Leicester City +425 ($100 ---> $425) - This one is all about the spot. Aresenal is 7th in the standings and even though they have a game or two in hand, their chances of finishing in the top 4 are getting pretty slim. After playing 120 minutes on Sunday, they come back and take the field against a Leicester team that has been resting since their lost to Athletico 9 days ago. Even without Morgan, most likely, I like the fit club that only sits a couple points out of relegation zone. The got hot for a while and made a nice run in the Champions League, now it is time to get some points and ensure nothing stupid happens towards the end of the season. Shakespeare has these guys playing much better and at 4:1, I don't see any reason not to roll the dice with them here. They are much more rested and have more of a reason to show up. Mustafi and Ox both possibly out, this Arsenal team gets thin pretty quick...
Good luck. Took the +1 personally but hope they get it done for you.
Thank you HugeUnderdog, I hope you make some money today too.
Jles, I totally get where you are coming from. No reason getting a little safety net. Lets hope you win with some good margin.
I just happen to try and take the larger odds, like HU said, I think I can hit about 50% of those over the long run and the math should be in my favor. Granted, there are some ugly losses, but ultimately, I think its the right style for me.
In regards to the other games today, I had a couple strong leans and wanted to get those out there. I wont be playing them, but did have an opinion. If you guys ever want to get some banter going on these games, I would love that. I understand that I don't see all the different angles and anyones input on why I might be wrong on games is not only welcomed but encouraged. Working together will help all of us prosper.
Tottenham & Crystal Palace - Palace is rolling right now. Townsend, Benteke, and Zaha are as formable upfront as any three in the EPL. However, I my concern about this one is how Palace is going to deal with the playmaking ability of Tottenham. Chelsea very easily could have given up 3-4 to them the last time out, but some quality chances didnt go in. Ill be interested to see if Tottenham goes with Davies and Walker instead of Son, as I think that sort of physical defense is going to be very important with the speed and power that Big Sam is running out there. I think Palace is the 'right' side here against a tired Spurs team, but who knows. The Over is probably the right choice, but Im not paying -140 for that shit. Palace at +575 is the best value here. The only thing keeping me off it is how well Tottenham can create against a packed in defense. Im not sure this is the best match-up for the new CP style.
Sunderland & Middlesborough - Ugh. Bleh. Over. Eek.
All I can say about the Tottenham/CP game is that the majority of public money is on the Hotspur. 74% right now, but the line barely went up so that tell me there is value on CP. A pretty respectable poster on another forum I follow also things there is quite a bit of value on Palace so putting your opinion with his makes me think this is a solid play. When I find big dogs like this that should be value I like taking the spread myself though and really starting to like the team totals at pinnacle. most of the times its 0.5 goals, LOVE the idea of winning a bet with a goal even if my team loses...hehe
Im such a sucker for the .5O total too, so many weird things can help with that.
Good start for Leicester City, those legs on Arsenal should start getting heavy in the 2nd half, just when Vardys start to wake up.
19-18-1 (+$480) - Bummer.
Don't think I ever seen 7 minutes extra time before. A few extra minutes for Palace, they have not looked great though. Since I found the game.
Yeah, Palace really shit the bed. Not sure what happened there, they couldn't get past that press on the outside. To say that yesterday didnt go well would be an understatement. Nothing good coming out of this thread. Onward and upward!
Manchester City & Manchester United O2.5 Goals EVEN ($200 ---> $200)
Bigger play that usual here. I think this one plays pretty wide open. I expect City to dominate in possession with the injuries to the midfield of United. The have a ton of play-makers that should be able to exposed the United back line. However, this should be a prime opportunity for a United team to keep hitting on the counters that they have done so well. The work they did in transition against Burnley was truly top class. 2-1, 2-2 sort of results in this one.
Oh, and I heard we might be seeing Bravo in net, OVER OVER OVER!!!!!
Hang in there my man.
Thanks bud. Dammit. Not even close.
Get back on track pal. A pretty good guy I know likes Galway vs Dundalk over 2.5 goals in Ireland premier league.
Hopefully he's right and you can make out with it.
Bummer, I wish I would have seen this earlier. I just tried to put it out of mind and not look at the site while I pulled this weeks plays together. Looks like that one was a 2-1 winner for you. Congratulations, friend, good to see.
Been a very rough last couple plays, follow at your own risk. Most gamblers would probably pump the breaks during a rough run like this, but I have found over time that I tend to stick right around .500. Ill just keep firing.
Hull City +450 ($100 ---> $450)
Crystal Palace O1.5 -110 ($110 ---> $100)
Swansea City +800 ($100 ---> $800)
Everton & Chelsea Draw +265 ($100 ---> $265)
Tottenham -.5 -105 ($210 ---> $200)
***Slowly steps away from the computer***
Sunderland +200 ($100 ---> $200)
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