Play: St. Louis Cardinals -122
At a glance it may seem like a pretty good proposition to make a play on the Rockies tonight: Colorado is winner of the last 7 of 8; they are coming off of a loss, things of that nature.
Rockies SP J. Gray is much better than his numbers show and he has pitched against some high quality opponents.
I see things a lot differently then the betting public on the side, I've seen charts at 60% in favor of Colorado and "sharp" money is headed in their direction on TheSpread.com pie chart (whatever, who knows).
Saint Louis looked like a team that was having fun last night. I think this will carry over into a highly competitive game tonight. Truly the Rockies should be -105 in this game (true odds). Yes, the "value" is not on the Cards (but I am not a value bettor so that doesn't mean too much to me).
Cardinals have a rested bullpen, and the relief pitching has been somewhat better the past few games. Coach Matheny will have to push the right buttons tonight to get this win.
Cardinals have a few angles on their side tonight:
SP Lynn can pitch a gem and BP can come in and be mediocre and escape with a win + Lynn is :auditioning" so that can play to his advantage
SP Lynn can pitch just a QS (quality start) and the BP can get his back and close this game out.
Rockies have a struggling SP and struggling BP, there are more unknowns at their end throughout this game than Saint Louis
*I do not like betting middle games and I especially do not like betting inconsistent teams (like the Cards), also the -120 to -129 range is always a tricky number for me.
Despite all of this doom and gloom I saw a Cards team that had a lot of energy. The Cards still can prove a lot of things and they have a high quality opponent to show off in front of. The momentum and some of the talent is on the Cards side in Game 2 of this series.
At a glance it may seem like a pretty good proposition to make a play on the Rockies tonight: Colorado is winner of the last 7 of 8; they are coming off of a loss, things of that nature.
Rockies SP J. Gray is much better than his numbers show and he has pitched against some high quality opponents.
I see things a lot differently then the betting public on the side, I've seen charts at 60% in favor of Colorado and "sharp" money is headed in their direction on TheSpread.com pie chart (whatever, who knows).
Saint Louis looked like a team that was having fun last night. I think this will carry over into a highly competitive game tonight. Truly the Rockies should be -105 in this game (true odds). Yes, the "value" is not on the Cards (but I am not a value bettor so that doesn't mean too much to me).
Cardinals have a rested bullpen, and the relief pitching has been somewhat better the past few games. Coach Matheny will have to push the right buttons tonight to get this win.
Cardinals have a few angles on their side tonight:
SP Lynn can pitch a gem and BP can come in and be mediocre and escape with a win + Lynn is :auditioning" so that can play to his advantage
SP Lynn can pitch just a QS (quality start) and the BP can get his back and close this game out.
Rockies have a struggling SP and struggling BP, there are more unknowns at their end throughout this game than Saint Louis
*I do not like betting middle games and I especially do not like betting inconsistent teams (like the Cards), also the -120 to -129 range is always a tricky number for me.
Despite all of this doom and gloom I saw a Cards team that had a lot of energy. The Cards still can prove a lot of things and they have a high quality opponent to show off in front of. The momentum and some of the talent is on the Cards side in Game 2 of this series.
