Game 5 Betting trends ...

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LV SuperBook ...

82% of the money bet on the spread for Game 5 between Cleveland and Golden State is on the Warriors
 

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from William Hill's 108 Nevada sportsbooks and app ...


DCJ9fPuXYAIy1IU.jpg
 

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Caesars Palace ...

57% of bets ... 72% of money are on the Warriors minus the points
 

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Pinnacle ...

Spread
Cavs (+8.5) 40%
Warriors (-8.5) 60%

ML
Cavs 67%
GSW 33%

Total (230.5)
Over 62%
Under 38%
 

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The Mirage LV ...

moneyline betting: "The public is taking Cleveland"


"We took a $50,000 bet earlier today at +260, and a couple days ago took a $50,000 bet at +280."
 

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Bet Now Sports ...

Game 5: GSW 8.5 / total 230

Total is down a point from earlier today.

Straight bets heavier on GSW
 

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CG Technology ...


Tonight's game turning into over the counter vs account real quick.

2.5x more $$ wagered on Warriors over the counter ... 3.5 x more $$ wagered on Cavs on account
 

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Playoff Record Total for Cavs/Warriors Game 5
Dan McGuire - Sports Insights


Before the NBA Finals began, bettors and sportsbooks were expecting to see a lot of points as the lookahead totals for Games 1-7 were all listed at 225.5. Although Game 1 did fall Under the closing total with GS winning 113-91, we’ve seen three straight games sail Over the closing total. In Game 4, the Cavs set playoff records for points in a quarter (49) and half (86) while keeping their season alive. Now that we’re heading back to Golden State for Game 5 with the Warriors up 3-1, we’re already seeing more playoff records shattered.

The market needed to adjust after points were being scored at will, and Pinnacle opened the Game 5 total at 230.5. CRIS even opened the total at 231 and some squarer books opened 231.5. Right now Pinnacle sits at 231, which is not only the highest NBA Finals total we’ve ever tracked, but the highest total we’ve tracked for ANY playoff game (via Bet Labs data). Despite the huge O/U, we’re still seeing a majority of tickets taking the Over.

The most intriguing part of this record-high playoff total is the fact that the lookahead line actually dipped all the way down to 220.5 following Game 1’s Under. We usually see bettors overreact to recent trends, but in this case we also saw the market overreact to a single game. After Game 2 the lookahead total was already back up, and after Game 4 the market really had to adjust after Cleveland’s onslaught. The line graph below shows how the Game 5 lookahead total has fluctuated since opening before the series (via 5Dimes):


Screen-Shot-2017-06-11-at-7.56.24-AM.png





Right now 62% of tickets is on the Over, which is actually the highest % we’ve seen so far in this series. Here’s a quick look at the closing totals and Over % for the first 4 games of the series:

Game 1: 225 (54% on Over), Went Under
Game 2: 222 (61% on Over), Went Over
Game 3: 226.5 (54% on Over), Went Over
Game 4: 226.5 (57% on Over), Went Over
Game 5: 231 (62% on Over), ???



The previous highest playoff totals that we tracked were 230 back in 2008 between the Nuggets and Lakers, and both games fell under the closing total.
 

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Current NBA Finals MVP betting odds and betting action percentages from William Hill ...



DCJ_lB3XoAE6SAF.jpg
 

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Thanks for posting bud, good to see you. Can't wait for football. Hope all is well


No problem ... had a few minutes and figured why not share. Everything is great and like you can't wait for football ... Hope all is good with you
 

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The SportsLine Projection Model simulated Monday's game 10,000 times and generated this final score:

Warriors 116
Cavaliers 105.



With the Warriors favored by 8.5 points ... we have a lean to Golden State.


The NBA odds put the over/under at 230.5 ... meaning we're taking the Under.
 

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Tout Tally from Service Thread ...


Cavs - 11 (3 ML) .......... 1 GOM .......... 1 GOW

GSW - 9

Over - 1

Under - 7
 

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