Woodbine 7-16-2017

Prof_Factor · Jul 16, 2017

Woodbine 7-16-2017

Yesterday was one of our worst days in quite some time.

race #1 - 5f
#4 6-1 FLASHY KNICKERS - could be the speed.
#5 5-2 BOURBON BABE - works are better than races

race #2 - 8.5f turf
#4 2-1 SYNTHESIZE
#3 20-1 FOREST BROTHER
#8 3-1 AULT
... fairly wide open race.

race #3 - 6.5f
#4 5-2 BEAR SKINNED - pick to click
#2 12-1 YOU KNOW JACK
#3 20-1 BETTIN'ACES

race #4 - 6f turf
#3 8-1 KATRINA'S WAY

race #5 - 6.5f
#9 7-5 SWEET RHAPSODY - logical
#8 6-1 MY ROSEBUD - barn switch
#4 4-1 DANCE ON STAGE
#1 20-1 BEAUTY PHIL - exotic booster

... rest to follow shortly ...

Lt1 · Jul 16, 2017

Good luck Prof.:toast:

Baldheadedprick · Jul 16, 2017

Profs picks fill out the exacta in the first, well done

Saddlesore · Jul 16, 2017

:smoking: Professor i've decided to play the 3rd race Super...Looked at yours at Lt picks to craft my Super...Good Luck

Prof_Factor · Jul 16, 2017

race #4 - 6f turf
#3 8-1 KATRINA'S WAY
#8 20-1 VIVA FOREVER
#1 6-1 DONNAS SWEET HEART
... hard one to figure. Not that I ever figure to figure.

race #5 - 6.5f
#9 7-5 SWEET RHAPSODY - logical
#8 6-1 MY ROSEBUD - barn switch
#4 4-1 DANCE ON STAGE
#1 20-1 BEAUTY PHIL - exotic booster

race #6 - 9f
#1 2-1 MICK THE CONQUEROR
#7 8-1 THE DOCTOR
#3 3-1 CROSS BORDER
... quite confusing ... 9f with questionable pace.

race #7 - 7f turf
#5 8-1 SPARKLES'GIRL
#7 6-1 INDUSTRIAL POLICY
#10 8-1 STREET CASH
#13 10-1 SILVER SIDNEY
... super crazy race if favorite doesn't fire. Gotta go for the price.

race #8 - 7f
#3 3-5 PINK LLOYD - pick to click
#6 6-1 TALE OF THE NILE
#5 20-1 WESTERN ELEGANCE

... still more to follow ...

Prof_Factor · Jul 16, 2017

Saddlesore said:
:smoking: Professor i've decided to play the 3rd race Super...Looked at yours at Lt picks to craft my Super...Good Luck

Good idea ...... then use what's left over!! hahaha

Saddlesore · Jul 16, 2017

:smoking: Yeah the 4 horse did a Dump....My 7 horse of course was gonna go wide with a wall of horses at that turn before the stretch
He got bumped a bit not to bad in those close quarters. You can see then it was anybody's race.

Prof_Factor · Jul 16, 2017

race #9 - 8.5f
#5 6-1 FINE GRIT
#2 2-1 STARINTHEMAKING
#3 9-5 CATAMOUNT

race #10 - 8.5f turf
#12 2-1 HURRICANE BEAR
#4 12-1 AMI'S EXCHANGE
#2 7-2 TIDAL DANCER

.... good luck.

Prof_Factor · Jul 16, 2017

Saddlesore said:
:smoking: Yeah the 4 horse did a Dump....My 7 horse of course was gonna go wide with a wall of horses at that turn before the stretchHe got bumped a bit not to bad in those close quarters. You can see then it was anybody's race.

Very interesting!

Campbell/Drexler factoids:

In the past 2 years (before today)...
8/33 wins (24%)
16/33 ITM (48%)
win ROI=$1.74 .... that is huge!

Only 3 horses went off below 2-1 ..... all 3 lost, and today makes 4.

33 mounts over 2 years isn't much considering Drexler has sent 221 out total.
Apparently odds affect their intentions when they hook up. What I consider 'fiddling'.
Their fiddling won't ever burn me again!!

Saddlesore · Jul 16, 2017

:smoking: I could never understand why he left Illinois racing he was pretty decent jock...Maybe Professor you've undercover something.

Prof_Factor · Jul 16, 2017

You're right. He originated and ran Illinios mainly but after '99 he also wintered in Louisiana, until moving to Woodbine in 2011.

Prof_Factor · Jul 16, 2017

Crooks don't make a habit with setups.
They have to fly under the radar. If they did it every week it would be too obvious.
Some might not do again for a year or two. Depending on who and how much they scored.
I saw one crook retire 6 months after a setup. Kinda figured he scored BIG.

Woodbine 7-16-2017

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