Forum: Service Plays Forum - Only Daily Service Play Threads Allowed in This Forum. All others will be moved to appropriate forums. Do not post your own private plays in this forum, please use Sport Forums.
Sponsored by Cappers File

Thread: Sunday 9/10/17 ... Comps / Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Page 2 of 8 FirstFirst 12345678 LastLast
  1. #26  
    RX SemiGod
    Join Date
    Jun 2017
    Location
    California
    Posts
    14,804
    Diamond Trends - Sunday

    TOP SU TREND:
    The Pirates are 0-10 since Oct 09, 2013 in the last game of a series as a road dog coming off a one run loss.

    TOP OU TREND:
    The Braves are 0-10 OU (-2.25 ppg) since Jun 08, 2017 as a favorite after they scored 6+ runs.

    TOP STARTER TREND:
    The Cardinals are 0-16 RUN LINE AGAINST since Aug 17, 2015 when Michael Wacha starts as a home favorite after a quality start in his last start.

    TOP CHOICE TREND:
    The Mets are 9-0-1 OU (3.55 ppg) since Sep 01, 2016 when Jacob deGrom starts when they lost in his last start against this opponent.
    Reply With Quote  
     

  2. #27  
    RX SemiGod
    Join Date
    Jun 2017
    Location
    California
    Posts
    14,804
    MLB Trend Report

    DETROIT @ TORONTO
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit
    Toronto is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Detroit

    CINCINNATI @ NY METS
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 8 games
    NY Mets is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
    NY Mets is 18-2 SU in its last 20 games when playing Cincinnati

    MIAMI @ ATLANTA
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Miami's last 11 games on the road
    Miami is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
    Atlanta is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Miami
    Atlanta is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Miami

    PHILADELPHIA @ WASHINGTON
    Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
    Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
    Washington is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
    Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

    TAMPA BAY @ BOSTON
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
    Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

    SAN FRANCISCO @ CHI WHITE SOX
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Francisco's last 7 games when playing Chi White Sox
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games when playing at home against San Francisco
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chi White Sox's last 7 games when playing San Francisco

    MINNESOTA @ KANSAS CITY
    Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Kansas City's last 10 games when playing at home against Minnesota

    PITTSBURGH @ ST. LOUIS
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games on the road
    Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing St. Louis
    St. Louis is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games

    MILWAUKEE @ CHI CUBS
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Milwaukee's last 8 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
    The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Milwaukee's last 14 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Chi Cubs's last 8 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee

    NY YANKEES @ TEXAS
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Yankees's last 8 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 6 games
    Texas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing NY Yankees
    Texas is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against NY Yankees

    HOUSTON @ OAKLAND
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games when playing on the road against Oakland
    Houston is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Oakland
    Oakland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    Oakland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games

    COLORADO @ LA DODGERS
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games
    Colorado is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games when playing Colorado
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games when playing at home against Colorado

    SAN DIEGO @ ARIZONA
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing Arizona
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing San Diego
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing at home against San Diego

    LA ANGELS @ SEATTLE
    LA Angels is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Seattle
    LA Angels is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Seattle
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games at home

    BALTIMORE @ CLEVELAND
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing Cleveland
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games on the road
    Cleveland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    Reply With Quote  
     

  3. #28  
    RX SemiGod
    Join Date
    Jun 2017
    Location
    California
    Posts
    14,804
    MLB Top Trends

    CINCINNATI @ NY METS
    Play OVER NY METS on the total in All games when the total is 8 to 8.5. The record is 29 Overs and 13 Unders this season (+14.4 units)

    CINCINNATI @ NY METS
    Play OVER NY METS on the total in All games in all games. The record is 80 Overs and 50 Unders this season (+24.2 units)

    MINNESOTA @ KANSAS CITY
    Play OVER MINNESOTA on the total in All games when playing against a team with a losing record. The record is 77 Overs and 44 Unders for the last two seasons (+28.9 units)

    NY YANKEES @ TEXAS
    Play OVER TEXAS on the total in Home games when playing against a team with a winning record. The record is 32 Overs and 14 Unders for the last two seasons (+17.1 units)

    HOUSTON @ OAKLAND
    Play OVER HOUSTON on the total in All games on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5. The record is 35 Overs and 15 Unders for the last two seasons (+18.95 units)

    HOUSTON @ OAKLAND
    Play OVER HOUSTON on the total in All games when playing on Sunday. The record is 16 Overs and 4 Unders this season (+11.65 units)

    SAN DIEGO @ ARIZONA
    Play OVER ARIZONA on the total in All games when playing with a day off. The record is 12 Overs and 2 Unders this season (+9.95 units)

    SAN DIEGO @ ARIZONA
    Play OVER ARIZONA on the total in All games when playing with a day off. The record is 22 Overs and 7 Unders for the last two seasons (+14.65 units)
    Reply With Quote  
     

  4. #29  
    RX SemiGod
    Join Date
    Jun 2017
    Location
    California
    Posts
    14,804
    StatFox Super Situations

    COLORADO at LA DODGERS
    Play On - Home teams (LA DODGERS) cold hitting team - batting .215 or worse over their last 5 games, starting a pitcher who walked <=1 hitters each of his last 2 outings 549-351 since 1997. ( 61.0% | 151.0 units ) 33-20 this year. ( 62.3% | 5.1 units )

    StatFox Situational Power Trends

    NY YANKEES at TEXAS
    TEXAS is 70-52 (+32.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. The average score was: TEXAS (5.1) , OPPONENT (4.9)
    Reply With Quote  
     

  5. #30  
    RX SemiGod
    Join Date
    Jun 2017
    Location
    California
    Posts
    14,804
    NFL Pick Six - Week 1

    Falcons (-7, 49 ) at Bears – 1:00 PM EST

    Atlanta
    Preseason Record: 0-4 SU, 0-4 ATS
    2016 Record: 11-5 SU, 10-6 ATS
    Season Win Total: 9 (Over -110)

    Atlanta opens up its NFC title defense at Soldier Field, as a Super Bowl championship slipped through the Falcons’ hands in February’s overtime defeat to the Patriots. Since 1998, only one NFC team has played in consecutive Super Bowls (Seattle 2013-14), so the task isn’t daunting for Atlanta, but it won’t be easy. What also isn’t easy is motivation for Super Bowl losers in their season opener as those squads own a dreadful 5-13 SU and 3-15 ATS record since 1999.

    Chicago
    Preseason Record: 2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS
    2016 Record: 3-13 SU, 7-9 ATS
    Season Win Total: 5 (Under -125)

    The Bears go into the season with questions at the quarterback position. Offseason acquisition Mike Glennon gets the start ahead of second overall pick Mitchell Trubisky as Chicago’s offense looks for a boost after being held to 17 points of fewer 10 times last season. The Bears actually closed 2016 on a 4-1 ATS run at home, including underdog covers against Green Bay, Tennessee, and Minnesota. Chicago has won each of the past two meetings with Atlanta, as the Bears destroyed the Falcons on opening day in 2011 by a 30-12 count.

    Best Bet: Chicago +7

    Eagles (-1, 48) at Redskins – 1:00 PM EST


    Philadelphia
    Preseason Record: 2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS
    2016 Record: 7-9 SU, 8-8 ATS
    Season Win Total: 8 (Over -120)

    Philadelphia flew out of the gate in Carson Wentz’s rookie season by starting 3-0, capped off by a blowout home win over Pittsburgh. However, the Eagles picked up only four victories the rest of the season, while losing their final seven games away from Lincoln Financial Field. Philadelphia heads to the Nation’s Capital with double-revenge on its mind after getting swept by Washington last season, as the Eagles have dropped five straight matchups with the Redskins.

