Sorry bout the multiple post guys.....I just put all my plays in one thread so easier to track
YTD 3-2 -1.4U
Miami,OH -5.5 2U
Cincinnatti
I think the Redhawks are the better team on both sides of the ball and they are at home.
I am not saying the Redhawks are a much better team or will blow the Bearcats out but its much more likely than the opposite.
Cincinnatti was 4-8 last season......I will admit that AAC is a stronger division than the MAC in which Miami, OH plays in BUT Cincinnatti went 1-7 in CONF play.
Miami went 6-6 last season but they did not get their starting QB Gus Ragland back from injury until week 7 of last season.....They finished the season 6-0 after he came back from injury.
The Redhawks did lose to Marshall in the season opener but Marshall did not outplay them
Redhawks out gained Marshall 429 to 267 YDS
Marshall ran back 2 kickoff returns and returned a INT to account for 21 of 31 of Marshalls points.....Thats hard to overcome especially for a road team....
That was the only regular season game the Redhawks have lost with QB Gus Ragland starting.....The other .was a 1 pt loss to MISS ST in last seasons bowl game.
Redhawks QB Gus Ragland is 7-2 as a starter with with 25 TDS and only 2 INTS (two losses were to Marshall and MISS ST)
Bearcats Hayden Moore has not put up close to those numbers on a losing team.....24 TDS / 20 INTS
I think Miami right now is the better team on both sides of the ball and have a huge advantage at QB...........With that being said Miami does not have an explosive offense and I see a somewhat close low scoring game........
24-13 Redhawks
Minny-10
Mid Tenn
Giving where these two teams are at - I am surprised the line here is only -10.......So far this season - this is not a Mid Tenn team with great QB play and an explosive offense like we are used to seeing and that does not change @ Minnesota Saturday.
Right off the bat Mid Tenn QB Brent Stockstill will be less than 100% after having his shoulder slammed to the ground at SYC.....I am not even sure he is cleared to play as of yet.
Mid Tenn only put up 6 points and 240 YDS of total offense VS Vandy in week 1.......Last season VS Vandy they put up 495 YDS
Last week VS SYC MID Tenn put up 30 but were very fortunate to do so getting some short fields.......They still rushed for under 100 YDS and Stockstill did not look like his last year version passing for only 269 and a pick.
Through two games in 2017, Stockstill has carried the ball 21 times for 21 yards, which includes taking six sacks. That's nearly half of the 45 carries he had in 10 games last year, when he was sacked just eight times.......Losing 3 OL has proved to be detrimental so far this year.
Beware this is not the Mid Tenn offense of last year.
This week MID Tenn goes up against the best defense they are going to face all season(on the road at that ) and I think its safe to say Stockstill has a rough game....He has not been getting any support from his run game either and that will not change this week.
Minnesota was a very strong defensive team last season only allowing 340 YDS and 22 pts per game last season.....They are starting right where they finished last season by dominating both Buffalo and Oregon ST on the road allowing 7 and 14 PTS and each opponent to under 250 YD of offense.
Minnesota offense struggled out of the gate vs Buffalo only putting up 17 while breaking in their young QBS in......They looked much better on the road out west last week putting up 48 on ORG ST.....They return 7 starters on a team who AVG 27 per game VS Big 10 defenses and are very capable of having a big day at home in this spot.
This line (-10) is set based on what we have seen from the Mid Tenn offense in the last 2 seasons........But that offense will not be on display.
Minny 38
Mid Tenn 17
UNC -10 2U
Old Dominion
Rarely do I play against a home dog but I cannot pass up a talent mismatch like this with a relatively low line.
OLD DOM opened the season against 2 very weak opponents in U-Mass and FCS Albany....hey started 2-0 to their credit BUT their offense really struggled to move the ball against these 2 weak defensive teams.
Old Dominion simply is just not a threat on offense this year after losing QB David Washington....Their offense was built around him last year....Not only did he throw the ball well 31 TD / 5 INT but the threat of him throwing opened up the run allowing for big seasons for the Monarchs RB'S AVG over 5YPC......
The Old Dominion defense did play very well.....They are a strong unit for a non-power 5 CONF club...But the last time they faced an offense like this was last SEP VS NC State when they gave up 49.
The Tar Heels have gone up against 2 great offenses in CAL and LOU have had a rough going of it as would almost any other defense in the country.......They are ranked towards the bottom of the pack in YDS allowed but should get healthy and back on track against an offense like the one they will face Saturday.
They actually held CAL to under their last season YDS gained and points scored game AVG
They ran into a different breed vs LOU where Heisman winner Lamar Jackson put up 500 total YDS by himself.
I believe the linemakers have over compensated this line because of these 2 games.......As stated above the OLD DOM offense
is absolutely no threat to UNC and cant compare to the offenses of LOU and CAL.
On offense the N.C. passing game keeps humming along....Marquise Williams, Mitch Trubisky now FR Chazz Surratt is slinging the ball around back there like its nothing - 70% COMP rate 3 TDS / 0 INTS......Even EX LSU QB Brandon Harris looked good VS Louisville backing up last week.........Regardless of who starts Surratt or Harris the OLD DOM defense will struggle to contain this offense who AVG 32 points per game in the ACC.
There is a huge gap of talent and raw athletic-ability between these 2 clubs.
