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Thread: Good info for newbies regarding 2 team nfl teasers.

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  1. #1 Good info for newbies regarding 2 team nfl teasers. 
    RX Senior 3pointdog's Avatar
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    I thought this info might be helpful... "they" say never play teasers in college football.. only in the NFL and only under these situations:

    Taking favorites of -7.5 down to -1.5
    Taking favorites of -8 down to -2
    Taking favorites of -8.5 down to -2.5
    Taking underdogs of plus 1.5 up to plus 7.5
    Taking underdogs of plus 2 up to plus 8
    Taking underdogs of plus 2.5 up to plus 8.5

    hope this helps boyzzzz..
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  2. #2  
    RX Local indiana's Avatar
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    3/pt...........appreciate the info.........nicely done last week buddy..........continue your winning ways this week...........indy
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  3. #3  
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    holy shit 3pt you couldnt be more right about ncaaf teasers my man. I lost my shirt years ago trying that nonsense.
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  4. #4  
    RX Senior d3nv3r's Avatar
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    Yep good advice.

    Keep the number on one side (fav or dog) -1 and not +1, so you don't get juiced up the ass (opening line -7, tease to -2 or -1.5 and not +1). You lose too much value once you start turning favs into dogs.
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  5. #5  
    RX SemiGod bookiereport's Avatar
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    exactly...only teasers that are profitable long term are listed by 3point
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  6. #6  
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    Thanks, you are always here to help.
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  7. #7  
    RX Junior ROCCO V's Avatar
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    what about teasing 6.5 down to .5? How is that bad
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  8. #8  
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    Quote Originally Posted by ROCCO V View Post
    what about teasing 6.5 down to .5? How is that bad
    The point is that there is only value when you cross the key numbers of 3 AND 7.
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  9. #9  
    RX Senior 3pointdog's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by ROCCO V View Post
    what about teasing 6.5 down to .5? How is that bad
    its not that its bad... the point is to cross 7 and 3...
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  10. #10  
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    the bookies love parlay players
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  11. #11  
    RX Junior ROCCO V's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by pizza View Post
    the bookies love parlay players
    Yep
    and a guy who ran a book at casino in LV tell me most feared wager is two team teaser
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  12. #12  
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    I've seen some private analytical work by some really smart folks on teasing across 0 and how profitable it actually is....taking -3 to +4, etc.
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  13. #13  
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    How about Seahawks this week? At -13 so crossing the 10 and 7 are key numbers? 6.5 point teaser.
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  14. #14  
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    Quote Originally Posted by 151 Feva Nation View Post
    holy shit 3pt you couldnt be more right about ncaaf teasers my man. I lost my shirt years ago trying that nonsense.
    There was a guy here who guaranteed he would turn a profit entire NCAA fb season playing 13pt teasers. He tapped out and stopped posting them by mid season.
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  15. #15  
    RX Wizard
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    I realize the -13 and -14's look so enticing to tease down but taking +20 pts in an NFL game is a boatload. You have the opportunity for a backdoor as well if down 24-27 when the favorite is playing prevent D
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  16. #16  
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    3pt, Is this the same as the Wong System?
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  17. #17  
    RX Senior 3pointdog's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by paulfmf View Post
    3pt, Is this the same as the Wong System?
    I don't know, I'm sorry
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  18. #18  
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    3Point, thanks for your posts here regarding teasers.
    Completely agree that the data suggests they should only be used in NFL and not CFB.

    To summarize your first post of this thread, I believe the following has been shown to be the most profitable:
    Use these in 6 point NFL teasers:
    Home favorites of -7.5 to -8.5 (tease down)
    Road dogs of 1.5 to 2.5 (tease up)

    And yes, it is derived from the old Wong teasers also called Basic Strategy teasers.

    GL this season
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  19. #19  
    avoid BetEast at all costs! rolltide's Avatar
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    DO NOT tease away favorites down ... historically there is a big diff b/w home fav and away fav teasers

    AF -8.5 = 74.2%
    AF -8 = 66.7%
    AF -7.5 = 65.4%
    _______________
    HF -8.5 = 77.3%
    HF -8 = 79.1%
    HF -7.5 = 74.7%
    .
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  20. #20  
    avoid BetEast at all costs! rolltide's Avatar
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    on the dog side not as big of a disparity b/w home and away but still a stronger play to just stick with home teams

    AD 1.5 = 72.0%
    AD 2 = 72.3%
    AD 2.5 = 72.8%
    _______________
    HD 1.5 = 77.6%
    HD 2 = 72.0%
    HD 2.5 = 77.25


    your goal here is to stick in those 75% parameters which is home dogs 1.5-2.5, home favs 7.5-8.5 but whatever you do just avoid the big away favs from a systems perspective.
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  21. #21  
    avoid BetEast at all costs! rolltide's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by paulfmf View Post
    3pt, Is this the same as the Wong System?
    yes it is. but when he was killing vegas with this the 6-pt teaser was +100 ... they moved it to -110 or even -120 at some places. 5dimes still has best teaser market around
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  22. #22  
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    FWIW

    Week 1---1-0 I checked after the fact. I didn't play and I don't remember the teams.

    Week 2---3-0

    Balt -7.5
    Wash + 2.5
    Den + 2.5

    These were very close to game time lines
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  23. #23  
    RX Senior 3pointdog's Avatar
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    Funny note

    someone copied and pasted this thread exactly on Facebook and took credit for it. Some people...!!

    i don't really care as I was posting it for info purposes but I didn't make it up. Just putting it out there.
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  24. #24  
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    3pointdog, Yes i copied & pasted Your info on facebook, But did no take credit for it at all, sorry if that is what you think, i just posted it to pass on the info you posted here! Thank YOU,GL
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  25. #25  
    RX Senior 3pointdog's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by sparticus View Post
    3pointdog, Yes i copied & pasted Your info on facebook, But did no take credit for it at all, sorry if that is what you think, i just posted it to pass on the info you posted here! Thank YOU,GL
    no worries. We are all just trying to help each other. All good here
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