Thursday 8/31/17 ... Comps / Bonus Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Post Bonus Plays / requests / comments/ trends and concerns here.
 

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CFB

Ohio State won its last 13 games with Indiana, but last two wins here were by only 7-3 points. Hoosiers covered last six series games. OSU has senior QB with 30 starts, an experienced OL with 80 career starts; Buckeyes are 9-9 as road favorites under Meyer. Indiana has senior QB with 13 starts; its OL has only 40 returning starts. Hoosiers are 12-9 vs spread in last 21 games as a home underdog

Last two years, MAC teams are 15-5-1 vs spread when facing Big 14 squads. Since 2013, Buffalo is 5-11 vs spread as road underdogs; since ’10, they’re 13-17 vs spread in non-MAC games. Bulls have a sop QB, 8 starters back on defense- their OL has 68 career starts. Minnesota has new coach Fleck; his Western Michigan team beat Buffalo 38-0 late last year. Gophers also have a new QB; last two years, they’re 2-8 vs spread as a home favorite.

Memphis has a senior QB (13 starts), an experienced OL with 103 returning starts; they’ve got 9 starters back on offense, but also have their AAC opener with Central Florida on deck. Tigers are 8-11 vs spread in last 19 games as a home favorite. UL-Monroe has 16 starters back and a senior QB; since 2011, they’re 19-15 as a road underdog. Last four years, Sun Belt teams are 7-6 vs spread when playing an AAC squad.

Arizona State is 17-9 vs spread as a home favorite under Graham; ASU has 13 starters back, but its OL has only 41 returning starts- their junior QB has 10 career starts. New Mexico State has 16 starters back, 9 on defense, a senior QB (25 starts), an OL with 43 career starts. Since 2013, Aggies are 8-15 vs spread as a road underdog. Sun Belt teams covered four of their last five matchups with Pac-12 squads.

Central Florida pounded Florida International 53-14 LY, outgaining FIU 501-189, year after they lost 15-14 to the Panthers. UCF has an experienced OL (101 returning starts) but only four starters back on defense- since 2010, they’re 23-14 vs spread as a home favorite. Knights play AAC rival Memphis next. FIU is 8-4-1 in last 13 games as a road underdog; they’ve got a new coach, a senior QB (31 starts) and 15 starters back overall (73 starts on OL). Last four years, AAC teams are 8-6 vs spread when playing a C-USA opponent.
 

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Indiana hosts Ohio State

Ohio State’s championship quest begins with a Week 1 trip to Bloomington.

An 11-win season and College Football Playoff berth are little consolation for the way Ohio State’s 2016 season ended, with an embarrassing 31-0 loss to eventual national champion Clemson. Head coach Urban Meyer’s teams are never short on talent, and returning starters QB J.T. Barrett and RB Mike Weber will pace a running game that should be elite. Though the Buckeyes need to replace three starters from the nation’s best secondary a year ago, they are loaded with future pros up front and should feature an improved pass rush in 2017. After six seasons as Indiana’s head coach and back-to-back bowl game appearances, Kevin Wilson resigned amidst an investigation of how he dealt with injured players. Wilson is now the offensive coordinator for the Buckeyes. Hoosiers defensive coordinator Tom Allen was promoted to head coach after IU’s defense showed remarkable improvement in his first season with the school. He returns nine of his starters on that side of the ball. The Hoosiers will miss Wilson’s offensive acumen, and QB Richard Lagow was too mistake-prone last season. He has a solid receiving group to work with, but questions linger in the running game. Indiana hasn’t beaten Ohio State since 1988 (IU is 0-23-1 vs. OSU since), but the Hoosiers have covered the spread in each of their last six meetings. The Buckeyes failed to cover a 28-point spread at home last October, beating the Hoosiers 38-17 as Barrett ran for 137 yards but completed just 9-of-21 passes for 93 yards. Ohio State is 5-0 SU & 3-1-1 ATS in Big Ten openers under Meyer.

Ohio State scored 39.4 points per game last season (13th in the nation), and brought in former Indiana head coach Kevin Wilson as their new offensive coordinator. His backfield is set, with QB J.T. Barrett (2,555 passing yards and 25 TD, 845 rushing yards and 9 TD) capable of improving on an up-and-down year. Managing 6.8 yards per pass attempt (89th in FBS) last season, Barrett loses his top three targets from last season, and the maturation of an inexperienced WR group will be a major factor in OSU’s season. RB Mike Weber averaged 6.0 yards per carry in his 1,096-yard, nine-TD debut season, and there’s plenty of athleticism behind him. Three members of the Buckeyes secondary were first-round picks in April, but the front seven will be as good as any in the nation. The return of DLs Tyquan Lewis (8 sacks, 10.5 TFL, 3 forced fumbles), Nick Bosa (5 sacks, 7 TFL) and Sam Hubbard (3.5 sacks, 8 TFL) will improve the pass rush. LB Jerome Baker (83 total tackles, 3.5 sacks, 9.5 TFL, 2 INT) made several huge plays against strong competition, and Chris Worley (4.5 TFL, 5 passes defended) should thrive in his new role at middle linebacker.

Mike DeBord takes over as Indiana’s offensive coordinator after two years running Tennessee’s prolific offense. QB Richard Lagow (3,362 yards, 19 TD, 17 INT) kept the Hoosiers passing game moving in his first season out of junior college, but committed far too many costly turnovers. His top receiver from last season, WR Nick Westbrook (54 receptions, 995 yards, 6 TD) is back. So is WR Simmie Cobbs, who redshirted last year with an ankle injury after amassing 60 receptions and 1,035 yards in 2015. Bellcow RB Devine Redding, the only Hoosier with more than 250 rushing yards last season, left early for the pros, leaving RBs Mike Majette, Cole Gest and Devonte Williams (among others) to rotate in the inexperienced backfield. IU’s 2016 defense allowed 10.4 fewer points per game and 129 fewer yards per game than they did in 2015. Second Team All-Big Ten honorees LB Tegray Scales (126 total tackles, 7 sacks, 23.5 TFL) and CB Rashard Fant (3 INT, 17 pass breakups) are the top defensive players for Indiana. Returning DLs Nate Hoff (2.5 sacks, 6 TFL) and Greg Gooch (5.5 TFL) were instrumental in holding opponents to 3.8 yards per rush (28th in FBS) and 97.5 rushing yards per game (8th). Hybrid LB/DB Marcelino Ball (75 total tackles, 4.5 TFL, 8 pass breakups) impressed in his rookie season, and the entire secondary returns intact.
 

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Ohio State @ Indiana

The Big Ten will be in the spotlight on the first Thursday night of the college football season with a rare conference game in August.

Ohio State visits Indiana to kick off the night in a nationally televised game with some intriguing storylines despite the large spread. Here is a preview of the first big game of the season for Thursday night college football.

Matchup: Ohio State Buckeyes at Indiana Hoosiers
Venue: At Memorial Stadium in Bloomington, Indiana
Time/TV: Thursday, Aug. 31, 8:00 p.m. ET
Line: Ohio State -20½, Over/Under 58
Last Meeting: 2016, at Ohio State (-28) 38, Indiana 17

In five seasons at Ohio State Urban Meyer has cemented his legacy as an all-time great in the college football coaching ranks with a 61-6 record. He led the team to a perfect season in 2012 while ineligible for the postseason and delivered a championship in 2014 in the inaugural College Football Playoff. Surprisingly Ohio State has only won the Big Ten championship once in that five-year run and this year’s team is the favorite to accomplish that feat this season while being considered a prime national title contender.

