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Thread: Monday 9/18/17 ... Comps / Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  1. #1 Monday 9/18/17 ... Comps / Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc 
    RX Wizard
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    Post free plays / requests / comments/ trends and concerns here.
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  2. #2  
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    NFL Trend Report

    DETROIT (1 - 0) at NY GIANTS (0 - 1) - 9/18/2017, 8:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    DETROIT is 84-113 ATS (-40.3 Units) in road games since 1992.
    DETROIT is 84-113 ATS (-40.3 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
    DETROIT is 63-90 ATS (-36.0 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NY GIANTS is 1-0 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
    NY GIANTS is 1-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
    ____________________________________________________________________________

    9:30 PM
    DETROIT vs. NY GIANTS
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games on the road
    Detroit is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the NY Giants last 5 games at home
    NY Giants are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games at home
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  3. #3  
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    Lions (1-0) @ Giants (0-1)— How much of Giants’ anemic offense LW was Dallas’ defense; how much was absence of Beckham? Big Blue was 3-1-1 coming off a loss LY- they’re 12-10 in last 22 games as a home favorite. Giants are 2-9-1 vs spread the week after playing Dallas. Detroit is 7-11 as a road dog under Caldwell; 11-13-2, coming off a win. Giants won four of last five series games; Detroit lost its last two visits here, 28-20/17-6- their last series win here was in 2004. Detroit is 4-2 vs spread in last six Monday night games. Giants covered five of last six Monday nite home games. Detroit is 2-7 in last nine road openers; over is 8-3-1 in their last 12. Giants are 1-4 in last five home openers, scoring 18 pts/game (under 4-1). Giants didn’t force any 3/outs LW; they lost field position by 13 yards.
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  4. #4  
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    Soccer

    Spain - La Liga

    3pm ET

    Espanyol v Celta Vigo

    Last Head-To-Heads at Espanyol:
    0-2 (Celta Vigo win)
    1-1
    1-0 (Espanyol win)
    1-0 (Espanyol win)

    Recent Form:
    Espanyol: 2-3-1
    Celta Vigo: 1-4-1

    KEY STAT: Espanyol have won seven of their last nine home games against Celta Vigo

    EXPERT VERDICT: A 5-0 mauling at rivals Barcelona doesn't have Espanyol brimming with confidence but they are solid enough on their own patch and a visit from poor travellers Celta Vigo could be just what they need. The hosts pinched a point at Sevilla in their opener and played well for large parts of their 1-0 defeat to Leganes, while Celta won just three away games last term and have already shipped five goals in their three league matches.

    RECOMMENDATION: Espanyol (1)
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  5. #5  
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    NFL Trends. All records are ATS or O/U, unless stated otherwise

    Home Teams off of road games where they scored less than 10 points: 13-4 O/U (applies towards NY Giants)
    Detroit non-division: 17-30-3
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  6. #6  
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    MLB

    National League

    Dodgers @ Phillies
    Kershaw is 7-1, 1.51 in his last nine starts; under is 4-2 in his last six. Dodgers are 9-1 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 18-3-3

    Pivetta is 0-1, 7.88 in his last three starts; over is 7-3-2 in his last 12. Phillies are 4-6 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 7-14-2

    Dodgers won four of their last five games (under 4-0-1). LA is 13-4 in last 17 road series openers. Phillies won four of last six games, last three of which stayed under. Philly is 6-5 in last 11 home series openers.

    Brewers @ Pirates
    Suter is 0-1, 6.64 in his last five starts (under 6-3-2). Milwaukee is 1-4 in his road starts; — their first 5-inning record with him: 7-3-1

    Brault is 1-0, 2.45 in two starts this year (under 2-0). Pirates won his only home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 1-1

    Brewers won seven of last nine games, last four of which went over. Milwaukee is 1-5 in last six road series openers. Pittsburgh lost its last nine games, scoring nine runs; under is 8-1 in their last nine games. Pirates are 10-13 in home series openers.

    Mets @ Marlins
    Harvey is 1-2, 11.81 in his last three starts; over is 3-0-1 in his last four. New York is 2-6 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 8-8

    Straily is 1-1, 7.36 in his last four starts; over is 5-1 in his last six outings. Miami is 7-8 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 15-11-4

    Mets lost five of last seven games but won last two; over is 5-2 in their last seven road games. New York is 7-13 in last 20 road series openers. Miami is 3-17 in its last 20 games, last eight of which all went over. Marlins are 10-6 in last 16 home series openers.

    Diamondbacks @ Padres
    Corbin is 6-1, 2.31 in his last seven starts; over is 4-1 in his last five. Arizona is 5-9 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 13-13-4

    Perdomo is 1-4, 4.75 in his last six starts; three of his last four starts stayed under. San Diego is 8-7 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 11-11-4

    Arizona is 5-5 in its last ten games; under is 5-2-1 in their last eight. Diamondbacks are 15-9 in road series openers. San Diego lost five of its last six games (under 4-2). Padres are 3-8 in last 11 home series openers.
    _________________________________________________________________

    American League

    Red Sox @ Orioles
    Fister is 3-1, 1.50 in his last four starts; under is 5-1-1 in his last seven. Boston is 3-1 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 5-6

    Bundy is 4-1, 2.93 in his last seven starts; over is 11-4 in his last 15 starts. Orioles are 11-4 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 15-10-2

    Red Sox are 8-3 in last 11 games; under is 7-2 in their last nine road games. Boston is 9-6 in last 15 road series openers. Baltimore lost nine of last 11 games; over is 3-1 in their last four. Orioles are 4-9 in last 13 home series openers.