    Washington
    Preseason Record: 2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS
    2016 Record: 8-7-1 SU, 10-6 ATS
    Season Win Total: 7 (Under -150)

    After losing their first two games last season, the Redskins ran off four straight victories. However, Washington fell short of the postseason by losing four of its final six contests. There should be plenty of points scored at FedEx Field as both meetings in 2016 finished OVER the total, while Washington went 6-2 to the OVER at home last season. In two victories against the Eagles last season, the Redskins held Philadelphia’s offense to only one touchdown.

    Best Bet: Washington +1

    Cardinals (-1, 48 ) at Lions – 1:00 PM EST


    Arizona
    Preseason Record: 2-3 SU, 2-3 ATS
    2016 Record: 7-8-1 SU, 6-10 ATS
    Season Win Total: 8 (Over -140)

    Following an NFC championship appearance in 2015, the Cardinals took a step back in 2016 by posting a 7-8-1 record and missing the playoffs. Arizona finished last season on a high note with victories at Seattle and San Francisco, but the Cardinals went 3-5 on the highway. The Cardinals have owned the Lions over the years by winning seven straight meetings dating back to 2006, while manhandling Detroit at Ford Field in 2015 in a 42-17 blowout.

    Detroit
    Preseason Record: 2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS
    2016 Record: 9-7 SU, 8-8 ATS
    Season Win Total: 7 (Under -170)

    The Lions inked quarterback Matthew Stafford to a brand new deal, while hoping that can propel Detroit to consecutive playoff appearances for the first time since 1994 and 1995. Detroit sputtered at the end of last season with three consecutive losses before bowing out to Seattle in the Wild Card round. What helped the Lions reach the playoffs was five wins by three points each, as Detroit put together a solid 6-2 record at Ford Field.

    Best Bet: Arizona -1

    Raiders at Titans (-2, 50 ) – 1:00 PM EST


    Oakland
    Preseason Record: 0-4 SU, 0-4 ATS
    2016 Record: 12-4 SU, 6-10 ATS
    Season Win Total: 9 (Under -130)

    The Raiders were cruising to an AFC West title and a potential showdown with the Patriots for the AFC championship. Those dreams were shattered along with Derek Carr’s leg in a late-season injury that put the Oakland quarterback out of commission for the playoffs. In spite of getting ousted by Houston in the Wild Card round, the Raiders posted a 12-4 record to go along with a 6-2 mark away from the Coliseum. Oakland limited Tennessee to its lowest point total of the season in 2016 by knocking off the Titans, 17-10 last September.

    Tennessee
    Preseason Record: 1-3 SU, 1-3 ATS
    2016 Record: 9-7 SU, 7-9 ATS
    Season Win Total: 9 (Under -115)

    Tennessee has high expectations placed on them entering Marcus Mariota’s third season at quarterback. The Titans closed 2016 strong by winning four of their final five games to finish at 9-7, the franchise’s first winning season since 2011. Tennessee is hosting Oakland for the third straight season, as the Titans have lost the last two seasons by a combined 10 points to the Raiders. Since Mariota took over at quarterback, the Titans have compiled a 3-4-1 ATS record as a home favorite.

    Best Bet: Oakland +2

    Ravens at Bengals (-3, 42 ) – 1:00 PM EST


    Baltimore
    Preseason Record: 4-0 SU, 4-0 ATS
    2016 Record: 8-8 SU, 7-9 ATS
    Season Win Total: 8 (Under -145)

    These AFC North rivals are hooking up on opening day for the first time since 2014 as the Ravens look to avenge a 23-16 home defeat. Baltimore is fresh off a perfect preseason, but the Ravens didn’t get a lot of work out of quarterback Joe Flacco. He is expected to play on Sunday after missing most of the preseason with a back injury, while Baltimore shoots for its first road victory since Week 3 last season at Jacksonville. The Ravens dropped their final six road contests in 2016, including a 27-10 drubbing in Week 17 at Cincinnati.

    Cincinnati
    Preseason Record: 1-3 SU, 2-2 ATS
    2016 Record: 6-9-1 SU, 7-9 ATS
    Season Win Total: 8 (Under -135)

    The Bengals won the division two seasons ago, but fell backwards in 2016 by winning just six games, while picking up consecutive victories only one time. Cincinnati is riding a three-game hot streak in season openers, while playing Week 1 at Paul Brown Stadium for the first time since 2009. The Bengals haven’t lost at home to the Ravens since 2012, while the home team owns an 8-2 record in the series in the last 10 matchups.

    Best Bet: Cincinnati -3

    Seahawks at Packers (-3, 50 ) – 4:25 PM EST


    Seattle
    Preseason Record: 4-0 SU, 4-0 ATS
    2016 Record: 10-5-1 SU, 8-8 ATS
    Season Win Total: 10 (Over -125)

    Seattle rallied to stun Green Bay in the NFC championship in 2014 before losing in the Super Bowl to New England on the final play. The Seahawks haven’t made a Super Bowl since but have qualified for the postseason each of the past five seasons. The last two seasons the Seahawks have come up short against the Packers at Lambeau Field, including a 38-10 drubbing to Green Bay last December as a three-point road favorite.

    Green Bay
    Preseason Record: 1-3 SU, 2-2 ATS
    2016 Record: 10-6 SU, 9-6-1 ATS
    Season Win Total: 10 (Under -140)

    The Packers made it all the way to the NFC title game last season before getting blitzed by the Falcons. Hopes are still high for a Super Bowl appearance in Titletown this season as the Packers won seven of nine games at Lambeau Field in 2016. The Packers overcame a November swoon in which they dropped four straight games to finish the regular season with six straight victories before playoff triumphs over the Giants and Cowboys prior to the Atlanta loss in the championship.

    Best Bet: Seattle +3
    Reply With Quote  
     

  6. #31  
    RX SemiGod
    Join Date
    Jun 2017
    Location
    California
    Posts
    14,804
    NFL Week 1 Essentials

    N.Y. Jets at Buffalo: The Sean McDermott era officially opens at home with Tyrod Taylor under center after he cleared concussion protocol. He had a rough preseason even before the Ravens knocked him out early in their Aug. 26 dress rehearsal win. Rookie Nathan Peterman, a fifth-round pick from Pittsburgh, was one of the few bright spots alongside fellow first-year wideout Zay Jones, so given the decision to move on from the oft-injured Sammy Watkins, this looks like a rebuilding season in Buffalo. The Jets made no secret that's what is in store for them, dealing Sheldon Richardson to Seattle and moving off of veterans like Darrelle Revis, Nick Mangold, David Harris, Brandon Marshall, Eric Decker and disappointing QB Ryan Fitzpatrick. Josh McCown will take over to start the season until Bryce Petty inevitably gets his shot, which makes this the week's ugliest matchup. Todd Bowles is 1-1 (SU/ATS) in openers and swept the Bills last season for two of New York's five wins.

    Atlanta at Chicago: Reigning MVP Matt Ryan and his teammates can finally turn the page on their Super Bowl disappointment and will be close to full strength since Devonta Freeman returned after missing a few weeks with a concussion. Only rookie RB Brian Hill is questionable, so the Bears will have to deal with an attack that entered the Patriots loss averaging 39 points per game and would've captured a championship had they broken 30 in regulation. Chicago surrendered 30 or more points in each of its last three games but returns Top-10 pick Leonard Floyd to help Vic Fangio's unit turn things around. Offensively, the Bears suffered a major setback in the preseason when top wideout Cameron Meredith was lost to a knee injury, putting pressure on former No. 7 pick Kevin White to emerge as Mike Glennon's go-to option following two seasons ruined by injuries. It will be interesting to see how he handles being covered by the likes of Marcus Trufant, but he's likely to get opportunities to show what he can do.

