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Thread: Wednesday 9/13/17 ... Comps / Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  1. #51  
    RX Wizard
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    Mike Wynn ; MLB

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  2. #52  
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  3. #53  
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    The Walker Group at Camarero Race Track

    Always check program numbers.
    Odds shown are morning line odds.

    Race 5 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $6500 Class Rating: 98

    FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 117 LBS.; OLDER, 121 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 27 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE AUGUST 10 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE JULY 10 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000.


    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
    The Walker Group Picks

    # 4 ROMANTIC HENRY 2/1

    # 5 STREET GENT 4/1

    # 2 ELSENORDELOSCIELOS 7/2

    ROMANTIC HENRY is the strongest wager in this race. Displays the look of a profitable play, averaging a solid 90 speed figure which is one of the best in this group of horses. This gelding obviously likes the distance, going 6 for 25 in his races recently. Looks formidable to be up near the lead at the first call. STREET GENT - Has garnered solid speed figures in dirt sprint races in the past. He looks quite good in this slot and I expect will be on the front end or close at the midpoint. ELSENORDELOSCIELOS - The winning percentage shown by horses entered by Gomez running at this distance are the top in this group.
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  4. #54  
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    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Indiana Downs

    Indiana Downs - Race 5

    Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / 50 Cent Trifecta / Superfecta 10 Cent Superfecta / 50 Cent Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7) 50 Cent Pick 4 (Races 5-6-7-8)


    Allowance • 7 1/2 Furlongs • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 89 • Purse: $32,500 • Post: 3:57P
    (PLUS UP TO 40% INDIANA STATE BRED SUPPLEMENT) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE ON THE TURF SINCE AUGUST 13 ALLOWED 2 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $25,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES). IF THIS RACE IS TAKEN OFF THE TURF, IT WILL BE RUN AT 1 MILE ON THE MAIN TRACK.
    Contenders

    Race Analysis
    P#
    Horse
    Morn
    Line

    Accept
    Odds


    Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * ONE OF A KIND: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. SIR MAXX: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. SKINFLINT: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rati ng at the distance/surface. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race).
    14
    ONE OF A KIND
    4/1

    3/1
    9
    SIR MAXX
    10/1

    6/1
    11
    SKINFLINT
    8/1

    10/1
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  5. #55  
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    The Turf Club Analysts

    Bar

    Louisiana Downs - Race #4 - Post: 4:32pm - Maiden Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $9,500 Class Rating: 49

    Rating: 4

    #7 EASY GEAUX (ML=4/1)
    #6 DEEP END (ML=9/2)


    EASY GEAUX - A big drop down in class figure points from her Aug 3rd race at Evangeline Downs. Based on that key piece of info, I will give this horse the edge. Filly's last race was against tougher open company. She's in with easier 'state breds' today. Just look at her last speed fig, 52. That one fits well in this bunch. DEEP END - Ran against 'open' company last time around the track, in with state breds today. I really like sprinters that make a fast turnaround. Lara brings her right back. I advise you stay with this hot filly.

    Vulnerable Contenders: #4 ASAMI (ML=3/1), #5 MS SPROUTED GOLD (ML=7/2), #2 TIFFINY'S MUSIC (ML=6/1),

    ASAMI - Should have at least finished in the money in the last two months in a short distance race to be worth the chance at minimal odds in a sprint. Hasn't been on the Louisiana Downs oval in the last three weeks. Cause for some concern. Ran her best speed fig last time around the track, but the 'off oval' may have had something to do with it. MS SPROUTED GOLD - You always figure that this equine has a shot to be victorious, but she falters most every time. Don't believe this steed will do much running in today's event. That last speed figure was pedestrian when compared with today's Equibase class figure. TIFFINY'S MUSIC - This racer has not emerged victorious here today in 16 starts. Little chance she wins today. You figure that this horse is going to win just because she's always close. Just doesn't win frequently. Registered a quite unimpressive speed figure in the last race in a $5,000 Maiden Claiming race on August 22nd. Improbable to see an improved performance off of that figure.

    Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - EASY GEAUX - Last two races this filly has shown a steady increase in her speed numbers. This thoroughbred is a top contender against these ponies today.





