Super Bowl Future Odds Insane Value

PatsFan1283 said:

You wouldbe much better off just betting the moneyline by week for each 1.

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PatsFan1283 said:

You wouldbe much better off just betting the moneyline by week for each 1.

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Also, the 4 worst teams in a 12 team field can't all really be insane value unless you really think the top tier teams are overpriced.

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Wrong. For example If you put $10 on the Lions ML game 1 and put all the money on the remaining 3 Lions games ML you would not win $1000

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PatsFan1283 said:

Tough to say since we don't know their opponents but good chance it would get into that range.

Youre likely talking 4 games of between +250 to +400

If you have some type of thesis that all the top teams are overvalued and have a better chance to get beat than the market thinks then I do suppose it would be better to get on all 4 right now.

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PatsFan1283 said:

Tough to say since we don't know their opponents but good chance it would get into that range.

Youre likely talking 4 games of between +250 to +400

If you have some type of thesis that all the top teams are overvalued and have a better chance to get beat than the market thinks then I do suppose it would be better to get on all 4 right now.

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PatsFan1283 said:

+350 at sea, probably 400 for dal then likely +250ish at GB/atl/nyg on avg

Maybe +200 in the SB, no clue.....Obviously at that point they would likely be perceived a bit differently.

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PatsFan1283 said:

Off a bye, Dallas with much more to play for and Dallas did put it on them that game. Cant see them being less @ Dallas than they are at Seattle since Dallas is considered much better than Seattle.

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PatsFan1283 said:

You wouldbe much better off just betting the moneyline by week for each 1.

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This is always the way to do it in my opinion. Especially with the Lions in this case because they are going to be pretty heavy dogs all 4 games. For example:

Risk $10 on them

Game 1 vs. Seahawks: +300 - Win $30 so balance is now $40
Game 2 Risk $40 vs. Cowboys: +250 (conservative guess) - Win $100 so balance is now $140
Game 3 Risk $140 vs. Pack/NYG/Falcons: +200 (conservative guess) - Win $280 so balance is now $420
Game 4 Risk $420 vs. Pats/Chiefs/Steelers: +175 (conservative guess) - Win $735 so balance is now $1155.

So in this case you are essentially getting 114.5/1 odds. I currently see 90/1 at 5dimes.

This strategy also allows you to hedge at any point or take your winnings and run at any point.

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AlwayzRight said:

Don't see +400 at Dallas. They were +225 just 2 weeks ago at Dallas. But you never know, public would prob push it up a lot higher

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CHOPTALK said:

And also if you go the ML route you can make money on some of these teams possibly even if they don't win the super bowl.
You have to take that into account as well.

Betting the future wager its all or nothing .

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