Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Freehold Raceway
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 5 - Post: 1:50 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 80 - Purse:$3300 - NON-WINNERS $1,500 IN LAST 5 STARTS NON-WINNERS LAST 3 ALLOWED $600 HORSES THAT RACED FOR PURSE OF $6,600 OR HIGHER LAST 2 STS INEL AE: NON-WINNERS 3 EXTENDED PARI-MUTUEL RACES LIFE. NO. 1 ESPRIT DE KAY JAY A: ELIGIBLE AT TIME OF ENTRY NO. 6 BRICK BAZOOKA: ELIGIBLE AT TIME OF ENTRY
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES
# 1 ESPRIT DE KAYJAY A 2/1
# 4 IRA CHIEF 3/1
# 2 HEFTY LEFTY 9/1
Hey, listen up! ESPRIT DE KAYJAY A is the knowledgeable bet if you like to win. Earned a 74 speed rating in last race. A duplicate event here should get the score in this contest. With Surick in the cart, watch out for this harness racer to get the score. Well above average winning pct makes this solid standardbred an excellent choice to take home the dough. IRA CHIEF - This standardbred has been making trips to the winner's circle on a routine basis, look for him to make another showing soon. Worth looking at here looking at the rankings in the speed fig department alone. HEFTY LEFTY - Hands down the best position at Freehold Raceway is the 2. The win clip is excellent.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 5 - Post: 1:50 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 80 - Purse:$3300 - NON-WINNERS $1,500 IN LAST 5 STARTS NON-WINNERS LAST 3 ALLOWED $600 HORSES THAT RACED FOR PURSE OF $6,600 OR HIGHER LAST 2 STS INEL AE: NON-WINNERS 3 EXTENDED PARI-MUTUEL RACES LIFE. NO. 1 ESPRIT DE KAY JAY A: ELIGIBLE AT TIME OF ENTRY NO. 6 BRICK BAZOOKA: ELIGIBLE AT TIME OF ENTRY
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES
# 1 ESPRIT DE KAYJAY A 2/1
# 4 IRA CHIEF 3/1
# 2 HEFTY LEFTY 9/1
Hey, listen up! ESPRIT DE KAYJAY A is the knowledgeable bet if you like to win. Earned a 74 speed rating in last race. A duplicate event here should get the score in this contest. With Surick in the cart, watch out for this harness racer to get the score. Well above average winning pct makes this solid standardbred an excellent choice to take home the dough. IRA CHIEF - This standardbred has been making trips to the winner's circle on a routine basis, look for him to make another showing soon. Worth looking at here looking at the rankings in the speed fig department alone. HEFTY LEFTY - Hands down the best position at Freehold Raceway is the 2. The win clip is excellent.
Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Rosecroft Raceway
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 11 - Post: 10:00 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 78 - Purse:$7500 - MARYLAND PREFERRED FILLIES & MARES NW $4,000
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES
# 4 DESIRE'S LADY 10/1
# 7 SHAKER REI 7/2
# 5 A MEAN HURRICANE 5/2
The selection this time is DESIRE'S LADY have to like the nice price. Pace makes the race is a favorite saying of this consortium. Pace ratings here point to a huge play. Drawing the 4 hole at Rosecroft Raceway has resulted in a very profitable return on investment. Quite possibly think these two have something special. Jackson sending the horse out means a competitive chance to get the victory. SHAKER REI - Looks like a strong play in this field and her better than average winning percentage says she has the desire to end up in the winner's circle this time. A MEAN HURRICANE - Post 5 has been winning at a much higher than average stat, suggesting very nice probability of success this time. Her 81 avg has this mare among the most compelling speed figs for this one.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 11 - Post: 10:00 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 78 - Purse:$7500 - MARYLAND PREFERRED FILLIES & MARES NW $4,000
CONSORTIUM*CHOICES
# 4 DESIRE'S LADY 10/1
# 7 SHAKER REI 7/2
# 5 A MEAN HURRICANE 5/2
The selection this time is DESIRE'S LADY have to like the nice price. Pace makes the race is a favorite saying of this consortium. Pace ratings here point to a huge play. Drawing the 4 hole at Rosecroft Raceway has resulted in a very profitable return on investment. Quite possibly think these two have something special. Jackson sending the horse out means a competitive chance to get the victory. SHAKER REI - Looks like a strong play in this field and her better than average winning percentage says she has the desire to end up in the winner's circle this time. A MEAN HURRICANE - Post 5 has been winning at a much higher than average stat, suggesting very nice probability of success this time. Her 81 avg has this mare among the most compelling speed figs for this one.
