Thursday 9/21/17 ... Comps / Bonus Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Post Bonus Plays / requests / comments/ trends and concerns here.<br><br>

Soccer

Spain - La Liga

2pm ET

Villarreal v Espanyol

Last Head-To-Heads at Villarreal:
2-0 (Villarreal win)
3-1 (Villarreal win)
0-3 (Espanyol win)
2-1 (Villarreal win)

Recent Form:
Villarreal: 4-2
Espanyol: 2-3-1

KEY STAT: Villarreal have scored exactly two or three goals in eight of their last nine home matches

EXPERT VERDICT:Having already played Sevilla and Barcelona in their first four matches, Espanyol are arguably in a false position in the table. Certainly the 2-1 win over Celta last time will have lifted morale, although it was a far from convincing success. However, Villarreal are strong at home and didn’t concede a goal against Espanyol over two games last term.

RECOMMENDATION: Villarreal (2)

Soccer

Spain - La Liga

4pm ET

Levante v Sociedad

Last Head-To-Heads at Levante:
0-4 (Sociedad win)
1-1
0-0
2-1 (Levante win)

Recent Form:
Levante: 1-2-3
Sociedad: 4-1-1

KEY STAT: Eight of Real Sociedad’s last nine games in the league have yielded over 2.5 goals

EXPERT VERDICT: Goals seem guaranteed with Real Sociedad, whose four games this term have produced 18 of them. Both teams have scored in eight of their last nine so they give up chances as well as take them. Levante have drawn their last three – all scoring draws – and are still unbeaten.

RECOMMENDATION: Both Teams to Score (3)

MLB

National League

Dodgers @ Phillies
Maeda is 0-1, 9.82 in his last three starts; under is 3-1-1 in his last five. Dodgers lost his last four road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 14-7-3

Leiter is 1-3, 8.18 in his last four starts (under 6-2-1). Phillies are 1-3 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 3-6

Dodgers are 5-20 in their last 25 games (under 5-1-2 in last eight). Phillies won seven of last nine games, under is 4-1-1 in their last six.

Cardinals @ Reds
Martinez is 1-2, 4.64 in his last five starts; over is 10-5 in his last 15. He is 0-2, 7.71 against the Reds this year. Cardinals are 6-10 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 15-12-3

Bailey is 1-2, 4.18 in his last four starts (under 3-0-1). Reds are 2-6 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 6-9-1

Cardinals lost four of last five games; under is 9-4 in their last 13 games. Reds won four of last seven games; under is 7-4-1 in their last 12 home games.

Nationals @ Braves
Roark is 3-1, 3.52 in his last five starts; under is 10-2 in his last 12. He is 1-1, 7.36 vs Atlanta this season. Washington is 8-5 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 14-11-2

Dickey is 0-2, 10.68 in his last three starts; his last five starts went over. He is 0-2, 5.92 in four starts vs Washington this year. Braves are 10-7 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 13-11-5

Nationals won their last five road games; under is 6-2-2 in their last ten games. Atlanta lost five of last six games; over is 7-4 in their last 11 home games.

Cubs @ Brewers
Arrieta is 4-1, 2.48 in his last six starts; over is 5-3-2 in his last ten. He is 2-0, 2.77 against the Brewers this year. Cubs are 9-9 in his road starts — their first 5-inning record with him: 15-8-5

Davies is 1-2, 4.86 in his last three starts; over is 3-1 in his last four. He is 2-2, 3.96 against the Cubs this season. Milwaukee is 8-7 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 15-10-6

Cubs won seven of last eight games; under is 3-1 in their last four. Chicago is 10-4 in last 14 road series openers. Milwaukee won six of last eight games; their last four home games went over. Brewers are 8-4 in last 12 home series openers.

