17-8 +8050 Monday 8/8 Plays

alexnguyen · Aug 8, 2016

Went 2-1 on Sunday picking up 975. One play so far for Monday:

Minnesota Twins +125
$1000/1250

The Astros and Twinks are heading in opposite directions right now and I have to back Twins at home with + money. Plouffe is back for Minnesota which should help them. Houston 3-10 in their last 13 games averaging 2.4 runs a game. Duffy is bad but Houston should make him look like a Cy Young candidate tomorrow evening.

BOL!

MoMoneyNoProblem · Aug 8, 2016

Good luck alex. I'm on the other side, but with the way I've been going, I wouldn't be surprised if I'm wrong.

alexnguyen · Aug 8, 2016

That's unfortunate Mo as I've hit a couple plays tailing you before you went on that cold run. I know you're gonna heat up again any day now and I love your Cody Reed fade lol.

varkeyboy · Aug 8, 2016

Let the good times roll!

rayleigh · Aug 8, 2016

alexnguyen said:
Went 2-1 on Sunday picking up 975. One play so far for Monday:

Minnesota Twins +125
$1000/1250

The Astros and Twinks are heading in opposite directions right now and I have to back Twins at home with + money. Plouffe is back for Minnesota which should help them. Houston 3-10 in their last 13 games averaging 2.4 runs a game. Duffy is bad but Houston should make him look like a Cy Young candidate tomorrow evening.

BOL!

Sorry for the noob question but what does the $1000/1250 mean? And what does the +8050 on the thread title mean?

cgarn · Aug 8, 2016

rayleigh said:
Sorry for the noob question but what does the $1000/1250 mean? And what does the +8050 on the thread title mean?

Bet $1,000 to win $1,250.

+8,050 is how he is doing so far since posting on RX. He is currently in the black for $8,050 and I expect him to go higher.

alexnguyen · Aug 8, 2016

cgarn said:
Bet $1,000 to win $1,250.

+8,050 is how he is doing so far since posting on RX. He is currently in the black for $8,050 and I expect him to go higher.

Thanks for the clarification and support cgarn. I know some people on the forum bet smaller and some bet bigger but the total amount helps me track the ROI. Some of these guys own a 40-15 record but are up pocket change because they constantly take -200 and -300 favorites that occasionally lose. If you're a units type of bettor I only bet 500 and 1000 so you can equate that to 1 and 2 units.

powerz · Aug 8, 2016

I took the twins +140 for the series after looking at the 1st 3 games and then saw it was a four game series :hammerit

Gl with you play - I like it! go twins

varkeyboy · Aug 8, 2016

powerz said:
I took the twins +140 for the series after looking at the 1st 3 games and then saw it was a four game series :hammerit

Gl with you play - I like it! go twins

In a situation like this, do u have to win first 2/3 or if you split 2/2.....does the wager just cancel out?

powerz · Aug 8, 2016

varkeyboy said:
In a situation like this, do u have to win first 2/3 or if you split 2/2.....does the wager just cancel out?

I think they would have to go 3-1 to win the series bet I let you know after Thursday. face)(*^%

Lvtexholdm · Aug 8, 2016

alexnguyen said:
Went 2-1 on Sunday picking up 975. One play so far for Monday:

Minnesota Twins +125
$1000/1250

The Astros and Twinks are heading in opposite directions right now and I have to back Twins at home with + money. Plouffe is back for Minnesota which should help them. Houston 3-10 in their last 13 games averaging 2.4 runs a game. Duffy is bad but Houston should make him look like a Cy Young candidate tomorrow evening.

BOL!

IMO, this is another good pick! Yesterday, I saw a lot of posters taking SF, while you had Nats. Today is the same, I see posters favoring Stros. Once again, appreciate all that you do & I will be on your tail with this live dawg. BOL

alexnguyen · Aug 8, 2016

Lvtexholdm said:
IMO, this is another good pick! Yesterday, I saw a lot of posters taking SF, while you had Nats. Today is the same, I see posters favoring Stros. Once again, appreciate all that you do & I will be on your tail with this live dawg. BOL

Thanks LV but keep in mind it doesn't always work out that way. There are times when a play looks super obvious and with 99% of the public on it you'd think it was a "Vegas Trap" but it ends up hitting anyway. That's why I stopped caring about what everyone else is on. I just look for teams and totals I think will hit and take the ones with good value. Yesterday I picked the Nats at +105 and when the lineups came out Nats were pushed to +120 because Harper was out. A lot of people picked the Giants as a result but I don't believe one hitter makes that big of a difference. You have 9 batters in a rotation and on average each batter hits 30% of the time. So statistically speaking Harper only made a 2.7% difference to me. Yes he's not the average batter since he hits HRs and for extra bases (and I forgot to mention in the ridiculous amount of walks he draws) but at the end of the day he's one batter and every guy in the majors knows how to swing a bat.

