I'll go ahead and list what I wrote down for tonight. These are all 1st 5 lines, I wanted to start by eliminating the bullpens. There's a lot of metrics which I am factoring here, the most challenging part is how to compute all of it into a % and compare it to the Vegas line converted into a %, yielding where is the edge.
TB U4.5
ATL U5.5
SEA +100
NYY -238
NYY O5.5
CLE O5.5
BOS -190
BOS U5
ARI u6
TB U4.5
ATL U5.5
SEA +100
NYY -238
NYY O5.5
CLE O5.5
BOS -190
BOS U5
ARI u6
I will keep posting what I am tracking so far....it really is a lot to compute and quantify, and the larger my sample size gets, the better I should be able to understand it all. Here is what I wrote down today.
And again, I am not wagering on these, it's just paper trading. I'm using a lot of baseball metrics, otherwise known as saber metrics, so this is a running bit for now.
These are all f5 lines.
902 ATL -144
904 PIT -1/2 -109
904 PIT u5 +101
910 LAD -1/2 -124
912 ARI u4.5 +102
918 CLE -1/2 -114
921 LAA o5 -120
923 TOR o4 -119
And again, I am not wagering on these, it's just paper trading. I'm using a lot of baseball metrics, otherwise known as saber metrics, so this is a running bit for now.
These are all f5 lines.
902 ATL -144
904 PIT -1/2 -109
904 PIT u5 +101
910 LAD -1/2 -124
912 ARI u4.5 +102
918 CLE -1/2 -114
921 LAA o5 -120
923 TOR o4 -119