Rockies @ Padres
Anderson is 2-2, 4.50 in his last six starts; over is 4-1 in his last five. Colorado is 3-4 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 7-6

Richard is 1-2, 4.32 in his last four starts; under is 5-2 in his last seven. He is 1-2, 11.15 against Colorado this season. Padres are 7-8 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 13-15-2

Colorado lost its last three games; under is 5-1 in its last six games. San Diego won three of its last four games (under 5-3). Padres are 14-11 in home series openers.
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American League

Rays @ Orioles
Andriese is 0-2, 12.27 in his last three starts; over is 7-2 in his last nine. Rays are 1-5 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 11-4

Hellickson is 0-3, 11.81 in his last four starts; over is 6-1 in his last seven. Orioles are 3-1 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 2-6-1

Rays Baltimore lost 12 of last 14 games; over is 5-2 in their last seven. Baltimore is 2-11 in its last 13 games; over is 5-2 in their last seven. Orioles are 5-9 in last 14 home series openers.

Royals @ Blue Jays
Vargas is 2-0, 3.60 in his last two starts; under is 7-4 in his last 11. Royals are 9-5 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 14-12-3

Happ is 3-0. 4.00 in his last three starts; under is 7-3 in his last ten. Toronto is 5-7 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 10-12-1

Royals lost five of last seven games; under is 6-2 in their last eight. Toronto won seven of last 11 games (under 8-3).

Twins @ Tigers
Mejia is 0-3, 5.52 in his last seven starts; under is 7-3-1 in his last 11. Twins are 3-3 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 9-6-4

Zimmerman is 1-3, 9.74 in his last four starts; over is 7-4 in his last 11. He is 0-2, 10.80 against the Twins this year. Detroit is 6-6 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 12-15

Twins lost five of last six games; under is 6-2 in their last eight. Minnesota is 5-8 in last 13 road series openers. Detroit is 2-10 in its last 12 games; over is 9-1 in their last ten home games. Tigers are 1-10 in last 11 home series openers.

White Sox @ Astros
Fulmer is 1-1, 5.27 in three starts this year (over 1-1-1). Chicago lost his only road start— their first 5-inning record with him: 1-1-1

Keuchel is 2-2, 4.62 in his last four starts; over is 4-1 in his last five. Astros are 5-4 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 13-6-2

White Sox lost four of last five games; under is 5-3 in their last eight games. Houston won its last six games; under is 11-3 in their last 14 home games.

Indians @ Angels
Salazar is 1-1, 4.74 in his last five starts; over is 6-4-1 in his last 11. Indians are 6-5 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 8-6-3

Bridwell is 1-0, 1.50 in his last two starts; under is 10-3 in his last 13. Angels are 7-1 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 10-4-3

Cleveland is 26-1 in its last 27 games; under is 9-3 in their last 12 games. Angels are 3-9 in last 12 games (under 9-3).

Rangers @ Mariners
Hamels is 1-3, 6.28 in his last five starts (over 12-7-2). He is 1-0, 5.82 in three starts vs Seattle this season. Texas is 4-7 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 16-3-2

Paxton is 1-1, 5.27 in his last three starts; under is 5-2 in his last seven. Mariners are 8-4 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 11-6-4

Rangers lost seven of last 11 games; over is 11-6-1 in their last 18 games. Seattle lost its last five games; under is 11-4 in their last 15.
__________________________________________________

Record with this pitcher starting:
National League
LA-Phil: Maeda 15-9; Leiter 4-5
StL-Cin: Martinez 15-15; Bailey 6-10
Wsh-Atl: Roark 17-10; Dickey 15-14
Chi-Mil: Arrieta 15-13; Davies 19-12
Colo-SD: Anderson 6-7; Richard 12-18

American League
TB-Balt: Andriese 6-9; Hellickson 4-5
KC-Tor: Vargas 18-11; Happ 10-13
Minn-Det: Mejia 8-11; Zimmerman 10-17
Chi-Hst: Fulmer 1-2; Keuchel 15-6
Clev-LA: Salazar 8-9; Bridwell 15-2
Tex-Sea: Hamels 12-9; Paxton 13-8