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Evangeline Downs
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 2 - Claiming - 870y on the Dirt. Purse: $4500 Class Rating: 66
QUARTER HORSE 870Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
RECOMMENDED*CHOICES
# 1 JUS REMEMBER 5/1
# 6 GAILS DANNY BOY 4/1
# 4 HESA FIRST NATIVE 6/1
JUS REMEMBER gets the edge as the bet in here. GAILS DANNY BOY - Has to be considered versus this group of horses displaying quite good figures lately and an average Equibase Speed Fig of 50 under similar conditions. Recorded a solid speed rating last time out. HESA FIRST NATIVE - He looks strong in this slot and I expect will be on the front end or close at the midpoint.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 2 - Claiming - 870y on the Dirt. Purse: $4500 Class Rating: 66
QUARTER HORSE 870Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
RECOMMENDED*CHOICES
# 1 JUS REMEMBER 5/1
# 6 GAILS DANNY BOY 4/1
# 4 HESA FIRST NATIVE 6/1
JUS REMEMBER gets the edge as the bet in here. GAILS DANNY BOY - Has to be considered versus this group of horses displaying quite good figures lately and an average Equibase Speed Fig of 50 under similar conditions. Recorded a solid speed rating last time out. HESA FIRST NATIVE - He looks strong in this slot and I expect will be on the front end or close at the midpoint.
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Lone Star Park
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 2 - Allowance - 300y on the Dirt. Purse: $7800 Class Rating: 80
QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 122 LBS.
RECOMMENDED*CHOICES
# 4 SOCHI SPECIAL 2/1
# 1 FLYIN DUSTY 3/1
# 2 LOVE YOU MORE 8/1
SOCHI SPECIAL could be the wager in here. Is worth a look and may be a bet - strong Equibase Speed Figures (79 average) at today's distance and surface lately. This filly with Calderon in the irons makes her a solid contender. Looks very good to be on or close to the lead at the first call. FLYIN DUSTY - Has to be carefully examined based on the respectable Equibase Speed Figure posted in the last contest. This horse has a very good win percent in shorts. LOVE YOU MORE - With a nice class rating average of 80, has one of the most favorable class advantages in this group. She looks quite good in this spot and I expect will be on the lead or close at the midpoint.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 2 - Allowance - 300y on the Dirt. Purse: $7800 Class Rating: 80
QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 122 LBS.
RECOMMENDED*CHOICES
# 4 SOCHI SPECIAL 2/1
# 1 FLYIN DUSTY 3/1
# 2 LOVE YOU MORE 8/1
SOCHI SPECIAL could be the wager in here. Is worth a look and may be a bet - strong Equibase Speed Figures (79 average) at today's distance and surface lately. This filly with Calderon in the irons makes her a solid contender. Looks very good to be on or close to the lead at the first call. FLYIN DUSTY - Has to be carefully examined based on the respectable Equibase Speed Figure posted in the last contest. This horse has a very good win percent in shorts. LOVE YOU MORE - With a nice class rating average of 80, has one of the most favorable class advantages in this group. She looks quite good in this spot and I expect will be on the lead or close at the midpoint.