J.T. Barrett is fewer than 1,200 yards short of becoming the all-time passing leader at Ohio State and he is certainly considered a potential Heisman Trophy finalist after throwing for over 2,500 yards last season while also rushing for 845 yards, accounting for 33 touchdowns. The top rusher from last season Mike Weber is also back for his sophomore season and the Buckeyes have an experienced squad with plenty of motivation to redeem a narrow loss to Penn State as the lone blemish in the 2016 campaign and more notably an embarrassing 31-0 defeat in the national semifinal matchup with Clemson.

Ohio State has a relatively favorable schedule but next week’s home game with Oklahoma looms large in the national picture. While Ohio State hasn’t lost to Indiana since 1988, the recent meetings have featured competitive games with Indiana actually covering each of the last six seasons in this series, albeit as a hefty underdog each year with a +19½ number in 2012 the lowest in that span.

A big storyline heading into this game is Kevin Wilson as the new Ohio State offensive coordinator. Wilson was Indiana’s head coach the past six seasons before a break-up late last season with Wilson taking the Hoosiers from 1-11 in 2011 to back-to-back bowl appearances the past two seasons. Wilson’s defensive coordinator Tom Allen moved up to the head coaching position for the Foster Farms Bowl last December and he leads the Hoosiers moving forward. Allen was previously the defensive coordinator at South Florida before moving to Indiana last season and he was also previously an assistant at Mississippi and Arkansas State.

Indiana hasn’t had a winning season in 2007 as they lost narrowly in bowl games the past two seasons after 6-6 regular season campaigns. Residing in a very competitive Big Ten East has made it tough for Indiana to make big strides but four conference wins last season was the most for the program since 2001. This year’s team has 15 starters back in action while pulling both Illinois and Purdue from the West draw for a relatively favorable path while all three non-conference games are winnable contests.

Richard Lagow had a productive season for the Hoosiers at quarterback in 2016 with the now senior throwing 438 times for over 3,300 yards. He had just 19 touchdowns against 17 interceptions while completing short of 58 percent of his passes as there is room for improvement. Indiana lost its top two rushers from last season but leading receiver Nick Westbrook returns while three of five offensive line starters are back with the team.

Allen led big improvement on the Indiana defense last season cutting the points allowed by the Hoosiers 10 points per game while slashing the yardage average from 509 yards per game allowed to just 380 yards per game allowed, including surrendering only 3.8 yards per rush. The Hoosiers have a reputation as an air-it-out offensive team but this year’s success could hinge on the defense playing well again with nine starters back.

Indiana should have nothing to lose taking a shot at big upset in a spotlight that certainly brings the most attention to an Indiana football opener in many years. Ohio State has a bigger game up next week but also knows it can’t slip up against a foe that has played them tough in recent years while Wilson will perhaps want to make a statement against his old team after a somewhat messy unexpected departure last fall.

Last Season: Indiana opened the Big Ten season with an upset win at home over then #17 Michigan State, at the time the defending Big Ten champions. The next week the Hoosiers had to go to Columbus to face an undefeated Buckeyes team that was ranked #2 in the country. As a four-touchdown underdog Indiana held its own, closing to within seven points with an early third quarter touchdown before Ohio State answered and then sealed the game in the fourth quarter after Indiana went for it on 4th down in its own territory. Ohio State had just a modest yardage edge at 383-281 but the ground edge was dramatic with the Buckeyes posting 290 rushing yards on 5.8 yards per carry while Indiana netted just 99 yards on 2.5 yards per carry. Both teams had a pair of turnovers as neither squad was at its best on offense.

Historical Trends

Since 1980 Ohio State is 30-2-1 S/U and 18-13-2 ATS in this series but after a 8-0-1 ATS run from 1998 to 2010 Indiana has covered in the past six meetings, though at +28, +19½, +33½, +36½, +21, and +28½.

Two of those games did feature single-score final margins including the 2015 meeting in Bloomington.

Since 1980 Indiana is just 43-63-1 ATS as a home underdog, though they went 12-8-1 in that role the last six years under Wilson, including going 5-2 ATS when dogged by 14 or more points.

The last outright upset for Indiana as a home underdog of this magnitude came in 2006 with a 31-28 win over Iowa at +20.

Ohio State is 28-16-1 ATS as a road favorite going back to 2005 though they are just 11-9 ATS under Meyer since 2012 with the lone S/U loss last season’s loss at Penn State as a 17½-point favorite.

Ohio State is just 5-11 ATS in the last 16 instances playing as a favorite of 20 or more points with that record only going back to November of 2014 as the Buckeyes are used to this type of favorite pricing.
 

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Ohio State Buckeyes at Indiana Hoosiers (+21, 57)
Ohio State goes into another season with high expectations and will be tested right out of the gate on the road, as the second-ranked Buckeyes visit Indiana on Thursday for an early Big Ten matchup. J.T. Barrett returns at quarterback for Ohio State with Heisman Trophy aspirations after completing 61.5 percent of his passes, throwing for 24 touchdowns and running for nine scores last season.

“His accuracy and just his energy level now are incredible,” Buckeyes coach Urban Meyer told reporters of Barrett. “He’s providing that energy for everybody. He’s always done that, but … he’s got complete ownership of everything going on in that offense.” Tom Allen, who begins his first full season as coach at Indiana, hopes to end Ohio State’s 22-game winning streak in the series on the way to leading the Hoosiers to their third straight Bowl appearance. Indiana has the benefit of a productive senior quarterback in Richard Lagow (3,362 passing yards in 2016) and an All-American caliber senior linebacker in Tegray Scales (33.5 career tackles for loss). The Hoosiers will have to contain a talented Buckeyes offense that will be led by first-year offensive coordinator Kevin Wilson, who was fired as Indiana’s coach in December after going 26-47 over six years in Bloomington.

Line History:
The Buckeyes opened as 20.5-point favorites and by Wednesday evening that number was bumped slightly to 21. The total hit the betting boards at 53 and has been bet way up to 57. Follow the complete line history here.

Injury Report:

Ohio State:
WR T. Grimes (Probable, Knee), RB M. Weber (Probable, Hamstring), TE M. Baugh (Probable, Toe), QB J. Burrow (Out Indefinitely, Hand), TE A. Alexander (Out For Season, Knee), DT M. Hill (Out Indefinitely, Suspension).

Indiana:
WR S. Cobbs Jr. (Questionable, Possible Suspension), DB B. Fitzgerald (Out For Season, Eligibility), DL N. Sykes (Out For Season, Undisclosed).

Weather Report:
Weather condition should be pretty good for football with cloudy skies and temperatures in the low-70's to upper-60's.

ABOUT OHIO STATE (2016: 11-2 SU, 6-7 ATS, 6-7 O/U):
Barrett rushed for 100 yards three times while throwing just seven interceptions last year, but he will have to be even better with the departure of his top three receivers from 2016. Parris Campbell could step up to a key swing role on offense and the Buckeyes will depend a lot on sophomore running back Mike Weber (1,096 yards, nine TDs), who is expected to play after being slowed by a hamstring injury in the preseason. Three high draft picks from the secondary must be replaced on a defense that is led by lineman Tyquan Lewis (eight sacks last year) as Ohio State opens the season against a Big Ten team for the first time since 1975.