Interleague
Pitchers allowing a run in first inning:
National League
LA-Phil: Maeda 9-24; Leiter 5-9
StL-Cin: Martinez 11-30; Bailey 8-16
Wsh-Atl: Roark 10-27; Dickey 7-29
Chi-Mil: Arrieta 8-28; Davies 9-31
Colo-SD: Anderson 1-13; Richard 9-30
__________________________________________________

Interleague play
NL @ AL– 84-57 AL, favorites -$280
AL @ NL– 73-69 NL, favorites +$116
Total: 153-130 AL, favorites -$164

Totals in interleague games
NL @ AL: Over 71-68-4
AL @ NL: Over 74-62-7
Total: Over 145-130-11
__________________________________________________

Teams’ records in first five innings:
Team (road-home-total)- thru 9/19/17
Ariz 28-26-20……43-25–12……..71-51
Atl 27-35-10……26-42-8………..53-77
Cubs 33-31-8…….39-25-14………..72-56
Reds 23-43-9……..30-37-9…………53-80
Colo 38-31-7………40-29-5………..78-60
LA 38-24-13…….41-25-9…………79-49
Miami 32-36-10…….36-26-11………68-62
Milw 37-27-10…….38-29-10……….74-56
Mets 33-39-5……..30-37-7………….63-76
Philly 19-43-16……30-36-9………..49-79
Pitt 31-37-9…….28-33-13………..60-70
St. Louis 32-34-9……..39-25-10………..71-59
SD 21-46-8……..38-29–9…………59-75
SF 16-49-9……..30-33-13……….46-81
Wash 43-23-7……34-33-10………….77-56

Orioles 29-39-5……..31-39-8………..60-78
Boston 31-35-11………34-37-3……….65-72
White Sox 25-40-11………29-42–4…….54-82
Cleveland 45-23-8……..39-24-10……..84-47
Detroit 27-38-10…….30-36-11……..57-74
Astros 37-28-11……..47-24-5………84-52
KC 26-35-13……..30-31-13…….56-66
Angels 26-39-8………31-31-14……..57-70
Twins 38-24-13………38-33-8……..76-57
NYY 34-38-7……….40-28-5…..…74-66
A’s 29-39-10……..32-32-12……..61-71
Seattle 29-39-9……..39-25-11………68-64
TB 36-29-11……..40-24-9……..76-53
Texas 35-27-12……..38-28-9……..73-55
Toronto 30-40-5……..30-33-12……..60-73

%age of times teams score in first inning
(road/home/total- 9/19/17)
Ariz 24-76……..27-74………..51
Atl 17-71……….19-79………36
Cubs 20-72……..26-78………..46
Reds 30-76……..27-76……….57
Colo 20-76……..25-74..……..45
LA 23-76……..26-74..…….49
Miami 32-78……..27-73……….59
Milw 24-74……29-78…..…..53
Mets 34-75……..26-75……….60
Philly 17-78……..24-74……….41
Pitt 22-77……..22-75……….44
StL 16-76……..23-73………..39
SD 23-75……….26-75……….49
SF 17-75……….22-77……….39
Wash 26-73……..30-77……….56

Orioles 17-76……..25-77……….42
Boston 21-77……..18-74……….39
White Sox 24-76……20-75……….44
Clev 22-77……..26-75………48
Detroit 18-74…….27-77………45
Astros 21-77……..29-74………50
KC 18-75……..16-76………..34
Angels 27-75……..22-77……….49
Twins 17-73……..20-77……….37
NYY 19-78……..21-73……….40
A’s 20-76……..27-76………47
Seattle 21-77…….25-77……….46
TB 22-74……..26-77………48
Texas 29-76……..30-74………59
Toronto 26-76……..21-78………47

MLB Long Sheet:

LA DODGERS (96 - 56) at PHILADELPHIA (61 - 91) - 1:05 PM
KENTA MAEDA (R) vs. MARK LEITER JR. (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 3-3 (+3.8 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.8 Units)

KENTA MAEDA vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
MAEDA is 3-0 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 3.50 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 3-0 (+3.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-0. (+3.1 units)

MARK LEITER JR. vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
No recent starts.
_________________________________________________________________