    Minnesota @ New York
    Santana is 3-0, 4.60 in his last five starts; Twins scored 31 runs in those five games. Under is 6-4-2 in his last 12 starts. Twins are 9-4 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 16-7-6

    Garcia is 0-2, 5.90 in six starts for New York (under 5-1). NY is 1-1 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 1-4-1

    Twins won four of last six games; under is 4-1 in their last five. Minnesota is 14-9 in road series openers. New York won four of its last five games; over is 3-1 in their last four. NY is 15-8 in home series openers.

    A’s @ Tigers
    Cotton is 3-0, 6.07 in his last five starts, last four of which went over. A’s scored 33 runs in his last four starts. Oakland is 5-6 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 10-12-1

    Farmer is 1-2, 8.25 in his last three starts (under 4-3-1). Detroit is 2-2 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 3-5

    A’s are 8-3 in their last 11 games; under is 3-1 in their last four. Oakland is 2-8 in last ten road series openers. Detroit is 2-7 in its last nine games; over is 7-1 in their last eight home games. Tigers are 1-9 in last the home series openers.
    _________________________________________________________________

    Record with this pitcher starting

    LA-Phil: Kershaw 21-3; Pivetta 8-15
    Mil-Pitt: Suter 6-5; Brault 2-0
    NY-Mia: Harvey 6-10; Straily 14-16
    Az-SD: Corbin 16-14; Perdomo 11-15

    American League
    Bos-Balt: Fister 6-5; Bundy 17-10
    Min-NY: Santana 17-12; Garcia 3-3
    A’s-Det: Cotton 10-13; Farmer 4-4

    Pitchers allowing a run in first inning

    National League
    LA-Phil: Kershaw 5-24; Pivetta 10-23
    Mil-Pitt: Suter 1-11; Brault 1-2
    NY-Mia: Harvey 9-16 (4 of last 4); Straily 7-30
    Az-SD: Corbin 12-30; Perdomo 9-26

    American League
    Bos-Balt: Fister 6-11; Bundy 4-27
    Min-NY: Santana 6-29; Garcia 4-6
    A’s-Det: Cotton 10-23; Farmer 3-8
    _________________________________________________________________
    Interleague play

    NL @ AL– 83-56 AL, favorites -$36
    AL @ NL– 73-69 NL, favorites +$116
    Total: 152-129 AL, favorites +$80

    Totals in interleague games
    NL @ AL: Over 70-67-4
    AL @ NL: Over 74-62-7
    Total: Over 144-129-11
    _________________________________________________________________

    Teams’ records in first five innings:
    Team (road-home-total)- thru 9/15

    National League
    Arizona 24-36-11…..32-37-6…….56-72
    Atlanta 27-36-11…..24-34-13……51-70
    Cubs 39-25-10……43-21-9…….82-46
    Reds 20-42-9……33-36-5…….53-78
    Colo 27-34-13…..33-34-4……..60-68
    LA 29-32-11……46-21-8…….74-53
    Miami 31-32-10…..32-24-16…….63-56
    Milw 24-41-9……40-24-10…..64-65
    Mets 32-44-10……33-26-11……65-60
    Philly 24-32-18…..26-33-14……50-63
    Pitt 21-38-13…..42-26-6……63-63
    St. Louis 33-32-7……28-33-13…….61-65
    SD 23-47-5…..32-34-6……..55-81
    SF 33-35-7…….36-21-14……69-56
    Wash 36-22-14….30-22-22……66-44

    American League
    Orioles 30-37-9…….36-28-8…….66-65
    Boston 30-30-11……44-21-9…….74-51
    White Sox 31-31-9…….39-31-6……..70-62
    Cleveland 38-27-10……35-29-6……..73-56
    Detroit 30-32-9…….31-36-5……..61-68
    Astros 29-33-11…..34-29-8……..63-62
    KC 28-37-11……29-28-13……57-65
    Angels 30-37-7…….25-34-13…….55-71
    Twins 28-35-13…….25-38-13…..53-73
    NYY 24-38-8……34-31-13……..58-69
    A’s 25-39-8……26-35-14……51-73
    Seattle 35-29-11……33-25-12……68-54
    Tampa Bay 26-31-13……32-33-12……58-64
    Texas 28-39-11…….35-24-9……63-63
    Toronto 43-24-5……..40-30-5……83-54

    %age of times teams score in first inning
    Team (road-home-total)- thru 9/15

    National League

    Arizona 26-69……28-76…….54
    Atlanta 24-75……17-71……..41
    Cubs 27-76……24-73…….51
    Reds 25-72……26-74……..51
    Colo 15-73…….27-70……..42
    LA 20-71…….28-76……48
    Miami 25-72……20-69……45
    Milw 15-70……29-75……44
    Mets 21-73……26-70…….47
    Philly 11-75……19-69…….30
    Pitt 17-66…….26-75……43
    StL 17-70…….18-73……35
    SD 17-75…….26-71……43
    SF 14-72……..19-72……33
    Wash 31-71………28-73……59