ABOUT INDIANA (2016: 6-7 SU, 6-7 ATS, 4-9 O/U):
Allen will be looking for more efficiency from Lagow, who completed 57.8 percent of his passes in 2016 and had 19 touchdown tosses but also threw 17 interceptions - four in his last two games. The Hoosiers do not have a running back returning that gained at least 250 yards, although they have a talented receiving corps that is led by junior Nick Westbrook (54 catches, 995 yards, six TDs in 2016). The status of junior Simmie Cobbs, who missed most of last season with an injury after registering 1,035 yards on 60 catches in 2015, is uncertain for the opener after he was arrested last month.

Trends:
* Buckeyes are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
* Hoosiers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games.
* Over is 4-1 in Buckeyes last 5 games on fieldturf.
* Under is 7-3 in Hoosiers last 10 games overall.
* Underdog is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

Consensus:
The road chalk Buckeyes are picking up 62 percent of the action from users and the Over is picking up 67 percent of the totals wagers.
 

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[FONT=&quot]OHIO ST (11 - 2) at INDIANA (6 - 7) - 8/31/2017, 8:00 PM[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Top Trends for this game.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]OHIO ST is 177-133 ATS (+30.7 Units) in all games since 1992.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]OHIO ST is 177-133 ATS (+30.7 Units) in all lined games since 1992.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]OHIO ST is 147-114 ATS (+21.6 Units) as a favorite since 1992.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]OHIO ST is 54-34 ATS (+16.6 Units) as a road favorite since 1992.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]OHIO ST is 71-46 ATS (+20.4 Units) in road games since 1992.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]OHIO ST is 71-46 ATS (+20.4 Units) in road lined games since 1992.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Head-to-Head Series History[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]INDIANA is 2-0 against the spread versus OHIO ST over the last 3 seasons[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]OHIO ST is 2-0 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]BUFFALO (2 - 10) at MINNESOTA (9 - 4) - 8/31/2017, 7:00 PM[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Head-to-Head Series History[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]LA MONROE (4 - 8) at MEMPHIS (8 - 5) - 8/31/2017, 8:00 PM[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Head-to-Head Series History[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]NEW MEXICO ST (3 - 9) at ARIZONA ST (5 - 7) - 8/31/2017, 10:00 PM[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Head-to-Head Series History[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]FLA INTERNATIONAL (4 - 8) at UCF (6 - 7) - 8/31/2017, 6:00 PM[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Head-to-Head Series History[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]UCF is 1-1 against the spread versus FLA INTERNATIONAL over the last 3 seasons[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]UCF is 1-1 straight up against FLA INTERNATIONAL over the last 3 seasons[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons[/FONT]

[FONT=&quot]TULSA (10 - 3) at OKLAHOMA ST (10 - 3) - 8/31/2017, 7:30 PM[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Top Trends for this game.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]OKLAHOMA ST is 82-55 ATS (+21.5 Units) as a favorite since 1992.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]TULSA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]TULSA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Head-to-Head Series History[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.[/FONT]
 

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[FONT=&quot]AUGUST 31, 6:00 PM[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL vs. CENTRAL FLORIDA[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Florida International is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida International's last 5 games [/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Central Florida's last 8 games[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Central Florida is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games at home[/FONT]


[FONT=&quot]AUGUST 31, 6:30 PM[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]PRESBYTERIAN vs. WAKE FOREST[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Presbyterian is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Presbyterian is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road [/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Wake Forest is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games[/FONT]


[FONT=&quot]AUGUST 31, 7:00 PM[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]AUSTIN PEAY vs. CINCINNATI[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Austin Peay is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]The total has gone OVER in 4 of Austin Peay's last 5 games [/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Cincinnati is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games at home[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Cincinnati is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home[/FONT]


[FONT=&quot]AUGUST 31, 7:00 PM[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]RHODE ISLAND vs. CENTRAL MICHIGAN[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Rhode Island is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Rhode Island is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road [/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Central Michigan's last 24 games at home[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Central Michigan is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home[/FONT]


[FONT=&quot]AUGUST 31, 7:00 PM[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]BUFFALO vs. MINNESOTA[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Buffalo is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games [/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Minnesota is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Minnesota is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games[/FONT]


[FONT=&quot]AUGUST 31, 7:00 PM[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]TENNESSEE STATE vs. GEORGIA STATE[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Tennessee State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Tennessee State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games [/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Georgia State's last 11 games at home[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Georgia State is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games at home[/FONT]


[FONT=&quot]AUGUST 31, 7:00 PM[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]ELON vs. TOLEDO[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Elon is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Elon is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games [/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Toledo is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toledo's last 5 games[/FONT]


[FONT=&quot]AUGUST 31, 7:30 PM[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]HOLY CROSS vs. CONNECTICUT[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]No trends available [/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Connecticut's last 5 games[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Connecticut is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home[/FONT]


[FONT=&quot]AUGUST 31, 7:30 PM[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]TULSA vs. OKLAHOMA STATE[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Tulsa is 11-2-1 ATS in its last 14 games on the road[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Tulsa is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games on the road [/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Oklahoma State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tulsa[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Oklahoma State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home[/FONT]


[FONT=&quot]AUGUST 31, 7:30 PM[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]NORTH DAKOTA vs. UTAH[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]North Dakota is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]North Dakota is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road [/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Utah's last 16 games at home[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Utah is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games[/FONT]


[FONT=&quot]AUGUST 31, 8:00 PM[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]OHIO STATE vs. INDIANA[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Ohio State is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Ohio State is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games [/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Indiana is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Ohio State[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Indiana is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Ohio State[/FONT]


[FONT=&quot]AUGUST 31, 8:00 PM[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]FLORIDA A&M vs. ARKANSAS[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Florida A&M is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Florida A&M is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games [/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Arkansas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Arkansas is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games[/FONT]


[FONT=&quot]AUGUST 31, 9:00 PM[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]SACRAMENTO STATE vs. IDAHO[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Sacramento State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Sacramento State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road [/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Idaho is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Idaho is 6-12-1 ATS in its last 19 games at home[/FONT]


[FONT=&quot]AUGUST 31, 9:00 PM[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]LOUISIANA-MONROE vs. MEMPHIS[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Louisiana-Monroe is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]The total has gone OVER in 8 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 9 games [/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games at home[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Memphis is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games at home[/FONT]


[FONT=&quot]AUGUST 31, 10:30 PM[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]NEW MEXICO STATE vs. ARIZONA STATE[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Mexico State's last 6 games[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]New Mexico State is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games[/FONT]
 

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Big 12 Report - Week 1

Tulsa at Oklahoma State (Thurs. - FOX Sports 1, 7:30 p.m. ET)
Originally set for Saturday, this contest will now kick off on Thursday night in Stillwater. These Sooner State universities have met frequently on the gridiron, with Oklahoma State holding a 39-28-5 all-time series lead. This will be the third-ever meeting to open a new season, however. The offense has been prolific in Tulsa for most of Philip Montgomery's tenure, but the Golden Hurricane must replace some big guns. QB Dane Evans expired his eligibility and top WRs Keevan Lucas and Josh Atkinson are gone. QBs Chad President and Luke Skipper look to fill the void under center. For the first time in a while, the running backs spot appears to be the strength of Tulsa. For OK State, they need no reinforcements on offense, as QB Mason Rudolph is back with his cadre of high-flying receivers, led by James Washington. The difference in this game from the outset will be OK State's defensive line pressure againt an untested QB.
 

