Good info for newbies regarding 2 team nfl teasers.

Search

Member
Joined
Jul 27, 2010
Messages
8,011
Tokens
I thought this info might be helpful... "they" say never play teasers in college football.. only in the NFL and only under these situations:

Taking favorites of -7.5 down to -1.5
Taking favorites of -8 down to -2
Taking favorites of -8.5 down to -2.5
Taking underdogs of plus 1.5 up to plus 7.5
Taking underdogs of plus 2 up to plus 8
Taking underdogs of plus 2.5 up to plus 8.5

hope this helps boyzzzz..
 

Member
Joined
Jun 14, 2006
Messages
49,933
Tokens
3/pt...........appreciate the info.........nicely done last week buddy..........continue your winning ways this week...........indy
 

New member
Joined
Sep 7, 2017
Messages
258
Tokens
holy shit 3pt you couldnt be more right about ncaaf teasers my man. I lost my shirt years ago trying that nonsense.
 

New member
Joined
Feb 5, 2013
Messages
2,330
Tokens
Yep good advice.

Keep the number on one side (fav or dog) -1 and not +1, so you don't get juiced up the ass (opening line -7, tease to -2 or -1.5 and not +1). You lose too much value once you start turning favs into dogs.
 
Joined
Nov 1, 2007
Messages
7,833
Tokens
I've seen some private analytical work by some really smart folks on teasing across 0 and how profitable it actually is....taking -3 to +4, etc.
 

Banned
Joined
Jun 28, 2014
Messages
16,565
Tokens
How about Seahawks this week? At -13 so crossing the 10 and 7 are key numbers? 6.5 point teaser.
 

Member
Joined
Jun 4, 2015
Messages
2,710
Tokens
holy shit 3pt you couldnt be more right about ncaaf teasers my man. I lost my shirt years ago trying that nonsense.

There was a guy here who guaranteed he would turn a profit entire NCAA fb season playing 13pt teasers. He tapped out and stopped posting them by mid season.
 
Joined
Nov 1, 2007
Messages
7,833
Tokens
I realize the -13 and -14's look so enticing to tease down but taking +20 pts in an NFL game is a boatload. You have the opportunity for a backdoor as well if down 24-27 when the favorite is playing prevent D
 

RX - Prescription Required
Joined
May 9, 2008
Messages
1,416
Tokens
3Point, thanks for your posts here regarding teasers.
Completely agree that the data suggests they should only be used in NFL and not CFB.

To summarize your first post of this thread, I believe the following has been shown to be the most profitable:
Use these in 6 point NFL teasers:
Home favorites of -7.5 to -8.5 (tease down)
Road dogs of 1.5 to 2.5 (tease up)

And yes, it is derived from the old Wong teasers also called Basic Strategy teasers.

GL this season
 

I'm from the government and I'm here to help
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
32,902
Tokens
DO NOT tease away favorites down ... historically there is a big diff b/w home fav and away fav teasers

AF -8.5 = 74.2%
AF -8 = 66.7%
AF -7.5 = 65.4%
_______________
HF -8.5 = 77.3%
HF -8 = 79.1%
HF -7.5 = 74.7%
.
 

I'm from the government and I'm here to help
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
32,902
Tokens
on the dog side not as big of a disparity b/w home and away but still a stronger play to just stick with home teams

AD 1.5 = 72.0%
AD 2 = 72.3%
AD 2.5 = 72.8%
_______________
HD 1.5 = 77.6%
HD 2 = 72.0%
HD 2.5 = 77.25


your goal here is to stick in those 75% parameters which is home dogs 1.5-2.5, home favs 7.5-8.5 but whatever you do just avoid the big away favs from a systems perspective.
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,106,778
Messages
13,438,944
Members
99,339
Latest member
billcunninghamhomeloans
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com