I would let Beal take this 3 over Wall.
He had a good look
Wizards -220 over ATL is some value.
Wizards in general been underrated all year and the Hawks are probably an 8 seed caliber team that got off to a good start. Wizards were probably on their way to beating a much better Hawks team 2 years ago before Wall broke his wrist.
I had Wizards odds pegged at around where the Raps/Celts are in their 1st round matchups.
And for the hot take portion of this post, I think the Wizards have the best chance to make the finals after "The Big Two"
Wizards in general been underrated all year and the Hawks are probably an 8 seed caliber team that got off to a good start. Wizards were probably on their way to beating a much better Hawks team 2 years ago before Wall broke his wrist.
I had Wizards odds pegged at around where the Raps/Celts are in their 1st round matchups.
And for the hot take portion of this post, I think the Wizards have the best chance to make the finals after "The Big Two"
If people don't wanna lay the -220 they can just bet them every game, I usually just bet the series bigger and then the individual games smaller on series I like though. The risk there is that if it is the right side the oddsmakers adjust the line intra-series but that really only happens after you've got a few winners already. Think Wizards 12-1 to win the East is solid but if they're only gonna be -220 vs the Hawks then probably just better off betting it by rd. Unless someone liked the Raptors vs the Cavs in rd 2 then the Wizards by rd would be lower, but I really don't.
I'll bet OKC at +280....I think there is enough of a possibility that Houston's offense doesn't translate to the postseason and OKC is a really good defensive team equipped to defend them. But the Thunder are just bad offensively and even if Houston's efficiency isn't there, it just might be tough for OKC to match pts with a team shooting 40 3's a game. But OKC is atleast live in that spot.
Jazz/Clippers I'll probably look at closer but I would've liked that better if the Jazz got homecourt and Clipps were then much less of a fav. I think the Jazz lack of offense might be a lot to overcome in that series but odds not great. Probably more of a game by game type series.
Really nothing on the other 1's, I'm bearish on the Celtics in general (will bet Wiz rd 2 vs them assuming odds are around what they would be right now) but just not really into the Bulls. If it was the Pacers against the Celts I think I would've found that a little more interesting.
All of these are at first glance though so I'll check if I see anything else.
I'll bet OKC at +280....I think there is enough of a possibility that Houston's offense doesn't translate to the postseason and OKC is a really good defensive team equipped to defend them. But the Thunder are just bad offensively and even if Houston's efficiency isn't there, it just might be tough for OKC to match pts with a team shooting 40 3's a game. But OKC is atleast live in that spot.
Jazz/Clippers I'll probably look at closer but I would've liked that better if the Jazz got homecourt and Clipps were then much less of a fav. I think the Jazz lack of offense might be a lot to overcome in that series but odds not great. Probably more of a game by game type series.
Really nothing on the other 1's, I'm bearish on the Celtics in general (will bet Wiz rd 2 vs them assuming odds are around what they would be right now) but just not really into the Bulls. If it was the Pacers against the Celts I think I would've found that a little more interesting.
All of these are at first glance though so I'll check if I see anything else.
Playing defense at the PG position is brutal in the regular season, besides a few guys, nobody really ups intensity and fights through all those pick and rolls on a night to night basis.
The last time Wall was in the playoffs, he really took that part of his game to another level. Shutdown Lowry rd 1 and Teague in game 1 of the Hawks series before breaking his wrist. He definitely has potential to be a disruptive force.
Another thing is the Wizards had no bench most of the year, just tough when 5 guys are playing that many minutes to keep up on that end vs deeper teams. Playoffs rotations get shorter and starters matter a lot more. Depth is worth less.
So I think they will atleast be able to be OK there in this rd, and the Hawks are just not a good offensive team.
The last time Wall was in the playoffs, he really took that part of his game to another level. Shutdown Lowry rd 1 and Teague in game 1 of the Hawks series before breaking his wrist. He definitely has potential to be a disruptive force.
Another thing is the Wizards had no bench most of the year, just tough when 5 guys are playing that many minutes to keep up on that end vs deeper teams. Playoffs rotations get shorter and starters matter a lot more. Depth is worth less.
So I think they will atleast be able to be OK there in this rd, and the Hawks are just not a good offensive team.