I like NC by 17+
YTD 3-2 -1.4U
Miami,OH -5.5 2U
Cincinnatti
I think the Redhawks are the better team on both sides of the ball and they are at home.
I am not saying the Redhawks are a much better team or will blow the Bearcats out but its much more likely than the opposite.
Cincinnatti was 4-8 last season......I will admit that AAC is a stronger division than the MAC in which Miami, OH plays in BUT Cincinnatti went 1-7 in CONF play.
Miami went 6-6 last season but they did not get their starting QB Gus Ragland back from injury until week 7 of last season.....They finished the season 6-0 after he came back from injury.
The Redhawks did lose to Marshall in the season opener but Marshall did not outplay them
Redhawks out gained Marshall 429 to 267 YDS
Marshall ran back 2 kickoff returns and returned a INT to account for 21 of 31 of Marshalls points.....Thats hard to overcome especially for a road team....
That was the only regular season game the Redhawks have lost with QB Gus Ragland starting.....The other .was a 1 pt loss to MISS ST in last seasons bowl game.
Redhawks QB Gus Ragland is 7-2 as a starter with with 25 TDS and only 2 INTS (two losses were to Marshall and MISS ST)
Bearcats Hayden Moore has not put up close to those numbers on a losing team.....24 TDS / 20 INTS
I think Miami right now is the better team on both sides of the ball and have a huge advantage at QB...........With that being said Miami does not have an explosive offense and I see a somewhat close low scoring game........
24-13 Redhawks
Minny-10
Mid Tenn
Giving where these two teams are at - I am surprised the line here is only -10.......So far this season - this is not a Mid Tenn team with great QB play and an explosive offense like we are used to seeing and that does not change @ Minnesota Saturday.
Right off the bat Mid Tenn QB Brent Stockstill will be less than 100% after having his shoulder slammed to the ground at SYC.....I am not even sure he is cleared to play as of yet.
Mid Tenn only put up 6 points and 240 YDS of total offense VS Vandy in week 1.......Last season VS Vandy they put up 495 YDS
Last week VS SYC MID Tenn put up 30 but were very fortunate to do so getting some short fields.......They still rushed for under 100 YDS and Stockstill did not look like his last year version passing for only 269 and a pick.
Through two games in 2017, Stockstill has carried the ball 21 times for 21 yards, which includes taking six sacks. That's nearly half of the 45 carries he had in 10 games last year, when he was sacked just eight times.......Losing 3 OL has proved to be detrimental so far this year.
Beware this is not the Mid Tenn offense of last year.
This week MID Tenn goes up against the best defense they are going to face all season(on the road at that ) and I think its safe to say Stockstill has a rough game....He has not been getting any support from his run game either and that will not change this week.
Minnesota was a very strong defensive team last season only allowing 340 YDS and 22 pts per game last season.....They are starting right where they finished last season by dominating both Buffalo and Oregon ST on the road allowing 7 and 14 PTS and each opponent to under 250 YD of offense.
Minnesota offense struggled out of the gate vs Buffalo only putting up 17 while breaking in their young QBS in......They looked much better on the road out west last week putting up 48 on ORG ST.....They return 7 starters on a team who AVG 27 per game VS Big 10 defenses and are very capable of having a big day at home in this spot.
This line (-10) is set based on what we have seen from the Mid Tenn offense in the last 2 seasons........But that offense will not be on display.
Minny 38
Mid Tenn 17
UNC -10 2U
Old Dominion
Rarely do I play against a home dog but I cannot pass up a talent mismatch like this with a relatively low line.
OLD DOM opened the season against 2 very weak opponents in U-Mass and FCS Albany....hey started 2-0 to their credit BUT their offense really struggled to move the ball against these 2 weak defensive teams.
Old Dominion simply is just not a threat on offense this year after losing QB David Washington....Their offense was built around him last year....Not only did he throw the ball well 31 TD / 5 INT but the threat of him throwing opened up the run allowing for big seasons for the Monarchs RB'S AVG over 5YPC......
The Old Dominion defense did play very well.....They are a strong unit for a non-power 5 CONF club...But the last time they faced an offense like this was last SEP VS NC State when they gave up 49.
The Tar Heels have gone up against 2 great offenses in CAL and LOU have had a rough going of it as would almost any other defense in the country.......They are ranked towards the bottom of the pack in YDS allowed but should get healthy and back on track against an offense like the one they will face Saturday.
They actually held CAL to under their last season YDS gained and points scored game AVG
They ran into a different breed vs LOU where Heisman winner Lamar Jackson put up 500 total YDS by himself.
I believe the linemakers have over compensated this line because of these 2 games.......As stated above the OLD DOM offense
is absolutely no threat to UNC and cant compare to the offenses of LOU and CAL.
On offense the N.C. passing game keeps humming along....Marquise Williams, Mitch Trubisky now FR Chazz Surratt is slinging the ball around back there like its nothing - 70% COMP rate 3 TDS / 0 INTS......Even EX LSU QB Brandon Harris looked good VS Louisville backing up last week.........Regardless of who starts Surratt or Harris the OLD DOM defense will struggle to contain this offense who AVG 32 points per game in the ACC.
There is a huge gap of talent and raw athletic-ability between these 2 clubs.
I like NC by 17+
