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With us taking the lead, dunno wtf Hispanics are voting for Rump for, but they seem to be waking up...

[h=1]Clinton Takes Lead in Post-Debate Polls of 4 Battleground States[/h] By Eric Levitz
30-hillary-clinton-polls.w710.h473.2x.jpg

Photo: Brendan Smialowski/AFP/Getty Images On Monday, Donald Trump spent much of the first presidential debate bragging about his talent for tax evasion, the fact that he doesn’t discriminate against black people at all of his properties, and that time he forced Barack Obama to release his birth certificate.
The American people weren’t impressed. And a new batch of polls suggests the mogul’s performance set him back in the states that matter most.
Hillary Clinton gained the most ground in Suffolk University’s latest survey of Nevada, which puts the Democratic nominee ahead of Trump 44 to 38 percent. Clinton had trailed in every poll of the Silver State released this month, and no poll this year put her ahead by more than 4. In mid-August, Suffolk showed Clinton leading Trump by just 2 percentage points.

Monday’s debate seems to have improved Clinton’s standing among Nevadans — of the respondents who saw the contest, 57 percent thought Clinton won, while just 23 percent thought Trump did.
A new poll out of Florida tells a similar story. In a post-debate survey by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Clinton leads Trump 46 to 42 percent. In the firm’s last poll of the Sunshine State back in late August, Clinton led by only 2 points. Notably, the poll shows third-party contenders Gary Johnson and Jill Stein both on the cusp of becoming non-entities — only 4 percent of Floridians support Johnson, while just one percent back Stein.
Meanwhile, Clinton has opened up a 7-point lead in New Hampshire, according to a new survey from MassINC Polling Group/WBUR-FM. That margin is among Clinton’s best in recent polls of the Granite State, although it’s a considerable step down from WBUR-FM’s last survey — back in early July, the station showed her on top by 17.
Nonetheless, the debate appears to have buoyed Clinton in New Hampshire, as respondents overwhelmingly favored her performance Monday night.
Finally, the Detroit Newslatest poll of Michigan has Clinton ahead by 7, which is the best margin she’s posted there since early August. The Wolverine State has been reliably blue in recent cycles, but Trump’s strength among white voters without college degrees has allowed him to keep the state mildly competitive. This latest survey suggests Trump has as much of a chance of turning Michigan red as Clinton does of flipping South Carolina.
In Michigan, as elsewhere, voters thought Clinton won the debate by a more than two-to-one margin.
Still, as the Trump campaign has relentlessly noted, the Republican nominee was the clear winner in polls of the Trump News Network’s future viewership.
 

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Before the debate, the Idiot Drumpf was as high as 48% in the now cast, and the Hypocrites were lauding Nate. Now?. @):)

[h=2]Who would win the presidency today?[/h]

  • [*=center]

    [*=center]

Chance of winning
clinton-alligator.png

Hillary Clinton
[FONT=&quot]76.6%



Donald Trump[FONT=&quot]23.4%
trump-alligator.png




[/FONT]
[/FONT]
 

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With us taking the lead, dunno wtf Hispanics are voting for Rump for, but they seem to be waking up...

Clinton Takes Lead in Post-Debate Polls of 4 Battleground States

By Eric Levitz
30-hillary-clinton-polls.w710.h473.2x.jpg

Photo: Brendan Smialowski/AFP/Getty Images On Monday, Donald Trump spent much of the first presidential debate bragging about his talent for tax evasion, the fact that he doesn’t discriminate against black people at all of his properties, and that time he forced Barack Obama to release his birth certificate.
The American people weren’t impressed. And a new batch of polls suggests the mogul’s performance set him back in the states that matter most.
Hillary Clinton gained the most ground in Suffolk University’s latest survey of Nevada, which puts the Democratic nominee ahead of Trump 44 to 38 percent. Clinton had trailed in every poll of the Silver State released this month, and no poll this year put her ahead by more than 4. In mid-August, Suffolk showed Clinton leading Trump by just 2 percentage points.

