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Bengals -6.5 (-102) +2 units

Offensive line is in big trouble and will be without Duane Brown which makes this a lot worse for people who aren't as familiar with the Texans. Three tight ends out with concussions. Watson is supposed to start with a sprained ankle. Hurricane Harvey actually makes this a worse spot and creates more of a distraction than it does motivation, despite what you may hear from other bettors (see the 2005 Saints, 3-13 during Hurricane Katrina). Bill O'Briens system is too complex for any quarterback without a very high football IQ to run. So when you combine inexperienced quarterbacks with an offensive line that hasn't been given enough thought (our GM Rick Smith is the problem here), you end up with a result like last Sundays game against the Jaguars. Both teams are coming off a loss so they are prime betting targets. You want the home team especially given the Texans are NOT a road team, so you have two more reasons to back Bengals. Throw in a short week for the Texans and this bet is looking mighty attractive. The Texans play the Bengals tough when they are 90%+ healthy and when their defense/o-line/secondary is firing on all cylinders. This is not the case as of right now.

I would play this game 100/100 without any hesitation regardless of the outcome of this one game (any given day). I won't be placing many bets this year due to school, but I plan to bet the games I know more about. So far I'm down 2 units with a push so looking to bounce back with this win. Hope everyone has been having better luck than I have. It should work out for me to bet less games and bet bigger amounts on the games I feel good about.

Good luck RX'ers!
 

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