Week 3 NFL betting nuggets

HacheMan · Sep 25, 2016

[h=1]Week 3 NFL betting nuggets[/h]Rob Nelson
ESPN Staff Writer

NFL Week 3 Betting Nuggets
All lines are courtesy of Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook
Denver Broncos at Cincinnati Bengals
Line: Bengals -3.5; Over/Under: 41

Despite failing to cover at Pittsburgh last week, the Bengals are 14-4-1 ATS since the start of last season (including playoffs). Cincinnati hasn't had consecutive ATS losses since the end of the 2014 season.
Under Gary Kubiak, the Broncos have won six of seven outright as an underdog (6-0-1 ATS).

DATE	OPPONENT	LINE	RESULT
Sun.	at Bengals	+3.5	?
2016	Panthers	+3	Won by 1
2015	vs Panthers	+5.5	Won by 14
2015	Patriots	+3	Won by 2
2015	at Steelers	+7	Lost by 7
2015	Patriots	+2.5	Won by 6
2015	Packers	+2.5	Won by 19
2015	at Chiefs	+3	Won by 7

<caption style="box-sizing: border-box; background-image: initial; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial; color: rgb(43, 44, 45); font-weight: 600; height: 44px; line-height: 2.8; position: relative; text-align: left; text-transform: capitalize; z-index: 1000020;">Broncos As Underdog With Kubiak As Head Coach (Incl. Playoffs)</caption><thead style="box-sizing: border-box;">
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Oakland Raiders at Tennessee Titans
Line: Titans -1.5; Over/Under: 47

Starting with their 3-point win as a 1-point favorite at Tennessee last season, the Raiders have covered in four straight road games (0-4 ATS at home during this span). This includes outright wins in two of their past three games as a road underdog.
Dating back to the end of the 2013 season, the Titans are 1-7 ATS in their past eight games as a favorite.
The total has gone over in 22 ofDerek Carr's 34 career starts (64.7 percent), including both games this season.

Arizona Cardinals at Buffalo Bills
Line: Cardinals -4; Over/Under: 47

The Cardinals are 8-3 ATS as a road favorite under Bruce Arians (since 2013).

Baltimore Ravens at Jacksonville Jaguars
Line: Ravens -1; Over/Under: 47

The Ravens are 6-1 ATS in their past seven road games (2-6-1 ATS at home during this span).
The Jaguars are 1-7 ATS in their past eight games.

Cleveland Browns at Miami Dolphins
Line: Dolphins -9.5; Over/Under: 42

This marks the biggest favorite the Dolphins have been in a game since Week 10 in 2009 (won by 2 as a 10-point favorite vs. Tampa Bay).
The Dolphins are 2-8 ATS in their past 10 games as a favorite.
The Browns are 2-10 ATS in their past 12 games.

Washington Redskins at New York Giants
Line: Giants -4.5; Over/Under: 46

The Redskins are an underdog for the 17th time in 17 road games under Jay Gruden. After going 4-9 ATS in its first 13 road games under Gruden, Washington has since won outright in three straight games as a road underdog.
The Giants are 5-1 ATS against the Redskins since 2013, having covered in all three home games during this span.

Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers
Line: Packers -7.5; Over/Under: 47

The Lions have won four of their past five games as an underdog outright, including a win at Green Bay as a 10.5-point 'dog last November. The Lions' only loss as an underdog during this span came in their second game vs. Green Bay last season, when Aaron Rodgers' Hail Mary beat them on the final play.

DATE	OPPONENT	LINE	RESULT
Sun.	at Packers	+7.5	?
2016	at Colts	+2.5	Won by 4
2015	at Saints	+3	Won by 8
2015	Packers	+2.5	Lost by 4 *
2015	Raiders	+1.5	Won by 5
2015	at Packers	+10.5	Won by 2
* On Hail Mary with no time on clock

<caption style="box-sizing: border-box; background-image: initial; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial; color: rgb(43, 44, 45); font-weight: 600; height: 44px; line-height: 2.8; position: relative; text-align: left; text-transform: capitalize; z-index: 1000020;">Lions As Underdog Since Bye Week Last Season</caption><thead style="box-sizing: border-box;">
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Starting with their loss to the Lions in Week 10 last season, the Packers have been upset in three of their past four home games.