Monday’s debate seems to have improved Clinton’s standing among Nevadans — of the respondents who saw the contest, 57 percent thought Clinton won, while just 23 percent thought Trump did.
A new poll out of Florida tells a similar story. In a post-debate survey by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Clinton leads Trump 46 to 42 percent.
In the firm’s last poll of the Sunshine State back in late August, Clinton led by only 2 points. Notably, the poll shows third-party contenders Gary Johnson and Jill Stein both on the cusp of becoming non-entities — only 4 percent of Floridians support Johnson, while just one percent back Stein.
Meanwhile, Clinton has opened up a 7-point lead in New Hampshire, according to a new survey from MassINC Polling Group/WBUR-FM. That margin is among Clinton’s best in recent polls of the Granite State, although it’s a considerable step down from WBUR-FM’s last survey — back in early July, the station showed her on top by 17.
Nonetheless, the debate appears to have buoyed Clinton in New Hampshire, as respondents overwhelmingly favored her performance Monday night.
Finally, the Detroit Newslatest poll of Michigan has Clinton ahead by 7, which is the best margin she’s posted there since early August. The Wolverine State has been reliably blue in recent cycles, but Trump’s strength among white voters without college degrees has allowed him to keep the state mildly competitive. This latest survey suggests Trump has as much of a chance of turning Michigan red as Clinton does of flipping South Carolina.
In Michigan, as elsewhere, voters thought Clinton won the debate by a more than two-to-one margin.
Still, as the Trump campaign has relentlessly noted, the Republican nominee was the clear winner in polls of the Trump News Network’s future viewership.

Putting it all into perspective.


POST-DEBATE: CLINTON HOLDS NARROW LEAD IN FLORIDA


Following the first debate of the presidential general election campaign,

DemocratHillary Clinton has a 46%-42% lead over Donald Trump in Florida. Libertarian GaryJohnson is supported by 7%, Green Party candidate Jill Stein is backed by only 1%and 4% remain undecided.The race in Florida continues to predictably split among the various demographicsub-groups. Clinton leads among Democrats (83%-10%), women (54%-36%), blacks(92%-1%), Hispanics (64%-29%) and in Southeast Florida (58%-29%).Trump is ahead with Republicans (77%-13%), unaffiliated voters (41%-33%), men(49%-37%) and non-Hispanic whites (53%-33%).



Trump still has very strong supportin North Florida (53%-37%) and Southwest Florida (51%-36%).


In the generally decisive I-4 corridor, Clinton currently has a slight advantage. Shenow has a 47%-40% in the swing Tampa Bay area, while Trump only leads 46%-43%in more Republican leaning Central Florida.



Despite small shifts that have given Clinton a post-debate bump, the race is still very competitive and the outcome will hinge on where and among whom voter turnout is higher. This poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research.
 

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Putting it all into perspective.


POST-DEBATE: CLINTON HOLDS NARROW LEAD IN FLORIDA


Following the first debate of the presidential general election campaign,

DemocratHillary Clinton has a 46%-42% lead over Donald Trump in Florida. Libertarian GaryJohnson is supported by 7%, Green Party candidate Jill Stein is backed by only 1%and 4% remain undecided.The race in Florida continues to predictably split among the various demographicsub-groups. Clinton leads among Democrats (83%-10%), women (54%-36%), blacks(92%-1%), Hispanics (64%-29%) and in Southeast Florida (58%-29%).Trump is ahead with Republicans (77%-13%), unaffiliated voters (41%-33%), men(49%-37%) and non-Hispanic whites (53%-33%).



Trump still has very strong supportin North Florida (53%-37%) and Southwest Florida (51%-36%).


In the generally decisive I-4 corridor, Clinton currently has a slight advantage. Shenow has a 47%-40% in the swing Tampa Bay area, while Trump only leads 46%-43%in more Republican leaning Central Florida.



Despite small shifts that have given Clinton a post-debate bump, the race is still very competitive and the outcome will hinge on where and among whom voter turnout is higher. This poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research.