    Baltimore at Cincinnati: The Ravens didn't expose Joe Flacco in the preseason due to a painful disc issue in his back but always held out hope that he'd be ready when the season rolled around. That faith was rewarded when he returned this week, joined by newly acquired Danny Woodhead and Breshad Perriman, both of whom were dealing with hamstring injuries. Although Baltimore was again greatly affected by injuries in training camp, its prospects look better than they appeared a month ago and improve since Bengals defensive standouts Vontaze Burfict and Adam Jones are suspended and safety Shawn Williams is out at least a month with an elbow dislocation. The Bengals did get good news on Jeremy Hill (ankle), who is healed enough to round out a running back rotation alongside rookie Joe Mixon and the versatile Giovani Bernard that will try and crack a Baltimore run defense that allowed the NFL's fifth-fewest yards in '16. Because of the continuity of both coaching staffs, there doesn't figure to be a lot that will surprise the opposing side, but Cincinnati has won six of seven meetings between these AFC North rivals since 2014.

    Pittsburgh at Cleveland: The other half of the division is also pitted against each other as the Steelers look to get off to a strong start by extending their winning streak over the Browns to five. Mike Tomlin is 17-3 against the AFC North's resident doormat since taking over in '07. All the losses have come at FirstEnergy Stadium, but Cleveland is starting rookie DeShone Kizer and only won last Christmas Eve over its last 19 games. Although this season also figures to be an uphill climb, the emergence of Kizer this preseason and an improved-looking defense fortified by the presence of first-round picks Myles Garrett and Jabril Peppers has the franchise optimistic. Garrett suffered a high ankle sprain in practice and is out for the first few weeks, so Ben Roethlisberger will have one fewer playmaker to concern himself with and now has Joe Haden on his side. He's also got Martavis Bryant back to help stretch the field after he was reinstated following a season-long suspension last year. Le'Veon Bell ended his holdout on Sept. 1 and reported to camp in shape, so it's unlikely not being around this preseason will hold him back.

    Arizona at Detroit: It was an eventful offseason for the Lions with Matthew Stafford getting his lucrative extension and the opportunity to test themselves against the Patriots in the preseason's most important week blowing up in their face. Detroit comes into this one with DE Ziggy Ansah, LB Tahir Whitehead and TE Eric Ebron ready to play after camp ailments, so there can be no excuses if they fail to protect their homefield in this first test. The Cardinals defense will be missing key cog Deonne Bucannon (ankle) and may be without DT Robert Nkemdiche, who is struggling to overcome a calf injury. Since both teams are expected to compete for playoff berths despite not being their division's favorite, getting a leg up immediately would provide a huge boost to whoever gets it together first. The Lions have lost seven consecutive games against Arizona after winning back in 2005. Stafford himself is 0-5, throwing just four touchdowns against 10 interceptions.

    Jacksonville at Houston: Tom Savage held off rookie Desean Watson's charge to win the Texans' starting QB gig, while Blake Bortles did the same against Chad Henne with the Jaguars. Neither inspires a ton of confidence, particularly Bortles, who followed up a brutal 2016 season by looking extremely shaky in camp, holding on to his job only after a strong fourth quarter against Bucs backups. He'll have Marquise Lee back in the mix from an ankle issue in addition to No. 4 pick Leonard Fournette debuting next to him at running back, so he'll at least have a fighting chance against a fierce looking Houston defense. The Texans are likely to have a conservative game plan in place since receivers DeAndre Hopkins and Braxton Miller are banged up and Jaelen Strong (suspended) and Will Fuller (collarbone) are ruled out. If Savage's game management skills don't pan out, there's a chance Watson joins Kizer as rookies seeing action under center on the NFL's opening Sunday.

    Oakland at Tennessee: These teams are each favored to win their AFC divisions, led by elite young QBs that have already made significant strides to prove their legitimacy. That makes this a great early test for both that could have homefield implications come playoffs. Marcus Mariota had a shaky training camp, but could look sharper given time to cram for this one with veteran Eric Decker (ankle) and rookies Corey Davis (hamstring) and Taywan Taylor (calf) set to return. With David Amerson (concussion) and rookie Gareon Conley (shin) missing time of late and Khalil Mack (knee) coming in with a pre-existing issue, Oakland may not be ready to defend on the road like they managed to last season in winning six of eight. Derek Carr has made some plays in his return from a broken fibula suffered last Christmas Eve, and he'll have a loaded, healthy offense that includes wrecking ball Marshawn Lynch to rely upon.

    Philadelphia at Washington: Seeing the Eagles open as an early road favorite is certainly disrespectful to the 'Skins, but indicative of the direction Bookmakers see these franchises going this season. Carson Wentz is expected to make a jump with veteran receivers Alshon Jeffery and Torrey Smith coming on board and LeGarrette Blount around to gain tough yards. Kirk Cousins will have to succeed without veteran weapons DeSean Jackson and Pierre Garcon, giving Terrelle Pryor, Jamison Crowder and Josh Doctson more of a stage. The Eagles haven't defeated Washington in their last five meetings and have won only once in Landover since 2011, so this would be an important first step if they are to have a breakout year.

    Indianapolis at L.A. Rams: The best players on both sides here, QB Andrew Luck and DT Aaron Donald, won't be a part of the action. Luck is hurt and Donald is holding out for the paycheck he's earned himself, so both teams will have to tune into their inner MacGyver to emerge from Week 1 unscathed. Indianapolis will also have to replace center Ryan Kelly and top corner Vontae Davis in addition to relying on Scott Tolzien to help produce a road win. 30-year-old Sean McVay is under the microscope as the youngest head coach in NFL history and matches minds with beleaguered veteran Chuck Pagano in a favorite's role. If L.A. can generate pressure and make like difficult on the Colts without the esteemed Donald, they could win a home game at the Coliseum for the first time since shocking the Seahawks in last season's home opener.

    Seattle at Green Bay: The Packers got great news with tackle Brian Bulaga returning to practice and feeling no ill effects from his sprained ankle, suggesting he'll be out there helping protect Aaron Rodgers against a fierce-looking Seahawks decent fortified by the addition of a healthy Sheldon Richardson. It wouldn't be surprising if Seattle gets immediate production given his desire to fit in on another elite line after a great run when healthy in New York. It's looking like this is going to be a fair fight between the two teams that entered the week as 7-to-2 co-favorites (Westgate Superbook) to get out of the NFC. Russell Wilson spent his senior season at Wisconsin and helped beat the Packers as a rookie on that Hail Mary that should've never been called a touchdown by replacement refs, but he's suffered blowout losses in his two trips to Lambeau the last two seasons, throwing six interceptions.

    Carolina at San Francisco: Cam Newton threw two passes in a preseason win as the Panthers rightfully kept his focus on healing up his surgically repaired throwing shoulder. That's provided little opportunity to gel with new weapons Christian McCaffrey and Curtis Samuel, so you can count on Ron Rivera placing the burden of getting off to a strong start on his capable defense. Key DT Vernon Butler is wearing a heavy brace on a sprained knee he hurt early in the preseason and may not move around normally if he plays at all. 49ers head coach Kyle Shanahan wouldn't commit to starters beyond starting QB Brian Hoyer and former All-Pro tackle Joe Staley, so he's looking for individuals to prove they deserve playing time on this team he's inherited. Shanahan, who has to take a lot of blame for Atlanta blowing the Super Bowl, is San Francisco's fourth head coach in as many seasons. Making sure no one comes into the season comfortable is probably right the strategy since there are few guys on the roster who have consistently brought it on the field.

