Forum: Site Promotions Forum. - Post any Promotional or Sports Service information here. Warning - Records posted here are not verified by The Rx.com. Use Caution.

Thread: Underdogchance.com

Page 2 of 4 FirstFirst 1234 LastLast
  1. #26  
    RX Junior Underdogchance's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2016
    Location
    Europe
    Posts
    413
    100% FREE PICKS - Underdogchance.com

    TOTAL NUMBER OF PICKS: 633
    WON: 352
    LOST: 262
    PUSH: 19
    YIELD: +9.52
    PROFIT: +6,117.81


    14ie4x5.png
    Reply With Quote  
     

  2. #27  
    RX Junior Underdogchance's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2016
    Location
    Europe
    Posts
    413
    Projected Lines and Picks - May 22

    CUBS (Lackey) vs SAN FRANCISCO (Blach)

    My Projected Lines and the odds
    The public will be Cubs today and the odds already dropped little bit. Right now, we can get Cubs at around 1.52, which is still more than I have projected. I have projected, that Cubs will have around 77.4% of chance to win this game. My projected odds on them are 1.29. Because of that, we have some value with the Cubs.

    Match Up
    Cubs won 4 out of last 5 games and we expect some more games like these from last years champions of course. Their bats are hot right now as they score 8.2 runs per game in last 5 games. They score 5.2 runs per game to the season at home and they score 6.6 runs per game versus lefties (they will face left handed pitcher today).

    San Francisco Giants are 7-3 in last 10 games, but I still don’t trust them, especially on the road and in the games, where they will have pitching disadvantage. They score only 3.4 runs per game to the season and 3.6 runs per game versus right handed pitchers 8they will face right handed pitcher today).

    Cubs will start with Lackey, who is 4-3 to the season and in last 3 games he is pitching better too. 49 strike outs in 47 innings pitched this season is much better than Blach on the other side, who has only 9 strike outs in 29 innings and 7 walks.
    Blach, who will pitch for San Francisco has ERA of 4.03 and will face today one of the best teams in the league. In his only road game this season, he pitched only 3 innings and allowed 8 runs.

    Reason for pick

    Chicago Cubs are red hot and they bats are hitting some runs lately. This is exactly what I need in this one. They will face left handed pitcher, who didn’t play well in his only road game this season, when he allowed 8 runs in just 3 innings. San Francisco is also one of the worst hitting teams in the league and they lost 9 out of 10 games in Chicago in last 3 seasons.

    Play Cubs (Lackey) -1.5
    Reply With Quote  
     

  3. #28  
    RX Junior Underdogchance's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2016
    Location
    Europe
    Posts
    413
    Reply With Quote  
     

  4. #29  
    RX Junior Underdogchance's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2016
    Location
    Europe
    Posts
    413
    5 Sneaky Ways Sports Betting Services Fool You Into Buying Their Picks

    Sports betting is a huge business. Illegal or legal, gamblers will always find the way to risk their money or look for someone who can make them rich in a very short time, if possible.

    On one side, we have bettors, gamblers, sports investors, and all kinds of people, who try to win money in sports betting.

    On the other side, we have bookmakers that take bets, and they are definitely the big winners at the end.

    Somewhere in the middle, paid sports picks services were born. I am not talking about sports analysts, bloggers, or all kind of sports fans, or entrepreneurs, that work in betting industry, but I am talking about those who sell so-called betting picks.

    The motivation for writing this article is Money Talks – Sports Handicapping Reality TV. How they sell this advice, and what they promise is a huge fraud, and they even made a show from this.

    A guy comes to Las Vegas for three days with $50,000 and they promise him that he will win big. He is advised to bet from $10,000 to $12,000 on one game.
    Smart sports investors do not bet more than 1-2% of their bankroll, and he was advised to bet more than 20% on a game.
    Ladies and gentlemen, such an advice is not advice, but selling some unrealistic gambling dreams. If you decide to gamble, do it for yourself. If you gamble and you want to make a lot of money in three days, you don’t need an advisor. You just need a lot of luck. There is nobody in the world that can have such an edge over the bookmakers to make you huge money in just 3 days.
    And the best part, if he wins, they split the profit. If he loses, it is like nothing happened. So, basically one guy comes to gamble and if he wins, he will just share his profit with some so-called advisor.

    This is probably one of the biggest scams that I’ve seen.

