***** Nfl Week 13 Plays *****

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X-Large (27-18)
Large (37-30)
Average (15-16)



+15,549.6 for NFL season..........



3 team 10 point teaser:


Dallas +6.5, Saints +4.5, Seattle +3.........(XX-Large)........counts as 2 XL plays & is twice the wager, 4.8 to win 4
 

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Adding:


Bills ML (+145).......(Large)




3 team 10 point teaser:

Saints +4.5, Steelers +4, Colts +8.......(X-Large)
 

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Its been raining all day here so I have some time to post some trends:


Giants vs Pitt:

Giants are 16-0 ATS as dogs of 5 or more points after a SU win......


Saints vs Lions:

Lions are 3-17 SU after a Thanksgiving game past 20 years........Lions 1-7 ATS on the road after back to back home games.

Saints are 7-0 ATS in 2nd of back to back home games......



Gbay vs Texans:

Texans are 1-7-1 ATS lifetime vs NFC North.......

Gbay is 16-3-1 ATS after a win on Monday night.......Rodgers is also 11-1 ATS in December past 12


Seattle vs Carolina:

Wilson is 13-1-1ATS at home in his NFL career when favored by less than 7 (keep an eye on spread).......coach Carroll is 10-0 ATS past 10 in December vs non-division opponents.

Seattle is 1-7 ATS past 8 vs NFC South opponents.......
 

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Would you go with Sea or Car?

I like Seattle to win SU, the spread is difficult.......if I had to wager the spread, it would be Seattle -6.5.......Carolina last week came back from a deficit of 7-24 & took an 8 point lead, I think they're gassed out.

Also, Seattle was -7 last year at home vs Carolina & lost SU, Seattle also lost to Carolina in the playoffs......this is a double revenge factor as well.

Seattle doesn't want to lose the #2 seed.......
 

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I like Seattle to win SU, the spread is difficult.......if I had to wager the spread, it would be Seattle -6.5.......Carolina last week came back from a deficit of 7-24 & took an 8 point lead, I think they're gassed out.

Also, Seattle was -7 last year at home vs Carolina & lost SU, Seattle also lost to Carolina in the playoffs......this is a double revenge factor as well.

Seattle doesn't want to lose the #2 seed.......

Cam also tore down the 12th man fan banner at the playoff game which drew the ire of several Hawks...Seattle shouldn't need any extra motivation with playoff positioning in play, but with a team that plays best with a chip on its shoulder, it can't hurt
 

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C/group........BOL with all your action this weekend............indy
 

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3 lines confuse me this week.

Pitt - 6 (seems too much)

NO - 5 (up to 6 now) (also seem to high)

Oak - 3 (seems to low)


I don't know what to make of these lines. I like Det and NYG, I think. But the whole planet will be on Oakland, and it seems crazy book didn't at least add the hook, so I think Buffalo wins that game.

Any thoughts on MIA/B-More?
 

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3 lines confuse me this week.

Pitt - 6 (seems too much)

NO - 5 (up to 6 now) (also seem to high)

Oak - 3 (seems to low)


I don't know what to make of these lines. I like Det and NYG, I think. But the whole planet will be on Oakland, and it seems crazy book didn't at least add the hook, so I think Buffalo wins that game.

Any thoughts on MIA/B-More?

I have a headache looking at the Oak/Bills game & the Ravens/Miami game........you will get +3.5 on Bills & Miami by game day.

I'm staying far away from both of those games.......Raiders need to stay with the Pats, the Pats won't lose this week.

Steelers line IMO is correct......Giants gave a huge look ahead game vs Dallas next Sunday night.

Saints at -6 is a high line, & the Lions could cover, but I don't see the Saints losing this game SU.......
 

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Trends:

Patriots are 19-26 ATS as a double digit fav past 10 years...........

Miami is 5-1 ATS past 6 at the Ravens

Miami is 0-11 ATS in December games since 2013

Vikings are 14-3 ATS last 17 December games
 

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Adding Monday night play:


Colts -2 (-110).......$5,500 to win $5,000


Saints destroyed my teasers.......I'm.betting what I'm still up in profits on the Colts, if it loses, I will quit until the playoffs......good luck everyone!

Colts big play counts as 2 XL plays.
 

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