    American League
    Orioles 17-78…….19-69…….36
    Boston 20-69……33-75……..53
    White Sox 23-70…..26-78…….49
    Cleveland 15-75……26-70……..41
    Detroit 15-71……25-74………40
    Astros 26-71…….24-70……..50
    KC 24-76…… 19-72………43
    Angels 28-74…….25-72……..53
    Twins 20-73……29-76…….49
    NYY 9-71…….28-76……..37
    A’s 19-71…….16-74……..35
    Seattle 20-77…….25-70…….45
    Tampa Bay 23-69…..27-74…….50
    Texas 23-78……20-69……43
    Toronto 25-71……30-78…….55
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  7. #7  
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    MLB Long Sheet

    LA DODGERS (96 - 53) at PHILADELPHIA (58 - 91) - 7:05 PM
    CLAYTON KERSHAW (L) vs. NICK PIVETTA (R)

    Top Trends for this game.
    LA DODGERS are 85-76 (-14.2 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
    LA DODGERS are 5-12 (-18.7 Units) against the money line in September games this season.
    LA DODGERS are 136-99 (-11.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
    LA DODGERS are 93-89 (-28.0 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 37-37 (+14.2 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 433-434 (+45.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
    LA DODGERS are 53-19 (+18.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
    KERSHAW is 41-8 (+23.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
    PHILADELPHIA is 58-91 (-17.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    PHILADELPHIA is 34-62 (-19.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
    PHILADELPHIA is 32-57 (-14.6 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    LA DODGERS is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
    2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

    CLAYTON KERSHAW vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
    KERSHAW is 3-5 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 3.33 and a WHIP of 1.137.
    His team's record is 6-6 (-0.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-5. (+0.3 units)

    NICK PIVETTA vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
    PIVETTA is 0-1 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 3.60 and a WHIP of 2.000.
    His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)
    _____________________________________________________________

    MILWAUKEE (79 - 70) at PITTSBURGH (68 - 82) - 7:05 PM
    BRENT SUTER (L) vs. JAMESON TAILLON (R)

    Top Trends for this game.
    MILWAUKEE is 4-14 (-11.5 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
    PITTSBURGH is 414-424 (+39.1 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
    TAILLON is 17-3 (+13.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
    MILWAUKEE is 79-70 (+17.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    MILWAUKEE is 38-37 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
    MILWAUKEE is 33-30 (+6.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
    MILWAUKEE is 50-44 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
    MILWAUKEE is 62-55 (+13.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
    MILWAUKEE is 41-36 (+10.0 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
    PITTSBURGH is 68-82 (-12.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    PITTSBURGH is 16-28 (-15.2 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons.
    PITTSBURGH is 97-125 (-40.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    PITTSBURGH is 42-60 (-20.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
    PITTSBURGH is 33-48 (-15.5 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PITTSBURGH is 9-7 (+2.6 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
    11 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+7.6 Units)

    BRENT SUTER vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
    SUTER is 0-0 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 4.69 and a WHIP of 1.695.
    His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.3 units)

    JAMESON TAILLON vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
    TAILLON is 1-2 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 3.76 and a WHIP of 1.177.
    His team's record is 3-2 (-0.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-1. (+2.8 units)
    _____________________________________________________________

    NY METS (65 - 84) at MIAMI (69 - 80) - 7:10 PM
    MATT HARVEY (R) vs. DANIEL STRAILY (R)

    Top Trends for this game.
    NY METS are 65-84 (-27.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    NY METS are 52-61 (-17.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
    NY METS are 28-34 (-12.3 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
    HARVEY is 12-21 (-15.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
    HARVEY is 4-13 (-14.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
    STRAILY is 34-27 (+12.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
    STRAILY is 21-10 (+12.7 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
    STRAILY is 18-10 (+9.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
    NY METS are 33-16 (+17.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 3 seasons.
    NY METS are 20-13 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents this season.
    NY METS are 25-16 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
    NY METS are 222-171 (+41.0 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997.
    MIAMI is 3-13 (-11.8 Units) against the money line in September games this season.
    MIAMI is 28-41 (-14.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
    MIAMI is 51-59 (-18.7 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MIAMI is 9-7 (+2.7 Units) against NY METS this season
    7 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.5 Units, Under=-0.9 Units)

    MATT HARVEY vs. MIAMI since 1997
    HARVEY is 2-3 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 3.56 and a WHIP of 1.203.
    His team's record is 3-7 (-8.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-5. (-1.9 units)

    DANIEL STRAILY vs. NY METS since 1997
    STRAILY is 0-1 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 4.02 and a WHIP of 1.149.
    His team's record is 2-1 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.1 units)
    _____________________________________________________________

    ARIZONA (87 - 63) at SAN DIEGO (66 - 83) - 10:10 PM
    PAT CORBIN (L) vs. LUIS PERDOMO (R)

    Top Trends for this game.
    SAN DIEGO is 66-83 (+5.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    SAN DIEGO is 62-70 (+11.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
    SAN DIEGO is 39-35 (+10.0 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
    SAN DIEGO is 26-21 (+9.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
    SAN DIEGO is 62-77 (+12.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    SAN DIEGO is 49-54 (+10.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
    SAN DIEGO is 21-16 (+8.7 Units) against the money line in home games after a win this season.
    ARIZONA is 87-63 (+19.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    ARIZONA is 39-36 (+4.9 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
    ARIZONA is 8-1 (+8.2 Units) against the money line in road games in September games this season.
    ARIZONA is 42-28 (+12.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
    ARIZONA is 62-42 (+14.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
    ARIZONA is 65-48 (+11.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
    ARIZONA is 135-92 (+31.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    ARIZONA is 10-6 (+1.2 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
    11 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+5.4 Units)