ST LOUIS (79 - 72) at CINCINNATI (66 - 86) - 7:10 PM
CARLOS MARTINEZ (R) vs. HOMER BAILEY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 30-35 (-11.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
ST LOUIS is 60-57 (-7.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CINCINNATI is 35-34 (+9.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
CINCINNATI is 58-60 (+7.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ST LOUIS is 85-73 (+14.2 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 38-27 (+11.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 29-22 (+6.8 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 9-9 (+2.3 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
10 of 17 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.4 Units)

CARLOS MARTINEZ vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
MARTINEZ is 3-2 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 3.92 and a WHIP of 1.258.
His team's record is 5-2 (+1.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-4. (-2.5 units)

HOMER BAILEY vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
BAILEY is 6-12 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 5.75 and a WHIP of 1.619.
His team's record is 6-16 (-11.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 10-11. (-2.6 units)
_________________________________________________________________

WASHINGTON (92 - 59) at ATLANTA (67 - 83) - 7:35 PM
TANNER ROARK (R) vs. R.A. DICKEY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 25-31 (-15.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
ATLANTA is 135-176 (+2.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 38-34 (+7.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
ATLANTA is 65-88 (+14.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 91-59 (+9.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 47-27 (+16.8 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
WASHINGTON is 80-70 (+25.0 Units) against the money line in road games in September games since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 66-31 (+24.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
WASHINGTON is 36-21 (+12.4 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
WASHINGTON is 31-15 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
WASHINGTON is 33-17 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
ATLANTA is 45-72 (-26.5 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 26-35 (-11.9 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 8-10 (+4.8 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
10 of 18 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.4 Units)

TANNER ROARK vs. ATLANTA since 1997
ROARK is 6-2 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 2.82 and a WHIP of 1.118.
His team's record is 9-3 (+5.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-8. (-4.8 units)

R.A. DICKEY vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
DICKEY is 4-9 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 4.12 and a WHIP of 1.381.
His team's record is 6-12 (-6.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-10. (-3.3 units)
_________________________________________________________________

CHICAGO CUBS (84 - 67) at MILWAUKEE (81 - 71) - 8:10 PM
JAKE ARRIETA (R) vs. ZACH DAVIES (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 84-67 (-16.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 22-24 (-13.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 9-14 (-9.5 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 63-54 (-19.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 25-30 (-14.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MILWAUKEE is 81-71 (+18.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 35-31 (+7.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
MILWAUKEE is 52-45 (+12.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 64-55 (+15.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MILWAUKEE is 38-33 (+8.3 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
MILWAUKEE is 29-20 (+16.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MILWAUKEE is 17-9 (+13.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
DAVIES is 19-12 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
DAVIES is 15-10 (+11.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CHICAGO CUBS are 54-24 (+17.9 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.
ARRIETA is 23-4 (+16.9 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MILWAUKEE is 78-100 (-33.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Thursday since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 8-7 (+4.7 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
9 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.8 Units)

JAKE ARRIETA vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
ARRIETA is 8-4 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 2.79 and a WHIP of 0.989.
His team's record is 9-5 (+1.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-6. (-0.5 units)

ZACH DAVIES vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
DAVIES is 5-4 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 4.08 and a WHIP of 1.208.
His team's record is 5-4 (+4.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-4. (+0.8 units)
_________________________________________________________________

COLORADO (82 - 70) at SAN DIEGO (68 - 84) - 10:10 PM
TYLER ANDERSON (L) vs. CLAYTON RICHARD (L)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 316-434 (-107.6 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 since 1997.
COLORADO is 446-706 (-136.9 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997.
COLORADO is 73-75 (-19.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 37-42 (-17.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 68-84 (+7.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 37-41 (+7.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
SAN DIEGO is 41-36 (+12.1 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 28-21 (+12.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
SAN DIEGO is 30-36 (+7.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
SAN DIEGO is 51-55 (+12.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 81-97 (+14.3 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 35-45 (+17.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
RICHARD is 46-38 (+17.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
COLORADO is 82-70 (+12.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 39-38 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
COLORADO is 39-30 (+12.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
COLORADO is 26-18 (+14.0 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 10-5 (+2.3 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
8 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.8 Units)

