Starting Bankroll (20.10.2016): 1000
Last Picks: 1-0, +20.35
Profit: +125.71
Yield: +3.50%
----------------
8/12/2016
Game NHL - St Louis @ NY Islanders
Bet #201NY Islanders @2.18
Risk 33.80
Game NHL - Colorado @ Boston
Bet #202Colorado @2.64
Risk 22.50
Game NHL - New Jersey @ Montreal
Bet #203Montreal @1.64
Risk 45.00
Game NHL - NY Rangers @ Winnipeg
Bet #204NY Rangers @2.08
Risk 56.30
Game NHL - Nashville @ Dallas
Bet #205Dallas @2.05
Risk 22.50
[FONT="]COLORADO +164
My Projected Lines and the odds[/FONT]
[FONT="]Bookmakers opened Colorado at around 2.80 and they dropped those odds to around 2.65 and anyone, who played them for the first price has a nice value. I have projected, that Colorado should be the underdog of around 2.90, which doesn’t give the mathematical value, but sometimes I go against my numbers, based on other information. And this is today’s only play where I go against my numbers. [/FONT][FONT="]
[/FONT]
[FONT="]Match Up[/FONT]
[FONT="]Colorado Avalanche will start with Calvin Pickard, who is playing well this season. In fact he is playing better than their first goalie Varlamov, who has bad record and even worse SV% than Pickard. Calvin Pickard is 4-3 to the season and he has been great on the road with the record of 3-0 and SV% of 93.2%. His team Colorado is not playing well this season and they are for me personally big dissapointment. But still, they are good on the road against winning teams. They have 14 wins in last 22 games on the road against winning teams and what they do well is playing against Boston. In last 10 games against Boston, Colorado won 9. So, the story becomes even more interesting, because Boston could play without their best center Patrice Bergeron, who is waiting for suspension. Boston played a tough game yesterday against Washington on the road and they had to travel back home and their legs will be tired for sure, because they played overtime yesterday. And guess what, they lost 5 of last 6 games, when they were on 0 days rest. [/FONT]
[FONT="]Reason for pick[/FONT]
[FONT="]I usually don’t go against my math model, which predicts the outcomes of the games, but sometimes I go with my gut feeling and taking into account some other information. Colorado always play well against Boston, they also play better on the road, especially against winning teams. They will start with goalie, who is 3-0 on the road and they will face tired Boston team, who played yesterday an overtime game versus Washington. Boston is 1-5 in this situation. [/FONT]
[FONT="]Play Colorado[/FONT]
Last Picks: 1-0, +20.35
Profit: +125.71
Yield: +3.50%
----------------
8/12/2016
Game NHL - St Louis @ NY Islanders
Bet #201NY Islanders @2.18
Risk 33.80
Game NHL - Colorado @ Boston
Bet #202Colorado @2.64
Risk 22.50
Game NHL - New Jersey @ Montreal
Bet #203Montreal @1.64
Risk 45.00
Game NHL - NY Rangers @ Winnipeg
Bet #204NY Rangers @2.08
Risk 56.30
Game NHL - Nashville @ Dallas
Bet #205Dallas @2.05
Risk 22.50
[FONT="]COLORADO +164
My Projected Lines and the odds[/FONT]
[FONT="]Bookmakers opened Colorado at around 2.80 and they dropped those odds to around 2.65 and anyone, who played them for the first price has a nice value. I have projected, that Colorado should be the underdog of around 2.90, which doesn’t give the mathematical value, but sometimes I go against my numbers, based on other information. And this is today’s only play where I go against my numbers. [/FONT][FONT="]
[/FONT]
[FONT="]Match Up[/FONT]
[FONT="]Colorado Avalanche will start with Calvin Pickard, who is playing well this season. In fact he is playing better than their first goalie Varlamov, who has bad record and even worse SV% than Pickard. Calvin Pickard is 4-3 to the season and he has been great on the road with the record of 3-0 and SV% of 93.2%. His team Colorado is not playing well this season and they are for me personally big dissapointment. But still, they are good on the road against winning teams. They have 14 wins in last 22 games on the road against winning teams and what they do well is playing against Boston. In last 10 games against Boston, Colorado won 9. So, the story becomes even more interesting, because Boston could play without their best center Patrice Bergeron, who is waiting for suspension. Boston played a tough game yesterday against Washington on the road and they had to travel back home and their legs will be tired for sure, because they played overtime yesterday. And guess what, they lost 5 of last 6 games, when they were on 0 days rest. [/FONT]
[FONT="]Reason for pick[/FONT]
[FONT="]I usually don’t go against my math model, which predicts the outcomes of the games, but sometimes I go with my gut feeling and taking into account some other information. Colorado always play well against Boston, they also play better on the road, especially against winning teams. They will start with goalie, who is 3-0 on the road and they will face tired Boston team, who played yesterday an overtime game versus Washington. Boston is 1-5 in this situation. [/FONT]
[FONT="]Play Colorado[/FONT]