    N.Y. Giants at Dallas: Ezekiel Elliott's immediate future may extend beyond this game if he wins his legal battle to put off a six-game suspension, but with nothing guaranteed there, the Cowboys really need to lock in on putting this divisional home game in their pocket. That's especially true since New York comes in vulnerable due to Odell Beckham Jr.'s potential absence and the fact other receivers come in banged up. Ben McAdoo ended a winless three-game run for the Giants in Dallas by surviving 20-19 in his head coaching debut last season. He then snapped the Cowboys' 11-game winning streak with a 10-7 comeback win in December. New York hadn't swept Dallas since '11, so the fact both games were so close and ended in disappointment is certain to be a driving force for the host Cowboys. Head coach Jason Garrett is 3-3 in season openers, with victimizing the Giants accounting for all his victories.
    Reply With Quote  
     

  7. #32  
    RX SemiGod
    Join Date
    Jun 2017
    Location
    California
    Posts
    14,804
    Gridiron Angles - Week 1

    NFL PLAY ON ATS TREND:
    The Bengals are 10-0-2 ATS (6.3 ppg) since Sep 23, 2012 if they are not dogs of more than three points when they are playing a team with the same record.

    NFL PLAY AGAINST TREND:
    The Panthers are 0-6-1 ATS (-6.7 ppg) since December 2015 as a road favorite.

    TOP NFL PLAYER TREND:
    The Packers are 7-0 ATS (9.8 ppg) since Dec ember20, 2015 facing a team Jordy Nelson scored a touchdown against in their last meeting.

    NFL ATS SYSTEM:
    Teams in Week 1 which covered in no more than 1/3rd of their games last season are 55-33-1

    ATS. Active on Cincinnati, Cleveland, San Francisco, LA Rams.

    NFL O/U UNDER TREND:
    The Steelers are 0-10 OU (-10.4 ppg) since Oct 13, 2013 as a road favorite of at least three points in non-Monday night games.

    NFL O/U OVER TREND:
    The Eagles are 9-0-1 OU (7.6 ppg) since November 2015 on the road when less than a six-point dog.
    Reply With Quote  
     

  8. #33  
    RX SemiGod
    Join Date
    Jun 2017
    Location
    California
    Posts
    14,804
    Jets @ Bills
    Buffalo led NFL in rushing yardage last two years; will that change under the new coach? Bills had won five in row over the Jets before getting swept 37-31/30-10 in two meetings LY. Jets lost three of last four visits here, with losses by 19-23-5 points. Jets open on road for first time since ’09; they’re 5-1 in last six season openers, 15-5 vs spread in last 20 road openers. Buffalo is 7-3 vs spread in last ten home openers- three of last four stayed under. Last five years, Bills are 9-6 vs spread when hosting AFC East foes; since 2012, they’re 12-10 as a home favorite. Over is 12-4 in their home games the last two years. Jets are 2-4-2 as road underdogs under Bowles. Under is 10-6 in Jet road games the last two seasons.

    Falcons @ Bears
    Last 14 years, Super Bowl loser is 5-9 in its first game the next year (2-12 vs spread). Atlanta also has two new coordinators this year; they’re 3-2 in last five season openers, 4-3 as a road favorite under Quinn. Under is 15-9 in their road games the last three years. Chicago is 6-11-1 vs spread as a home underdog since ’12 (4-1 LY). First meeting in three years between these two; Falcons lost last six games in Windy City- their last win here was in 1983 (also in Week 1). Atlanta is 3-2 in its last five road openers. Under is 10-3 in their last 13 AO’s. Chicago lost its last three home openers, by 3-8-15 points; over is 4-1-1 in their last six. Bears were -20 in turnovers LY, are 14-34 SU the last three years.

    Jaguars @ Texans
    Houston won last six games in this division rivalry; they swept Jaguars LY, 24-21/21-20. Jax lost five of last six games in Houston, losing last three by 1-24-6 points. Texans are 12-4-1 as a home favorite under O’Brien; they’re also starting 4th different QB on Opening Day in his four years as Texans’ coach. Since ’09, Jaguars are 24-29-1 as a road underdog; over is 11-5 in their road games the last two years. Jax lost its last nine road openers (2-7 vs spread)- they started 0-1 the last five years. Houston won six of last seven season openers, are 5-2 vs spread in last seven home openers. Under is 8-4 in their last 12 home openers, 10-6 in their home games the last two seasons.

    Eagles @ Redskins
    Washington won last five series games, sweeping Iggles 27-20/27-22 LY. Philly lost last three visits here, by 3-3-7 points. Last two years, Redskins are 12-4 vs spread in games where spread was 3 or less points- they’re 4-8 as a home favorite under Gruden. Eagles are 8-9 vs spread as a road underdog the last three years. Philly won seven of last eight road openers- they covered last five tries as an underdog in AO’s. Over is 5-2-2 in their last nine AO’s. Washington lost four of its last five home openers; five of last six went over total. Last two years, Eagles are 7-10 vs spread in games where spread was 3 or less points. Over is 22-10 in Philly road games the last four years.

    Cardinals @ Lions
    Redbirds are 10-6 vs spread on artificial turf, 10-5 as road favorites under Arians. Detroit is 1-5 as home underdog under Caldwell. Arizona won its last seven games with Lions; five of those seven were in desert. Redbirds won 31-24/42-17 in last two visits here; their last loss to Lions was here in 2005. Arizona had covered eight road openers in row before losing Week 3 AO in Buffalo LY- three of their last four went over. Cards won five of last seven season openers. Detroit won five of last six season openers, lost last two home openers, scoring 12-15 points. Over is 5-2 in their last seven HO’s. Over is 13-3 in Cardinal road games last two years. Over is 23-17 in their home games the last five years.

    Raiders @ Titans
    Silver/Black was 7-1 LY in games with spread of 3 or less points; they’re 12-4 vs spread on road under Del Rio. Oakland won in Music City last two years, 24-21/17-10; road team won last three series games. Last four years, Titans are 9-20-3 vs spread at home; since 2011, they’re 13-22-3 vs spread in games with spread of 3 or less. Oakland lost four of last five season openers; they’re 7-2-1 vs spread in last ten road openers— over is 12-5-1 in their last 18. Tennessee won three of last four season openers, but lost its last three home openers. Titans are 5-13-2 vs spread in last 20 non-divisional home tilts. Under is 7-3 in their last ten season openers. Oakland is 15-5 vs spread in its last 20 non-divisional road games. New kicker for the Raiders; Sebastian Janikowski got put on IR; Giorgio Tavecchio takes his place.

    Ravens @ Bengals
    Cincy is opening at home for first time since 2009; they went 4-3 in Week 1 road games since then, are 5-2 (4-2-1 vs spread) in last seven home openers. Under is 7-2 in their last nine HO’s. Bengals are 15-9-1 as home favorites since 2013, but their OL was ravaged in free agency last winter- they’re 7-5 vs spread in AFC North home games last four years. Since 2012, Baltimore is 10-13-1 as a road underdog; they’re 4-1-1 vs spread in last six divisional road games. Ravens lost four of last six road openers; they’re 7-4 vs spread in last 11 AO’s (over is 7-2-1 in last ten). These teams finished LY here against each other. Bengals won six of last seven meetings, winning last five played here, by 6-17-3-8-17 points.

    Steelers @ Browns
    Since returning to NFL in 1999, Cleveland has been 1-0 once, 0-1 17 times, with only Week 1 win 20-3 over the Ravens in ’04. Browns are 4-14 vs spread in HO’s, 3-2 in last five- they’re 2-12 vs spread in Week 1 HO’s. Steelers are 8-1 in last nine series games; they won three of last four visits here, with wins by 16-16-17 points. Pittsburgh lost five of last six road openers, four of last six season openers. Under is 7-3 in their last ten AO’s. Browns were 1-7 as home underdogs this year, are 13-21-1 as home dogs since 2010; they’re 1-8 in NFC North home games the last three years. Pittsburgh is 10-6 as a road favorite last two years, 4-2 in division games. Under is 12-4 in their last 16 road games.