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NFL:

LA Rams @ Green Bay:

ATS Trends
L.A. Rams

Rams are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 Thursday games.
Rams are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Rams are 1-10-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall.
Rams are 0-7-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. NFC.
Rams are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.

Green Bay

Packers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.
Packers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
Packers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC.
Packers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Packers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 Thursday games.

OU Trends
L.A. Rams

Over is 4-1 in Rams last 5 vs. NFC.
Under is 35-15-1 in Rams last 51 road games.
Under is 19-9 in Rams last 28 games overall.

Green Bay

Over is 4-0 in Packers last 4 games on grass.
Over is 7-0 in Packers last 7 vs. NFC.
Over is 7-0 in Packers last 7 games overall.
Over is 4-1 in Packers last 5 home games.

Head to Head

Favorite is 10-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings.
Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Green Bay.
Rams are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
------------------------------------------------------------
Jacksonville @ Atlanta

ATS Trends
Jacksonville

Jaguars are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Jaguars are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.

Atlanta

Falcons are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 Thursday games.
Falcons are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
Falcons are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

OU Trends
Jacksonville

Over is 5-2 in Jaguars last 7 games on grass.

Atlanta

Over is 11-0 in Falcons last 11 home games.
Over is 16-4-1 in Falcons last 21 games overall.
Over is 5-2-1 in Falcons last 8 Thursday games.
Under is 10-4-1 in Falcons last 15 games on grass.

Head to Head

Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
Jaguars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
------------------------------------------------------------
Cincinnati @ Indianapolis

ATS Trends
Cincinnati

Bengals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Bengals are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games.

Indianapolis

Colts are 12-2-1 ATS in their last 15 Thursday games.
Colts are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Colts are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC.

OU Trends
Cincinnati

Under is 3-0-1 in Bengals last 4 Thursday games.
Under is 6-0 in Bengals last 6 vs. AFC.
Under is 4-0 in Bengals last 4 games overall.
Under is 6-1 in Bengals last 7 games on fieldturf.
Under is 20-8-1 in Bengals last 29 road games.

Indianapolis

Under is 5-0 in Colts last 5 home games.
Under is 6-1 in Colts last 7 games on fieldturf.
Under is 5-2 in Colts last 7 vs. AFC.
Under is 5-2 in Colts last 7 games overall.
Over is 7-3 in Colts last 10 Thursday games.

Head to Head

Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Indianapolis.
Favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Home team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
Bengals are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Indianapolis.
-----------------------------------------------------------
Philadelphia @ NY Jets

ATS Trends
Philadelphia

Eagles are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on fieldturf.
Eagles are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games.

N.Y. Jets
No trends available.
OU Trends
Philadelphia

Over is 11-1 in Eagles last 12 road games.
Over is 4-1 in Eagles last 5 games overall.
Over is 6-2 in Eagles last 8 Thursday games.
Over is 21-8 in Eagles last 29 games on fieldturf.

N.Y. Jets

Under is 5-2 in Jets last 7 games overall.

Head to Head

Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
------------------------------------------------------------
Detroit @ Buffalo

ATS Trends
Detroit

Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Thursday games.
Lions are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games.
Lions are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Buffalo

Bills are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Bills are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on turf.
Bills are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.

OU Trends
Detroit

Over is 5-1 in Lions last 6 Thursday games.
Under is 9-2 in Lions last 11 games overall.
Under is 4-1 in Lions last 5 games on turf.
Under is 20-7 in Lions last 27 road games.

Buffalo

Over is 8-0 in Bills last 8 games on turf.
Over is 8-0 in Bills last 8 home games.
Over is 10-2 in Bills last 12 games overall.
Under is 5-2 in Bills last 7 Thursday games.

Head to Head

Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
------------------------------------------------------------
Washington @ Tampa Bay

ATS Trends
Washington

Redskins are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 road games.
Redskins are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games overall.
Redskins are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games on grass.

Tampa Bay

Buccaneers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
Buccaneers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Buccaneers are 21-45-1 ATS in their last 67 home games.
Buccaneers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Thursday games.

OU Trends
Washington

Over is 5-0 in Redskins last 5 Thursday games.
Over is 5-0 in Redskins last 5 road games.
Over is 16-5 in Redskins last 21 vs. NFC.
Over is 21-7 in Redskins last 28 games overall.
Over is 19-7 in Redskins last 26 games on grass.

Tampa Bay

Over is 7-0 in Buccaneers last 7 Thursday games.
Under is 4-0-1 in Buccaneers last 5 games on grass.
Under is 5-1-1 in Buccaneers last 7 games overall.
Under is 4-1 in Buccaneers last 5 vs. NFC.

Head to Head

Underdog is 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Road team is 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Redskins are 1-4-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
------------------------------------------------------------
Pittsburgh @ Carolina


ATS Trends
Pittsburgh

Steelers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
Steelers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
Steelers are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
Steelers are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games.

Carolina

Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Panthers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games.
Panthers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 Thursday games.

OU Trends
Pittsburgh

Under is 4-0 in Steelers last 4 Thursday games.
Under is 19-7 in Steelers last 26 road games.
Under is 7-3 in Steelers last 10 games on grass.
Under is 16-7 in Steelers last 23 games overall.

Carolina

Under is 3-0-1 in Panthers last 4 games on grass.
Under is 3-0-1 in Panthers last 4 games overall.
Under is 3-0-1 in Panthers last 4 home games.

Head to Head

Steelers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
------------------------------------------------------------
NY Giants @ New England

ATS Trends
N.Y. Giants

Giants are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games on fieldturf.
Giants are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games.

New England

Patriots are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games on fieldturf.
Patriots are 18-6-2 ATS in their last 26 home games.
Patriots are 34-16-2 ATS in their last 52 games overall.

OU Trends
N.Y. Giants

Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 Thursday games.
Under is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games on fieldturf.
Under is 7-2 in Giants last 9 road games.
Under is 7-2 in Giants last 9 games overall.

New England

Over is 4-0 in Patriots last 4 games overall.
Under is 4-1 in Patriots last 5 Thursday games.
Over is 5-2 in Patriots last 7 home games.
Over is 60-28 in Patriots last 88 games on fieldturf.

Head to Head

Giants are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in New England.
Underdog is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Giants are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in New England.
Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
------------------------------------------------------------
Miami @ Minnesota

ATS Trends
Miami

Dolphins are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games on fieldturf.

Minnesota

Vikings are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games on fieldturf.
Vikings are 22-7 ATS in their last 29 home games.
Vikings are 38-17 ATS in their last 55 games overall.

OU Trends
Miami

Under is 8-0-1 in Dolphins last 9 Thursday games.
Over is 6-1 in Dolphins last 7 games overall.
Under is 24-10 in Dolphins last 34 games on fieldturf.

Minnesota

Under is 7-3 in Vikings last 10 Thursday games.
Under is 7-3 in Vikings last 10 games on fieldturf.

