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Thread: On The Hop's 2016 NCAA Football

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  1. #51  
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    First really bad week in awhile. Hopefully this week will be better.

    11/17/2016 (49-43-5, +2.21)

    Houston Cougars +14.5 (-110), 1 unit
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  2. #52  
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    11/19/2016 (50-43-4, +3.21)

    Nebraska Cornhuskers -12.5 (-110), 1 unit:
    This play is made on the assumption that Hills is either hurt or not 100 percent. I'm expecting max effort from the Huskers on Armstrong's Senior Day and I can't see any way he doesn't play. If either of the aforementioned things are not correct I may buy out of this play in the morning.

    Utah Utes -14 (-110), 2 units:
    I've given up on Oregon and I think they've given up as well. They have no fight left in them and the last team you want to play in that circumstance is Utah. Utah is going to run the ball at will and this one should get ugly quickly. With two TD's the potential for the backdoor is always there but I think the Ducks will roll over and quit once they get down.

    San Diego State -10 (-110), 1 unit: The Aztecs should be able to run the ball whenever they want. The Cowboys will have a hard time scoring against a very stingy Aztecs D and they have to be questioning themselves after losing against a dismal UNLV squad last week.

    Indiana Hoosiers +25 (-110), 1 unit: One side of the coin says Michigan is going to be pissed after last week and will want to send a message to the committee. The other side is that they have Ohio State next week, they are playing with a backup QB and really don't have to impress anyone. If Michigan keeps winning they're in the CFP. Expect them to start out slowly with a backup QB and for the Hoosiers defense to keep them in the game. Indiana has been in every game against a tough opponent this year and I think that continues against the Wolverines.

    California Golden Bears +11 (-110), 1 unit: Seems like every week I make this pick and every week I'm wrong. Eventually I have to be right, right? I like getting double digits in a rivalry game with a team that won't stop throwing it until the final gun goes off. Cardinal have been less than dynamic on offense this year so I don't see them being able to take this one out of reach.

    West Virginia Mountaineers +3.5 (-110), 1 unit: Tough to go against the hottest team in CFB not named Alabama. However, a few things have me taking the Mountaineers. First, they're at home where they've played very well. Second, they have the better defense. Third, I really like going against Stoops in big games. Morgantown will be rocking and should help keep this one close all night.

    Oregon State Beavers -5 (-110), 1 unit: There is nothing to like right now about Arizona. Not a ton to like about the Beavers either. Oregon State is however showing signs of life, playing teams close and staying in games longer. Look for the Beavers to run the ball, control the clock and wear down a disinterested Wildcats squad.
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    Thanks and good luck today.....
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  4. #54  
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    ​Vanderbilt Commodores +10 (-110), 1 unit
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    Maryland Terrapins +13 (-110), 1 unit: Armstrong is out. Buying out of Nebraska.
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  6. #56  
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    Northwestern Wildcats -1 (-110), 1 unit: Leidner looks to be out for Minnesota. Small number to lay against a backup QB.
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    Clearly I got bad info on Leidner. I'm sorry if anyone actually reads this and relied on that info. Hopefully NW wins anyway.
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  8. #58  
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    ​Indiana Hoosiers +10 2H (-105), 1/2 unit
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    Clemson Tigers 2H -11.5, 1u
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    Chasing. On tilt.

    Colorado State -.5/USC -7 (+100), 1 unit
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    11/24/2016 (55-51-4, -1.12u)

    Texas A&M Aggies +7 (-110), 1 unit:
    Not sure what the Tigers are playing for. They had to have last week's game and failed...at the one yard line. It's pretty clear that Coach O is not getting the job so I'm not sure what their motivation could be. On the other side, A&M still has an outside shot at the Sugar Bowl and are desperately fighting to keep Sumlin's job. LSU's offense is mediocre at best, and asking them to cover a TD on the road, on a short week is not something I want to be a part of. I'll take the home team and the points in front of a fired up Kyle Field.
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  12. #62  
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    Texas A&M result is still pending.

    11/25/2016 (55-51-4, -1.12u)


    North Carolina State Wolfpack +10 (-110), 1 unit:
    While the records are vastly different, these teams are a lot closer than the records would indicate. Don't forget that NC State was in great position to beat Florida State and Clemson. The way to beat the Wolfpack is to run the ball and I'm not convinced the Tar Heels can do that consistently. Give me double digits in a rivalry game with the Wolfpack trying to get bowl eligible.

    Iowa Hawkeyes -2 (-110), 1 unit:
    If Armstrong plays (and that's a big if) he's not going to be his normal scrambling self. The Hawkeyes have slowly been improving and their defense is still a force. In what should be a very low scoring game I'll take the team that runs it better, plays better defense and is at home.