TYLER ANDERSON vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
ANDERSON is 1-0 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 0.73 and a WHIP of 0.811.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

CLAYTON RICHARD vs. COLORADO since 1997
RICHARD is 4-6 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 5.62 and a WHIP of 1.669.
His team's record is 7-10 (-2.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 10-7. (+2.8 units)
_________________________________________________________________

TAMPA BAY (74 - 78) at BALTIMORE (73 - 80) - 7:05 PM
MATT ANDRIESE (R) vs. GABRIEL YNOA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 142-171 (-36.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 89-114 (-30.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 32-41 (-11.0 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
BALTIMORE is 161-154 (+5.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 94-64 (+20.6 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 74-71 (+10.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 69-47 (+14.3 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 68-43 (+17.6 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 66-33 (+22.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 214-341 (-104.8 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 6-6 (+0.3 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
7 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.5 Units)

MATT ANDRIESE vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
ANDRIESE is 1-2 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 6.60 and a WHIP of 1.533.
His team's record is 1-2 (-0.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+0.9 units)

GABRIEL YNOA vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
No recent starts.
_________________________________________________________________

KANSAS CITY (74 - 77) at TORONTO (71 - 81) - 7:05 PM
JASON VARGAS (L) vs. J.A. HAPP (L)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 74-77 (+3.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 38-36 (+4.2 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
VARGAS is 18-11 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
VARGAS is 21-12 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TORONTO is 71-81 (-21.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TORONTO is 33-40 (-11.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
TORONTO is 42-55 (-21.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TORONTO is 14-22 (-12.2 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
TORONTO is 64-62 (-20.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 3-2 (+1.5 Units) against TORONTO this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.7 Units)

JASON VARGAS vs. TORONTO since 1997
VARGAS is 3-3 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 4.96 and a WHIP of 1.443.
His team's record is 5-4 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-2. (+3.7 units)

J.A. HAPP vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
HAPP is 2-2 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 4.91 and a WHIP of 1.193.
His team's record is 2-3 (-1.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-2. (+0.8 units)
_________________________________________________________________

MINNESOTA (78 - 74) at DETROIT (62 - 90) - 7:10 PM
ADALBERTO MEJIA (L) vs. JORDAN ZIMMERMANN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MEJIA is 1-8 (-7.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season. (Team's Record)
MINNESOTA is 78-74 (+7.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 39-35 (+11.5 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
MINNESOTA is 19-13 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents this season.
MINNESOTA is 53-42 (+12.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MINNESOTA is 55-51 (+6.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MINNESOTA is 40-35 (+8.2 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
DETROIT is 62-90 (-27.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 52-72 (-23.5 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 34-43 (-13.4 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
DETROIT is 36-62 (-24.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 7-5 (+1.8 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
8 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+4.8 Units)

ADALBERTO MEJIA vs. DETROIT since 1997
MEJIA is 0-0 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 5.14 and a WHIP of 2.143.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

JORDAN ZIMMERMANN vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
ZIMMERMANN is 3-2 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 6.89 and a WHIP of 1.592.
His team's record is 4-2 (+1.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-2. (+1.9 units)
_________________________________________________________________

CHI WHITE SOX (60 - 91) at HOUSTON (93 - 58) - 8:10 PM
CARSON FULMER (R) vs. DALLAS KEUCHEL (L)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 93-58 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 74-36 (+22.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
HOUSTON is 11-21 (-15.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 59-53 (-18.3 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 47-41 (-12.9 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 21-21 (-12.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHI WHITE SOX is 3-2 (+3.6 Units) against HOUSTON this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.0 Units)

CARSON FULMER vs. HOUSTON since 1997
No recent starts.

