I have seen 3 solid cappers (2 of them on this site) leaning towards the Red ML tonight against the Fish. I watched the over night line and it was Cin ML +161 and RL +1.5 -110. Just moments ago I checked the lines again and it is Cin ML +174 and RL +1.5 -125. I understand Cin getting bigger as a dog, JF pitching for the Fish and perhaps public backing Miami. If you like Miami you would have been wise to play the overnight line. If you like Cin then wait for the dog to get even bigger by game time.
What intrigues me is that run line spike for Cin from -110 to -125 despite them moving from +161 to +174 on the ML. Would you not expect the run line to go to +105 or +110 with the way the ML moved? Books are asking you to lay 25 cents on the RL with Cin and hanging plus money with JF on the RL despite the ML moving towards Miami? Doesn't this just smell of a Fish 1 run win to screw all Miami RL plays and screw all ML dog players leaning towards Cin? Or am I just over thinking this too much? Would love to hear some thoughts on this game? By the way, lines I have quoted are from my local guy.
Good luck fellas!
What intrigues me is that run line spike for Cin from -110 to -125 despite them moving from +161 to +174 on the ML. Would you not expect the run line to go to +105 or +110 with the way the ML moved? Books are asking you to lay 25 cents on the RL with Cin and hanging plus money with JF on the RL despite the ML moving towards Miami? Doesn't this just smell of a Fish 1 run win to screw all Miami RL plays and screw all ML dog players leaning towards Cin? Or am I just over thinking this too much? Would love to hear some thoughts on this game? By the way, lines I have quoted are from my local guy.
Good luck fellas!