    Colts @ Rams
    Luck is out here; Tolzien (0-2-1 as starter) gets the start. Goff had very little chance as rookie LY because Rams’ OL sucked; now we see if new regime has improved that unit. Rams were 1-4-1 as home dogs LY, are 22-30-2 in that role, since 2007. Over is 20-15 in their last 35 home games. Colts 1-3 as road favorites the last two years; over is 17-7 in their last 24 road games. Indy lost six of last seven season openers, is 2-5 vs spread in last seven road openers. Under is 6-3 in their last nine season openers. Rams lost last 10 season openers, but won four of last five home openers; this is their first home opener in SoCal since 1994. First game for 31-year old Rams’ HC McVay; Rams hammered Colts 38-8 (+8) in last meeting, in 2013. Indy beat McVay’s Redskins 49-27 in ’14.

    Seahawks @ Packers
    Packers beat Seahawks last two years, 27-17/38-10; Seahawks lost last seven visits here- their last win at Lambeau was in ’99. Seattle lost nine of last ten road openers; under is 9-5 in their last 14. Home team won nine of their last ten season openers. Green Bay won nine of last ten home openers (8-2 vs spread); five of their last six went over total- their last six Week 1 games went over. Last three years, Packers are 14-7-2 as home favorites; they’re 8-12 in last 20 games where spread was 3 or less points. Under is 11-5 in their last 16 home games. Since ’11, Seahawks are 11-5-5 vs spread as a road underdog; they’re 8-5-2 in last 15 games where spread was 3 or less points.

    Panthers @ 49ers
    Niners are on 4th head coach in four years. How healthy is Newton’s shoulder? Panthers gave up 81 points LY in two games vs Shanahan’s Atlanta offense- 49ers’ personnel is obviously inferior. SF is 7-7 as home dog the last two years; under is 22-10 in their last 32 home games. Carolina is 6-12-1 as a road favorite under Rivera. In franchise history, Carolina is 1-6 vs spread as a favorite in road openers; Panthers lost six of last eight road openers- over is 6-3 in their last nine. Carolina lost six of last eight season openers. 49ers won five of last six home openers, covered seven of last eight, with last three staying under total. Carolina (-12.5) hammered 49ers 46-27 in Week 2 LY, their 5th win in last six games vs SF.

    Giants @ Cowboys
    Rivals meet in Week 1 for 4th time in last five years- this is 5th year in row Giants open on road. Big Blue won last three meetings with Cowboys; they swept Dallas 21-20/10-7 LY. Giants lost three of last four visits here, with losses by 1-10-5 points. Since ’08, Cowboys are vs spread 20-36 as home favorites (4-2 LY); over is 9-6-1 in their last 16 home games. Last 3 years, Giants are 5-8-2 as road underdogs; under was 7-1 in their road games LY, McAdoo’s first as HC. Big Blue lost five of last seven road openers, with last two decided by a point apiece. Over is 11-2 in Giants’ last 14 road openers. Dallas won four of its last six home openers, but is 1-7-1 vs spread in last nine.

    Saints @ Vikings
    Adrian Peterson visits his old team. Since 2014, New Orleans is 11-4-1 vs spread as a road underdog, 6-3-1 in non-division games. Under is 18-14 in their last 32 road games. Minnesota is 13-4 as home favorites under Zimmer; under is 14-10 in their last 24 home games. Saints won last four series games- three of those were in Superdome. Teams last met in ’14; Saints were last here in ’11. New Orleans lost five of last six season openers, are 0-4 in last four Week 1 road tilts; last time they won a Week 1 road game was ’06 in Cleveland. Over is 7-2 in their last nine road openers. Minnesota is 3-6 in last nine Week 1 games; under is 8-4 in their last 12 HO’s- this is only second time in last 10 years they open season at home.

    Chargers @ Broncos
    New era for Denver, with Siemian at QB now- they missed playoffs LY for first time in six years. Chargers have moved north an hour; unsure how unsettling the small move will be- it hurt the Rams LY. Denver is 10-2 in last 12 series games, winning last four played here, by 7-14-7-8 points. Since 2014, Broncos are 8-10-1 vs spread as a home favorite- they won their last five home openers, are 6-2 in last eight. Over is 6-3-1 in their last 10; this is 7th year in row Denver opened season at home. Chargers are 21-11-1 in last 33 games as a road underdog; under is 18-14 in their last 32 road games. Bolts covered four of last five road openers, losing last three, by 1-5-6 points; they’re 7-3 vs spread in last 10 Week 1 road tilts.

    2017 week-by-week results

    Home Favorites Totals O/U AFC-NFC

    1) 0-1 0-1 1-0

    T) 0-1 0-1 1-0
    Reply With Quote  
     

  9. #34  
    RX SemiGod
    Join Date
    Jun 2017
    Location
    California
    Posts
    14,804
    NFL Week 1 lines that make you go hmmm...

    New York Jets at Buffalo Bills (-8.5, 40.5)

    This is probably is one of the worst games of the opening schedule. Like many other first games of the year, the opening line has jumped significantly since it was first posted. Opening as 6-point favorites, the Bills are now favored as high as they’ve ever been in Nevada for a long time.

    The general movement began when Bills money came in early more as an anti-Jet statement. But the line has split sportsbooks around the state after the Tyrod Taylor injury. Lines vary from a low of -7.5 to a high of -9.

    My feeling is if Taylor does in fact play, the -7.5 looks like a foregone conclusion to move towards the higher number. Backup Nathan Peterson has been solid in his brief outings during the preseason but if he starts, the game will look a lot different than when he was playing against a store of fringe players and bench warmers.

    I’m seeing this line to continue to climb where most to all of the sportsbooks will see a consensus of -8.5 or -9 by the opening kickoff. In that case, as bad as they seem, the Jets may be a good bargain. The Bills haven’t proved to be able to win, let alone cover one of the largest spreads of week one.

    Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Redskins (+1, 48)

    The Eagles have received all of the love since this game opened as Washington the 2.5-point favorites in the summer.

    Personally, I think the betting public has totally miscalculated this game. Washington has won the last five games between them and they should prove worthy of our consideration in this season opening game.

    With so little to go on as far as data support, one just has to view the teams for their face value. Washington has tremendous offensive power but had difficulty landing in the end zone once they were in striking position last season. There should be an improvement there, particularly with the Eagles vulnerable defensive backfield.

    Although these teams are not separated by much, the Redskins should be able to muster up a win in their home opener. Anytime you don’t have to give up any points at home, there has to be value in that.

    Indianapolis Colts at Los Angeles Rams (-3.5, 42)

    This line moved 6.5 points to the current number with the announcement that Colts QB Andrew Luck will be out. Scott Tolzien gets the start and though I totally understand the drop off between the two, a 6.5-point jump putting the Rams as a half point over the key three barrier, has me believing the Colts are a value play in Week 1.

    I’m not going to hang my hat on this Rams team until they can prove they can compete. Their predictive 5.5 team wins adds fuel to my speculation that this team will have a very long season. The Colts (with Luck in) are around the nine-win level. Even without their starter, the Colts have enough on each side of the line to win this outright, or at the least, keep this very close.

    There’s been enough time for the Colts to have somewhat gelled without Luck and an opening road game against a team like the Rams has to have put some energy on their sideline that they can steal a win here. There’s good value with that hook and we’ll take it as long as it remains on the board that high.
    Reply With Quote  
     

  10. #35  
    RX SemiGod
    Join Date
    Jun 2017
    Location
    California
    Posts
    14,804
    NFL betting action heavy and somewhat surprising for Week 1


    Arizona Cardinals at Detroit Lions – Open: -3; Move: -2.5; Move: -2; Move: -1.5; Move: -1; Move: Pick; Move: +1; Move: +1.5; Move: +2; Move: +2.5

    Arizona is coming off a disappointing season, while Detroit is coming off a playoff appearance, but bettors have made a big move toward the Cardinals in this 1 p.m. ET contest. Bruce Arians’ troops went 7-9 SU and 6-10 ATS in 2016, after reaching the NFC title game two seasons ago.