    PAT CORBIN vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
    CORBIN is 5-5 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 4.35 and a WHIP of 1.500.
    His team's record is 5-5 (-3.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-7. (-4.9 units)

    LUIS PERDOMO vs. ARIZONA since 1997
    PERDOMO is 2-4 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 5.73 and a WHIP of 1.424.
    His team's record is 2-4 (-1.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-2. (+1.7 units)
    _____________________________________________________________

    BOSTON (85 - 64) at BALTIMORE (73 - 77) - 7:05 PM
    DOUG FISTER (R) vs. DYLAN BUNDY (R)

    Top Trends for this game.
    BOSTON is 60-57 (-13.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
    BALTIMORE is 161-151 (+8.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    BALTIMORE is 73-54 (+16.8 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
    BALTIMORE is 44-30 (+10.0 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
    BALTIMORE is 34-31 (+6.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
    BALTIMORE is 32-20 (+9.2 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.
    BALTIMORE is 68-42 (+18.8 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
    BALTIMORE is 88-73 (+14.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
    BOSTON is 45-24 (+20.0 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 3 seasons.
    BOSTON is 41-23 (+13.0 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BALTIMORE is 10-6 (+5.9 Units) against BOSTON this season
    10 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+4.7 Units)

    DOUG FISTER vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
    FISTER is 4-3 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 4.39 and a WHIP of 1.283.
    His team's record is 5-4 (-0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-3. (+0.8 units)

    DYLAN BUNDY vs. BOSTON since 1997
    BUNDY is 3-4 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.475.
    His team's record is 3-4 (-0.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-1. (+5.0 units)
    _____________________________________________________________

    MINNESOTA (78 - 71) at NY YANKEES (82 - 67) - 7:05 PM
    ERVIN SANTANA (R) vs. JAIME GARCIA (L)

    Top Trends for this game.
    NY YANKEES are 60-33 (+14.9 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
    NY YANKEES are 89-77 (+13.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 78-71 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    MINNESOTA is 14-9 (+10.8 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 this season.
    MINNESOTA is 39-32 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
    MINNESOTA is 19-15 (+8.5 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
    MINNESOTA is 53-40 (+14.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
    MINNESOTA is 34-31 (+15.6 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
    SANTANA is 10-4 (+7.4 Units) against the money line in road games this season. (Team's Record)
    SANTANA is 6-0 (+7.4 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season. (Team's Record)

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MINNESOTA is 2-1 (+1.0 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
    3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.0 Units)

    ERVIN SANTANA vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
    SANTANA is 6-9 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 5.78 and a WHIP of 1.522.
    His team's record is 7-12 (-3.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 10-9. (+0.5 units)

    JAIME GARCIA vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
    GARCIA is 0-0 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 1.000.
    His team's record is 0-1 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)
    _____________________________________________________________

    OAKLAND (66 - 83) at DETROIT (62 - 87) - 7:10 PM
    JHAREL COTTON (R) vs. BUCK FARMER (R)

    Top Trends for this game.
    OAKLAND is 203-270 (-52.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    OAKLAND is 26-42 (-15.0 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
    OAKLAND is 24-50 (-19.1 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
    OAKLAND is 35-56 (-14.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
    OAKLAND is 85-116 (-32.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
    OAKLAND is 142-123 (+38.7 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 10 to 10.5 since 1997.
    DETROIT is 62-87 (-24.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    DETROIT is 36-60 (-22.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
    DETROIT is 42-67 (-23.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
    DETROIT is 21-40 (-21.4 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
    DETROIT is 27-42 (-17.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    OAKLAND is 2-1 (+0.9 Units) against DETROIT this season
    3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.1 Units)

    JHAREL COTTON vs. DETROIT since 1997
    No recent starts.

    BUCK FARMER vs. OAKLAND since 1997
    No recent starts.
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  8. #8  
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    MLB Trend Report

    LA DODGERS vs. PHILADELPHIA
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of LA Dodgers's last 12 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Dodgers's last 10 games
    Philadelphia is 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing LA Dodgers
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Philadelphia's last 12 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers

    MINNESOTA vs. NY YANKEES
    Minnesota is 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
    Minnesota is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
    NY Yankees are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 5 games when playing Minnesota

    BOSTON vs. BALTIMORE
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games
    Boston is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Baltimore's last 22 games when playing Boston

    MILWAUKEE vs. PITTSBURGH
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 7 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
    Pittsburgh is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

    NY METS vs. MIAMI
    NY Mets are 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
    The total has gone OVER in 11 of NY Mets's last 15 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 8 games
    Miami is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against NY Mets

    OAKLAND vs. DETROIT
    Oakland is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Detroit's last 8 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing at home against Oakland

    ARIZONA vs. SAN DIEGO
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arizona's last 9 games when playing on the road against San Diego
    Arizona is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games on the road
    San Diego is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Arizona
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego's last 6 games when playing Arizona
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    MLB Trend Report

    MINNESOTA @ NY YANKEES

    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
    Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 5 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 5 games when playing Minnesota

    BOSTON @ BALTIMORE
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Boston's last 9 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games

    LA DODGERS @ PHILADELPHIA
    LA Dodgers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
    LA Dodgers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
    Philadelphia is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 10 games when playing LA Dodgers

    MILWAUKEE @ PITTSBURGH
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 7 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
    Milwaukee is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Pittsburgh's last 9 games
    Pittsburgh is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

