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Thread: Chonce NFL Picks 2017-18 (1)

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  1. #1 Chonce NFL Picks 2017-18 (1) 
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    Hi everyone.

    Last year's record (link): YTD: 96 - 59 + 24.5 units

    Wanted to set this up so I would be ready for Thursday night.
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  2. #2  
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    KC/NE OVER 48 - 1 unit
    TB/MIA OVER 41.5 - 1 unit


    YTD: 0-0-0
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  3. #3  
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    Good Luck this year...
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  4. #4  
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    GL Chonce
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  5. #5  
    RX Local indiana's Avatar
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    chonce.......BOL with all your action this season........indy
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  6. #6  
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    Well Miami game is postponed....
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  7. #7  
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    Good luck this season!
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  8. #8  
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    Add:

    Tenn -1.5 (-120) - 1 unit
    Cinci - 3 (-105) - 1 unit
    STL - 3.5 (-115) - 2 units
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  9. #9  
    RX Senior 3pointdog's Avatar
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    nice season last year chonce!! good luck my friend...
    Just Win....
    Placed 13th in 2012 LVH Super Contest

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  10. #10  
    RX Senior 3pointdog's Avatar
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    St. Louis????.................. LA Rams I assume??!!!
    Just Win....
    Placed 13th in 2012 LVH Super Contest

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  11. #11  
    RX Senior bradyisgod's Avatar
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    Good luck this year Chonce!!!
    2016-2017 NFL: +17.5 units
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  12. #12  
    RX Senior seldomseen's Avatar
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    Good luck this year! I like LAR quite a bit this week. This is purely speculative but I think Bortles may have taken the week off from drinking to focus on the game plan.
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  13. #13  
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    GL this week Chonce
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  14. #14  
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    SeldomSeem, you meen Jax? That is a tricky one. I do worry about the Borltes rumors as they correspond with his shitty play (could be catch 22, the rumors could cause the shitty play, whether true or not, but man lots of anecdotes about this on the Jax boards).

    I am conflicted on that one. I feel sort of sick laying points with LAR but Indy has a shit coach, no QB, no defense, Vontae is out. They literally are trotting out the worst QB in the league (though Goff was shit too, but they have a defense).

    I am mulling one or two more plays this morning....

    Good luck all

    YTD:

    1-0 + 1 unit
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  15. #15  
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    Quote Originally Posted by 3pointdog View Post
    St. Louis????.................. LA Rams I assume??!!!
    Shit, this may take awhile to get used to. Of course you are right. Too late for me to edit it but for clarification the bet is for the LA Rams!
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  16. #16  
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    good luck week 1, very nice record last season Chonce.
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  17. #17  
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    ADD:


    PHI PK (-120) - 1 unit

    Sorry for the lack of a write-up. Just been super busy on work-related deadlines.

    Note, Bugala is out for GB which may be one reason the line has fallen to GB -2.5 here. I was mulling GB play but a LT injury against that D-line is not optimal. I am probably going to pass on it since I would have to pay lots of juice to get a 3 now.
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  18. #18  
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    Add

    SF + 4.5

    I wish this game was one at 1 and not 4 so I would see less of it on Redzone (only 3 4 pm games). SF + 4.5 is a bet I can feel good about, but not one I want to watch unfold.

    To summarize

    Pats/KC OVER 47.5 WIN + 1

    Cin - 3 (-105) 1 unit
    Tenn - 1.5 (-120) 1 unit
    Phi PK (-120) 1 unit


    LAR - 3.5 - 2 units
    SF + 4.5 - 1 unit


    Good luck to all
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  19. #19  
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    Monday Night Football...Add:

    Min - 3 (-120) 1 unit

    Without the hook (5 dimes as we speak), I am betting this one with confidence. Bob Scucci has noted that, despite not being good for a long time, NO gets a lot of public money, presumably because of Brees, scoring etc... But Minny is the better team by a fair margin and this line suggests they would be nearly even on a nuetral field.
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  20. #20  
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    Add:

    Jax (2nd Half) Team Total OVER 7 (-117) - 2 units
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  21. #21  
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    So far:
    NE OVER + 1 unit
    CIN - 3 - 1.05 units
    Tenn - 1.5 -1.2 units
    Phi PK + 1 unit

    2nd Half Jax TT OVER + 2 units

    YTD: 3-2 + 1.75 units

    Cinci bet was stupid but 2nd half totals often bail me out. I will take the modest profit!

    Two afternoon games to go. GL all!
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  22. #22  
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    LAR looks good, SF looks bad. I will take it as I bet 2 units o LAR.

    Anyway I will add:

    Dallas - 4 - 1 unit

    I don't get this line but I am not overthinking it. Dallas will be motivated for this one in light of all the NFL/Zeke drama. At home, got to take the better team with the great o-line.
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  23. #23  
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    So far:

    5-3 + 3.65 units
    I haven't decided if I will post a new thread each week (as I did last year, but with a link to the previous week to try and keep it accurate (I had someone correct me with 2 math mistakes last year, one in my favor one against). Or just one long thread, which is the best for accountability but becomes a mess for practical usage.

    So pending my decision I may add this to a new thread, but for now:

    add (week 2)

    NE - 4.5 (1 unit) (5 Dimes)

    It is rare for the Pat's to be undervalued in my opinion. And this line could go in either direction depending on what takes places in Minnesota tonight. But this game screams "statement" game to me. Very much reminds me of week 5 vs Cinci in 2014. People start to doubt the Pats. Talk shows say Brady is cooked etc...Also BB has a long week, and NO has a short one.

    I don't see the Pat's going 0-2 and the Thursday game was actually controlled by them for most of 3 quarters. They are not as bad as they looked and I had this line pegged for 5.5. So I will take the value now.
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  24. #24  
    RX Senior Vituperate's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by chonce View Post
    Monday Night Football...Add:

    Min - 3 (-120) 1 unit

    Without the hook (5 dimes as we speak), I am betting this one with confidence. Bob Scucci has noted that, despite not being good for a long time, NO gets a lot of public money, presumably because of Brees, scoring etc... But Minny is the better team by a fair margin and this line suggests they would be nearly even on a nuetral field.

    They only thing I wonder about is whether MINN will be more motivated to stop AP or will AP be more motivated to run at his old team.
    "Is it wrong to gamble, or only to lose?"
    ---Sky Masterson
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  25. #25  
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    Quote Originally Posted by Vituperate View Post
    They only thing I wonder about is whether MINN will be more motivated to stop AP or will AP be more motivated to run at his old team.
    Respectfully, I do not think AP motivation either way is a factor in this game...
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