DALLAS KEUCHEL vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
KEUCHEL is 2-3 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 4.30 and a WHIP of 1.460.
His team's record is 3-3 (-1.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-3. (-0.6 units)
_________________________________________________________________

CLEVELAND (95 - 57) at LA ANGELS (76 - 75) - 4:05 PM
DANNY SALAZAR (R) vs. PARKER BRIDWELL (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 76-75 (+6.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA ANGELS are 54-52 (+6.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
LA ANGELS are 42-32 (+15.8 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
BRIDWELL is 15-2 (+16.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
BRIDWELL is 7-0 (+8.5 Units) against the money line in day games this season. (Team's Record)
BRIDWELL is 8-2 (+8.9 Units) against the money line after a loss this season. (Team's Record)
CLEVELAND is 92-46 (+26.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 50-27 (+13.7 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
CLEVELAND is 47-24 (+19.0 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 19-1 (+17.0 Units) against the money line in September games this season.
CLEVELAND is 25-7 (+17.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 65-31 (+15.7 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
CLEVELAND is 33-9 (+19.8 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
CLEVELAND is 22-10 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CLEVELAND is 54-31 (+21.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 5-0 (+5.0 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.0 Units)

DANNY SALAZAR vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
SALAZAR is 1-1 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 3.74 and a WHIP of 1.246.
His team's record is 2-2 (-0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.2 units)

PARKER BRIDWELL vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
No recent starts.
_________________________________________________________________

TEXAS (75 - 76) at SEATTLE (74 - 78) - 10:10 PM
COLE HAMELS (L) vs. JAMES PAXTON (L)
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 12-24 (-11.6 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
SEATTLE is 44-23 (+15.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 75-76 (+3.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TEXAS is 80-61 (+30.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 29-29 (+13.8 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 78-81 (+16.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 50-42 (+21.0 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 28-19 (+13.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 78-63 (+19.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 126-101 (+29.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 79-67 (+24.5 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 94-75 (+18.3 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
HAMELS is 36-18 (+17.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HAMELS is 26-12 (+14.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HAMELS is 30-12 (+17.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HAMELS is 19-7 (+11.5 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HAMELS is 21-7 (+13.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SEATTLE is 35-37 (-16.9 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 119-120 (-35.5 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 163-204 (-57.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday since 1997.
SEATTLE is 35-40 (-17.1 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 625-579 (-102.9 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997.
SEATTLE is 33-44 (-15.3 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
PAXTON is 12-19 (-12.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 11-7 (+3.8 Units) against TEXAS this season
10 of 18 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.6 Units)

COLE HAMELS vs. SEATTLE since 1997
HAMELS is 6-3 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 5.02 and a WHIP of 1.460.
His team's record is 8-5 (+2.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-7. (-2.8 units)

JAMES PAXTON vs. TEXAS since 1997
PAXTON is 2-3 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 3.64 and a WHIP of 1.532.
His team's record is 4-5 (-2.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-4. (+0.7 units)

MLB Trend Report

1:05 PM
LA DODGERS vs. PHILADELPHIA
LA Dodgers are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of LA Dodgers's last 13 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Philadelphia's last 13 games when playing LA Dodgers
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

4:07 PM
CLEVELAND vs. LA ANGELS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
Cleveland is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
LA Angels are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland

7:05 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. BALTIMORE
Tampa Bay is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 6 games at home
Baltimore is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home

7:07 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. TORONTO
Kansas City is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City's last 8 games
Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Toronto's last 9 games

7:10 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. CINCINNATI
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 7 games
Cincinnati is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against St. Louis

7:10 PM
MINNESOTA vs. DETROIT
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Minnesota

7:35 PM
WASHINGTON vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Washington is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing at home against Washington
Atlanta is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games

8:10 PM
CHI WHITE SOX vs. HOUSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi White Sox's last 7 games when playing on the road against Houston
Chi White Sox are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

8:10 PM
CHI CUBS vs. MILWAUKEE
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 7 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Chi Cubs are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing Chi Cubs
Milwaukee is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games at home

10:10 PM
TEXAS vs. SEATTLE
Texas is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Seattle's last 15 games
Seattle is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

