Another area I've had good success with 2 teamers is when hedging or to set up a hedge opportunity.
Let's say I feel strongly about Team A +2.5, and in the night game Team B is -8 and I have no opinion on that game
I will play Team A moneyline but also tease team A +8.5 with Team B -2
If team A wins outright I win my ML and am sitting on a ticket I can hedge (going against team B on the + ML) or try to middle (going against team B with the points)
Second scenario, let's say I feel strongly about Team A -2.5 and Team B is in the night game -8
I can bet team A -2.5, and tease against team A at +8.5 with team B -2.
Provides insurance on my team A bet if it loses, but ideally I would win my Team A bet AND be going into the night game with a nice hedge/middle opp.
Let's say I feel strongly about Team A +2.5, and in the night game Team B is -8 and I have no opinion on that game
I will play Team A moneyline but also tease team A +8.5 with Team B -2
If team A wins outright I win my ML and am sitting on a ticket I can hedge (going against team B on the + ML) or try to middle (going against team B with the points)
Second scenario, let's say I feel strongly about Team A -2.5 and Team B is in the night game -8
I can bet team A -2.5, and tease against team A at +8.5 with team B -2.
Provides insurance on my team A bet if it loses, but ideally I would win my Team A bet AND be going into the night game with a nice hedge/middle opp.
I mean, it's not rocket science, obviously you have a better chance of winning any one individual side if you have those extra points in your favor. That's the allure.
You need to hit 52.4% of your bets to beat -110 vig. If you feel your chance of winning that one straight bet is > 52.4% you would view it as a +ev play.
With one individual teaser, each of the two sides needs to hit 72.4% to make it +ev versus the -110.
Teaser bettors feel that both bets in their teaser, given the extra 6 points, has a >72.4% chance of winning. More specifically, that the edge above and beyond the 72.4% mark is greater than the combined edge over the 52.4% mark of betting each individually.
I'll tell you what, I'll make you a friendly wager. Season long NFL, including playoffs (except super bowl).
I bet that I can pick one teaser per week, and betting flat units, show a profit by years end. We can keep one thread here where I will post each one, and we can keep the record.
I don't show a profit, you win. I do, I win.
Whaddya say?
I bet that I can pick one teaser per week, and betting flat units, show a profit by years end. We can keep one thread here where I will post each one, and we can keep the record.
I don't show a profit, you win. I do, I win.
Whaddya say?
Harry and others had some great advice above, of how teasers can be good pays. Some more. Strictly NFL. Don't tease College. I have some of my own teaser rules, which i don't violate, that adds further discipline. I don't tease road teams. Let downs and blow outs are more likely to happen to road teams. Find places with great teaser odds, like BetMania, Payoffs Plus, 5 Dimes. And find places that allow open teasers. The latter 2 do both. 5 Dimes shades their numbers against teaser players, but you can use that to your advantage with open teasers and hedging against a teaser somewhere else.
But if you feel teasers are not for you, don't play them.
But if you feel teasers are not for you, don't play them.