    So, what are paid sports betting sites, and how can they fool you?

    They are sites or people that sell betting advice and usually they guarantee big wins, big money, and gamblers are willing to pay for their advice.

    But are they really so good? Can they really make money for you? Do they really have the edge over the bookmakers or is it just good (or bad) marketing?

    Do you think gamblers, who already struggle with some addiction, can think rationally after someone tells them that they can solve all the problems with good “winning” advice?

    No.

    Not only gamblers, but also all other people are easily fooled into spending money for such services. Here is how they do this:

    Manipulating with results
    Sports events are displayed with odds. So, what are the odds? Odds are probabilities that something will happen (example: Boston will win this game), turned into numbers. Odds are the prices that gamblers will pay, and if they want to win against the bookmakers, they will need to find the method that will give them the edge over the bookmakers. In other words, their probabilities must be better than bookmakers’ probabilities.

    To understand this, we will take the coin flip experiment as an example. I hope you agree with me that we don’t have an edge, and if we repeat this experiment a lot of times, Heads and Tails will “happen” 50% and 50% times.

    But does this mean, that if we flip a coin 30 times, that Heads and Tails will always be 15 – 15?

    No. You can do experiment for yourself. I just did it and it was 17-13 for Heads.

    So, we agree, that I don’t have any edge, right? But I can also manipulate with the “Heads” record. I can say that am on a 17-13 run for “Heads”. This is how sports betting services manipulate with results. “We are on a 9-1 run. We are on 43-32 run. We are making huge money three straight days….” They don’t have any edge and most of those results, that you see on the internet are by a luck, not by a skill. This is how they can easily manipulate the results.

    They claim they are experts
    Who is an expert? This is a person who is very knowledgeable in a particular area. Most of those betting services will claim that they are experts. But in reality, most of them are not experts, but just sports fans and they found the way how to sell betting advice. The world has changed. Sports betting is a serious business. And bookmakers are getting stronger and stronger every year. They use all kind of statistical methods to predict those games. They hire the smartest people to calculate the best lines. They hire people that are experienced and can adapt to new situations quickly.
    Many betting services don’t use any statistical method, they don’t use analytics, and if you ask them basic things, like what is a yield, ROI, linear regression, or something like this, they don’t know the answer.
    They will also claim that they have the right information, but with the internet you don’t need to pay for information anymore. Information is easy to find and unless they use advanced statistics to give you some value with in-depth analysis, you can do at least that good for sure.

    Manipulating with the truth about bookmakers, their limits, and the odds
    The ugly truth about sports betting is that around 97-98% of all people lose. That means that they will give more money to bookmakers than they take from them.
    So, only around 2-3% of all bettors consistently beat bookmakers, but bookmakers do everything to limit their winnings with bet limitations, closing their accounts, and dropping the odds. So, even those successful bettors face all kinds of troubles with bookmakers.
    An average bettor will not understand this and he can easily create an illusion that he will get the same odds as a betting service, which promised him huge money. Almost every bettor dreams about how he will live a dream and bet more and more money.
    But in reality, most bookmakers will limit you or even close your account if you start winning.
    The second thing are the odds. Bookmakers are fast and they will move the line quickly. Most bettors will never get the same lines as sports handicappers that send them picks. And the odds are the key. If you get -101 instead of +101 it can be the difference between winning and losing on a 50% hit rate.

    Money back guarantees
    They try to attract people with money back guarantee. But, if you pay $300 and lose $10,000, do you think that you will care about that $300? NO.
    A money back guarantee is just marketing trick. It does not work in sports betting field; nothing is guaranteed. This is sports betting, it is a very risky business and anything can happen in every single game. Lock, Monster, Guaranteed, Lock of The Year and words like this, should not be used. Many people fall into this trap.

    Marketing and reversal Pareto principle 20/80
    There are smart gamblers who can make a profit and most of them bet for themselves without selling picks. If they want to beat bookmakers, they need to spend most of the time analysing the games.
    With most betting services the story is totally different. They will spend 80% of time on marketing, spamming on social media, and how to sell their picks.

    I am not saying that there are not smart investors and handicappers that can’t beat bookmakers. In fact, I think that there are people who are smart and disciplined enough to make a profit in sports betting. I am one of them and you can find my daily investment picks totally for free on my site. But to find them is very hard and even if you can find them it is almost not possible to follow their advice and get the same profit.


    Underdogchance.com
    Reply With Quote  
     

  5. #30  
     

  6. #31  
    RX Junior Underdogchance's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2016
    Location
    Europe
    Posts
    413
    My Projected MLB Lines with comments for Monday


    Reply With Quote  
     

  7. #32  
    RX Junior Underdogchance's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2016
    Location
    Europe
    Posts
    413
    BITCOIN SPORTS BETTING CHALLENGE:
    Make $30.000 in 3.5 years with investment of only $50 per month

    About this challenge
    With this challenge I want to make $30.000 by December 1st 2020. I will start with starting investment of $50 and then I will add extra $50 each month (after 42 months, I will invest total of $2100)

    It would be perfect if you can invest $2100 from the start, but most people are struggling with Money and with this challenge I will put myself into a position of a guy, who has small salary of $500 per month. This is a great challenge for me and I was thinking a lot about this. Not only, that I will need to be successful in sports betting, but also I will need little bit help from cryptocurrency market. Don’t stop reading, because I will explain everything…

    Here is my plan how to do this....
    Reply With Quote  
     

  8. #33  
    RX Junior Underdogchance's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2016
    Location
    Europe
    Posts
    413
    Wednesday - 28/6/2017

    Reply With Quote  
     

  9. #34  
    RX Junior Underdogchance's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2016
    Location
    Europe
    Posts
    413
    Reply With Quote  
     

  10. #35  
    RX Junior Underdogchance's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2016
    Location
    Europe
    Posts
    413
    Reply With Quote  
     

  11. #36  
    RX Junior Underdogchance's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2016
    Location
    Europe
    Posts
    413
    Reply With Quote  
     

  12. #37  
    RX Junior Underdogchance's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2016
    Location
    Europe
    Posts
    413
    Reply With Quote  
     

  13. #38  
    RX Junior Underdogchance's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2016
    Location
    Europe
    Posts
    413
    RECAP of MY RESULTS in 2017


    Reply With Quote  
     

  14. #39  
    RX Junior Underdogchance's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2016
    Location
    Europe
    Posts
    413
    Reply With Quote  
     

  15. #40  
    RX Junior
    Join Date
    Jul 2017
    Location
    Toronto
    Posts
    14
    hey man good stats. think i will get started. do you suggest any good bookmakers for canadian customers?
    Reply With Quote  
     

  16. #41  
    RX Junior Underdogchance's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2016
    Location
    Europe
    Posts
    413
    Quote Originally Posted by fya888 View Post
    hey man good stats. think i will get started. do you suggest any good bookmakers for canadian customers?
    Hi, thanks for your comment.

    Bookmakers: PINNACLE definitely and I like bitcoin bookmakers as something for the future (Nitrogensports, Cloudbet,...). But Pinnacle for Canadiens is must have. I play on Pinnacle.

    You can also check bookmakers on my site: here

    Reply With Quote  
     

  17. #42  
    RX Junior Underdogchance's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2016
    Location
    Europe
    Posts
    413
    Reply With Quote  
     

  18. #43  
    RX Junior
    Join Date
    Jul 2017
    Location
    Toronto
    Posts
    14
    good picks man. do you bet other sports? international ones?
    Reply With Quote  
     

  19. #44  
    RX Junior Underdogchance's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2016
    Location
    Europe
    Posts
    413
    Quote Originally Posted by fya888 View Post
    good picks man. do you bet other sports? international ones?
    I bet basketball too, you can check my records on my site underdogchance.com . Mostly European basketball.

    Reply With Quote  
     

  20. #45  
    RX Junior Underdogchance's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2016
    Location
    Europe
    Posts
    413
    Reply With Quote  
     

  21. #46  
    RX Junior Underdogchance's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2016
    Location
    Europe
    Posts
    413
    Reply With Quote  
     

  22. #47  
    RX Junior Underdogchance's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2016
    Location
    Europe
    Posts
    413
    Reply With Quote  
     

  23. #48  
    RX Junior Underdogchance's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2016
    Location
    Europe
    Posts
    413
    Reply With Quote  
     

  24. #49  
    RX Junior Underdogchance's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2016
    Location
    Europe
    Posts
    413
    Reply With Quote  
     

  25. #50  
    RX Junior Underdogchance's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2016
    Location
    Europe
    Posts
    413
    Reply With Quote  
     

Posting Permissions
  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •