all for it.

Carry on.

Noticed your leaning again to the overs when you were getting comfy with the unders. I too have had the same problem over the years...cashing in on some unders then leading back to the overs with epic fail!
 
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August 1st

Royals/Rays over 7 -120 2.4/2 POD
Twins/Indians over 8 -110 1.1/1
Astros -110 1.65/1.5 LIVE
Brewers +117 1/117 LIVE
 

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Ok, I lied. Adding another play today.

August 1st

Royals/Rays over 7 -120 2.4/2 POD
Twins/Indians over 8 -110 1.1/1

Berrios has been a nice triple-A pitcher, but has gotten bombed when called up to the bigs. Now he's got to face the hot Tribe. I hope he's on a long leash to try to eat up some innings. The Indians should be able to get to him. On the other side, I do love the Indians pitchers, and I think they have what it takes to compete in the playoffs. But I look for certain matchups, and this is one of them. Current Twin hitters are batting .291 vs Salazar, with a .390 obp, and scoring 8 runs in 86 at bats, which comes to about 3 rpg. Along with some other stats, I like this game to go over.


Thank you for the insight on the Minnesota bats vs Salazar. This was solid capping to look into the way you did. The Rays IMO are Jekell and Hyde as I live in the area and no way in hell can I figure out this team.
 
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Wow. Thanks Shale. Someone actually reads my jibberish. I am still very cognizant on the value of unders. I put a lot of time and thought (probably too much) into this gambling thing. But I am trying very hard to get good enough at this to at least not have to work overtime at work. Sooo...

I did overlook some important factors why this KC/TB game wouldn't go over. Like I said, it's a learning process.

Thanks for the input, it's always welcome.
 

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Wow. Thanks Shale. Someone actually reads my jibberish. I am still very cognizant on the value of unders. I put a lot of time and thought (probably too much) into this gambling thing. But I am trying very hard to get good enough at this to at least not have to work overtime at work. Sooo...

I did overlook some important factors why this KC/TB game wouldn't go over. Like I said, it's a learning process.

Thanks for the input, it's always welcome.

Mo, no problem. I always love looking in your threads because of the fact that you start with a few plays the day before. It is much easy to remember and start looking at the reasoning for your plays, when in fact you have made them a good 20 hours and not 2 hours before the game. I think your heading in the right direction with your little insights that you offer to make that logical selection.

You bring a lot of that insight to the table with your rational reasons.
 

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