    Detroit was 9-4 SU (8-5 ATS) through 13 games last season and in control of its destiny atop the NFC North. However, the Lions dumped their last three regular-season tilts SU and ATS, ended up with a wild-card berth, and got pounded at Seattle 26-6 as an 8-point underdog to finish 9-8 SU (8-9 ATS).

    “A lot of people were thinking the Lions were fortunate last year to even make the playoffs,” Simbal said. “It’s indicative of the action we’ve seen on this game. The sharp action really drove this price from Arizona being a 3-point ‘dog to becoming the favorite.”

    CG books, including at The Cosmopolitan and the Venetian on the Vegas Strip, opened this game back in April, though much of the movement has come in the last couple of weeks. TopBet.eu also posted this matchup months ago at Detroit -3 and had the Lions -2 on Aug. 25 before things really began moving.

    “We got a sharp play on Arizona +2, so we moved to Cards +1,” Jerome said. “On Aug. 28, we moved to a pick ‘em, on Sept. 2, we moved to Arizona -1.”

    The Cards climbed to -2 by Friday and -2.5 Saturday. Jerome said 77 percent of the money and 80 percent of the tickets are on Arizona.

    Oakland Raiders at Tennessee Titans – Open: Pick; Move: +1; Move: Pick; Move: +1; Move: Pick; Move: -1; Move: -2; Move: -2.5

    Last year, Oakland was putting the finishing touches on its best season in more than a decade when star QB Derek Carr broke his leg in Week 16. The Raiders still finished 12-4 SU (10-6 ATS) but fell into the wild-card playoff round, where they lost to Houston 27-14 as a 4-point road underdog.

    Tennessee went 9-7 SU (7-9 ATS) in 2016, missing the playoffs after losing a tiebreaker with Houston for the AFC South title. But the Titans finished on a strong note, winning four of their last five, and bettors are lining up behind them for this 1 p.m. ET start, as this game has seen significant movement in just the past two weeks.

    “On Aug. 29, we got sharp action on Tennessee pick 'em, so we moved Titans to -1,” Jerome said, adding the line went to -2 a day later and to -2.5 (-125) on Wednesday.

    While the sharps have played Tennessee, Jerome said Oakland is still getting plenty of attention, with 69 percent of the money and 73 percent of bets.

    CG Technology actually opened Oakland -1 back in April, then the game flipped to Titans -1 on Aug. 29 and got to Titans -2.5 on Thursday.

    Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns – Open: +9; Move: +9.5; Move: +9; Move: +9.5

    Pittsburgh is among the teams near the top of the Super Bowl futures odds. The Steelers went 11-5 SU (9-7 ATS) last year, winning their last seven games of the regular season (5-1-1 ATS) to take the AFC North. Mike Tomlin’s squad then won and cashed against Miami in the wild-card round and at Kansas City in the divisional round, before falling at New England 36-17 getting 5.5 points in the AFC title game.

    Cleveland had a season to forget, which can describe most Cleveland seasons. The Browns went a paltry 1-15 SU and 3-12-1 ATS, yet for some reason, sharp players were on Cleveland seemingly every week. That trend hasn’t yet stopped for this 1 p.m. ET contest.

    “Nobody really thinks (the Steelers) are gonna lose this game, but the sharp players have taken the points with the Browns, and as we know, the public is always gonna back Pittsburgh when they’re playing Cleveland,” Simbal said. “So we have a real kind of Pros vs. Joes matchup here. The books are gonna be siding with the pros in this one, definitely needing the Browns. The sharps were on Cleveland last year a lot, and they got burned with it all year. They’re hoping that maybe this year, a change of fortune.”

    Indianapolis Colts at Los Angeles Rams – Open: +3; Move: +2.5; Move: +2; Move: +1.5; Move: Pick; Move: -1.5; Move: -2.5; Move: -3; Move: -3.5; Move: -4

    Indianapolis went 8-8 SU (7-8-1 ATS) last year, alternating SU wins and losses over its final seven games. So the Colts are hoping to become a consistent winner, but already face a setback as they won’t have Andrew Luck today, while he continues recovering from offseason shoulder surgery.

    As Luck’s absence became more likely late last month, the line began rumbling toward pick, and since becoming official last week, it steamed toward Los Angeles, which is now a 4-point home favorite for this 4:05 p.m. ET kickoff. The Rams won three of their first four games SU and ATS in 2016, but got just one win the rest of the way, finishing 4-12 SU (4-11-1 ATS).

    “The Colts opened a 3-point favorite here, that was when Luck was questionable but we figured him to play,” Simbal said. “Now we know Luck is not playing, and we’re going to flip the line all the way to a (4-point) favorite for the Rams. The Luck injury was about a 6-, 7-point swing, so clearly a big variance with Andrew Luck not playing.”

    At TopBet.eu, the Colts also opened -3, but the line is now Rams -4.5. Jerome said there’s not much sharp action on the game, but a solid majority of cash and tickets are on Los Angeles.
    Reply With Quote  
     

  11. #36  
    RX SemiGod
    Join Date
    Jun 2017
    Location
    California
    Posts
    14,804
    StatFox Super Situations

    BALTIMORE at CINCINNATI
    Play Under - Road teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points good rushing defense from last season - allowed 90 or less rushing yards/game 29-8 since 1997. ( 78.4% | 20.2 units )

    ATLANTA at CHICAGO
    Play Against - Any team vs the money line (CHICAGO) in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with 4 or more straight losses, team that had a terrible record last season (<=25%) playing a team had a winning record last year 47-10 since 1997. ( 82.5% | 0.0 units )

    PITTSBURGH at CLEVELAND
    Play Against - Any team vs the the 1rst half line (PITTSBURGH) first 2 weeks of the year, after closing out last season strong with 4 or more wins in last 5 games, team that had a winning record last season playing a team that had a losing season 27-7 over the last 10 seasons. ( 79.4% | 19.3 units )
    Reply With Quote  
     

  12. #37  
    RX SemiGod
    Join Date
    Jun 2017
    Location
    California
    Posts
    14,804
    StatFox Super Situations

    ATLANTA at CHICAGO
    Play Against - Any team vs the money line (CHICAGO) in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with 4 or more straight losses, team that had a terrible record last season (<=25%) playing a team had a winning record last year 47-10 since 1997. ( 82.5% | 0.0 units )

    ATLANTA at CHICAGO
    Play Against - Any team vs the the 1rst half line (ATLANTA) first 2 weeks of the year, after closing out last season strong with 4 or more wins in last 5 games, team that had a winning record last season playing a team that had a losing season 27-7 over the last 10 seasons. ( 79.4% | 19.3 units )

    NY GIANTS at DALLAS
    Play Under - Road teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points good rushing defense from last season - allowed 90 or less rushing yards/game 29-8 since 1997. ( 78.4% | 20.2 units )
    Reply With Quote  
     

  13. #38  
    RX SemiGod
    Join Date
    Jun 2017
    Location
    California
    Posts
    14,804
    NFL Trends To Watch - September

    HOME TEAMS
    Keep an eye on (Good): Baltimore is 29-17 ATS at home and they will face division partner Cleveland in Week 2. The question is will they have Joe Flacco or not at quarterback.

    San Francisco has done a good job in covering spread at home in the early going and is 27-16 ATS and will have Carolina in the season opener and the L.A. Rams in Week 3. Can they go 2-0 against the number? The 49ers will be in a less advantageous spot when they travel to Seattle on 17th, as the Seahawks are 29-19 ATS.

    Detroit is also in this mix at 29-18 ATS, but they have two real challenges in the Motor City against Arizona (9/10) and Atlanta (9/24).