10:10 PM
COLORADO vs. SAN DIEGO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 6 games when playing on the road against San Diego
Colorado is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 6 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games at home

LA DODGERS @ PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone OVER in 16 of LA Dodgers's last 23 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of LA Dodgers's last 13 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers

CLEVELAND @ LA ANGELS
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games when playing Cleveland

TAMPA BAY @ BALTIMORE
Tampa Bay is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Baltimore's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 6 games at home

KANSAS CITY @ TORONTO
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Kansas City's last 9 games when playing Toronto
Kansas City is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Toronto
Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Kansas City
Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City

ST. LOUIS @ CINCINNATI
St. Louis is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Cincinnati
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Cincinnati is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home

MINNESOTA @ DETROIT
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Detroit's last 11 games at home

WASHINGTON @ ATLANTA
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Atlanta is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Atlanta's last 12 games when playing Washington

CHI WHITE SOX @ HOUSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi White Sox's last 7 games when playing on the road against Houston
Chi White Sox is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Houston
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

CHI CUBS @ MILWAUKEE
Chi Cubs is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games at home

COLORADO @ SAN DIEGO
Colorado is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing San Diego
Colorado is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 7 games

TEXAS @ SEATTLE
Texas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Texas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Seattle's last 8 games at home
Seattle is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Texas

MLB Top Trends

CHI WHITE SOX @ DETROIT
Play OVER DETROIT on the total in All games after 3 or more consecutive losses. The record is 30 Overs and 11 Unders for the last two seasons (+18.3 units)

CINCINNATI @ ST LOUIS
Play OVER CINCINNATI on the total in All games as a road underdog of +175 to +250. The record is 10 Overs and 1 Unders this season (+8.9 units)

ATLANTA @ WASHINGTON
Play OVER ATLANTA on the total in Road games when playing against a team with a winning record. The record is 23 Overs and 7 Unders this season (+15.2 units)

NY METS @ CHICAGO CUBS
Play OVER NY METS on the total in Road games in night games. The record is 34 Overs and 13 Unders this season (+19.85 units)

NY METS @ CHICAGO CUBS
Play OVER NY METS on the total in All games in night games. The record is 63 Overs and 29 Unders this season (+31.2 units)

HOUSTON @ LA ANGELS
Play OVER HOUSTON on the total in All games on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5. The record is 38 Overs and 15 Unders for the last two seasons (+21.95 units)

NY METS @ ATLANTA
Play OVER NY METS on the total in All games in night games. The record is 63 Overs and 29 Unders this season (+31.2 units)

NY METS @ ATLANTA
Play OVER NY METS on the total in Road games in night games. The record is 34 Overs and 13 Unders this season (+19.85 units)

ARIZONA @ SAN FRANCISCO
Play OVER ARIZONA on the total in All games when playing with a day off. The record is 22 Overs and 7 Unders for the last two seasons (+14.65 units)

ARIZONA @ SAN FRANCISCO
Play OVER ARIZONA on the total in All games when playing with a day off. The record is 12 Overs and 2 Unders this season (+9.95 units)

StatFox Super Situations

WASHINGTON at ATLANTA
Play Against - Home underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (ATLANTA) with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP >= 2.000 over his last 3 starts 82-29 over the last 5 seasons. ( 73.9% | 38.7 units ) 16-9 this year. ( 64.0% | 1.9 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends

CLEVELAND at LA ANGELS
LA ANGELS are 51-37 (+22.9 Units) against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season. The average score was: LA ANGELS (4.6) , OPPONENT (4.4)

MLB Betting Picks & Tips

Cleveland (-145) at Los Angeles; Total: 8.5
The Indians will send Danny Salazar to the mound for his first start since September 5 when he only lasted six batters and allowed four runs on one hit and two walks. He gave up six runs on 12 hits on August 20 and found himself back on the DL. Don’t expect Salazar to go more than three or four innings in this start. Terry Francona has been scripting the bullpen usage a little bit, so I would expect to see Zach McAllister today. Maybe Shawn Morimando gets into a game. Dan Otero is likely to pitch as well. The Indians won’t have Bryan Shaw, but will have Andrew Miller and Cody Allen if the game is close in the late innings.

