KingEleven's Play of The Day 8/15

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Season to date:
36-29 +859

(toilet picks = 4-3 +246)

So far using PW's method of capping, which is to look at games and create own line THEN see what the books have the line at and see where they made a mistake, the record is 4-3 +246....so I sat on the toilet again this morning and see a few mistakes "they" made. The biggest mistake? Seattle of course. I had this game at -170 Seattle and they gave it to me at -132. Thank you.

Seattle -132

Good Luck

:bowl::bowl::bowl:
 

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GL King! This is my first year really getting into sabermetrics with capping, and for some reason, sabermetricians and the oddsmakers seem to respect Ricky Nolasco. The lines on his games always seem low at open, then the juice will increase throughout the day, with a late surge on Nolasco, taking a dime off or so and bringing it close to the opener. Same kind of thing has happened with some of Cody Reeds lines, and like with Cody Reed, the end results really haven't been there. Other than some walks, King Felix has looked pretty good since his return. I like it.
 

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GL King! This is my first year really getting into sabermetrics with capping, and for some reason, sabermetricians and the oddsmakers seem to respect Ricky Nolasco. The lines on his games always seem low at open, then the juice will increase throughout the day, with a late surge on Nolasco, taking a dime off or so and bringing it close to the opener. Same kind of thing has happened with some of Cody Reeds lines, and like with Cody Reed, the end results really haven't been there. Other than some walks, King Felix has looked pretty good since his return. I like it.
I will keep my eye on this Chugs, looks about the same right now.
 

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May 13, 2016
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GL King! This is my first year really getting into sabermetrics with capping, and for some reason, sabermetricians and the oddsmakers seem to respect Ricky Nolasco. The lines on his games always seem low at open, then the juice will increase throughout the day, with a late surge on Nolasco, taking a dime off or so and bringing it close to the opener. Same kind of thing has happened with some of Cody Reeds lines, and like with Cody Reed, the end results really haven't been there. Other than some walks, King Felix has looked pretty good since his return. I like it.

haven't seen much movement today
 

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I think you got the edge here. A lot of angles here that that favor Seattle. I am going to take your lead and follow. Im going in for 5.
Good luck King
 

New member
Joined
May 13, 2016
Messages
10,462
Tokens
Season to date:
36-29 +859

(toilet picks = 4-3 +246)

So far using PW's method of capping, which is to look at games and create own line THEN see what the books have the line at and see where they made a mistake, the record is 4-3 +246....so I sat on the toilet again this morning and see a few mistakes "they" made. The biggest mistake? Seattle of course. I had this game at -170 Seattle and they gave it to me at -132. Thank you.

Seattle -132

Good Luck

:bowl::bowl::bowl:

Win.
37-29 +959
(toilet 5-3 +346)
 

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