Week 1 NFL betting nuggets

HacheMan · Sep 11, 2016

[h=1]Week 1 NFL betting nuggets[/h]Rob Nelson
ESPN Staff Writer

With the first week of the NFL season underway, ESPN Chalk's Rob Nelson is here to offer up some interesting nuggets of information for games taking place on Sunday and Monday.
Note: All lines are courtesy of Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons
Line: Falcons -3; Over/Under: 47.5

The Buccaneers won both meetings last season despite being an underdog in each game (+7.5 at ATL in Week 8, +1 at home in Week 13). Both games went under the total.
Tampa Bay is an underdog for the 24th straight time on the road.

Minnesota Vikings at Tennessee Titans
Line: Vikings -2.5; Over/Under: 40.5

The Vikings were an NFL-best 14-3 ATS last season (including playoffs), covering in each of their past seven road games.

Cleveland Browns at Philadelphia Eagles
Line: Eagles -3.5; Over/Under: 41

In three seasons under Chip Kelly, the lowest O/U in an Eagles game was 44.

Cincinnati Bengals at New York Jets
Line: Bengals -2.5; Over/Under: 42

The Bengals went 13-3-1 ATS last season (including playoffs), covering in all eight of their road games.
The Jets have covered their past four games when listed as a home underdog (2-2 SU).

Oakland Raiders at New Orleans Saints
Line: Saints -1.5; Over/Under: 51

The Raiders went 5-0 ATS (3-2 SU) as a road underdog last season.
The total has gone over in five straight Saints home games.
The total has gone over in 20 of Derek Carr's 32 career starts.

San Diego Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs
Line: Chiefs -6.5; Over/Under: 44

The Chargers covered four straight games to end the 2015 season, including a 10-3 loss as an 11.5-point underdog at Kansas City in Week 14. Only the Vikings have a longer active streak of covering (five straight games).
The total has gone under in each of the past four meetings between these teams.

Buffalo Bills at Baltimore Ravens
Line: Ravens -3; Over/Under: 44.5

This marks the seventh all-time meeting between these teams and the sixth time the Ravens are favored. The total has gone under in five of those previous six games (never with a closing O/U over 44).

Chicago Bears at Houston Texans
Line: Texans -6; Over/Under 44

The Bears are an underdog in their 18th straight road game and for 20th time overall in their past 22 games. Chicago is 5-2 SU and 5-1-1 ATS in its past seven road games.
The Texans went 4-1 ATS (4-1 SU) as a home favorite last season.

Green Bay Packers at Jacksonville Jaguars
Line: Packers -5.5; Over/Under: 48

The total went under in 12 of the Packers' 18 games last season (including playoffs). Of Green Bay games with a total of 48 or higher in 2015, six of the eight went under, including five straight.

Miami Dolphins at Seattle Seahawks
Line: Seahawks -10; Over/Under: 44

If the line remains at double-digits, it will mark the 19th time the Seahawks have been favored by 10 or more with Russell Wilson as their starting quarterback (including playoffs). Seattle has gone 10-8 ATS (16-2 SU) in this spot, having covered six out of its past eight as a double-digit favorite.

New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys
Line: Pick; Over/Under: 46

The total has gone over in all seven meetings between these teams at AT&T Stadium (opened in 2009).

Detroit Lions at Indianapolis Colts
Line: Colts -3.5; Over/Under: 51

Andrew Luck was 0-4 ATS (1-3 SU) as the favorite last season. Luck went 21-10-1 ATS (25-7 SU) as the favorite in his first three seasons (including playoffs).

New England Patriots at Arizona Cardinals
Line: Cardinals -6; Over/Under: 46.5

The Cardinals are favored over the Patriots for the first time since September 29, 1991 (ARI won, 24-10, as a 6.5-point fave).
The Patriots are 4-1 SU and 4-1 ATS in their past five games as an underdog.
Prior to this season, the Patriots had been a Week 1 favorite in each of the past 12 seasons (lost 31-0 at Buffalo as a 1-point underdog in 2003 opener). That run was more than twice as long as any other active streak entering 2016.

TEAM	STREAK
New England	12*
Denver	5*
Seattle	4
*Underdog this week

<caption style="box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(43, 44, 45); font-weight: 600; height: 44px; line-height: 2.8; position: relative; text-align: left; text-transform: capitalize; z-index: 1000020; background-image: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-size: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial;">Longest Active Streak As Week 1 Favorite Entering This Season</caption><thead style="box-sizing: border-box;">
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</aside>Pittsburgh Steelers at Washington Redskins
Line: Steelers -3; Over/Under: 50

In last season's Week 1 Monday Night Football doubleheader, both home underdogs (Atlanta & San Francisco) won outright.
The Redskins made the playoffs last season despite being an underdog in 14 of their 16 games. In the six home games Washington was an underdog, it went 5-1 SU and 5-1 ATS, winning each of the past five.

OPPONENT	LINE	RESULT
2016	Pittsburgh +3	TBD
2015	Buffalo +2	Won by 10
2015	New York (N) +2	Won by 6
2015	New Orleans +1	Won by 33
2015	Philadelphia +3	Won by 3
2015	St. Louis +3.5	Won by 14
2015	Miami +3.5	Lost by 7

<caption style="box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(43, 44, 45); font-weight: 600; height: 44px; line-height: 2.8; position: relative; text-align: left; text-transform: capitalize; z-index: 1000020; background-image: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-size: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial;">Washington As Home Underdog Since Start Of 2015 Season</caption><thead style="box-sizing: border-box;">
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</aside>Los Angeles Rams at San Francisco 49ers
Line: Rams -2.5; Over/Under: 43