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Charles Town - Race #7 - Post: 9:47pm - Allowance - 4.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $24,000 Class Rating: 61
Rating:
#3 MESA LADY (ML=9/2)
#1 ROCKET THUNDER (ML=10/1)
#9 QUALITY DESIRE (ML=6/1)
#2 STERLING'S BAILESA (ML=7/2)
MESA LADY - A repeat of that latest effort on October 1st where she garnered a speed fig of 61 looks lofty enough to score in this event. Any front runner that is breaking from the inside has a shot on this track. Should jump out of the gate and get good position versus this bunch. This filly is at the top in earnings per start (EPS). Take a long look at this thoroughbred in the paddock. ROCKET THUNDER - This rider/conditioner duo has been producing a very positive ROI, right at +191. Santiago was aboard this filly last out and was impressed enough to take the animal right back. Likes to go to the lead and the fact that today is a shorter distance should be beneficial. This horse probably isn't going to sit chilly off the pace. She should bust out of the gate and be one of the first to hit that tight turn. Watch for her down the homestretch. QUALITY DESIRE - This thoroughbred coming off a solid contest in the last month or so is a solid contender in my humble opinion. Past performance lines show this horse with 3 improving speed figures. Hiraldo should be on a live horse in today's race. STERLING'S BAILESA - A pony coming back this quickly after a nice race is a good omen. Filly is a few starts into a return to racing here. Should give a good performance today. This horse has increased her speed figs in each of the last two races. That kind of progress is important to note. This tight-track favors front runners breaking from the inside. Seeing as this is what we have with this horse, I'm going to take a serious look at this one.
Vulnerable Contenders: #4 IMMEDIATE RELEASE (ML=3/1), #5 BIP BOP BOO (ML=6/1), #6 BUNNY SLIPPER (ML=8/1),
IMMEDIATE RELEASE - This probable favorite hasn't been to the track in awhile. No drills since last race. Didn't come through as the public's top choice back to back. Probably won't gain a victory today either. BIP BOP BOO - This mount likes to be on the board, but doesn't usually win. Leave out of the top spot. BUNNY SLIPPER - The pace scenario just isn't too promising for this speedy one. Many other ponies would have to scratch to promote her dreams at winning.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #3 MESA LADY to win if we can get at least 7/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:
3 with [1,2,9]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
3 with [1,2,9] with [1,2,9] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
3 with [1,2,9] with [1,2,9] with [1,2,9] Total Cost: $6
Charles Town - Race #7 - Post: 9:47pm - Allowance - 4.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $24,000 Class Rating: 61
Rating:
#3 MESA LADY (ML=9/2)
#1 ROCKET THUNDER (ML=10/1)
#9 QUALITY DESIRE (ML=6/1)
#2 STERLING'S BAILESA (ML=7/2)
MESA LADY - A repeat of that latest effort on October 1st where she garnered a speed fig of 61 looks lofty enough to score in this event. Any front runner that is breaking from the inside has a shot on this track. Should jump out of the gate and get good position versus this bunch. This filly is at the top in earnings per start (EPS). Take a long look at this thoroughbred in the paddock. ROCKET THUNDER - This rider/conditioner duo has been producing a very positive ROI, right at +191. Santiago was aboard this filly last out and was impressed enough to take the animal right back. Likes to go to the lead and the fact that today is a shorter distance should be beneficial. This horse probably isn't going to sit chilly off the pace. She should bust out of the gate and be one of the first to hit that tight turn. Watch for her down the homestretch. QUALITY DESIRE - This thoroughbred coming off a solid contest in the last month or so is a solid contender in my humble opinion. Past performance lines show this horse with 3 improving speed figures. Hiraldo should be on a live horse in today's race. STERLING'S BAILESA - A pony coming back this quickly after a nice race is a good omen. Filly is a few starts into a return to racing here. Should give a good performance today. This horse has increased her speed figs in each of the last two races. That kind of progress is important to note. This tight-track favors front runners breaking from the inside. Seeing as this is what we have with this horse, I'm going to take a serious look at this one.
