Writeup/opinion: Brooklyn +7 over Indiana, Friday night

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"7:30 PM EST. Buying-low and selling-high is a thing we champion to the fullest extent. In the case of the Indiana Pacers and the Brooklyn Nets, we have two teams with contrasting stocks. Currently, the Pacers are riding a four-game winning streak so its stock is higher than it should be. Contrarily, the Nets are 1-9 in their previous 10, losing their previous seven in a row. Immediately, those results can easily dissuade action on the Nets while encouraging many to hop aboard the Pacers."

"Essentially what this does is allow Brooklyn to come in under-the-radar with a low floor and a very high ceiling. While the Pacers have won the last two against Brooklyn this season in Indy (covering in both occasions as well), the Nets defeated the Pacers outright in Brooklyn in October of this season when the Nets closed as a six-point home pup to defeat the Pacers by nine. Despite the prevailing emphasis of Indiana’s overall hot-streak coupled with the Nets owning one of the worst records in the NBA, the market has a hard time backing a team that is going so bad but we do not. What is most noteworthy here is that the Pacers and the Nets own nearly identical records against the spread (Indiana is 21-26 ATS, while Brooklyn is 21-25 ATS) despite the Pacers being 17 games better than Brooklyn. What this says is that the Pacers have a tendency to be overvalued and contrarily the Nets have been busting up parlays all season long in comparison to their abysmal portfolio of performances overall."

"This is typically what we see with bottom-feeding teams. Since no one wants a piece of them, they’re often taking back a friendly price tag and this is what it in play here again. While Brooklyn has won only nine games this season, seven of them came at the Barclay’s Center. Despite the Islanders playing in this same building, in which we called a morgue previously, the facility has had an uncanny way of influencing the Nets to pick up some impressive wins. Most notably, the Nets took down a fully-stacked Los Angeles Clippers team in double overtime on November 29th and they also have defeated teams such as Charlotte and Denver as 6½ and 4½ point pups. Although the Pacers have won their previous two on the road, the Pacers are 8-15 overall away from Indy. Given the fact that the Pacers have been so shaky away from Indy, they are no position to be spotting this many points to anyone and that includes the Nets. Big time overlay and we’re on it."


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Posted for info & discussion purposes only. I have no opinion on the above.
 

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