Head to Head
No trends available.
------------------------------------------------------------
Baltimore @ New Orleans

ATS Trends
Baltimore

Ravens are 8-17-1 ATS in their last 26 games on fieldturf.
Ravens are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games.

New Orleans

Saints are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games overall.
Saints are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games on fieldturf.

OU Trends
Baltimore

Over is 4-1 in Ravens last 5 games overall.
Under is 5-2 in Ravens last 7 Thursday games.

New Orleans

Under is 4-0-1 in Saints last 5 Thursday games.
Over is 10-3-1 in Saints last 14 home games.
Over is 11-5 in Saints last 16 games on fieldturf.

Head to Head

Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
Ravens are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
------------------------------------------------------------
Cleveland @ Chicago

ATS Trends
Cleveland

Browns are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 Thursday games.
Browns are 5-20-1 ATS in their last 26 games overall.
Browns are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
Browns are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 road games.

Chicago

Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Bears are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Bears are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Thursday games.

OU Trends
Cleveland

Under is 6-1 in Browns last 7 Thursday games.
Over is 6-1 in Browns last 7 road games.
Under is 5-1 in Browns last 6 games on grass.
Under is 6-2 in Browns last 8 games overall.

Chicago

Over is 4-1 in Bears last 5 games on grass.

Head to Head
No trends available.
------------------------------------------------------------
Tennessee @ Kansas City

ATS Trends
Tennessee

Titans are 13-31-3 ATS in their last 47 games on grass.
Titans are 14-35-4 ATS in their last 53 vs. AFC.
Titans are 14-36-3 ATS in their last 53 games overall.
Titans are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 road games.

Kansas City

Chiefs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Chiefs are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 home games.

OU Trends
Tennessee

Under is 4-1 in Titans last 5 vs. AFC.
Over is 11-4-1 in Titans last 16 games on grass.
Over is 5-2 in Titans last 7 road games.
Over is 9-4 in Titans last 13 games overall.

Kansas City

Under is 8-3 in Chiefs last 11 games on grass.
Under is 39-16 in Chiefs last 55 home games.
Under is 9-4 in Chiefs last 13 games overall.

Head to Head

Road team is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
Titans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Kansas City.
Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
------------------------------------------------------------
Arizona @ Denver

ATS Trends
Arizona

Cardinals are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
Cardinals are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Thursday games.
Cardinals are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.

Denver

Broncos are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 Thursday games.
Broncos are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 home games.
Broncos are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.

OU Trends
Arizona

Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 games on grass.
Over is 7-0 in Cardinals last 7 games overall.
Over is 16-5 in Cardinals last 21 road games.

Denver

Under is 4-1 in Broncos last 5 games on grass.
Under is 4-1 in Broncos last 5 games overall.
Under is 13-6-1 in Broncos last 20 home games.

Head to Head

Over is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings.
Favorite is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Cardinals are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
------------------------------------------------------------
LA Chargers @ San Francisco

ATS Trends
L.A. Chargers

Chargers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games.
Chargers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 road games.
Chargers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Chargers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.

San Francisco

49ers are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games overall.
49ers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games.
49ers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 Thursday games.

OU Trends
L.A. Chargers

Under is 4-1-1 in Chargers last 6 games overall.
Under is 6-2-1 in Chargers last 9 Thursday games.
Under is 3-1-1 in Chargers last 5 games on grass.

San Francisco

Under is 8-2 in 49ers last 10 Thursday games.
Under is 20-8 in 49ers last 28 home games.

Head to Head

Chargers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Road team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
------------------------------------------------------------
Seattle @ Oakland

ATS Trends
Seattle

Seahawks are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 Thursday games.
Seahawks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
Seahawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games.

Oakland

Raiders are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Raiders are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games on grass.
Raiders are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 Thursday games.

OU Trends
Seattle

Over is 4-1 in Seahawks last 5 road games.
Over is 5-2 in Seahawks last 7 games overall.

Oakland

Over is 20-6-2 in Raiders last 28 home games.
Over is 8-3 in Raiders last 11 games overall.
Under is 5-2-1 in Raiders last 8 Thursday games.
Over is 7-3 in Raiders last 10 games on grass.

Head to Head

Home team is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 meetings.
Over is 13-5 in the last 18 meetings.
Seahawks are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 meetings.
Seahawks are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Oakland.
------------------------------------------------------------

 

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MLB

National League


Mets @ Reds
deGrom is 2-4, 3.92 in his last six starts; over is 7-3 in his last ten starts. New York is 9-5 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 16-9-1

Stephenson is 2-0, 2.76 in his last three starts (under 3-2). Reds split his two home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 3-1-1

Mets are 5-12 in their last 17 games; four of their last five games went over. Cincinnati lost six of last nine games; under is 4-2 in their last six games.

Phillies @ Marlins
Lively is 0-4, 6.49 in his last five starts (under 6-2-1). Phillies are 1-4 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 0-8-1

Despaigne is 0-1, 7.59 in two starts this season (over 1-1). Miami won his only home start— their first 5-inning record with him: 0-1-1

Phillies are 2-5 in last seven road games (over 5-2)- they’re 8-14 in road series openers. Marlins lost their last three games; over is 6-2 in their last eight games. Miami is 7-14 in home series openers.

Dodgers @ Diamondbacks
Maeda is 6-1, 2.84 in his last eight starts; under is 4-1-1 in his last six. He is 0-0, 5.00 in two starts against Arizona this season. Dodgers are 6-5 in his road starts — their first 5-inning record with him: 14-5-2

Greinke is 2-2, 4.13 in his last four starts (under 4-0). He is 0-2, 6.17 against the Dodgers this season. LA is 15-2 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 15-6-4

Dodgers lost four in row for first time this year; five of their last seven games stayed under. Arizona won eight of last nine games; their last three games went over.

Braves @ Cubs
Newcomb is 1-2, 4.44 in his last five starts; under is 3-1 in his last four. Atlanta is 2-3 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 4-10

Hendricks is 1-0, 2.19 in his last four starts; under is 5-2 in his last seven. Cubs are 5-5 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 9-6-3

Atlanta is 5-3 in its last eight road games; over is 7-4 in their last 11 road games. Braves are 12-7 in last 19 road series openers. Cubs won four of last five games; under is 4-2-1 in their last seven games. Chicago is 10-12 in home series openers.

Nationals @ Brewers
Gonzalez is 5-0, 1.05 in his last five starts; under is 7-4 in his last 11 starts. Washington is 9-4 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 16-5-5

Davies is 2-1, 1.37 in his last three starts; under is 7-0-1 in his last eight. Milwaukee is 7-6 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 14-8-5

Washington won its last four games; five of their last six games went over. Nationals are 14-9 in home series openers. Milwaukee won five of their last six home games; eight of their last ten games stayed under. Brewers are 12-10 in home series openers.

Cardinals @ Giants
Wacha is 0-3, 10.22 in his last three starts; over is 4-0 in his last four. St Louis is 4-6 in his road starts — their first 5-inning record with him: 10-10-4

Bumgarner is 2-1, 2.77 in his last four starts; under is 4-2 in his last six starts. Giants are 2-4 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 3-7-3

Cardinals lost four of last six games; over is 4-1 in their last five. St Louis is 9-12 in road series openers. Giants lost five of their last six games; eight of their last ten games overall stayed under. SF is 7-14 in home series openers.