Vulnerable Contenders: #4 IMMEDIATE RELEASE (ML=3/1), #5 BIP BOP BOO (ML=6/1), #6 BUNNY SLIPPER (ML=8/1),
IMMEDIATE RELEASE - This probable favorite hasn't been to the track in awhile. No drills since last race. Didn't come through as the public's top choice back to back. Probably won't gain a victory today either. BIP BOP BOO - This mount likes to be on the board, but doesn't usually win. Leave out of the top spot. BUNNY SLIPPER - The pace scenario just isn't too promising for this speedy one. Many other ponies would have to scratch to promote her dreams at winning.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #3 MESA LADY to win if we can get at least 7/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:
3 with [1,2,9]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
3 with [1,2,9] with [1,2,9] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
3 with [1,2,9] with [1,2,9] with [1,2,9] Total Cost: $6
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Gulfstream Park West - Race #1 - Post: 1:15pm - Claiming - 7.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $17,000 Class Rating: 85
Rating:
#1 JUSTADARLING (ML=9/2)
#6 FAZZLE DAZZLE (ML=7/2)
#5 YES MZ ADAH (ML=5/2)
JUSTADARLING - This filly is in fine physical condition. Ran third on Oct 13th. You'll be generating profits right and left by turning your bankroll onto this jockey/conditioner combination. Filly is a few starts into a return to racing here. Should give a nice effort today. FAZZLE DAZZLE - This jockey and conditioner's horses have been generating a positive ROI. Jockey hops up on after getting to know the fine animal by riding last time out. That's always a good sign. YES MZ ADAH - Jockey jumped on this filly's back for the first time on October 23rd. Should be acquainted with the horse even better today. The fact that this filly is entered right back into a race so quickly means she's fit and ready. This thoroughbred is for real on the grass. TrackMaster turf fig in last race at Gulfstream Park West was tops in this field.
Vulnerable Contenders: #7 SWEET ELEGANCE (ML=3/1), #8 FIRST PUNCH (ML=4/1), #2 NAPA VALLEY ROSE (ML=8/1),
SWEET ELEGANCE - This questionable contender has been letting down the bettors as the favorite time and time again. FIRST PUNCH - The speed rating last out doesn't fit very well in this affair when I look at the Equibase class figure of today's race. Mark this thoroughbred as a questionable challenger. NAPA VALLEY ROSE - Notched a run-of-the-mill speed fig last time around the track in a $12,500 Claiming race on October 10th. Unlikely to see an improved performance off of that figure.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#1 JUSTADARLING to win at post-time odds of 4/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [1,5,6] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None
SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:
Skip
Gulfstream Park West - Race #1 - Post: 1:15pm - Claiming - 7.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $17,000 Class Rating: 85
Rating:
#1 JUSTADARLING (ML=9/2)
#6 FAZZLE DAZZLE (ML=7/2)
#5 YES MZ ADAH (ML=5/2)
JUSTADARLING - This filly is in fine physical condition. Ran third on Oct 13th. You'll be generating profits right and left by turning your bankroll onto this jockey/conditioner combination. Filly is a few starts into a return to racing here. Should give a nice effort today. FAZZLE DAZZLE - This jockey and conditioner's horses have been generating a positive ROI. Jockey hops up on after getting to know the fine animal by riding last time out. That's always a good sign. YES MZ ADAH - Jockey jumped on this filly's back for the first time on October 23rd. Should be acquainted with the horse even better today. The fact that this filly is entered right back into a race so quickly means she's fit and ready. This thoroughbred is for real on the grass. TrackMaster turf fig in last race at Gulfstream Park West was tops in this field.
Vulnerable Contenders: #7 SWEET ELEGANCE (ML=3/1), #8 FIRST PUNCH (ML=4/1), #2 NAPA VALLEY ROSE (ML=8/1),
SWEET ELEGANCE - This questionable contender has been letting down the bettors as the favorite time and time again. FIRST PUNCH - The speed rating last out doesn't fit very well in this affair when I look at the Equibase class figure of today's race. Mark this thoroughbred as a questionable challenger. NAPA VALLEY ROSE - Notched a run-of-the-mill speed fig last time around the track in a $12,500 Claiming race on October 10th. Unlikely to see an improved performance off of that figure.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#1 JUSTADARLING to win at post-time odds of 4/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [1,5,6] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None
SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:
Skip
Mohawk: Thursday 11/3 Analysis
By Garnet Barnsdale
DRF
Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool
Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
PICK 5: 7,8 / 1,2,6 / 4,6,7 / 1,2,3 / 4,6,8 = $32.40
EARLY PICK 4: 1,2,3 / 4,6,8 / 1,3,7,9 / 5 = $36
LATE PICK 4: 1,2,3,5 / 5,8,9 / 1,4 / 4,5,8 = $72
MEET STATS: 459 - 1366 / $2396.00 BEST BETS: 72 - 125 / $225.60
SPOT PLAYS: 31 - 125 / $203.20
Best Bet: GEORGIES POCKETS (1st)
Spot Play: BROOKDALE SONNY (7th)
Race 1
(8) GEORGIES POCKETS went a long trip last time vs. better. He is a top contender here despite his post. (7) J L BAD MOON RISIN is only 2 for 28, but he has also faced better than these most of the year; using. (5) MONOPOLY has raced decently in his last two and his gait issues may be a thing of the past now. He can share here. (6) MISSION MAN seems suited to fill one of the lower exotic rungs here.
