How to bet Detroit-New York
NFL Vegas Experts
ESPN INSIDER
9/18/17
ESPN Chalk's NFL Vegas experts (Phil Steele and Erin Rynning) are here to provide analysis and best bets for Monday night's tilt between the Detroit Lions and New York Giants. John Parolin of ESPN Stats & Information breaks down the best prop bet.
Note: Odds courtesy of the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook as of Sunday afternoon.
Matchup: Detroit at New York
Spread: 42
Total: New York -3
PickCenter public consensus pick: 60 percent on Detroit
Phil Steele
After a come-from-behind victory a week ago against the Cardinals when their defense forced four turnovers, the Lions head east. They take on a Giants squad that was embarrassed in Dallas with its offense being held to just three points! It's true that the Lions have proved to be resilient the past two seasons, including a surprising playoff berth in 2016. I cannot fathom the New York offense struggling for a second consecutive weekend with the talent available at Eli Manning's disposal (Odell Beckham Jr likely returning). I like the Giants to win and cover on Monday night.
ATS pick: Giants
Erin Rynning
Simply a miserable night for the Giants last Sunday, garnering just three points. However, look for this club to rebound on Monday night with much expected from this team in 2017. Off course, the expected return of Beckham is vital for the offense, as they'll take a huge step forward against the Lions' defense that is void of playmakers. Look for the Giants' defense to take a step forward as well, after being suffocated by the strong Cowboys offensive line last week.
Pick: Lean Giants
Parolin's prop bet
62.5 receiving yards by Golden Tate (O/U -110)
The Giants' defense has plenty of strengths, not the least of which is cornerback Janoris Jenkins. Jenkins has been worth every penny of the five-year contract he signed before 2016. He's a major reason why the Giants' defense ranks second in Total QBR allowed since the start of last year and is the only unit in the league with more interceptions than touchdowns in that span. Opponents have completed only 59 percent of their passes against Big Blue, which also did a decent job against Dak Prescott in a 19-3 Week 1 loss.
So why is the over the play for Tate at 62.5? Go back to Jenkins. He played 66 of his 71 snaps as a cornerback on the perimeter and away from the slot against Dallas. This wasn't a one-time, "just cover Dez" situation either -- he played 874 of his 983 snaps with New York last year on the perimeter as well, while he spent a total of 41 snaps covering the slot.
That will leave Matthew Stafford and Detroit's pass-first (and second, and third) offense looking away from the perimeter for high target volume. Enter Tate, who saw nine of his 12 Week 1 targets from the slot and ranks sixth in slot receptions since 2014. The slot is where Tate lives (and Jenkins doesn't), and the Giants have been susceptible to slot targets since the start of last year. They allowed 130 receptions to slot receivers (fifth most), and the 5.2 yards after catch they allowed from the slot is fourth most.
Tate will get his looks, and hitting 63 yards should be plenty realistic.
The play: Over
NFL Vegas Experts
ESPN INSIDER
9/18/17
ESPN Chalk's NFL Vegas experts (Phil Steele and Erin Rynning) are here to provide analysis and best bets for Monday night's tilt between the Detroit Lions and New York Giants. John Parolin of ESPN Stats & Information breaks down the best prop bet.
Note: Odds courtesy of the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook as of Sunday afternoon.
Matchup: Detroit at New York
Spread: 42
Total: New York -3
PickCenter public consensus pick: 60 percent on Detroit
Phil Steele
After a come-from-behind victory a week ago against the Cardinals when their defense forced four turnovers, the Lions head east. They take on a Giants squad that was embarrassed in Dallas with its offense being held to just three points! It's true that the Lions have proved to be resilient the past two seasons, including a surprising playoff berth in 2016. I cannot fathom the New York offense struggling for a second consecutive weekend with the talent available at Eli Manning's disposal (Odell Beckham Jr likely returning). I like the Giants to win and cover on Monday night.
ATS pick: Giants
Erin Rynning
Simply a miserable night for the Giants last Sunday, garnering just three points. However, look for this club to rebound on Monday night with much expected from this team in 2017. Off course, the expected return of Beckham is vital for the offense, as they'll take a huge step forward against the Lions' defense that is void of playmakers. Look for the Giants' defense to take a step forward as well, after being suffocated by the strong Cowboys offensive line last week.
Pick: Lean Giants
Parolin's prop bet
62.5 receiving yards by Golden Tate (O/U -110)
The Giants' defense has plenty of strengths, not the least of which is cornerback Janoris Jenkins. Jenkins has been worth every penny of the five-year contract he signed before 2016. He's a major reason why the Giants' defense ranks second in Total QBR allowed since the start of last year and is the only unit in the league with more interceptions than touchdowns in that span. Opponents have completed only 59 percent of their passes against Big Blue, which also did a decent job against Dak Prescott in a 19-3 Week 1 loss.
So why is the over the play for Tate at 62.5? Go back to Jenkins. He played 66 of his 71 snaps as a cornerback on the perimeter and away from the slot against Dallas. This wasn't a one-time, "just cover Dez" situation either -- he played 874 of his 983 snaps with New York last year on the perimeter as well, while he spent a total of 41 snaps covering the slot.
That will leave Matthew Stafford and Detroit's pass-first (and second, and third) offense looking away from the perimeter for high target volume. Enter Tate, who saw nine of his 12 Week 1 targets from the slot and ranks sixth in slot receptions since 2014. The slot is where Tate lives (and Jenkins doesn't), and the Giants have been susceptible to slot targets since the start of last year. They allowed 130 receptions to slot receivers (fifth most), and the 5.2 yards after catch they allowed from the slot is fourth most.
Tate will get his looks, and hitting 63 yards should be plenty realistic.
The play: Over
