NCAA (Week 4)

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1 unit: 6-8 -2.65
2 unit: 7-3 +7.40

overall: 13-11 +4.75


Thursday: no action as of now

Lean towards the points as Clemson has struggled on the road at GT. I know that's in the past, but Clemson was supposed to win a lot of those games and didn't. If it gets to 11 points, I will bite.

Friday

#305 TCU @ SMU over 63.5 (2)

TCU at 2-1 and 0-3 ats. TCU at 2-1 on the O/U
SMU at 2-1 and 3-0 ats. SMU at 0-3 on the O/U

TCU scoring 46 ppg and giving up 34 ppg. (40 ppg total points average)
SMU scoring 25.3 ppg and giving up 25 ppg. (25 ppg total points average) line is close (65) a little edge

offense

TCU #40 in rushing offense at 215.7 ryg and #11 in passing offense at 356 pyg.
SMU #20 in rushing offense at 244.7 ryg and #53 in passing offense at 254 pyg.

TCU 5th in total offense at 571.7 yards per game.
SMU 28th in total offense at 490.7 yards per game.

Both teams can move the ball and can score the points.

defense

TCU #86 in total defense at 406.3 yards per game.
SMU #83 in total defense at 403.3 yards per game.

Pretty poor defenses in my opinion.

TCU #63 in rushing defense at 148,7 ryg and #99 in passing defense at 257.7 pyg.
SMU #69 in rushing defense at 151.7 ryg and #95 in passing defense at 251.7 pyg.

It looks like to me that both teams should be able to expose each others weaknesses on defense.
TCU should pass at will while SMU should run at will.

Punting net:

TCU #55 averaging 38.2 per game.
SMU # 101 averaging 34.8 per game.

Poor punting good field position in most cases, or, teams going for it on 4th down sometimes because of their poor defense and poor kicking game.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of TCU's last 6 games when playing Southern Methodist. (like it)

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Southern Methodist's last 6 games at home. (like to see one more Friday)

The total has gone OVER in 8 of TCU's last 12 games on the road. (combine this with the trend above and I like it)

These two teams are battling for the Iron Skillet, so I don't think this will be a conservative game from past history.


Saturday: Quite a few leans and really need to narrow it down.

Does anyone think Bama will crunch Kent this week? I think Bama (Saban) sees Louisville, Ohio St, Michigan, crunching their opponents and have a feeling they just might run it up this week. Kent St on a 2nd string QB and are really having a down year so far.
 

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I knew we were going over last week United...but, just as you stated we do not run it up on the little guys that come in to fill the schedule. However, even vanilla with the 2nd and 3rd string in we will score 42-49...question is will Kent st. Score a TD...I think the line and over under is very close to correct, and I will not be touching the Bama game this week.

p.s. Hopefully TCU will score 70 for you!
 

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I knew we were going over last week United...but, just as you stated we do not run it up on the little guys that come in to fill the schedule. However, even vanilla with the 2nd and 3rd string in we will score 42-49...question is will Kent st. Score a TD...I think the line and over under is very close to correct, and I will not be touching the Bama game this week.

p.s. Hopefully TCU will score 70 for you!

Good to hear from a Bama fan on the game. NC A & T scored 39 against Kent. Probably the best thing to do is stay away from the game like you said. I may throw them in a 10 pt teaser if anything at all.
 

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Friday

#305 TCU @ SMU over 63.5 (2)

Saturday

#312 Virginia +3 1/2 -110 (2)
#384 Florida/Tenn under 43 1/2 -110 (1)
#350 Baylor -8 -110 (2)
#397 Air Force -3 1/2 -105 (2)
#402 Arizona St -4 -105 (2)
 

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Good luck. Love the Air Force play. They are good this season.
 

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United..........continue those winning ways with your plays this weekend..........indy
 

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I like Virginia as well but didn't pull the trigger yet. Had them last week to win outright but at least they covered. GL!!
 

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I like Virginia as well but didn't pull the trigger yet. Had them last week to win outright but at least they covered. GL!!

Very tough place for the visiting team to play at. After playing at Oregon and UConn I'm sure they will be glad to be home. Bronco Mendenhall is a competitor and will have them fired up. About C Michigan: They are a very good football team and that W (even though the play should have never been run) at Okl St was big for their program. Okl St perhaps not as good as everyone thinks so far this season. CM other two W's over hapless Presbyterian and a UNLV team that has the worst defense in d-1 football.
 

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good luck today buddy
 

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BOL United, I appreciate the information you provide with the plays - not only is it quality info, but more importantly it provides a glimpse into the handicapping methods used by a very solid and consistent capper...a true asset to this forum :toast:
 

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Friday

#305 TCU @ SMU over 63.5 (2) L

Saturday

#312 Virginia +3 1/2 -110 (2) W
#384 Florida/Tenn under 43 1/2 -110 (1) L
#350 Baylor -8 -110 (2)
#397 Air Force -3 1/2 -105 (2)
#402 Arizona St -4 -105 (2)

add

#372 Zona +16 -105 (2)
#402 Ariz St -3 1/2 -110 (2)
 

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Wow, thank you Ariz St that made my night


6-2 will update in the morning

Friday

#305 TCU @ SMU over 63.5 (2) L

Saturday

#312 Virginia +3 1/2 -110 (2) W
#384 Florida/Tenn under 43 1/2 -110 (1) L
#350 Baylor -8 -110 (2) W
#397 Air Force -3 1/2 -105 (2) W
#402 Arizona St -4 -105 (2) W

add

#372 Zona +16 -105 (2) W
#402 Ariz St -3 1/2 -110 (2) W
 

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great job United. I was on the wrong side but glad you did well today.
 

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