Reading this comment on the NFL forum today has me wondering:
"The reason I'm even bringing this up is because you keep going on and on about how "you can't show me anyone here who's picking games at 67% a clip," when hitting 67%, 63% now, basically doesn't mean anything over the course of roughly 60 games. You could flip a coin 60 times and hit 75% or more no problem, so you can see how insignificant of a sample that is. I remember you really struggling last year which is why I'm posting this up now, I didn't say anything then. Feel free to fact check me yourself or anyone following your plays. I'm having a break even/slightly winning year myself but it's not a big deal because I haven't bet that many games. In 2014, I hit over 60%. In 2015, I hit around 55%. Again this is all relatively meaningless until you have capped 500, 800, 1000+ games which would probably take over a decade of betting the NFL at the rate you're betting. Realistically, you'd need at the bare minimum 500-1000 games before you will really have any idea if you're winning at "67% a clip" simply due to the volatile nature/variance of betting the NFL. Just bringing you down to earth a little bit. Take it as you will. Good luck the rest of the season kid. We need good cappers here on the RX."
"The reason I'm even bringing this up is because you keep going on and on about how "you can't show me anyone here who's picking games at 67% a clip," when hitting 67%, 63% now, basically doesn't mean anything over the course of roughly 60 games. You could flip a coin 60 times and hit 75% or more no problem, so you can see how insignificant of a sample that is. I remember you really struggling last year which is why I'm posting this up now, I didn't say anything then. Feel free to fact check me yourself or anyone following your plays. I'm having a break even/slightly winning year myself but it's not a big deal because I haven't bet that many games. In 2014, I hit over 60%. In 2015, I hit around 55%. Again this is all relatively meaningless until you have capped 500, 800, 1000+ games which would probably take over a decade of betting the NFL at the rate you're betting. Realistically, you'd need at the bare minimum 500-1000 games before you will really have any idea if you're winning at "67% a clip" simply due to the volatile nature/variance of betting the NFL. Just bringing you down to earth a little bit. Take it as you will. Good luck the rest of the season kid. We need good cappers here on the RX."