American League

White Sox @ Twins
Gonzalez is 2-0, 1.29 in his last four starts; under is 6-2 in his last eight. Chicago is 4-8 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 8-11-2

Colon is 4-1, 3.21 in his last five starts; over is 4-2-1 in his last seven. Minnesota split his four home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 5-3

White Sox lost three of last four games; six of their last eight games stayed under. Minnesota won its last six home games; under is 5-3 in their last eight games overall.

Boston @ New York
Rodriguez is 0-1, 6.23 in his last three starts; under is 7-1 in his last eight. Boston lost his last four road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 9-9

Sabathia is 1-0, 1.93 in his last two starts; under is 13-2 in his last 15 starts. New York is 6-3 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 10-10-1

Red Sox won five of last six road games; four of their last five games stayed under. Boston is 10-12 in road series openers. New York lost its last three games; under is 9-4 in their last 13 home games. NY is 13-8 in home series openers.

Blue Jays @ Orioles
Estrada is 1-1, 6.61 in his last three starts (over 3-0). Toronto lost four of his last five road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 9-15-3

Hellickson is 1-2, 7.54 in his last four starts, last three of which went over. Baltimore is 2-0 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 2-2-1

Toronto lost nine of last 11 games; under is 5-2 in their last seven. Blue Jays lost their last five road series openers. Orioles won eight of last nine games; seven of their last 11 games stayed under. Baltimore is 15-7 in home series openers.

Rangers vs Astros (@ St Petersburg)
Hamels is 4-1, 3.51 in his last five starts; over is 3-1 in his last four. Texas is 4-5 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 14-1-2

McHugh is 2-0, 0.75 in his last two starts; his last six starts stayed under. Houston is 2-3 in his starts away from home— their first 5-inning record with him: 3-3-1

This is series is in the Trop where the Rays normally play. Rangers lost four of last seven games (over 6-1). Houston lost three of last four games; over is 4-0 in their last four games.

Record with this pitcher starting

National League

NY-Cin: deGrom 16-10; Stephenson 3-2
LA-Az: Maeda 15-6; Greinke 18-8
Phil-Mia: Lively 2-7; Despaigne 1-1
Atl-Chi: Newcomb 4-10; Hendricks 15-12

American League
Chi-Minn: Gonzalez 9-12; Colon 4-4
Bos-NY: Rodriguez 10-8; Sabathia 14-7
Tor-Balt: Estrada 12-15; Hellickson 3-2
Tex-Hst: Hamels 10-7; McHugh 3-4

Pitchers allowing a run in first inning

National League

NY-Cin: deGrom 8-26; Stephenson 1-5
LA-Az: Maeda 7-21; Greinke 3-26
Phil-Mia: Lively 3-9; Despaigne 1-2
Atl-Chi: Newcomb 3-14; Hendricks 7-27

American League
Chi-Minn: Gonzalez 6-21; Colon 1-8
Bos-NY: Rodriguez 4-18; Sabathia 5-21
Tor-Balt: Estrada 9-27; Hellickson 1-5
Tex-Hst: Hamels 7-17; McHugh 1-7

Interleague play

NL @ AL– 76-55 AL, favorites +$103

AL @ NL– 71-65 NL, favorites +$164
Total: 141-126 AL, favorites +$267

Totals in interleague games
NL @ AL: Over 65-65-3
AL @ NL: Over 71-59-7
Total: Over 136-124-10
 

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MLB Betting Picks & Tips

New York (-125) at Cincinnati; Total: 9

Mets ace Jacob deGrom takes the hill for this getaway day tilt in the Queen City against Robert Stephenson and the Reds. You may be surprised about this line, but we have to consider all of the trades and injuries that have ravaged the Mets lineup. Michael Conforto, Yoenis Cespedes, Lucas Duda, Jay Bruce, and Curtis Granderson were all pieces of this team not that long ago and now they are gone from this group. As a result, the rating for the Mets has gone down dramatically.

That’s how you get such a huge pitching matchup advantage with such a relatively small line. Truthfully, when you consider the 15 to 25 cent advantage for home field advantage, this line does, in fact, look pretty reasonable. deGrom has been one of the few bright spots for the Mets this season with his 3.39/3.49/3.26 slash line. Most importantly, he’s stayed pretty healthy. This will be his 27th start and he is on pace to set a career high in innings pitched. deGrom has missed more bats this season as well. deGrom struck out 10 and allowed just one earned run last time out to bounce back from a couple of subpar outings. From June 12 to August 10, deGrom allowed more than three runs in a start just once. He’s done it twice in his last three outings. It happens. It’s just variance. I don’t think it means much for a guy like him.

Injuries or not, the Mets should be able to hit Robert Stephenson. A lot of people have this season. Stephenson has a 5.81 ERA with a 5.86 FIP and a 5.16 xFIP on the season. This will be his third straight start and his sixth start in his last seven appearances. He struck out 11 and walked four in 5.2 innings against the Pirates last time out. He’s actually made two pretty good starts of late, but he’s a wild card. You never know what he’s going to do with subpar command and poor control. The swing and miss element is still there, so he also has the ability to go out and rack up some punchouts.

There probably aren’t any edges to be exploited in this game. The line is coming down a little bit, as people are looking to fade the Mets. You can’t blame them for that. But, it’s hard to back Stephenson as well. I also don’t know about the Mets’ motivation in this one, as bad teams tend to give weak efforts in getaway day games. Anybody but deGrom and I’d fade the Mets here, but since it’s him, I’ll pass.


Los Angeles (-105) at Arizona; Total: 8.5

Kenta Maeda and Zack Greinke are the listed starters as the Diamondbacks look for a sweep of the best team in baseball. They’ll have their ace in the mound in hopes of doing it and get back to facing a right-hander after scratching out a pretty good offensive showing against southpaw Hyun-Jin Ryu. The Diamondbacks are in the bottom third of the league against lefties, but rank fourth in wOBA against righties. Of course, adjusted for park factor, their wRC+ is just 97, which ranks 18th. This team may be a little bit of smoke and mirrors, but they’re playing well right now and the Dodgers are not.


The waves of arms in the Dodgers rotation are just ridiculous. Maeda has made 21 starts and two relief appearances with a 3.76 ERA, a 3.84 FIP, and a 3.89 xFIP. Maeda has struck out over a batter per inning and has pretty solid peripherals overall. Maeda hasn’t been able to go more than six innings in any of his last four starts, so the Dodgers would like to see a little more length. He’s allowed 10 runs over those 22.1 innings with five home runs allowed, so he’s keeping his team in ballgames.

To me, this is one of those spots that means more to Arizona. To sweep the Dodgers sounds impressive. It’s a confidence booster. For the Dodgers, who are blowing everybody away, it’s not a big deal to run into a bit of a slump. They know how good of a team they are. Clayton Kershaw returns tomorrow. I think motivation is a bit of a factor. Teams that play at a high level for so long have a hard time sustaining it. The foot just naturally comes off the gas. My guess is that’s what we’re seeing from the Dodgers right now. It happened to the Astros, too, but they’ve been unable to find the gas pedal since.