REGION CLINTON TRUMP JOHNSON STEIN UND
North Florida 37% 53% 6% - 4%
Central Florida 43% 46% 6% 1% 4%
Tampa Bay 47% 40% 7% 1% 5%
Southwest Florida 36% 51% 9% - 4%
Southeast Florida 58% 29% 8% 2% 3%
 

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With us taking the lead, dunno wtf Hispanics are voting for Rump for, but they seem to be waking up...

Clinton Takes Lead in Post-Debate Polls of 4 Battleground States

By Eric Levitz
30-hillary-clinton-polls.w710.h473.2x.jpg

Photo: Brendan Smialowski/AFP/Getty Images On Monday, Donald Trump spent much of the first presidential debate bragging about his talent for tax evasion, the fact that he doesn’t discriminate against black people at all of his properties, and that time he forced Barack Obama to release his birth certificate.
The American people weren’t impressed. And a new batch of polls suggests the mogul’s performance set him back in the states that matter most.
Hillary Clinton gained the most ground in Suffolk University’s latest survey of Nevada, which puts the Democratic nominee ahead of Trump 44 to 38 percent. Clinton had trailed in every poll of the Silver State released this month, and no poll this year put her ahead by more than 4. In mid-August, Suffolk showed Clinton leading Trump by just 2 percentage points.

Monday’s debate seems to have improved Clinton’s standing among Nevadans — of the respondents who saw the contest, 57 percent thought Clinton won, while just 23 percent thought Trump did.
A new poll out of Florida tells a similar story. In a post-debate survey by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Clinton leads Trump 46 to 42 percent. In the firm’s last poll of the Sunshine State back in late August, Clinton led by only 2 points. Notably, the poll shows third-party contenders Gary Johnson and Jill Stein both on the cusp of becoming non-entities — only 4 percent of Floridians support Johnson, while just one percent back Stein.
Meanwhile, Clinton has opened up a 7-point lead in New Hampshire, according to a new survey from MassINC Polling Group/WBUR-FM. That margin is among Clinton’s best in recent polls of the Granite State, although it’s a considerable step down from WBUR-FM’s last survey — back in early July, the station showed her on top by 17.
Nonetheless, the debate appears to have buoyed Clinton in New Hampshire, as respondents overwhelmingly favored her performance Monday night.
Finally, the Detroit Newslatest poll of Michigan has Clinton ahead by 7, which is the best margin she’s posted there since early August. The Wolverine State has been reliably blue in recent cycles, but Trump’s strength among white voters without college degrees has allowed him to keep the state mildly competitive. This latest survey suggests Trump has as much of a chance of turning Michigan red as Clinton does of flipping South Carolina.
In Michigan, as elsewhere, voters thought Clinton won the debate by a more than two-to-one margin.
Still, as the Trump campaign has relentlessly noted, the Republican nominee was the clear winner in polls of the Trump News Network’s future viewership.

Putting it all into perspective.

Guardian Newspaper 30 September

Gary Johnson, Jill Stein and Evan McMullin are winning over quite a few voters




According to Real Clear Politics’ polling averages, about 15% of Americans are currently contemplating a choice which isn’t one of the two main parties. About 7% support the Libertarian party nominee, Gary Johnson, another 2% support the Green party nominee, Jill Stein, and almost 6% either support another candidate (like the independent candidate Evan McMullin) or else they’re undecided.


One way to measure this is to contrast Clinton and Trump’s vote shares in a two-way race with their support in a four-way race. Both candidates lose a few percentage points but the overall takeaway remains the same: Clinton is currently three percentage points ahead of Trump.


The problem for Hillary is that three percentage points just isn’t good enough, especially when you take into account the inaccuracies of polling. The two leading candidates are pretty much neck and neck and recent political history suggests that could be a big problem for Clinton.


In 2000, the Green party presidential candidate Ralph Nader played a huge role in securing George Bush’s victory, in part because Nader eroded Al Gore’s vote share in the crucial state of Florida.
 

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Dafinch??

Hello???
 

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