    Keep an eye on (Bad): If Washington is going to compete in the NFC East, they will need a fast start. If might not be easy since they are abysmal 18-31 ATS in September and welcome Philadelphia in the lid-lifter and Oakland two weeks later.

    Cincinnati has the potential to be a surprise club in 2017 and will have to take care of business the first two contests at home against Baltimore and Houston. Backing them comes with trepidation because of their 17-27 ATS record.

    With an expected win total of 4 set for the New York Jets by the oddsmakers, having a 19-29 ATS record at home this month is not going to inspire confidence when Miami visits on the 24th.

    AWAY TEAMS
    Keep an eye on (Good): Dallas is a superb road warrior in the early season at 32-17 ATS and they will see if they are up to the test being at Denver in Week 2 and eight days later in the Arizona desert on Monday night.

    Talk about your tough assignments, how about Kansas City at New England to start the 2017 season! At least the Chiefs are inspiring 32-19 ATS the first month of the season. They will get another chance at the Chargers new home in Week 3.

    Keep an eye on (Bad): The Rams flat out stink in September on the road at 16-31 ATS. Fortunately they have only one contest away from L.A. and that is in Frisco on a Thursday evening (9/21).

    FAVORITES
    Keep an eye on (Good): The Seahawks will be large favorites at home in Week 2 against the 49ers and might be small favorites at Tennessee the following Sunday. Either way, they are 31-19 ATS.

    Houston is a solid 13-7 ATS in this role, but they figure to only have one opportunity to cash, in their first encounter at home against Jacksonville.

    Bad: The L.A. Rams are pathetic 12-28 ATS and are not expected to worsen that record.

    Keep an eye on (Bad): Off a dismal season, Carolina better be ready from the get-go as they are presumed to be favored in initial three contests and are unsightly 11-21 ATS.

    UNDERDOGS
    Good: As mentioned, the Cowboys has a pair of roadies in September and if they are listed as underdogs, be ready to fire on them with amazing 27-11 ATS record!

    Keep an eye on (Good): The Chiefs have cooked something up for foes when catching points at 28-18 ATS and will be in that roll against the Patriots (9/7) and possibly in Los Angeles 17 days later versus the Chargers. Fellow division partner Denver is 16-10 ATS as an underdog could well be against Dallas (thus something has to give) and maybe at Buffalo a week later.

    Finally, Minnesota is 27-17 ATS as dogs and they will be at Pittsburgh (9/17).

    Keep an eye on (Bad): While the Texans have been a quality September favorite, they have not been nearly as strong when receiving points with 11-18 ATS mark. Look for Houston to be underdogs at Cincinnati (9/14) and at New England (9/24)

    DIVISION
    Keep an eye on (Good): The Chiefs have taken care of business in AFC West action 23-13 ATS record and in the City of Angels in Week 3 to face the Chargers.

    Keep an eye on (Bad): The Bengals are dismal 14-21 ATS to begin divisional play and their first game of the season is playing Baltimore at home.
    Reply With Quote  
     

  14. #39  
    RX SemiGod
    Join Date
    Jun 2017
    Location
    California
    Posts
    14,804
    WNBA

    WNBA Playoffs Predictions:

    Phoenix at Connecticut
    In the first quarterfinal of the 2017 WNBA Playoffs, the fifth-seeded Phoenix Mercury (19-16), are visiting the fourth-seeded Connecticut Sun (21-13), in a knock-out game that will determine who will advance to the semifinals to face the defending champions Los Angeles Sparks.

    Connecticut Sun finished the regular season with a 21-13 record and were placed in the 4th place of the league table. They are coming from back-to-back losses and in their last game they lost on the road against Los Angeles with a 70-81 score. Jonquel Jones leads the team in scoring with 15.4 ppg, adding a league-best 11.9 rebounds per game. She is followed by Alyssa Thomas with 14.8 ppg, 6.8 rebounds and a team high 4.5 assists per game, while Jasmine Thomas adds 14.2 ppg and 4.3 assists per game.

    Phoenix Mercury finished the regular season with an 18-16 record and were placed in the 5th place of the league. They have four consecutive wins and in their last game they eliminated Seattle in the first round of the playoffs with a 79-69 score. Brittney Griner leads the team in scoring with 21.9 ppg, adding team highs both in rebounding with 7.6 per game and in blocks with 2.5 per game. Diana Taurasi follows with 17.9 ppg, while Monique Currie adds 10.2 ppg.

    This will be the fourth meeting between those two teams this season, with Connecticut leading 2-1 wins and each team having won at home. Connecticut are 12-5 at home, while Phoenix are 9-8 on the road. Connecticut are better both offensively, scoring a second-best 86 ppg to Phoenix’s 81.9, and defensively, allowing 81.6 ppg to Phoenix’s 81.9. Connecticut have better percentages both in field goals, shooting with 44.8% to Phoenix’s 44%, and in 3-pointers, shooting with a third-best 36.5% to Phoenix’s 33.9%. Connecticut are also better in rebounding, grabbing a second-best 36.7 per game, to Phoenix’s 32.1, commit less turnovers, with a second-best 12.5 to Phoenix’s 14.1, and dish slightly more assists (17.8 to 17.6). Connecticut despite having lost their last couple of games they had more time to regroup and rest so expect them to win by more than 5 points today.

    Prediction: Connecticut Sun -5.5
    ____________________________________________________________________________-

    Washington at New York
    In the second quarterfinal of the 2017 WNBA Playoffs, the third-seeded New York Liberty (22-12), are hosting the sixth-seeded Washington Mystics (18-16), in a knock-out game that will determine who will advance to the semifinals to face the best team in the WNBA, the Minnesota Lynx.

    New York Liberty finished the regular season with a 21-12 record and were placed 3rd in the league table. They have ten consecutive wins and in their last game they won on the road against Dallas with an 82-81 score. Tina Charles leads the team in scoring with 19.7 ppg, adding a team high 9.4 rebounds per game. She is followed by Epiphanny Prince with 12 ppg and a team high 2.9 assists per game, while Shavonte Zellous adds 11.7 ppg and 4 rpg.

    Washington Mystics finished the regular season with an 18-16 record (15-19 ATS) and were placed in the 6th place of the league. They have won two of their last three matches and in their last game they eliminated Dallas in the first round of the playoffs with an 86-76 score. Elena Delle Donne leads the team in scoring with 19.7 ppg, 6.8 rebounds and 1.4 blocks. Emma Messeman adds 14.1 ppg and 5.7 rpg, while Kristi Toliver adds 11.9 ppg and a team high 3.4 assists per game.

    This will be the fourth meeting between those two teams this season, with New York leading 2-1 wins and each team having won at home. New York are 13-4 at home, while Washington are 7-10 on the road. Washington are better offensively, scoring 81.7 ppg to New York’s 79.7, while New York are better defensively, allowing a third-best 76.6 ppg to Washington’s 81. New York have better percentages both in field goals, shooting with 42.5% to Washington’s 41.6% (third-worse), and in 3-pointers, shooting with 33.2% to Washington’s 31.7% (third-worse). New York also grab a league-best 38.7 rebounds per game, to Washington’s 36.3 (third-best), while Washington lead the league in fewest turnovers with 12.1 to New York’s 13.1 (third-best). Both teams are almost equal in assists made (16.7 to 16.4). New York have been the hottest team in the league for the past month and more and they have been extremely strong at home, so except them to win by more than 5 points today.

