Betting nuggets to know for Super Bowl LI
Rob Nelson
ESPN Staff Writer
Looking to bet on Super Bowl LI this weekend? Be sure to check out our betting nuggets below, compiled by Rob Nelson of ESPN Stats & Information.
All lines are courtesy of Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook.
New England Patriots vs. Atlanta Falcons
Line: Patriots -3; over/under: 59
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Rob Nelson
ESPN Staff Writer
Looking to bet on Super Bowl LI this weekend? Be sure to check out our betting nuggets below, compiled by Rob Nelson of ESPN Stats & Information.
All lines are courtesy of Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook.
Line: Patriots -3; over/under: 59
- In the previous 15 Super Bowls, underdogs are 11-4 ATS, with eight outright wins.
- This will be the highest over/under in Super Bowl history. Of the previous four highest totals, three went under.
| SB | TEAMS | O/U | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| LI | Patriots vs. Falcons | 59 | ? |
| XLIV | Saints vs. Colts | 56.5 | Under |
| XLII | Giants vs. Patriots | 54.5 | Under |
| XLVI | Giants vs. Patriots | 54 | Under |
| XXIX | Chargers vs. 49ers | 54 | Over |
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- The over is 15-3 in Falcons games this season, the highest mark in the NFL.
- Of the past 10 Patriots games with a total of 50 or above, nine went under the total.
- The total has gone under in four of the Patriots' previous six Super Bowls under Bill Belichick.
- Tom Brady is 16-16-1 ATS and 24-9 SU in his playoff career. In his six previous Super Bowl appearances, Brady is 2-4 ATS and 4-2 SU.
- Brady is 4-0 ATS and 4-0 SU against the Falcons in his career, with two of those wins/covers coming against Matt Ryan.
- Ryan is 2-5 ATS in his playoff career, with the only covers coming this season against the Seahawks and Packers. Ryan is 0-2 ATS in his two playoff games on the road.
- The Patriots are 15-3 ATS this season, having covered in seven straight games. This marks the second-best ATS record by a team in the past 40 seasons -- the 1989 49ers went 16-3 ATS.
- Only the Patriots and Saints have been better against the spread than the Falcons this season, who are 12-6 ATS.
- The Falcons are 5-0 ATS with four outright wins as an underdog this season. They went 7-6 ATS as a favorite.
</aside>GAME OPPONENT LINE RESULT SB LI Patriots +3 ? Week 6 at Seahawks +6.5 Lost by 2 Week 5 at Broncos +4.5 Won by 7 Week 4 Panthers +3 Won by 15 Week 3 at Saints +2.5 Won by 13 Week 2 at Raiders +4.5 Won by 7
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</tbody>- The Patriots are making their ninth Super Bowl appearance. New England is favored for the sixth straight time in the Super Bowl after having been a double-digit underdog in each of its first three appearances.
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- The Falcons are making their second Super Bowl appearance. In its only Super Bowl back in the 1998 season, Atlanta lost 34-19 to Denver, failing to cover as 7.5-point underdogs.
- The Patriots entered this season as 6-1 favorites to win the Super Bowl. New England has been the favorite to win it all after every week this season.
- The Falcons entered this season at 80-1 to win the Super Bowl, tied for the 23rd-best odds in the NFL. After a Week 1 loss to the Buccaneers, Atlanta's odds to win it all dropped to 100-1.
- This will mark the eighth straight Super Bowl with a closing spread of fewer than six points. Before this recent stretch, only four of the previous 24 Super Bowls had a closing spread of fewer than six points.