    NY METS @ MIAMI
    The total has gone OVER in 11 of NY Mets's last 15 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 16 of NY Mets's last 22 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 8 games

    OAKLAND @ DETROIT
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Detroit's last 8 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Oakland

    ARIZONA @ SAN DIEGO
    Arizona is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing San Diego
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego's last 6 games when playing Arizona
    San Diego is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games at home
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  10. #10  
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    MLB Top Trends

    CHI WHITE SOX @ DETROIT
    Play OVER DETROIT on the total in All games after 3 or more consecutive losses. The record is 30 Overs and 11 Unders for the last two seasons (+18.3 units)

    CINCINNATI @ ST LOUIS
    Play OVER CINCINNATI on the total in All games as a road underdog of +175 to +250. The record is 10 Overs and 1 Unders this season (+8.9 units)

    ATLANTA @ WASHINGTON
    Play OVER ATLANTA on the total in Road games when playing against a team with a winning record. The record is 23 Overs and 7 Unders this season (+15.2 units)

    NY METS @ CHICAGO CUBS
    Play OVER NY METS on the total in Road games in night games. The record is 34 Overs and 13 Unders this season (+19.85 units)

    NY METS @ CHICAGO CUBS
    Play OVER NY METS on the total in All games in night games. The record is 63 Overs and 29 Unders this season (+31.2 units)

    HOUSTON @ LA ANGELS
    Play OVER HOUSTON on the total in All games on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5. The record is 38 Overs and 15 Unders for the last two seasons (+21.95 units)

    NY METS @ ATLANTA
    Play OVER NY METS on the total in All games in night games. The record is 63 Overs and 29 Unders this season (+31.2 units)

    NY METS @ ATLANTA
    Play OVER NY METS on the total in Road games in night games. The record is 34 Overs and 13 Unders this season (+19.85 units)

    ARIZONA @ SAN FRANCISCO
    Play OVER ARIZONA on the total in All games when playing with a day off. The record is 22 Overs and 7 Unders for the last two seasons (+14.65 units)

    ARIZONA @ SAN FRANCISCO
    Play OVER ARIZONA on the total in All games when playing with a day off. The record is 12 Overs and 2 Unders this season (+9.95 units)
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    StatFox Super Situations

    MILWAUKEE at PITTSBURGH
    Play On - Home teams (PITTSBURGH) cold hitting team - batting .215 or worse over their last 5 games, starting a pitcher who walked <=1 hitters each of his last 2 outings 551-353 since 1997. ( 61.0% | 149.4 units ) 35-22 this year. ( 61.4% | 3.6 units )

    StatFox Situational Power Trends

    ARIZONA at SAN DIEGO
    SAN DIEGO is 29-19 (+19.7 Units) against the money line revenging a one run loss to opponent over the last 2 seasons. The average score was: SAN DIEGO (5.2) , OPPONENT (4.4)
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  12. #12  
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    MLB Betting Picks & Tips

    Milwaukee (-115) at Pittsburgh; Total: 8.5
    The Brewers and Pirates square off at PNC Park today and the two teams are going in very different directions. Milwaukee sits 2.5 games back of the Rockies in the Wild Card hunt and four back of the Cubs for the NL Central. Pittsburgh is now 14 games until .500 since August 11 and is fading fast, with Cincinnati now threatening to pass the Buccos for last place in the division.

    As a result, there’s only one way to go in this game. That’s Milwaukee. Pittsburgh seems to have very little interest in coming to the ballpark. The Pirates have dropped 10 of 11 and seven of those losses are by more than one run. They’re not just losing, they’re getting beaten soundly. Pittsburgh has scored 3.06 runs per game in the month of September. There isn’t a whole lot of fun in playing spoiler for teams that have recently been to the playoffs and that appears to be the case for Pittsburgh at this point in time.

    Brent Suter is back on the bump for the Brewers. He’s got a 3.66/3.94/4.29 pitcher slash in his 66.1 innings of work with 11 starts and eight relief outings. He is just working his way back from a late-season injury, so he’ll be on a pretty strict pitch count. He only worked three innings last time out and three innings on September 3 in his first start back. That is a concern, but the Brewers have a lot of reinforcements with expanded rosters. Josh Hader hasn’t pitched since the 15th and he will likely be the first guy out of the pen. He’s struck out 55 in 39 innings this season, so you can likely imagine this as Suter for three or four innings and Hader for one or two to bridge the gap to the bullpen.

    Jameson Taillon is one Pirate that won’t quit. Taillon has a 4.78 ERA with a 3.48 FIP and a 3.90 xFIP. Taillon has had some really awful starts in the second half that have blown up his ERA. He also has a .363 BABIP against and a 69.6 percent LOB%, so he’s looking at some positive regression in those two metrics. He’s the one thing that worries me a bit about the Milwaukee side, but he probably won’t get much in the form of offensive assistance.

    With that in mind, I’d look at the Brewers and the under in the Steel City tonight.

    Minnesota at New York (-165); Total: 9
    I’m not sure why this line is as high as it is, but I’d be looking to grab the Twins at the heavy underdog price. Ervin Santana shows the same signs of regression that we’ve seen all season with his 3.35 ERA, 4.52 FIP, and 4.77 xFIP. He hasn’t come close to regressing that far, so I’m just going to assume that it doesn’t happen over these last few outings. Having a great defensive team doesn’t hurt. Jaime Garcia has a 4.60 ERA with a 5.47 FIP and a 4.72 xFIP in his 29.1 innings of work with the Yankees. His walk rate is much higher in the AL and his HR/FB% is much higher pitching in the AL. The Twins have a pretty decent lineup.