Race 2
(6) AGENT DINOZZO was impressive last week racing in poor conditions. He can repeat here and trot much faster. (1) WINDSUN MISSILE faces his easiest test in a while and he should be heard from. (2) MOSTINTERESTINGMAN woke up last time and had a good kick at the end of the mile. He isn’t out of this. (3) MOONSTAR MISSION could pick up a piece here if he stays flat.
Race 3
(7) UNITED BI should show much more here in his second start off the shelf from a better post. Keep in mind that Henry has already won with him at a big price earlier in the meet. (4) KRONWALL has won four of his last five starts after losing his first 18 starts. He will need to be faster here, but I respect his sharp current form. (6) THE LAND SHARK can threaten here from close range. (2) WEVE HAD ENOUGH figures to stick around for a smaller share.
Race 4
(2) LITTLE QUICK closed mildly in his first race back at Mohawk. He could swoop by some winded leaders in the lane this time. (3) CALGARY SEELSTER got used up early last time. He is a threat at this level and merits multi-race consideration. (1) BEIBER HANOVER also rates highly on the class drop and starting from the inside. (4) LOST IN PANSLATION will be part of the early pace at a minimum, but the three above rate higher here.
Race 5
(6) JACK RACKHAM was hard-used on the lead on October 22nd, the night where speed stopped every race. I’ll give him another chance here, likely at a better price. (4) SENIOR K was on the rim a long way last time but he gamely kept advancing for the win. He is in top shape now. (8) SOLO STORY is the best closer in the race; he will be coming late. (3) MAYFIELD DUKE should be a threat from close range here.
Race 6
(7) MR MATCH ON BEACH got stalled on bad cover several times last week. There should be a better flow to this race; call to upset. (3) P L JACKSON brings a great record in from out of town and he looks like the one to beat. (1) BIG PLACE is capable of a big late charge off a covered trip – which he could get here. (9) TANGO STAR couldn’t shake the persistent winner last time and he faded a bit late in the mile. He could last longer here.
Race 7
(5) BROOKDALE SONNY was hung out to dry in his return race, but that trip should have him tighter for this start from a much better post; top call. (7) SWORD OF THE SPIRIT comes off two sharp efforts a notch higher. He’ll be tough in here. (2) BIG PETES STYLE can make the ticket off a following trip near the front. (9) ST LADS LOTTO got in all kinds of traffic last time as the chalk but he was closing okay once free. He can take a slice here.
Race 8
(2) ARCHANGEL THREE was on perfect cover last time but he just couldn’t bridge the gap late. Returning a bit faster for this race could make the difference. (1) MACH POWER was close to the pace on a speed-killing track and still managed to save 2nd; using. (5) BUGATTI is likely to be a threat moving into Moreau’s barn. (3) OK ICEMAN can take a share racing near the front here.
Race 9
(9) CORE FUSION adds Lasix coming off his best mile yet; slight nod. (8) HILARIOUS HERO looks good here, but he is also 0-15 and may not be the best win bet if he is a short price. (5) ST JAMES GATE is unbeaten out of town and merits respect here, although he will need to shave a few seconds off to beat these. (3) STORMONT DUNDAS is likely for a minor share again, as always, it seems.
Race 10
(4) EAS IDEAL comes off a sharp mile at Hoosier and now moves to the potent Weller barn shipping in; slight nod. (1) AMERICAN BEACH was only a nose behind the Metro Pace winner in his October 20th qualifier. He should wake up here with a better effort. (7) REDHOT ROMEO has two good starts under his belt and there is every reason to expect he can go forward off those miles. (2) SHARKY SHARK has two decent qualifying miles and he can take a smaller share here.
