Do the books take us for fools

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I was looking from site to site and can not believe how low the Patriots are to win the AFC....I saw 5/6 4/5 and 2/3...With 8 weeks to go why would anyone even consider taking odds that low...Anything can happen....A few cheap shots could easily derail the Patriots express....IMO it would be better to keep your money until the post season and just parlay the rounds the Pats are involved in..The payout would be greater and not tie up funds for over 2 months
 

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because the Patriots have proven over and over again that they can win with backup players, that they dont lose at home, that they dont miss a beat in freezing weather.

Having said that, I agree with you, in that some bets are unbetable. That's not a bad move just because "anything can happen" its a bad move because the risk far outweighs the reward.

laying 500 to win 100, or 1000 to win 150, or whatever it might be is stupid, not for any other reason than its not worth the risk. Even if you win 10 of those in a row it only takes 2 or 3 losses in row after and you have lost money
 

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IMO it would be better to keep your money until the post season and just parlay the rounds the Pats are involved in..The payout would be greater and not tie up funds for over 2 months
highly unlikely you would get anything close to 5/6 or 4/5 odds (1.83 and 1.80 in decimal odds) by betting on them in divisional home game + AFC title game. They would be a solid -10 at home against any other team in divisional round which is -500 ML (1.20 odds) and at least -7 in AFC title game at -350 (1.28 odds). those are combined odds of 1.54 or roughly 6/11 in fractional odds. If playoffs were today there isn't an AFC team that would be less than a TD underdog in New England.
 

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It's similar reasoning to why the Cubs had such shitty odds...

Did You Know: The Cubs were -200 (!!) to WIN THE DIVISION coming into this past season - despite the fact that the NL Central hosted, literally, the three best teams in the majors (record-wise) from the previous season. It's the definition of bullshit, but the books know what teams and futures will draw the most action no matter what
 

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