    Prediction: New York Liberty -5.5
    Reply With Quote  
     

  15. #40  
    RX SemiGod
    Join Date
    Jun 2017
    Location
    California
    Posts
    14,804
    WNBA Trend Report

    PHOENIX (19 - 16) at CONNECTICUT (21 - 13) - 9/10/2017, 3:00 PM

    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CONNECTICUT is 6-2 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
    CONNECTICUT is 4-4 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    WASHINGTON (19 - 16) at NEW YORK (22 - 12) - 9/10/2017, 5:00 PM

    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NEW YORK is 7-6 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
    NEW YORK is 7-6 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
    7 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


    PHOENIX vs. CONNECTICUT
    Phoenix is 2-11 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Connecticut
    Phoenix is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Connecticut
    Connecticut is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games at home
    Connecticut is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Phoenix

    WASHINGTON vs. NEW YORK
    Washington is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games when playing on the road against New York
    Washington is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games
    New York is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Washington
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 7 games when playing at home against Washington
    Reply With Quote  
     

  16. #41  
    RX SemiGod
    Join Date
    Jun 2017
    Location
    California
    Posts
    14,804
    StatFox Super Situations

    PHOENIX at CONNECTICUT
    Play Under - Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 revenging a loss versus opponent against opponent after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite 109-58 since 1997. ( 65.3% | 45.2 units ) 6-1 this year. ( 85.7% | 4.9 units )

    PHOENIX at CONNECTICUT
    Play Against - Any team vs the money line (CONNECTICUT) after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record 100-70 since 1997. ( 58.8% | 0.0 units ) 2-2 this year. ( 50.0% | 0.0 units )

    PHOENIX at CONNECTICUT
    Play On - Favorites vs. the 1rst half line (CONNECTICUT) revenging a same season loss versus opponent against opponent off 3 or more consecutive home wins 34-11 since 1997. ( 75.6% | 21.9 units ) 1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )
    Reply With Quote  
     

  17. #42  
    RX SemiGod
    Join Date
    Jun 2017
    Location
    California
    Posts
    14,804
    Soccer

    Germany Bundesliga

    12pm ET

    Schalke v Stuttgart

    Referee: Frank Willenborg

    Last Head-To-Heads at Schalke
    1-1
    3-2 (Schalke win)
    3-0 (Schalke win)
    1-2 (Stuttgart win)
    Recent Form:
    Schalke: 2-2-2
    Stuttgart: 3-2-1

    KEY STAT: Schalke have celebrated more home victories (29) and goals (87) against Stuttgart than any other team

    EXPERT VERDICT:
    Stuttgart have got their first goal – scored courtesy of a combination of Schalke old boys Dennis Aogo and Holger Badstuber – and first win to be confident ahead of their trip to Gelsenkirchen. However, the Royal Blues, stunned at Hannover after kicking off their campaign with a win against Leipzig, should be too strong on home soil.

    RECOMMENDATION:
    Schalke (1)
    Reply With Quote  
     

  18. #43  
    RX SemiGod
    Join Date
    Jun 2017
    Location
    California
    Posts
    14,804
    Soccer

    Italy Serie A

    12pm ET

    Benevento v Torino

    Last Head-To-Heads at Benevento:
    None

    Recent Form:
    Benevento: 0-3
    Torino: 3-2-1

    KEY STAT: Torino lost only three of their 22 games against teams below them in the table last season

    EXPERT VERDICT:
    Promoted Benevento have lost their first two games in the top flight, scoring only one goal, and they may struggle to turn things around at home to Torino. The visitors are an accomplished side who finished ninth in Serie A last season and have picked up four points from a possible six this term.
    RECOMMENDATION: Torino (3)
    Reply With Quote  
     

  19. #44  
    RX SemiGod
    Join Date
    Jun 2017
    Location
    California
    Posts
    14,804
    Soccer

    Belgium Division 1

    12pm ET

    St Liege v Charleroi

    Last Head-To-Heads at St Liege:
    0-0
    3-0 (St Liege win)
    2-0 (St Liege win)
    3-0 (St Liege win)

    Recent Form:
    St Liege: 2-3-1
    Charleroi: 5-0-1

    KEY STAT: Standard have lost their last three matches, all to nil

    EXPERT VERDICT:
    Charleroi are off to a flyer – they'e already beaten Anderlecht and Gent and have won their opening five fixtures – and can make it six in a row in Liege. Standard were in decline last season and are struggling again having lost three in a row. The 4-0 hammering at Brugge was bad but defeat by the same scoreline against Zulte-Waregem was more of a worry.

    RECOMMENDATION:
    Charleroi (1)
    Reply With Quote  
     

  20. #45  
    RX SemiGod
    Join Date
    Jun 2017
    Location
    California
    Posts
    14,804
    Soccer

    Spain La Liga

    12:30pm ET

    Celta Vigo v Alaves

    Last Head-To-Heads at Celta Vigo:
    0-0
    1-0 (Celta Vigo win)
    0-1 (Alaves win)
    2-1 (Celta Vigo win)

    Recent Form:
    Celta Vigo: 0-4-2
    Alaves: 2-3-1

    KEY STAT:
    Celta have lost eight of their last nine league fixtures

    EXPERT VERDICT:
    Two of the early-season strugglers do battle at Balaidos and it could be the away side, Alaves, who emerge victorious against a Celta Vigo side who have struggled for the majority of 2017. Celta are pointless after their first two games in 2017-18, as are Alaves, who played reasonably well in a 2-0 loss at home to Barcelona before the international break.

    RECOMMENDATION:
    Alaves (1)
    Reply With Quote  
     

  21. #46  
    RX SemiGod
    Join Date
    Jun 2017
    Location
    California
    Posts
    14,804
    Soccer

    Spain La Liga

    2:45pm ET
    Villarreal v Real Betis

    Last Head-To-Heads at Villarreal:
    2-0 (Villarreal win)
    0-0
    1-1
    1-0 (Villarreal win)

    Recent Form:
    Villarreal: 2-3-1
    Real Betis: 1-3-2

    KEY STAT:
    Villarreal have failed to score in three of their last four league games

    EXPERT VERDICT:
    Villarreal are pointless after a miserable start to the season and may have to settle for a draw against Betis at El Madrigal. The Yellow Submarines are playing their first home game of the season but should expect plenty of resistance from Betis, who have bought well and were 2-1 winners at home to Celta Vigo last time out.

    RECOMMENDATION:
    Draw (1)
    Reply With Quote  
     

  22. #47  
    RX SemiGod
    Join Date
    Jun 2017
    Location
    California
    Posts
    14,804
    Soccer

    Italy Serie A

    2:45pm ET

    Bologna v Napoli

    Last Head-To-Heads at Bologna:
    1-7 (Napoli win)
    3-2 (Bologna win)
    2-20-3 (Napoli win)

    Recent Form:
    Bologna: 2-3-1
    Napoli: 6-0

    KEY STAT:
    Napoli have scored 23 goals in their last six meetings with Bologna

    EXPERT VERDICT:
    Bologna lost 7-1 at home to Napoli last season and they are long odds-on to suffer a first defeat of the campaign against the same opponents. The hosts have scored in their first two games, while swashbuckling Napoli have kicked off their Serie A season with a couple of 3-1 wins so an entertaining away victory looks the bet.

    RECOMMENDATION:
    Napoli to win 3-1 (1)
    Reply With Quote  
     

  23. #48  
    RX SemiGod
    Join Date
    Jun 2017
    Location
    California
    Posts
    14,804
    Sports Wagers ; NFL Win Totals

    Oakland U9.5 -120
    Houston U8.5 -115
    Reply With Quote  
     

  24. #49  
    RX SemiGod
    Join Date
    Jun 2017
    Location
    California
    Posts
    14,804
    Jason Sharpe ; NFL Win Totals

    Cincinnati U8.5
    Reply With Quote  
     

  25. #50  
    RX SemiGod
    Join Date
    Jun 2017
    Location
    California
    Posts
    14,804
    Dave Cokin ; NFL

    Houston -4
    Chicago +7
    Reply With Quote  
     

Posting Permissions
  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •