August 31st
Marlins +104 1/1.04
M's/Rangers under 9 1.1/1
DBacks/Giants over 8.5 2.2/2
Winds blowing out to centerfield at 15 mph during the game. Miller is no stranger to giving up runs, sporting a 7.14 era on the season and 9.53 the last 3 games. Since coming over to the Giants from Tampa, Moore is 0-2 at home with a 6.55 era. Small sample size, but it seems it takes a bit for pitchers to adjust after being traded. Look at Shields and Santiago for recent examples. Another small sample size, but helpful, is current DBacks hitters who have faced Moore are batting .333 in 24 at bats with 5 runs (5 rbi's).
Side note: Indians TT over ? I was seriously considering a POY today, and throwing all money management principles to the wind, until I looked at the weather in Cleveland. They are going up against a complete gas can in Pat Dean, and have been hitting great lately. They blew multiple opportunities to score many more runs last night, getting thrown out at the plate, at third, and some untimely double plays with bases loaded and runners on the corner. The only problem is winds will be blowing straight into home plate at 14 mph at game time. Sooo, it will be a game time decision to see if I make a play on this.
Marlins +104 1/1.04
M's/Rangers under 9 1.1/1
DBacks/Giants over 8.5 2.2/2
Winds blowing out to centerfield at 15 mph during the game. Miller is no stranger to giving up runs, sporting a 7.14 era on the season and 9.53 the last 3 games. Since coming over to the Giants from Tampa, Moore is 0-2 at home with a 6.55 era. Small sample size, but it seems it takes a bit for pitchers to adjust after being traded. Look at Shields and Santiago for recent examples. Another small sample size, but helpful, is current DBacks hitters who have faced Moore are batting .333 in 24 at bats with 5 runs (5 rbi's).
Side note: Indians TT over ? I was seriously considering a POY today, and throwing all money management principles to the wind, until I looked at the weather in Cleveland. They are going up against a complete gas can in Pat Dean, and have been hitting great lately. They blew multiple opportunities to score many more runs last night, getting thrown out at the plate, at third, and some untimely double plays with bases loaded and runners on the corner. The only problem is winds will be blowing straight into home plate at 14 mph at game time. Sooo, it will be a game time decision to see if I make a play on this.
August 31st
Marlins +104 1/1.04
M's/Rangers under 9 1.1/1
DBacks/Giants over 8.5 2.2/2
Twins/Indians over 8 -110 2.2/2
Indians TT over 5 -110 11 units to win 10 POY
Indians should have scored many more runs last night, but the ball bounced against us. Tonight they are going against a total gas can in Pat Dean. His overall era is 6.24, and a bit worse on the road at 6.56. Last 3, 10.80. Now let's say they don't absolutely pound Dean, the most likely pitchers from the pen based on usage the past 3 days are:
Chargois 6.52 era/2.17 whip
O'Rourke 3.29 era/1.39 whip
Tonkin 4.95 era/1.41 whip
and Kintzler, their closer who shouldn't get a save opportunity.
There will be some rain coming through the area in the afternoon, but things will dry up well before the game starts. As stated earlier, I don't like the fact that the winds will be blowing directly into home plate.
But this is my last post for baseball (I know I said this before), but I'm burnt out on bats. It's a long season, and things haven't been going my way lately. So I'll be going out with a bang or a wimper. If I lose, lesson learned. If I win, I'll be happy with the way I looked at this game, but still knowing I used poor money management. Goin' big or goin home.
Marlins +104 1/1.04
M's/Rangers under 9 1.1/1
DBacks/Giants over 8.5 2.2/2
Twins/Indians over 8 -110 2.2/2
Indians TT over 5 -110 11 units to win 10 POY
Indians should have scored many more runs last night, but the ball bounced against us. Tonight they are going against a total gas can in Pat Dean. His overall era is 6.24, and a bit worse on the road at 6.56. Last 3, 10.80. Now let's say they don't absolutely pound Dean, the most likely pitchers from the pen based on usage the past 3 days are:
Chargois 6.52 era/2.17 whip
O'Rourke 3.29 era/1.39 whip
Tonkin 4.95 era/1.41 whip
and Kintzler, their closer who shouldn't get a save opportunity.
There will be some rain coming through the area in the afternoon, but things will dry up well before the game starts. As stated earlier, I don't like the fact that the winds will be blowing directly into home plate.
But this is my last post for baseball (I know I said this before), but I'm burnt out on bats. It's a long season, and things haven't been going my way lately. So I'll be going out with a bang or a wimper. If I lose, lesson learned. If I win, I'll be happy with the way I looked at this game, but still knowing I used poor money management. Goin' big or goin home.
I agree that Dean is bad, but the Indians haven't really been hitting great lately. In their last 10 games, they scored 12 runs once, 5 runs once and 3 runs once. The other seven times they scored 2 runs or less, and were shut out three times. Only one of those shutouts was when they were facing a top tier starter ( Hamels). I see you've mad this a big play and I hope it hots for you, and Indians should be able to get to Dean and the Twins pen. Their offense the last 10 games has been pretty anemic though.