    STRAIGHT WAGERS:
    #7 EASY GEAUX to win at post-time odds of 8/5 or better

    EXACTA WAGERS:
    Box [6,7]

    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
    Pass

    SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
    Skip
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  6. #56  
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    The Walker Group at Mountaineer Park

    Always check program numbers.
    Odds shown are morning line odds.

    Race 3 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Turf. Purse: $12000 Class Rating: 79

    FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE AUGUST 13 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000


    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
    The Walker Group Picks

    # 9 HIGH HEELED 12/1

    # 6 PRIDE OF WILKO 7/2

    # 3 SIMPLYIRRESISTIBLE 6/1

    HIGH HEELED is the most favorable bet in this contest and is a competitive value bet given the line. PRIDE OF WILKO - This trainer has done very well as of late with entries racing at this distance and surface. Has quite good early lick and should fare very well against this field. SIMPLYIRRESISTIBLE - This mare has a strong win percentage in turf route races. Looks respectable to be up on the lead at the first call.
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  7. #57  
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    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Northlands Park

    Northlands Park - Race 4

    Pick Four (Races 4-5-6-7) / Exacta / Trifecta


    Maiden Claiming $7,000 • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 62 • Purse: $8,600 • Post: 7:56P
    FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,000.
    Contenders

    Race Analysis
    P#
    Horse
    Morn
    Line

    Accept
    Odds


    Race Type: Lone Front-runner. SILENT COMMAND is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * SILENT COMMAND: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. SHEEP R IVER BEAR: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. TEECHIME: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
    4
    SILENT COMMAND
    6/5

    5/2
    6
    SHEEP RIVER BEAR
    8/5

    9/2
    3
    TEECHIME
    9/2

    9/1
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  8. #58  
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    The Turf Club Analysts

    Bar

    Presque Isle Downs - Race #8 - Post: 8:20pm - Maiden Special - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $27,000 Class Rating: 78

    Rating: 4

    #4 JOYEUX (ML=6/1)
    #3 CHOSEN ROYAL (ML=3/1)
    #7 SON WILL (ML=6/1)


    JOYEUX - Ran on the wrong surface in his last affair. The speed rating of 79 on Aug 13th at Presque Isle Downs two races back is good enough to win this event. Stay with this horse. No other viable pace gives this horse a strong chance at the winner's circle. Maiden is moving over to the main track, and may not have liked the turf last out. Has a good chance to be a first time winner. CHOSEN ROYAL - This colt recorded a nice speed fig of 75 in his last clash. That speed fig should be high enough to win this time. Had a solid closing move last time around the track, running the last quarter in less than 25 seconds. A similar effort today, and it's straight to the winner's circle. This one has increased his speed ratings from a fig of 67 to 69 to 75 in succession. Scott moves this colt to the main track today. Look for an improvement from the most recent race on the grass. SON WILL - Jockey and conditioner do well when they work together. Ayala and Bourke have been consistent together. Personally, I wouldn't worry about where he finished in his last race (fourth). Should improve today, with some pretty good odds. I believe the addition of blinkers today will help this gelding focus his attention on racing.

    Vulnerable Contenders: #2 STEPHEN'S ANSWER (ML=5/2), #1 CLASSY DEPUTY (ML=4/1), #5 BASE JUMPER (ML=5/1),

    STEPHEN'S ANSWER - Ran well to finish second on Aug 23rd, but hasn't had even a single work since then. CLASSY DEPUTY - The result of sixth in the last event shows me that this animal may be tailing off. When looking at today's Equibase class figure, he will have to earn a better speed figure than last time around the track to compete in this dirt route. BASE JUMPER - I'd like to see more conducive recent efforts with oddsmaker's morning line of 5/1. Finished sixth in his most recent race with a mediocre speed figure. When I look at today's class rating, it would take an improved performance to prove victorious after that in this field.

    Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - JOYEUX - Consider this. Finished seventh on the soft turf last time out. With better footing today, I'd expect a 35 percent improvement in ability.





    STRAIGHT WAGERS:
    Have to go with #4 JOYEUX on the win end if we get at least 3/1 odds

    EXACTA WAGERS:
    Box [3,4,7]

    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
    Box [3,4,7] Total Cost: $6
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