Well, that didn't last long. After reading King's post today, I realized I was doing the same thing as him. Trying to get through the card too quickly. As some of you know, I have been trying to get most of my picks in the day before. I think a better approach for me is to look at the card the night before, sleep on it. Then go about the next day thinking about what I saw and reason things out slowly. So that's what I did today. I came up with 2 plays, but one was already posted by the best capper here, so don't want to look like a copy cat. Here's the other.
Astros vs Twins
I really like the Twins to win this game. They've been swinging the bat pretty darn good lately. They have Santiago on the hill tonight, and I expect him to give a good performance vs the anemic Astro line up. On top of that, current Astro hitters are batting .189 vs Santiago, with only 5 runs scored in 111 plate appearances. Add to that, Fiers era on the road is 5.83 this year. The problem with taking the Twins to win is that Fiers has had pretty good pitching against the current Twin batters. 5 runs in 78 plate appearances, .242 batting average.
So what's the play?
Astros TT under 4.5 -110 1.1/1
For the reasons above, and Astros have gone over 4 runs only 6 times in the past 21 games. This play may not win, but I believe it's the right play.
2016 2nd Half POD Sides: 10-7 +4.34 units
2016 2nd Half POD Totals: 2-2 +0.60 units
2016 2nd Half Sides: 32-29 +4.78 units
2016 2nd Half Totals: 23-20 -1.60 units2016 2nd Half TTs: 4-7 -4.40 units
2016 2nd Half Cumulative: 71-65 +3.72 units
2016 1st Half Cumulative: 268-220 +40.44 units
Astros vs Twins
I really like the Twins to win this game. They've been swinging the bat pretty darn good lately. They have Santiago on the hill tonight, and I expect him to give a good performance vs the anemic Astro line up. On top of that, current Astro hitters are batting .189 vs Santiago, with only 5 runs scored in 111 plate appearances. Add to that, Fiers era on the road is 5.83 this year. The problem with taking the Twins to win is that Fiers has had pretty good pitching against the current Twin batters. 5 runs in 78 plate appearances, .242 batting average.
So what's the play?
Astros TT under 4.5 -110 1.1/1
For the reasons above, and Astros have gone over 4 runs only 6 times in the past 21 games. This play may not win, but I believe it's the right play.
2016 2nd Half POD Sides: 10-7 +4.34 units
2016 2nd Half POD Totals: 2-2 +0.60 units
2016 2nd Half Sides: 32-29 +4.78 units
2016 2nd Half Totals: 23-20 -1.60 units2016 2nd Half TTs: 4-7 -4.40 units
2016 2nd Half Cumulative: 71-65 +3.72 units
2016 1st Half Cumulative: 268-220 +40.44 units
