Best way to hedge Oregon @ 85:1 national title

knickfan · Mar 27, 2017

Here's what I'm looking at risk 5* win 425* oregon national title.

what's the greatest number I can guarantee myself?

I think the futures market has too much juice built in so I should do game by game.... the big variable is does SC have a chance?

Gonzaga would be -160 vs Oregon
and SC would be +130 vs. Oregon

UNC is -200 vs Oregon (but I'm sure you can all see that)

919 · Mar 27, 2017

When was Oregon 85-1?

JF711 · Mar 27, 2017

You can't lock in a lot without giving up all the upside so....

25* on NC -200. If NC wins you pick up 20*

if they lose, you now have 55 invested to get 425 so

Gonz would be -170 against Oregon let's say and you take gonz for 100*. If gonz wins you bet 45*. If Oregon wins you win 200*

If SC beats the Zags you are in an even better position and hedge SC at plus money

adjust accordingly but that's the basic idea

Haystacks · Mar 27, 2017

919 said:
When was Oregon 85-1?

Apparently, at the time he placed the bet. Not too far fetched before they kicked it into gear. Heck they were 30-1 before the tourney

Forcelite · Mar 29, 2017

No way SC wins it all, hedge on the other teams
Force

tmader7 · Mar 29, 2017

Forcelite said:
No way SC wins it all, hedge on the other teams
Force

And how old are you??? 1983, NCState beat Phi Slama Jama. In 1985, Rollie pulled a rabbit out of his hat to beat a heavily favored John Thompson. In 1988, Danny Manning singly handed a heavily favored OU team a loss. Don't tell us it can't be done, I've watched it happen.

~T~

DoubleJ · Mar 29, 2017

tmader7 said:
And how old are you??? 1983, NCState beat Phi Slama Jama. In 1985, Rollie pulled a rabbit out of his hat to beat a heavily favored John Thompson. In 1988, Danny Manning singly handed a heavily favored OU team a loss. Don't tell us it can't be done, I've watched it happen.

~T~

+1 -- good God it's happened in far more surprising situations than SC would be this year!

919 · Mar 29, 2017

Haystacks said:
Apparently, at the time he placed the bet. Not too far fetched before they kicked it into gear. Heck they were 30-1 before the tourney

they were 11-1 at the beginning of the season when I bet it...that's why I asked

11/11/16 12:00pm Basketball NCAA Men's Basketball National Champion 2016/17 - Oregon +1100*

Haystacks · Mar 29, 2017

Hopefully you me and knickfan are all gonna look like geniuses

Forcelite · Mar 29, 2017

tmader7 said:
And how old are you??? 1983, NCState beat Phi Slama Jama. In 1985, Rollie pulled a rabbit out of his hat to beat a heavily favored John Thompson. In 1988, Danny Manning singly handed a heavily favored OU team a loss. Don't tell us it can't be done, I've watched it happen.

~T~

Look betting is by its very nature gambling. If your gonna pick a hedge, I am on betting against SC. We can all come back in a week and see who was right .
Force

Loves2kickass · Mar 30, 2017

85-1? Maybe he meant Oregon State? lol

varkeyboy · Mar 30, 2017

Loves2kickass said:
85-1? Maybe he meant Oregon State? lol

.....or......SC!!!........lol!

knickfan · Mar 30, 2017

Haystacks said:
Hopefully you me and knickfan are all gonna look like geniuses

hope so... I'm letting it ride vs UNC I think... hedging is too expensive.... may take a small piece off like 50*ish win 25* or something

919 · Mar 30, 2017

Haystacks said:
Hopefully you me and knickfan are all gonna look like geniuses

I've got enough riding for a decent hedge. If they can get up early I may take some live UNC...

pistol495 · Mar 30, 2017

knickfan said:
hope so... I'm letting it ride vs UNC I think... hedging is too expensive.... may take a small piece off like 50*ish win 25* or something

Definitely consider halftime or in game wagering to try and hedge

Best way to hedge Oregon @ 85:1 national title

Search

knickfan

Member

919

Member

JF711

New member

Haystacks

Member

Forcelite

Member

tmader7

New member

DoubleJ

RaiderNation

919

Member

Haystacks

Member

Forcelite

Member

Loves2kickass

Member

varkeyboy

Member

knickfan

Member

919

Member

pistol495

Member

Forum statistics

Share this page