    This is a good value grab I think. The Yankees clearly have the bullpen advantage, but the Twins are a real scrappy bunch that plays good defense and has a lot to fight for.

    Boston at Baltimore (-110); Total: 9.5
    Doug Fister and Dylan Bundy are the listed starters for this AL East matchup in Baltimore. Baltimore has fallen well off the pace in the Wild Card standings, so they’re just playing out the string at this point. The Red Sox are up three on the Yankees for the division with 13 to play. Amazingly, there are no head-to-head matchups left.

    Fister has given the Red Sox some average innings. He has a 4.40 ERA with a 4.07 FIP and a 4.32 xFIP in his 12 starts and three relief outings. He does have a much higher strikeout rate than usual, which seems odd for him, but we’ll just chalk that up to small sample size variance. Fister is a ground ball pitcher for the most part, so that should play well against Baltimore’s aggressive lineup.

    Bundy has a 4.03 ERA with a 4.42 FIP and a 4.74 xFIP on the season. Bundy has become an extreme fly ball guy, which has been a good strategy against the Red Sox, who are one of this season’s few laggards in terms of HR/FB%. Bundy had a rough first half, but he’s gotten much stronger in the second half. He has 66 strikeouts in 57.1 innings of work and has held the opposition to a .208/.266/.358 slash line. His second-half K% is up to 28.3 percent. That is a great silver lining to the season for the Orioles, who need any bright light they can get.

    Even though the Orioles aren’t playing for anything, Bundy has really found a working formula. I’d slightly lean to the Baltimore side, but I prefer the under here. I don’t believe in the sustainability of Fister’s K%, but he’s allowing fewer balls in play than normal and there seems to be some credence to it, at least for now. Bundy is in a nice groove and I see no reason for that to stop. None of his peripherals are that out of whack.

    Oakland (-110) at Detroit; Total: 10
    Jharel Cotton and Buck Farmer are the slated starters for Monday’s game between the A’s and Tigers. The Tigers nearly had their one highlight for the season on Sunday when Matt Boyd took a no-hitter into the ninth, but he lost it. The Tigers won the game 12-0, but it was all about that no-hitter. These are two teams legitimately playing out the string. I’m not sure how invested either side will be in this game or this series. The A’s are far from home and are just 24-50 in that split. The Tigers are just 9-21 over their last 30 games because apathy has set in.

    I wish I had angles to give you and something more concrete, but I don’t. The Tigers are 32-49 against teams with losing records, so it doesn’t seem like they get up for games like this. Oakland is just 35-46, so maybe the same applies to them.

    If there’s a getaway day game or something, maybe we’ll have a better feel. Today, two pitchers that need to end on a high note are pitching. The A’s need Cotton next season and Farmer is basically assured a spot for the Tigers, but who knows how long his leash will be.

    I’ll pass on this one and probably throughout the series.
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  13. #13  
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    MLB Line Drive

    Double-Play Picks

    Yesterday's Picks: 1-0-1

    Season To Date: 145-137-15

    New York Mets at Miami Marlins (-155, 8.5)
    We pulled this strategy of two picks from the same game last night and it went pretty well, so we're going to do it again today with a limited betting board. The awful side of the Dodgers' bullpen gave up a few garbage runs late to cost us the double-win on Sunday Night Baseball, but we'll take our Push on the total and move on.

    The Miami Marlins return home for the first time since Hurricane Irma to open a three-game series against the New York Mets on Monday. Miami followed a seven-game road trip by playing a three-game "home" series in Milwaukee this past weekend.

    Matt Harvey, Matt Harvey, Matt Harvey. What more can we say about the Mets' starter that hasn't already been said? In his three starts since returning from the disabled list, Harvey owns an ERA of 12.19 and massive WHIP of 2.419. The most alarming stat is that he has only recorded six strikeouts in those three starts.

    Do you know what happens when you play the Marlins in Miami and you bring mediocre stuff to the mound? Giancarlo Stanton clobbers multiple balls halfway to the moon, that's what. Stanton was given a day off yesterday (fatigue) and should be rested and ready for that weak fastball and hanging curveball from "The Dark Knight".

    The Marlins will counter with Dan Straily and he hasn't been particularly good recently, either. In his last start, at Philadelphia, he allowed eight earned runs over six innings of work in an eventual 8-1 loss to the Phillies. Straily, however, is decent at home at 4-3 with an ERA of 3.27 and the Fish have beaten the Mets in both of his starts against them in 2017 (1.74 ERA).

    This total seems way too low with Harvey on the mound and, well, he has to show us something positive before we stop the fade train.

    Pick 1: Marlins -155

    Pick 2: Over 8.5


    Streaking and Slumping Starting Pitchers

    Streaking: Clayton Kershaw, Los Angeles Dodgers (17-3, 2.12 ERA, $1360)

    After a brutal stretch, the Los Angeles Dodgers seem to have their mojo back, winners of four of five and their magic number for clinching a fifth consecutive National League West title sits at four. The Dodgers begin a four-game series with the Phillies and kick it off in style with ace Clayton Kershaw heading to the mound.

    It was Kershaw that ended the Dodgers’ brutal 11-game losing streak in his last start. In ‘The Claw's’ three starts since returning from the DL he has a 2-1 record, 2.87 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and struck out 20 batters.