Minnesota Vikings at Carolina Panthers
Line: Panthers -7; Over/Under: 43

The Vikings are an NFL-best 16-3 ATS since the start of last season (including playoffs), covering in seven straight games, the longest active ATS win streak in the league.

TYPE	RECORD
Overall W-L	13-6
ATS W-L	16-3 *
ATS W-L as 'dog	7-1
* Best in NFL

<caption style="box-sizing: border-box; background-image: initial; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial; color: rgb(43, 44, 45); font-weight: 600; height: 44px; line-height: 2.8; position: relative; text-align: left; text-transform: capitalize; z-index: 1000020;">Vikings Since Start Of Last Season (Including Playoffs)</caption><thead style="box-sizing: border-box;">
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The Panthers are 9-2 ATS at home since the start of last season, including 4-1 ATS when favored by at least seven points.

San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks
Line: Seahawks -9.5; Over/Under: 40

The Seahawks have covered in 10 straight games against the 49ers (including playoffs). You have to go back to the 2011 season opener for the last time San Francisco covered against Seattle (49ers won by 16 as a 6-point favorite).
During Seattle's 10-game ATS win streak over San Francisco, the under has hit eight times (one over, one push).

Los Angeles Rams at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Line: Buccaneers -5.5; Over/Under: 41.5

Since the start of the 2014 season, the Buccaneers are 1-6 ATS as a favorite with six outright losses.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Philadelphia Eagles
Line: Steelers -3.5; Over/Under: 46

The Eagles have covered three straight games dating back to Week 17 (first game without Chip Kelly), their longest ATS win streak since covering in three straight in November 2013 (last time covering in four straight: last four games of 2011 season).
The total has gone under in five of Pittsburgh's past six games.

New York Jets at Kansas City Chiefs
Line: Chiefs -3; Over/Under: 42

This marks the fourth time the Jets have been an underdog with Todd Bowles (pick 'em in first two weeks this season), previously having gone 3-0 ATS with two outright wins.

DATE	OPPONENT	LINE	RESULT
Sun.	at Chiefs	+3	?
2015	Patriots	+2.5	Won by 6
2015	at Patriots	+7.5	Lost by 7
2015	at Colts	+6.5	Won by 13

<caption style="box-sizing: border-box; background-image: initial; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial; color: rgb(43, 44, 45); font-weight: 600; height: 44px; line-height: 2.8; position: relative; text-align: left; text-transform: capitalize; z-index: 1000020;">Jets As Underdog With Todd Bowles As Head Coach</caption><thead style="box-sizing: border-box;">
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The Chiefs are 0-4 ATS in their past four home games but have still won outright each time.

San Diego Chargers at Indianapolis Colts
Line: Colts -3; Over/Under: 51.5

Andrew Luck has gone 0-5 ATS (1-4 SU) as a favorite since the start of last season. Luck went 21-10-1 ATS (25-7 SU) as the favorite in his first three seasons (including playoffs).
The Chargers have covered in six straight games dating back to last season, the second-longest active ATS win streak in the NFL (Vikings: seven straight ATS wins).

Chicago Bears at Dallas Cowboys
Line: Cowboys -7.5; Over/Under: 44.5

The Bears have won their only two games played at AT&T Stadium, with both wins coming as an underdog.

DATE	LINE	RESULT
Sun.	Cowboys -7.5	?
2012	Cowboys -3.5	Bears by 16
2010	Cowboys -7	Bears by 7

<caption style="box-sizing: border-box; background-image: initial; background-position: initial; background-size: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-attachment: initial; background-origin: initial; background-clip: initial; color: rgb(43, 44, 45); font-weight: 600; height: 44px; line-height: 2.8; position: relative; text-align: left; text-transform: capitalize; z-index: 1000020;">Bears Vs Cowboys Meetings At AT&T Stadium</caption><thead style="box-sizing: border-box;">
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