    Texas Longhorns -3 (-135), 1 unit:
    A few reasons to play the Longhorns. First, it's clear the players really like Coach Strong and want to save his job. Second, if Texas beats Kansas last week, this line is closer to 7 so I think we're looking at an overreaction to an OT loss. Third, TCU is a total mess and their defense has next to no chance of stopping the Longhorn run game.
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    Good luck today...
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    Arkansas Razorbacks -.5/Washington State Cougars +13.5 (-120), 1 unit
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    11/26/2016 (57-54-5, -2.77u)

    Ohio State Buckeyes -6 (-115), 1 unit

    Michigan State Spartans +12 (-110), 1 unit

    Vanderbilt Commodores +7.5 (-110), 1 unit

    Florida State Seminoles -7 (-125), 1 unit
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    South Carolina Gamecocks +25.5 (-110), 1 unit
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    12/2/2016 (59-57-5, -4.12)

    West Virginia Mountaineers -17 (-110), 1u
    Wisconsin Badgers -3 (-105), 2u
    Washington Huskies -.5/Temple Owls +10 (-120), 1u
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  18. #68  
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    This really went south. Time to turn it around in the bowl season. I've already hit a handful of games in case anyone is interested (at one point I knew what I was doing). Those are below. I am going to POST THEM AGAIN on the days the bowl is occurring so I can keep an accurate record. GL to all!!!!

    12/16/2016


    REGULAR SEASON: 60-59-5, -6.32u
    BOWL SEASON: 0-0

    GAMES PLAYED ALREADY:

    Houston Cougars -3 (-110), 1 unit

    Washington State Cougars -7 (-125), 1 unit

    Nebraska Cornhuskers +3 (+100), 1 unit

    South Carolina Gamecocks +10.5 (-110), 1 unit

    UTSA Roadrunners +7.5 (-110), 1 unit


    If you have questions as to why I played those teams (not that anyone is actually reading this garbage) or why I played them early, just ask. I'll try and do write-ups on the days the games are actually being played.
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  19. #69  
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    12/17/2016

    REGULAR SEASON: 60-59-5, -6.32u
    BOWL SEASON: 0-0

    UTSA Roadrunners +7.5 (-110), 1 unit: A few reasons to like the Roadrunners in this virtual road game. First, they have the better defense. Second, they have the more versatile offense. Third, they've won outright a few times as large dogs and hung with Arizona State and Texas A&M on the road. Fourth, how excited can the Lobos be to play a bowl game at home for the second time in a row? UTSA should be able to hang around long to stay within the number.

    Houston Cougars -3 (-110), 1 unit: The Cougars are a much better team than the Aztecs. San Diego State is far too one dimensional on offense and the Houston defense is well set up to stop the run. The big question for Houston has to be motivation. Once they hired Applewhite that concern went away for me. From everything I've read and can tell, the kids love him and will want to win for him. It's not the destination they envisioned at the start of the year but a now healthy Cougars squad will be plenty motivated to get their new coach off on the right foot.
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  20. #70  
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    Thanks and good luck today!!!
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  21. #71  
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    12/19/2016

    REGULAR SEASON: 60-59-5, -6.32u
    BOWL SEASON: 1-1, -.1u

    MIAMI BEACH BOWL- Central Michigan Chippewas +14 (-120), 1 unit:
    Two teams that should be able to go up and down the field all day. Chippewas are an experienced, Senior laden team and I expect their best effort after a disappointing end to the season. They have enough firepower to stay within two TD's even against the excellent Tulsa offense.
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  22. #72  
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    Quote Originally Posted by On The Hop View Post
    12/19/2016

    REGULAR SEASON: 60-59-5, -6.32u
    BOWL SEASON: 1-1, -.1u

    MIAMI BEACH BOWL- Central Michigan Chippewas +14 (-120), 1 unit:
    Two teams that should be able to go up and down the field all day. Chippewas are an experienced, Senior laden team and I expect their best effort after a disappointing end to the season. They have enough firepower to stay within two TD's even against the excellent Tulsa offense.

    Thanks and good luck tonight!!!!
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  23. #73  
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    Barely missed yesterday....so close....lolololololol. Oops.

    12/20/2016

    REGULAR SEASON: 60-59-5, -6.32u
    BOWL SEASON: 1-2, -1.3u

    BOCA RATON BOWL- Memphis Tigers +7 (-115), 2 units:
    Don't see much of a scenario where this game doesn't go up and down the field all night. I'm going with the Tigers for a few reasons. First, while it is not good, they actually have the better defense. Second, Memphis has played a much tougher schedule. Third, I've never been a big Nick Holt fan and now that he is responsible for not just the defense but the whole team I cannot back the Hilltoppers. Finally Memphis comes in with a lot of momentum after a few big wins to end the season.
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  24. #74  
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    12/21/2016

    Regular Season: 60-59-5, -6.32u
    Bowl Season: 1-3, -3.6u

    SAN DIEGO COUNTY CREDIT UNION POINSETTIA BOWL- Wyoming Cowboys +10.5 (-110), 1 unit
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  25. #75  
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    Good luck tonight.....
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