Race 11
(5) LATE NIGHT made a threatening move but was probably out too long and faded a bit late last time. He can get it done with a better trip here. (8) TEA WITH MS MCGILL has looked sharp and sound in his last two and he can threaten here off the claim. (4) URBAN NATION had speed both early and late last time; using. (6) LYONS GEOFF JNR is a good one to use on the bottom of vertical wagers. (7) THINK AGAIN is another that is likely to finish on the fringes here.
By Garnet Barnsdale
DRF
Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool
Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
PICK 5: 7,8 / 1,2,6 / 4,6,7 / 1,2,3 / 4,6,8 = $32.40
EARLY PICK 4: 1,2,3 / 4,6,8 / 1,3,7,9 / 5 = $36
LATE PICK 4: 1,2,3,5 / 5,8,9 / 1,4 / 4,5,8 = $72
MEET STATS: 459 - 1366 / $2396.00 BEST BETS: 72 - 125 / $225.60
SPOT PLAYS: 31 - 125 / $203.20
Best Bet: GEORGIES POCKETS (1st)
Spot Play: BROOKDALE SONNY (7th)
Race 1
(8) GEORGIES POCKETS went a long trip last time vs. better. He is a top contender here despite his post. (7) J L BAD MOON RISIN is only 2 for 28, but he has also faced better than these most of the year; using. (5) MONOPOLY has raced decently in his last two and his gait issues may be a thing of the past now. He can share here. (6) MISSION MAN seems suited to fill one of the lower exotic rungs here.
Race 2
(6) AGENT DINOZZO was impressive last week racing in poor conditions. He can repeat here and trot much faster. (1) WINDSUN MISSILE faces his easiest test in a while and he should be heard from. (2) MOSTINTERESTINGMAN woke up last time and had a good kick at the end of the mile. He isn’t out of this. (3) MOONSTAR MISSION could pick up a piece here if he stays flat.
Race 3
(7) UNITED BI should show much more here in his second start off the shelf from a better post. Keep in mind that Henry has already won with him at a big price earlier in the meet. (4) KRONWALL has won four of his last five starts after losing his first 18 starts. He will need to be faster here, but I respect his sharp current form. (6) THE LAND SHARK can threaten here from close range. (2) WEVE HAD ENOUGH figures to stick around for a smaller share.
Race 4
(2) LITTLE QUICK closed mildly in his first race back at Mohawk. He could swoop by some winded leaders in the lane this time. (3) CALGARY SEELSTER got used up early last time. He is a threat at this level and merits multi-race consideration. (1) BEIBER HANOVER also rates highly on the class drop and starting from the inside. (4) LOST IN PANSLATION will be part of the early pace at a minimum, but the three above rate higher here.
Race 5
(6) JACK RACKHAM was hard-used on the lead on October 22nd, the night where speed stopped every race. I’ll give him another chance here, likely at a better price. (4) SENIOR K was on the rim a long way last time but he gamely kept advancing for the win. He is in top shape now. (8) SOLO STORY is the best closer in the race; he will be coming late. (3) MAYFIELD DUKE should be a threat from close range here.
Race 6
(7) MR MATCH ON BEACH got stalled on bad cover several times last week. There should be a better flow to this race; call to upset. (3) P L JACKSON brings a great record in from out of town and he looks like the one to beat. (1) BIG PLACE is capable of a big late charge off a covered trip – which he could get here. (9) TANGO STAR couldn’t shake the persistent winner last time and he faded a bit late in the mile. He could last longer here.
Race 7
(5) BROOKDALE SONNY was hung out to dry in his return race, but that trip should have him tighter for this start from a much better post; top call. (7) SWORD OF THE SPIRIT comes off two sharp efforts a notch higher. He’ll be tough in here. (2) BIG PETES STYLE can make the ticket off a following trip near the front. (9) ST LADS LOTTO got in all kinds of traffic last time as the chalk but he was closing okay once free. He can take a slice here.