    Kershaw and the Dodgers are a chalky -310 tonight in Philadelphia.

    Slumping: Matt Harvey, New York Mets (5-5, 6.14 ERA, $-497)
    Matt Harvey made his return to the Mets’ injury-ravaged rotation at the beginning of the month and it has been a dumpster fire.

    In his three September starts he is 1-2 with a gross ERA of 12.19 ERA and a WHIP of 2.419. Hopefully, for Mets fans, he can take advantage of the last few weeks of this dreadful season and get some positive innings under his belt before the off-season.

    Harvey and the Mets are +144 road dogs tonight in Miami.

    Monday's Top Trends
    * Pirates are 1-10 in their last 11 overall. -108 vs. Brewers.
    * Dodgers are 45-9 in Clayton Kershaw’s last 54 starts. -310 @ Philadelphia.
    * Over is 9-1 in Tigers last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing record. OAK/DET Total: 10.
    * Marlins are 4-17 in their last 21 overall. -156 vs. Mets.
    * Over is 22-3-1 in Patrick Corbin’s last 26 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. ARI/SD Total 8.5.

    Weather To Keep An Eye On
    There should be no precipitation impacting any start times or action on the field today across Major League Baseball.

    The most notable wind today will be at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia where the forecast is calling for 9-10 mile per hour winds at first pitch blowing in from right-center field. The Dodgers are in town to play the Phillies and the total for this contest is currently at 7.5.
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    Diamond Trends - Monday

    TOP SU TREND:
    The Tigers are 10-0 since Apr 29, 2013 in the first game of a series with no rest after a game as a home favorite in which they won by 5+ runs.

    TOP OU TREND:
    The Phillies are 0-13-2 OU (-2.43 ppg) since Jun 18, 2016 as a 140+ dog coming off a home game in which they had more strikeouts than hits.

    TOP STARTER TREND:
    The Twins are 10-0 RUN LINE ON since Jul 23, 2015 when Ervin Santana starts on the road after he went 6+ innings gave up 6 or fewer hits in a win in his last start.

    TOP CHOICE TREND:
    The Diamondbacks are 10-0 since May 03, 2010 with no rest as a road favorite in the first game of a series after a loss where they never led.
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    Monday Night Football Betting Preview: Lions at Giants

    Detroit Lions at New York Giants (-3, 42)
    Odell Beckham Jr. is many things but he doesn't profess to be a doctor, so it should come as no surprise that the superstar wide receiver was all over the map with his diagnosis of his ailing ankle. Beckham initially revealed that he's dealing with a six-to-eight-week timeline before later shifting gears and declaring it could be a four-to-12-week issue heading into the New York Giants' home opener against the Detroit Lions on Monday.

    Simple math suggests that the prime-time tilt will be exactly four weeks since Beckham initially sustained the injury in a preseason game against Cleveland on Aug. 21. The flashy wideout, who was limited in practice on Thursday and Friday, watched helplessly as New York's vanilla offense mustered just two first downs in the first half en route to a 19-3 setback versus Dallas last weekend. While Eli Manning was held out of the end zone, Detroit quarterback Matthew Stafford overcame an early pick-six and threw for 292 yards and four touchdown passes in a 35-23 victory over Arizona last week. Signed to a five-year, $135 million contract extension, Stafford completed 70.7 percent of his passes last week - well above both the averages of last season (65.3) and his career (61.6).

    POWER RANKINGS: Lions (-2) - Giants (-1.5) + home field (-3) = Giants -2.5

    LINE HISTORY:
    The Giants opened the week as five-point home favorites, however, the uncertainty around the status of Odell Beckham Jr. has pushed the line down to -3 as of Sunday. The total hit the betting board at 43.5 and has been bet down to 42. View the complete line history here.

    WHAT SHARPS SAY:
    "Both teams struggled to run the ball on offense last week as Detroit gained just 82 yards (3.0 yards per rush) and New York managed only 35 yards (2.9 ypr). Both teams completed a high number of passes as the Lions were 29-for-41 (71%) and the Giants were 29-for-38 (76%). However, Detroit gained substantially more yards thru the air with 285 (7.0 yards per pass), while New York managed only 198 yards (5.2 ypp)." - Covers Experts' Steve Merril.

    INJURY REPORT:

    Detroit Lions

    WR Golden Tate (Probable, Finger), DE Ezekiel Ansah (Questionable, Knee), RB Zach Zenner (Questionable, Back), DE Armonty Bryant (Eligible Week 5, Suspension), DT Khyri Thornton (Eligible Week 8, Suspension), T Corey Robinson (Questionable Week 10, Foot), P Kasey Redfern (I-R, Knee), P Sam Martin (Questionable Week 8, Ankle).

    NY Giants
    WR Tavarres King (Probable, Ankle), CB Janoris Jenkins (Probable, Hand), G Bobby Hart (Probable, Ankle), WR Odell Beckham Jr. (Probable, Ankle), LB Keenan Robinson (Questionable, Concussion), CB Valentino Blake (Out Indefinitely, Personal), LB Mark Herzlich (I-R. Stinger), DT Josh Banks (I-R, Shoulder).

    ABOUT THE LIONS (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS, 1-0 O/U):
    While Golden Tate reeled in team highs in catches (10) and receiving yards (107) last week, rookie Kenny Golladay made a favorable impression with a pair of fourth-quarter touchdown grabs. Pass-catching specialist Theo Riddick also had six catches with a TD reception, but his rushing contribution, when added with those of Ameer Abdullah and Dwayne Washington, resulted in just 51 yards on 22 carries for a 2.3-yard average per attempt. "It needs work," Lions coach Jim Caldwell said of the sputtering rushing attack. "It needs work. We just got to keep working at it and (it's) not where we want it yet."

    ABOUT THE GIANTS (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS, 0-1 O/U):
    New York isn't thrilled with its ground game either, as Paul Perkins accounted for 16 of the team's 35 yards rushing in the season opener. Running back Shane Vereen did not record a carry but did provide Manning with a serviceable option out of the backfield by grabbing a team-high nine receptions. Second-year wideout Sterling Shepard, who had seven catches last week, joined Beckham in reeling in a touchdown reception in New York's 17-6 win over Detroit on Dec. 18. Veteran Brandon Marshall struggled to step up in Beckham's absence last week as he had just one catch for 10 yards in his debut with his new team.

    TRENDS:
    * Lions are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. NFC.
    * Giants are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
    * Under is 7-0 in Lions last 7 games following a straight up win.
    * Under is 8-2 in Giants last 10 games overall.

    CONSENSUS:
    The public is siding with the road pup Lions at a rate of 59 percent and the Over is picking up 63 percent of the totals action.
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    Monday's NFL Best Bet

    Detroit Lions vs N.Y Giants

    Odds:
    NY Giants (-3), Total 42

    Week 2 concludes with the Lions and Giants tangling on MNF in New York. The Giants looked awful in primetime a week ago when they lost 19-3 to Dallas, and because of that dud of a performance in a high-profile window, there isn't a lot of trust in them from the majority of bettors.

    New York's offense looked really bad without WR Odell Beckham in the mix, and while early reports have Beckham suiting up today, there is no chance he's near 100%.

    But will his presence be enough to spark a Giants offense that desperately needs to start pulling it's weight?

    The Lions enter play tonight off a Week 1 win as they looked exactly like the Detroit Lions of the past few years; falling behind early and pulling out a 4th quarter comeback in some fashion.

    The 20 points Detroit put up in the final frame vs. Arizona was an impressive feat given how that game was going, but costly turnovers by the Cardinals set up Detroit in great positions and eventually the Lions capitalized. But teams like Detroit that continually rely on 4th quarter comebacks are playing with fire, and the quality opponents they run into will bury them the first chance they get.

    The NY Giants may not be considered a “quality” opponent after their own Week 1 performance, but they do have some great talent on both sides of the ball (outside of a running game), and now that we have two weeks of data on the Arizona Cardinals, it looks like that team is nowhere near as good as many expected them to be in 2017.

    From the Giants perspective, this is an opportunity to redeem themselves on the national stage after last week's disaster in Dallas, and I believe we will see a much better game from them on the whole.

    Even if Beckham isn't near 100%, his presence on the field is a huge boost to the rest of his teammates and the Lions will now have to allocate at least one guy to cover him up. New York wouldn't be dressing Beckham if he couldn't move some and be a productive part of the offense, so look for him to be Eli's “security blanket” when he needs a tough catch to move the chains.

    Bekham's presence should open things up downfield for his teammates (Sterling Shepard, Brandon Marshall etc) and the more weapons you've got against this Lions defense that really isn't anything special, the better chance of success you will have.

    So while the general perception here is siding with Detroit and the points in this spot – VegasInsider.com's numbers show about a 60/40 split in Detroit's favor – I've got no problem laying the points with the New York Giants tonight.

    Eli and company can't be much worse then they were in Week 1, Beckham's return should provide a spark, and being back at home on MNF where they are on a 4-1 ATS run as home favorites after a divisional game, should be enough for you to consider laying the points.

    However, if that's not enough, know that the Lions passing attack that was on fire in Week 1 isn't likely to have the same success against this Giants defense in Week 2. New York's defense was one of the better units in the league a year ago – especially against the pass – and the Cowboys really beat them with their running game a week ago. Detroit's a pass-first, pass-always team, and that type of gameplan isn't likely to have too much success tonight.

    Finally, Detroit is on a 1-14 ATS run after scoring 33+ points in their last outing, 5-17-1 ATS after scoring 30+, and 2-6 ATS in their last eight on the road. So while that 35-yard Pick-Six the Lions got from Miles Killebrew late in the 4th quarter last week might have sealed their Week 1 win, it may have also sealed their Week 2 defeat both SU and ATS.

    Best Bet: NY Giants -3
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  17. #17  
    RX Wizard
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    Randall The Handle ; NFL

    NY Giants -3
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  18. #18  
    RX Wizard
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    Dr. Bob ; NFL

    NY Giants -3

    Our model favors the Giants by 4 points if Beckham doesn’t play and by 5 points if he does play, so I’ll lean with the Giants either way.
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  19. #19  
    RX Wizard
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    Dave Cokin ; MLB

    Miami -1
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  20. #20  
    RX Wizard
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    Brandon Lee ; MLB

    Baltimore -119
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  21. #21  
    RX Wizard
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    Kyle Hunter ; MLB

    Baltimore -118
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  22. #22  
    RX Wizard
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    Big AL ; MLB

    Arizona -158
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  23. #23  
    RX Wizard
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    Power Sports ; MLB

    Miami -152
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  24. #24  
    RX Wizard
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    Jim Feist ; MLB

    Arizona U8.5
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  25. #25  
    RX Wizard
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    Jimmy Boyd ; MLB

    baltimore -120
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