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Thread: ~Hårr¥THëHÄT~

  1. #1 ~Hårr¥THëHÄT~ 
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    Week #17
    Bet - 4 Chiefs ...1% Of My Bankroll + Money Line -$205... 2 % Of My Bankroll WON
    New York Giants + 7 1/2 WON
    Jets + 3 1/2 WON
    My Bet -3 GB.. 3 % Of My Bankroll WON
    GB Money Line -$180 WON
    This teaser is a press from my win in week# 16 >7 point 2 team teaser NYG +14 1/2 with GB + 4 a Dime bet off a Nickle bet on week #16 WON
    7 point 2 team teaser[ with a option to press in wild card games] KC + 3 with NYJ +10 1/2 Nickle Bet WON
    Wild Card Games
    My Bet Pittsburgh - 10 WON
    My bet 7 point three team teaser with a win off of week #17 to a press> Pittsburgh - 3 & Houston + 3 1/2 & Seahawks-1 WON
    My Bet -8 Seahawks. WON
    My Bet -4 GB [Buying The 1/2 Point ] Betting the Money Line GB-$230 WON
    Two team 7 point teaser Seahawks-1 & Pittsburgh - 3 a press bet from week #17 that was my 2nd teaser win.WON
    Divisional Playoffs
    Dallas-4 [ buying a 1/2 point ] Thursday night bet] Lost
    Atlanta & 1st half -3 Atlanta WON
    ATLANTA> -$230 Money Line WON
    My Bet + 1 1/2 Pittsburgh WON
    7 point 2 team teaser on this game with Pittsburgh> NE -10 & PIT + 8 1/2 WON
    Last 3 weeks 16-1
    On to the Conference Games



    Split on the >Conference Games 2-2
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  2. #2  
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    Compared to all three power ratings. Danny Sheridan power rating, Dunkel Index power rating,& The DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders rating >>>>- Atlanta has put up far more points per game (33.8 to 27.6) but New England defense is much better (just 15.6 points per game to 25.4 pts/g given up by Atlanta). Sets up as NE defense vs ATL offense .Defense wins games>The DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders point spread> New England by 7... My opinion on score (38-31) New England
    Posted by: Vincent Verhei NFL Football Outsiders on Jan 2017>>> Great Read !!!!!!

    In their bad games, the New England defense gave up tons of catches to opposing No. 1 wide receivers, but those receptions were by and large on shorter routes. Meanwhile, all the other wide receivers were running low-percentage, high-reward deep routes through the Patriots secondary. There's a bit of a chicken-or-egg question to this -- is this the way opponents chose to attack the Patriots, or is this the way the Patriots defense forced offenses to play? -- but it's easy to visualize Julio Jones catching a lot of curls and crossers to draw coverage to himself, then Taylor Gabriel and Mohamed Sanu streaking by New England's lesser corners in one-on-one matchups for big plays. This is another reason Atlanta will need to go pass-wacky against the Patriots -- the more often they drop back to pass, the more chances they will have to hit on those low-percentage throws. This also jibes with what we wrote about Atlanta last week: the Super Bowl will likely decided by New England's ability to cover Taylor and Sanu.
    The Falcons offense was the NFL's best in 2016 and should have a big edge over New England's defense, but the Patriots offense was second-best and should enjoy an even bigger edge against Atlanta's defense. In a game where the first team to punt likely loses, Atlanta will need to use all of its weapons to the best of their abilities to bring home the Lombardi Trophy.
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  3. #3  
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    My record this season speaks for itself!!!!
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  4. #4  
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    Hey Harry I enjoy reading your write-ups during the season. Do you have any teams who may be undervalued against the point spread, to start the season? Any teams to stay away from?
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  5. #5  
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    Quote Originally Posted by Blutarski View Post
    Hey Harry I enjoy reading your write-ups during the season. Do you have any teams who may be undervalued against the point spread, to start the season? Any teams to stay away from?
    Not yet and two early for predictions Blutarski. Looking at stats during the exhibition games for stats and player performance ... most of all will be evaluating point spreads with money lines on 1st two games.
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  6. #6  
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    The important part of placing sports wagers is your return on investment, also known as ROI. A sports bettor’s return on a investment is a calculation based on his winning percentage and the amount of money invested overall. In my opinion you should work out ROI[return on investment]based on how many games you wager on and how much bet per game. Like with any business understanding the return on your sports betting investment is key to maintaining a profit. Bankroll management[ I use Bob Martins money management system that works for me year after year]. Its called a press concept to learn, but a difficult one to keep in practice. All gamblers have a tendency to want to take a big risk in search of a big payoff, but sticking to a fairly rigid set of rules about your bankroll can keep you from blowing your budget based on a hunch or an emotional wager. Figuring out why you’re betting on NFL, whether it’s just for fun or as a way to make a living, is a big part of managing your bankroll. Quitting while you’re ahead is not the same as quitting.
    Hårr¥THëHÄT
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  7. #7  
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    The Golden Nugget has released odds on all 256 potential Super Bowl LII matchups available for betting at its sportsbook in downtown Vegas. The most likely Super Bowl matchup is the defending champion New England Patriots facing the Dallas Cowboys at 7-1, followed by the Patriots taking on the Green Bay Packers at 8-1. The Patriots are coming off an incredibly successful season in the eyes of bettors, tying the all-time-best against-the-spread mark at 16-3 ATS and going 17-2 straight-up. New England is the favorite across Las Vegas sportsbooks to win Super Bowl LII, with 3-1 odds at the Westgate Las Vegas Super Book. The Golden Nugget believes the least likely matchup is a New York Jets-San Francisco 49ers Super Bowl, putting the odds at 5,000-1. That is roughly equivalent to what some sportsbooks set the odds that Leicester City would win the Champions League in 2015-2016. In 10,000 simulations of ESPN's FPI, a 49ers-Jets Super Bowl didn't happen once.
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