Race 8
(2) ARCHANGEL THREE was on perfect cover last time but he just couldn’t bridge the gap late. Returning a bit faster for this race could make the difference. (1) MACH POWER was close to the pace on a speed-killing track and still managed to save 2nd; using. (5) BUGATTI is likely to be a threat moving into Moreau’s barn. (3) OK ICEMAN can take a share racing near the front here.
Race 9
(9) CORE FUSION adds Lasix coming off his best mile yet; slight nod. (8) HILARIOUS HERO looks good here, but he is also 0-15 and may not be the best win bet if he is a short price. (5) ST JAMES GATE is unbeaten out of town and merits respect here, although he will need to shave a few seconds off to beat these. (3) STORMONT DUNDAS is likely for a minor share again, as always, it seems.
Race 10
(4) EAS IDEAL comes off a sharp mile at Hoosier and now moves to the potent Weller barn shipping in; slight nod. (1) AMERICAN BEACH was only a nose behind the Metro Pace winner in his October 20th qualifier. He should wake up here with a better effort. (7) REDHOT ROMEO has two good starts under his belt and there is every reason to expect he can go forward off those miles. (2) SHARKY SHARK has two decent qualifying miles and he can take a smaller share here.
Race 11
(5) LATE NIGHT made a threatening move but was probably out too long and faded a bit late last time. He can get it done with a better trip here. (8) TEA WITH MS MCGILL has looked sharp and sound in his last two and he can threaten here off the claim. (4) URBAN NATION had speed both early and late last time; using. (6) LYONS GEOFF JNR is a good one to use on the bottom of vertical wagers. (7) THINK AGAIN is another that is likely to finish on the fringes here.
SPOT PLAYS
For Thursday
TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE
Charles Town (1st) Paddy O'Kay, 8-1
(4th) Bennie Y Benny, 4-1
Churchill Downs (4th) Double Dare, 5-1
(9th) Walkabout, 4-1
Delta Downs (3rd) Miss Sid N Say, 9-2
(11th) Jag Man, 3-1
Finger Lakes (1st) Frosti Agosti, 7-2
(5th) Nowyouwillknow, 8-1
Golden Gate Fields (2nd) Branjammas Trio, 9-2
(3rd) You Sleep On That, 3-1
Gulfstream Park West (1st) Fazzle Dazzle, 7-2
(9th) Shutter Shock, 7-2
Hawthorne (4th) Urban Cool, 5-1
(7th) Pale Hose, 7-2
Penn National (2nd) Your Turn, 6-1
(7th) Believe in Athena, 5-1
Remington Park (3rd) Mischievous Misty, 8-1
(9th) Matt Up, 10-1
Santa Anita (1st) Eddie's First, 3-1
(7th) G. A. Betting, 10-1
For Thursday
TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE
Charles Town (1st) Paddy O'Kay, 8-1
(4th) Bennie Y Benny, 4-1
Churchill Downs (4th) Double Dare, 5-1
(9th) Walkabout, 4-1
Delta Downs (3rd) Miss Sid N Say, 9-2
(11th) Jag Man, 3-1
Finger Lakes (1st) Frosti Agosti, 7-2
(5th) Nowyouwillknow, 8-1
Golden Gate Fields (2nd) Branjammas Trio, 9-2
(3rd) You Sleep On That, 3-1
