Tuesday, August 15 MLB

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[FONT=&quot]Going for 7th winning play in a row:[/FONT][FONT=&quot]
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REGULAR PLAY: ROYALS/ATHLETICS UNDER 9 -105 $105 to win $100

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Plays on the totals for the month of August: Under 8-2-2; Over 1-0. Yes i play a lot of Unders.

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[FONT=&quot]"Master the art of timing." -- Elon Musk.[/FONT]
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[FONT=&quot]Lets talk about market inequities, value deviation -- maybe call it something else at the end of this analogy. I'm just using big words to sound impressive.[/FONT]
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[FONT=&quot]You are playing single deck blackjack -- 3/2 payout, stand on soft 17. Four hands in and you haven't seen the Aces yet; value cards are due. Do you continue to flat-bet or take a chance and increase the size of your wager?[/FONT]
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[FONT=&quot]The optimistic gambler will take a chance.The pessimistic gambler will think the dealer will get the Ace anyways.[/FONT]
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[FONT=&quot]Since 2006 i have developed an algorithm for qualifying plays as well as quantifying them. For those that have been following my spreadsheet, it is quite evident.[/FONT]
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[FONT=&quot]There is a time to lay low and a time to strike. Truly believe that. But of course, you can't preach that to the archaic, behind-the-times, gutless flat bettors.[/FONT]
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[FONT=&quot]After all isn't gambling mostly about timing? Isn't this especially true for sports-betting in the age of live-betting?[/FONT]
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[FONT=&quot]So. I am feeling a TRIPLE PLAY this Wednesday or Thursday. We'll see. Stay tuned. Gamble time![/FONT]
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[FONT=&quot]My overall advice for new gamblers: know your numbers; know your position (are you betting with the public or are you contrarian?); know when to act and be ready to re-act if needed; and lastly, keep it manageable. [/FONT]
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[FONT=&quot]May the good mojo be with you. [/FONT]
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[FONT=&quot]PS. Were you expecting to read a write-up on why the game i picked will stay below the total? [/FONT]
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[FONT=&quot]PSS. There may be an added play on the Texas Rangers but i will wait for the line-ups.[/FONT]
 

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Updated ledger:

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1 UNIT = $100
14-16FADE THE PUBLIC POD$505.75
82-65REGULAR PLAY (1 UNIT)$686.18
13-10DOUBLE PLAY (2 UNIT)$388.47
3-2TRIPLE PLAY (3 UNIT)$55.00
$1,635.40
TOTAL UNITS WON45.94
2017 YTD $$3,854.28

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[FONT=&quot]Early game on Tuesday:[/FONT][FONT=&quot][/FONT]
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REGULAR PLAY: ASTROS/DIAMONDBACKS UNDER 9½ +100 $125 to win $125

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[FONT=&quot]HP Umpire Chris Guccione with a 8-11 Over-Record & 63.4% strike zone.[/FONT]
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[FONT=&quot]WARM COLOR vs WARM COLOR match-up = generally low-scoring game. Decent pitching with not-so-good run support.[/FONT]
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