Zack Greinke has been terrific for the Diamondbacks this season. He has a 3.14 ERA with a 3.17 FIP and a 3.20 xFIP. He’s struck out well over a batter per inning for the first time since 2014 and has his best strikeout rate since 2011. He has had a few rocky outings in August, though. In five starts this month, Greinke has a 4.50 ERA, but his peripherals are still strong with a 3.23 FIP and a 3.13 xFIP. He’s simply had batted ball luck and sequencing issues with a .372 BABIP against and a 66.1 percent LOB%. It’s a small sample size, but I’d look for a guy like Greinke to bounce back in short order. This is a lineup that requires a lot of focus and Greinke has had an extra day to prepare, just like he had last time out. That extra day of rest is important this time of year.

I like the Diamondbacks here. I like Greinke over Maeda and I think there are some situational elements in play for the Diamondbacks as well. The Dodgers get their ace back tomorrow and visit a bad San Diego team, so they can get back on track quickly and they know it.

Boston at New York (-120); Total: 9

I’m a bit surprised by this line, to be honest. The Yankees were just swept by the Indians, have some problems with Aroldis Chapman at the back end of the bullpen, and have a slumping Aaron Judge trying to figure it all out. Add in the fact that I’m high on Eduardo Rodriguez and I think we have a situation where this line could drop a little bit by game time. I’m a bit higher on CC Sabathia than the market and Sabathia has been a fade candidate for a while now, so for me to say that this line will go down should tell you something.


You certainly have to respect the Yankees bullpen, but the Yankees also need to play from in front to take advantage of that bullpen.

Eduardo Rodriguez has a 4.19 ERA with a 3.86 FIP and a 4.25 xFIP. I’m not sure if he’ll make the ALDS roster over Rick Porcello, but he’s a very intriguing guy to me. I like the strikeout rate and I like the plan to induce weak aerial contact. E-Rod actually has gotten a little bit unlucky that more of his fly balls haven’t turned into pop ups. Last season, Rodriguez had an 11.8 percent pop up rate. A similar rate this season would be really helpful for him with an increased strikeout rate, but only 5.6 percent of his fly balls have been the infield variety. Those are effectively strikeouts, so they are a big deal.

Rodriguez has struggled a bit over his last three outings with 12 runs allowed on 19 hits in 17.2 innings of work. He has 18 strikeouts against five walks, though, which I really like. He’s seen a bit of LOB% regression in those three starts, which was bound to happen. He’s also had some unfortunate batted ball luck in those games. He’s induced a lot of ground balls over his last two starts, which does make me wonder if his arm slot has dropped a little bit due to fatigue. It may simply be a mechanical thing, but I will be monitoring that as we move forward. I still like him in this matchup.

CC Sabathia has a 3.82 ERA with a 4.40 FIP and a 4.30 xFIP. It isn’t a sexy profile by any means, but Sabathia has been pretty effective in his 21 starts. He’ll be going on extra rest here because of yesterday’s doubleheader. The once hefty lefty had not allowed more than four runs in a start since May 9. He’s done that four times. Aside from that, he has allowed two runs or less. Dating back to May 16, Sabathia has a 2.83 ERA with a 3.95 FIP and a 3.95 xFIP, so he has been a savior for this Yankees rotation. I’d certainly be on the lookout for some regression, though, with a .254 BABIP against and an 82 percent LOB%.

I’ve got more trust in the Boston lineup to hit Sabathia than I have in the New York lineup to hit Rodriguez with the way things are going. I think you can start with a position on Boston, see how the game is going, and consider plus money either way to bet on the Yankees bullpen or just hold your Boston ticket. I think this is a decent spot for them, especially with a chance to widen their AL East lead.

Washington at Milwaukee (-110); Total: 8.5

I completely agree with the line move in this one, as the Brewers are taking on steam against the Nationals. It will be Zach Davies for the Brewers and Gio Gonzalez for the Nationals. At some point, this Gonzalez fade is going to work out. It has to. This is one of those seasons that has been really frustrating for somebody that uses sabermetrics to bet.


All of the sudden, Gonzalez’s ERA is down to 2.40 with a 3.86 FIP and a 4.28 xFIP. He has a .242 BABIP against, which is 50 points above his career average, and an 85.8 percent LOB%, which is among the best in the league. It’s nearly 12 percent above his career rate. Gonzalez has not had a BABIP against over .333 in a start since May 30. He’s had two starts with a LOB% below 70 percent this season. This shouldn’t be sustainable for anybody, let alone a guy that largely pitches to contact and has average control. Yet, here we are. I’ve faded Gonzalez every start since his near no-hitter and he has allowed one, zero, one, and two runs with LOB% of 87.5, 100, 83.3, and 90.9. I don’t know what more I can do. The numbers need to play out. Hopefully Milwaukee can be the team to deliver that blow. I stand by my handicapping methods and I believe in them. I will fade Gio Gonzalez today.

It doesn’t hurt that Zach Davies has found his command once again. Davies has a 3.91 ERA with a 4.25 FIP and a 4.52 xFIP. He’s pitched pretty well for a while now with a 1.67 ERA, a 2.76 FIP, and a 4.15 xFIP in his last eight starts. It’s a tough profile to evaluate because Davies doesn’t miss a lot of bats, but he stopped walking guys and has only allowed one home run in his last 54 innings. I understand the hesitation to back a guy like Davies, but I have to stay true to what has worked for me.

It’ll be the Brewers for me today.

St. Louis at San Francisco (-105); Total: 7.5

Michael Wacha and Madison Bumgarner meet in tonight’s nightcap. We’ve seen a significant move against the Giants already tonight. It seems that the level of suck that the Giants have shown this season outweighs the fact that Bumgarner is one of the league’s best pitchers. Bookmaker opened this one -140 and it dropped like a rock. Even when Pinnacle opened -128, it fell from the sky.


Wacha does show some modest signs of positive regression with a 4.33 ERA, a 3.76 FIP, and a 3.84 xFIP. He’s got a solid strikeout rate, the best of his career in fact, but has lost his command in recent starts. His BABIP is up near where it was last season and his home run rate has been growing for a while. Wacha has allowed 17 runs over his last four starts and has stopped striking out batters. He only has 24 over his last six starts in 28.1 innings. He was up around a strikeout per inning for a while. He’s given up five home runs and 38 total hits in those 28.1 innings of work. It’s a hard profile for me to back right now, even against a putrid offense like the Giants.

Madison Bumgarner has a 2.85 ERA with a 3.50 FIP and a 3.89 xFIP in his 85.1 innings of work. Bumgarner returned on July 15 and has pitched pretty well overall with a 2.78 ERA, a 3.93 FIP, and a 4.09 xFIP. The market may be looking to fade Bumgarner’s 88.8 percent LOB% and some of the home run issues that he has shown of late. I certainly can’t fault them for that. While I understand the move, I did give the Giants a thought at this price point, but they’re absolutely terrible offensively and defensively. There’s only so much that Bumgarner can do, so I’ll pass on the nightcap.
 