Gulfstream Park West (1st) Fazzle Dazzle, 7-2
(9th) Shutter Shock, 7-2
Hawthorne (4th) Urban Cool, 5-1
(7th) Pale Hose, 7-2
Penn National (2nd) Your Turn, 6-1
(7th) Believe in Athena, 5-1
Remington Park (3rd) Mischievous Misty, 8-1
(9th) Matt Up, 10-1
Santa Anita (1st) Eddie's First, 3-1
(7th) G. A. Betting, 10-1
Offensive Edge
[h=5]
RACE 9: DISTAFF - PURSE: $2,000,000[/h][h=5]
THIS IS BY FAR THE MOST HYPED RACE OF DAY #1 AT THIS YEARS BREEDERS’ CUP. WE HAVE THE UNBEATEN 11 FOR 11 CHAMPION SONGBIRD TAKING ON OLDER HORSES FOR THE FIRST TIME AND SHE WILL SURELY FACE THE BIGGEST CHALLENGE OF HER CAREER TO DATE. SHE WILL MOST LIKELY TAKE WAY TOO MUCH MONEY TO MAKE HER PLAYABLE IN A WIN BET TAKING INTO ACCOUNT HER CHANCES OF ACTUALLY WINNING. [/h][h=5][/h][h=5]THEREFORE, WE WE WILL GO WITH #5 STELLAR WIND 5/2 AS THE TOP CHOICE IN HERE. SHE JUST WON ON THIS TRACK A LITTLE OVER A MONTH AGO AND IS IN CAREER BEST FORM RIGHT NOW. SHE EARNED A FIELD BEST 110 BEYER IN THAT RACE (SONGBIRD HAS NEVER RUN HIGHER THAN A 101). [/h][h=5][/h][h=5]WE WILL USE BOTH #8 BEHOLDER 5/2 AND #1 SONGBIRD 6/5 UNDERNEATH IN THE EXOTICS AS IT WOULD BE A PRETTY BIG SURPRISE IF THESE THREE DIDN'T ROUND OUT THE TRIFECTA IN SOME ORDER. THE ONLY OTHER HORSE THAT LOOKS INTERESTING AND COULD MIX THINGS UP A LITTLE BIT IS #7 I’M A CHATTERBOX. SHE WILL BE THE LIVE LONGSHOT IN HERE COMING OFF A VERY IMPRESSIVE WIN AT KEENELAND LAST TIME OUT. [/h][h=5]
SUGGESTED $0.50 PK4 TICKET: 1,2,3,5,6,11,13,14 / 3 / 1,2,3,4,5,10,14 / 1,5,8 = $84 TOTAL BET[/h][h=5]
GOOD LUCK ON DAY #1 OF THE 2016 BREEDERS’ CUP! [/h]
[h=5]
RACE 9: DISTAFF - PURSE: $2,000,000[/h][h=5]
THIS IS BY FAR THE MOST HYPED RACE OF DAY #1 AT THIS YEARS BREEDERS’ CUP. WE HAVE THE UNBEATEN 11 FOR 11 CHAMPION SONGBIRD TAKING ON OLDER HORSES FOR THE FIRST TIME AND SHE WILL SURELY FACE THE BIGGEST CHALLENGE OF HER CAREER TO DATE. SHE WILL MOST LIKELY TAKE WAY TOO MUCH MONEY TO MAKE HER PLAYABLE IN A WIN BET TAKING INTO ACCOUNT HER CHANCES OF ACTUALLY WINNING. [/h][h=5][/h][h=5]THEREFORE, WE WE WILL GO WITH #5 STELLAR WIND 5/2 AS THE TOP CHOICE IN HERE. SHE JUST WON ON THIS TRACK A LITTLE OVER A MONTH AGO AND IS IN CAREER BEST FORM RIGHT NOW. SHE EARNED A FIELD BEST 110 BEYER IN THAT RACE (SONGBIRD HAS NEVER RUN HIGHER THAN A 101). [/h][h=5][/h][h=5]WE WILL USE BOTH #8 BEHOLDER 5/2 AND #1 SONGBIRD 6/5 UNDERNEATH IN THE EXOTICS AS IT WOULD BE A PRETTY BIG SURPRISE IF THESE THREE DIDN'T ROUND OUT THE TRIFECTA IN SOME ORDER. THE ONLY OTHER HORSE THAT LOOKS INTERESTING AND COULD MIX THINGS UP A LITTLE BIT IS #7 I’M A CHATTERBOX. SHE WILL BE THE LIVE LONGSHOT IN HERE COMING OFF A VERY IMPRESSIVE WIN AT KEENELAND LAST TIME OUT. [/h][h=5]
SUGGESTED $0.50 PK4 TICKET: 1,2,3,5,6,11,13,14 / 3 / 1,2,3,4,5,10,14 / 1,5,8 = $84 TOTAL BET[/h][h=5]
GOOD LUCK ON DAY #1 OF THE 2016 BREEDERS’ CUP! [/h]
