Well, Im a homer from both sides: grew up in New England and a Houstonian for the past 13 years. I fear the Texans will be humiliated here, despite recent impressive displays from Texan's defense. I love Mercilus and Clowney, but dont see the Texans putting up enough points to cover the spread.
I like the pats also..only thing that makes me question the pats is what colin cowherd brought up today..there defense has faced no good quarterbacks this year so the defensive stats may look good but considering who they played its iffy..i still hav to go with gut instinct but may be doing it in a teaser instead..bol chonce
Yes,I mean on principle you typically take 16 points everytime. A back-door cover is also possible. But this may be the last chance for me to win off NE, who has been a cash cow all year...and I really think they will keep Houston out of the endzone...below 10 points. But I won't rule out looking for a middle if things are going well at half.
Yes , agree. NE has a weak strength of schedule, there is no denying that. But they beat bad opponents with such ease, that I don't want to hold it against them too much. It would be one thing if they weren't covering and were sliding by with dicey wins. But for the most part they have shut down bad offenses at least in terms of scoring. They lead the league in defensive scoring. I don't think they have the best defense, of course, but it handles teams like the Texans pretty easily. This is why I also threw a unit on the UNDER.
My biggest fear is BB allows Cyrus Jones to return a kick, or to be on the field during a special teams play in any fashion.
Add:
SEA/ATL OVER 52 - 1 unit
I am tailing OldManTed on this one. He is also on Seattle, but I can't choose a side. I would probably lean ATL but I am not laying this much chalk. So, admittedly, I am chasing action here. But OldManTed is right more often than he is wrong, so what the hell...?
SEA/ATL OVER 52 - 1 unit
I am tailing OldManTed on this one. He is also on Seattle, but I can't choose a side. I would probably lean ATL but I am not laying this much chalk. So, admittedly, I am chasing action here. But OldManTed is right more often than he is wrong, so what the hell...?
There is no doubt they had a weak schedule. But they also won in a fashion that reflects that, which is why it doesn't bother me. Also, as others have mentioned, isn't how they perform vs a bad QB the right metric? Brock is arguably the worst starter (is he even the starter stlll or is Savage still hurt) in the league. I wouldn't fault anyone for blindly taking the points on principle, but it is hard enough for me to imagine the Texans keeping this close. The Pat's will be conservative in the 2nd half if they have a big lead, but they will also play safe zones and force Brock to make 10+ play drives to score -- giving him as much oppurtunity for a mistake as possible. They will protect against the big play... so Houston will have to avoid mistakes to score, even if the Pat's give them short yardage.
I would not be stunned if the Texans get a lot of 2nd half yards, and maybe even more than a few third down conversion, but still lack a lot of points to show for it.
I agree you can't knock them for who they played and certainly don't think it makes a damn bit of difference in this one. More of a question for next round and SB when they face capable offenses. I'm really trying to talk myself into pats as I think they for sure the right side, it just a matter of me not liking to even lay 7 very often let alone 2tds +! Really don't see hou scoring more than 10, I have pats round 27 so agree w them and under. Gl
not many better bets than taking andy ried's club with a extra week to prepare. For all the crap he gets nobody does a better job with the extra week, combine that with a great home field vs a Steeler team that doesn't exactly play their best on the road. Definitely feel like value in kc laying less than 3.
Wow, had to sweat that Pat's game out, but Brock came through!
For the week: 2-1 + 2.9 units
Playoffs so far:4-3 + 2.7 units
Overall: 91-57 + 16.41 units
I am mulling what to do for GB/DAL. GB FH + 3.5 seems like good value, as does Dallas TT UNDER 30, but I am not positive what I will do yet, if anything
Still have KC ML pending for 2 units at (-125).
Good luck!
For the week: 2-1 + 2.9 units
Playoffs so far:4-3 + 2.7 units
Overall: 91-57 + 16.41 units
I am mulling what to do for GB/DAL. GB FH + 3.5 seems like good value, as does Dallas TT UNDER 30, but I am not positive what I will do yet, if anything
Still have KC ML pending for 2 units at (-125).
Good luck!