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NY METS vs. CINCINNATI
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games
NY Mets are 5-12 SU in its last 17 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Cincinnati's last 13 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games at home

TEXAS vs. HOUSTON
Texas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Houston
Texas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 9 games at home
Houston is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home

CHI WHITE SOX vs. MINNESOTA
Chi White Sox are 2-11 SU in their last 13 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 7 games on the road
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Minnesota is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing Chi White Sox

LA DODGERS vs. ARIZONA
LA Dodgers are 16-8 SU in their last 24 games
LA Dodgers are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games
Arizona is 6-3 SU in their last 9 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
Arizona is 3-6 SU in their last 9 games when playing LA Dodgers

TORONTO vs. BALTIMORE
Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Toronto's last 8 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Baltimore is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Baltimore is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing Toronto

BOSTON vs. NY YANKEES
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 9 games when playing NY Yankees
Boston is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Yankees's last 9 games when playing Boston
NY Yankees are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games

PHILADELPHIA vs. MIAMI
Philadelphia is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Miami
Philadelphia is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Miami is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home

ATLANTA vs. CHI CUBS
Atlanta is 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta

WASHINGTON vs. MILWAUKEE
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Milwaukee is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 7 games at home

ST. LOUIS vs. SAN FRANCISCO
St. Louis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 8 of St. Louis's last 11 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of San Francisco's last 10 games
San Francisco is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games


 

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NY METS @ CINCINNATI
NY Mets is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games when playing Cincinnati
NY Mets is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Cincinnati's last 23 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Cincinnati's last 13 games at home

TEXAS @ HOUSTON
Texas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Houston
Texas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games
Houston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

CHI WHITE SOX @ MINNESOTA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 7 games on the road
Chi White Sox is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

LA DODGERS @ ARIZONA
LA Dodgers is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 7 games
Arizona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Arizona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

BOSTON @ NY YANKEES
Boston is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
NY Yankees is 14-6 ATS in its last 20 games when playing Boston
NY Yankees is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Boston

TORONTO @ BALTIMORE
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Toronto's last 8 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Toronto's last 20 games when playing Baltimore
Baltimore is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Baltimore's last 8 games when playing at home against Toronto

PHILADELPHIA @ MIAMI
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games on the road
Miami is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
Miami is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games at home

ATLANTA @ CHI CUBS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
Atlanta is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Chi Cubs is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Chi Cubs is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta

WASHINGTON @ MILWAUKEE
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 7 games at home
Milwaukee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

ST. LOUIS @ SAN FRANCISCO
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of San Francisco's last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games at home
 

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Top Trends:

NY METS @ CINCINNATI
Play OVER NY METS on the total in Road games in August games. The record is 32 Overs and 13 Unders for the last three seasons (+18.9 units)

CHI WHITE SOX @ MINNESOTA
Play OVER MINNESOTA on the total in All games when playing against a team with a losing record. The record is 73 Overs and 41 Unders for the last two seasons (+28.25 units)

ATLANTA @ CHICAGO CUBS
Play OVER CHICAGO CUBS on the total in All games as a home favorite of -175 to -250. The record is 22 Overs and 8 Unders this season (+13.6 units)

ATLANTA @ CHICAGO CUBS
Play OVER ATLANTA on the total in Road games when playing against a team with a winning record. The record is 20 Overs and 4 Unders this season (+15.6 units)
 

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StatFox Super Situations

WASHINGTON at MILWAUKEE
Play On - Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (WASHINGTON) hot hitting team - batting .315 or better over their last 5 games, with a rested bullpen threw 5 innings or less over last 3 games 91-54 since 1997. ( 62.8% | 40.0 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends

LA DODGERS at ARIZONA
LA DODGERS are 67-23 (+34.9 Units) against the money line vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game this season. The average score was: LA DODGERS (5.2) , OPPONENT (3.5)
 

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Teams’ records in first five innings:
Team (road-home-total)- thru 8/30/17
Ariz 25-26-16……36-21–11……..61-47
Atl 25-31-9……23-35-7………..48-66
Cubs 30-30-7…….31-21-13………61-51
Reds 21-37-7……..25-36–7……….46-73
Colo 34-27-6…….35-26-4………..69-53
LA 30-21-12…….41-20-7……….71-41
Miami 28-32-8…….33-22-9………61-54
Milw 33-24-9…….32-27-8……….64-51
Mets 31-31-3……..25-36-6……….56-67
Philly 15-38-14……26-31-8……….41-69
Pitt 30-32-6…….26-28-11………57-60
St. Louis 26-29-8……35-24-9…………61-53
SD 20-39-8……..32-26–8……….52-65
SF 14-45-9……..27-28-11……….41-73
Wash 39-20-6……32-27-8………….71-47

Orioles 27-33-5……..30-31-6………57-64
Boston 29-29-10………30-33-2…….59-62
White Sox 21-37-9………24-36–4……..45-72
Cleveland 37-23-7……..31-24-8………68-47
Detroit 26-34-9…….27-29-8……..53-63
Astros 32-25-9……..40-24-4……..72-49
KC 24-30-9……..27-28-12…….51-58
Angels 25-31-8………29-27-13……..54-58
Twins 37-19-10………30-31-7……..66-49
NYY 28-36-6……….33-26-4…..…61-62
A’s 24-34-7……..28-30-11……..52-64
Seattle 26-35-9……..34-22-9………60-57
TB 34-24-10……..36-21-8……..70-45
Texas 32-24-11……..32-24-8……..64-48
Toronto 24-36-4……..27-31-10……..51-67


%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total- 8/30/17)
Ariz 20-65……..24-66………..44
Atl 15-64……….18-66……….33
Cubs 18-67……..24-65………..42
Reds 24-65……..26-68………50
Colo 17-67……..24-65..……..41
LA 18-63……..24-67..……..42
Miami 29-68……..23-64………52
Milw 22-66……25-68…..…..47
Mets 29-65……..22-67……….51
Philly 16-67……..20-66……….36
Pitt 20-68……..21-66……….41
StL 14-64……..21-67………..35
SD 23-67……….20-65……….43
SF 15-69……….20-66……….35
Wash 25-65……..26-67……….51

Orioles 15-66……..21-68……….36
Boston 20-68……..14-65……….34
White Sox 21-67……16-64………..37
Clev 18-67……..21-65……….39
Detroit 16-68…….26-64………42
Astros 19-66……..26-67……….45
KC 16-64……..13-69……….29
Angels 23-66……..20-70……….43
Twins 15-64……..16-67……….31
NYY 16-69……..17-63……….33
A’s 15-65……..26-69………41
Seattle 21-70…….22-66………43
TB 20-68……..23-67……….43
Texas 25-68……..27-64………52
Toronto 22-64……..19-71………41
 

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CFL

OTTAWA (3 - 6 - 1) at MONTREAL (3 - 6) - 8/31/2017, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 31-18 ATS (+11.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 31-18 ATS (+11.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 20-6 ATS (+13.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 52 over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
MONTREAL is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games when playing on a Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 6-1 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 6-1 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

OTTAWA vs. MONTREAL
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Ottawa is 3-6-1 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Montreal's last 10 games when playing Ottawa
Montreal is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Ottawa

Ottawa (3-6-1) @ Montreal (3-6)— RedBlacks (-4.5) beat Montreal 24-19 at home in first meeting this season, despite giving up 517 yards of offense. Ottawa scored 37-31 points in winning its last two games, after a 1-6-1 start- they’re 1-3 on road, with only win at winless Hamilton. Under is 5-1-2 in their last eight games; they pushed the total the last two weeks. Montreal allowed 38-34 points in losing last two games; they’re 3-2 at home after last week’s home loss to Winnipeg. Under is 6-3 in Alouette games this season. RedBlacks won six of last seven series games; under is 7-3 in series games.
 

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