For today's game I put my pick out before seeing anyone else on Houston and I didn't pick the Twins because it was the unpopular pick. I picked them because they've been playing very well as of late and to go into Cleveland and sweep them averaging DD runs is a pretty big deal. Then you have Houston which is struggling to put runs up right now. McHugh is hittable and as terrible as Duffy has been I just don't trust the Houston bats. So win or lose, I'm picking this game based on what I think will happen and not what other people are taking.

thenatti · Aug 8, 2016

On the twinkies tonight with you....

and for the record, twins didnt sweep cleveland, but they did take 3 outa 4.

Best of luck!

varkeyboy · Aug 8, 2016

alexnguyen said:
Thanks LV but keep in mind it doesn't always work out that way. There are times when a play looks super obvious and with 99% of the public on it you'd think it was a "Vegas Trap" but it ends up hitting anyway. That's why I stopped caring about what everyone else is on. I just look for teams and totals I think will hit and take the ones with good value. Yesterday I picked the Nats at +105 and when the lineups came out Nats were pushed to +120 because Harper was out. A lot of people picked the Giants as a result but I don't believe one hitter makes that big of a difference. You have 9 batters in a rotation and on average each batter hits 30% of the time. So statistically speaking Harper only made a 2.7% difference to me. Yes he's not the average batter since he hits HRs and for extra bases (and I forgot to mention in the ridiculous amount of walks he draws) but at the end of the day he's one batter and every guy in the majors knows how to swing a bat.

For today's game I put my pick out before seeing anyone else on Houston and I didn't pick the Twins because it was the unpopular pick. I picked them because they've been playing very well as of late and to go into Cleveland and sweep them averaging DD runs is a pretty big deal. Then you have Houston which is struggling to put runs up right now. McHugh is hittable and as terrible as Duffy has been I just don't trust the Houston bats. So win or lose, I'm picking this game based on what I think will happen and not what other people are taking.

Love the way you cap......spot on with your "betting mind."

BigCat · Aug 8, 2016

varkeyboy said:
In a situation like this, do u have to win first 2/3 or if you split 2/2.....does the wager just cancel out?

I believe it's the 1st 3 games

alexnguyen · Aug 8, 2016

It's a pretty big deal when you have BigCat up in your thread. Thanks for stopping by BC, I have a ton of respect for you, especially in college bball and football. Made some decent coin a few years back when you had that Pennywise like season in CBB! Thanks!

Lvtexholdm · Aug 8, 2016

I know wat you're referring to regarding other post they maybe the opposite of yours. One who tails needs to also do their own capping & if matches Alex Nguyen, then it's a play. BOL my friend!

tnvolfan · Aug 8, 2016

alexnguyen said:
It's a pretty big deal when you have BigCat up in your thread. Thanks for stopping by BC, I have a ton of respect for you, especially in college bball and football. Made some decent coin a few years back when you had that Pennywise like season in CBB! Thanks!

Nice job this year Alex & good luck tonight

So true BigCat one of the best around & a class act....he's solid year in year out

varkeyboy · Aug 8, 2016

alexnguyen said:
It's a pretty big deal when you have BigCat up in your thread. Thanks for stopping by BC, I have a ton of respect for you, especially in college bball and football. Made some decent coin a few years back when you had that Pennywise like season in CBB! Thanks!

U can say that again! See ya soon in those forums BC!!! =) Hope all is well brotha.

cgarn · Aug 8, 2016

alexnguyen said:
Thanks for the clarification and support cgarn. I know some people on the forum bet smaller and some bet bigger but the total amount helps me track the ROI. Some of these guys own a 40-15 record but are up pocket change because they constantly take -200 and -300 favorites that occasionally lose. If you're a units type of bettor I only bet 500 and 1000 so you can equate that to 1 and 2 units.

Just want to help so you can keep your mind on your solid capping

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