You have to keep these things in mind at this stage of the year. As a result, in my estimation, this line is too high. The Indians will be looking to cobble something together for the series finale. They are only one game behind the Dodgers for the best record in baseball, so that is a motivating factor and a driving force at this point in time.

Parker Bridwell is a pretty clear regression candidate with a 3.71 ERA, a 4.56 FIP, and a 4.87 xFIP. Bridwell has worked 102 innings and his fly ball style has played up at Angel Stadium. This is a day game and the shadows can be very tricky for matinees in Anaheim. I wonder if the Indians will have some issues today. Bridwell doesn’t miss a lot of bats, but he does induce a fair amount of weak contact. A lot of people are banking on regression, but I’m not seeing as much of it as others. He’s given up some home runs, but he has a good walk rate and an extreme fly ball rate, so he could be pulling the Marco Estrada.

I’d gamble on the dog today with the Indians heading up to Seattle after this one, which is a favorite trip of a lot of the players per interviews and “Get to Know” segments on social media. They did their job in Anaheim.

Chicago (-135) at Milwaukee; Total: 8.5
Jake Arrieta and Zach Davies square off as a huge four-game weekend set gets underway between the Cubs and Brewers. The Brewers trail by 3.5 in the NL Central and by just one game in the Wild Card race. Arrieta has missed 17 days with a hamstring injury. He left his last start on September 4 after 2.1 innings of work. He allowed two home runs and three runs on four hits. With no place to get rehab work in, Arrieta has just been throwing sides and bullpens.

A lot of people probably haven’t noticed, me included, that Arrieta has allowed two earned runs or less in all but two of his starts dating back to the start of July. One of those was that last start when he was clearly hurt. Since July 2, Arrieta has a 2.01 ERA with a 3.77 FIP and a 4.20 xFIP. He’s only allowed seven home runs in that span. He’s living off of a .222 BABIP against and an 83.1 percent LOB%. If he didn’t have some recent examples of this type of good fortune in those two stats, I’d be more worried about regression. Also, if he was facing a better, more consistent lineup.

Speaking of regression, it found Zach Davies last time out. The Brewers right-hander had been in a nice, little groove, but he allowed six runs on eight hits in just four innings of work. Prior to that, Davies had two earned runs or less in nine of his previous 11 starts. Dating back to June 25, Davies has a 2.74 ERA with a 3.17 FIP and a 4.04 xFIP. He’s allowed just four home runs in his last 102 innings of work, which is basically all you need to have success in today’s offensive climate. Davies only has 66 strikeouts in that span, but he’s limited the long ball and has had positive outcomes as a result.

I’d be willing to take a stab on the underdog price because Arrieta is coming off of an extended layoff. He’s typically a pretty good command guy, so there aren’t a ton of worries, but I think you can start with a Milwaukee +125 position and look for a live spot if Arrieta does get nicked for a run or two in the early innings. If it’s more than that, you can just let the +125 ride.

Colorado (-125) at San Diego; Total: 8.5
A small card today with only three games of interest in my estimation. Tyler Anderson goes for the Rockies tonight against Clayton Richard for the Padres. Anderson has made two appearances for the Rockies in their push for the Wild Card. He worked four scoreless innings with just one hit allowed on September 11 and came back to throw six shutout against San Diego on September 16. Anderson has a 5.28 ERA with a 5.01 FIP and a 3.99 xFIP on the season. He has been limited to 73.1 innings due to injury. He missed time from May 30 to June 22 and then again from June 25 to September 11. He was one of last season’s biggest surprises and was expected to be a key cog in this Rockies rotation.

I’m not sure how to approach Anderson right now. I like what I’ve seen in his extended relief outing and this most recent start because he’s kept the ball on the ground and has shown really good command. That’s probably enough to lay the short price today against a bad San Diego team.

Clayton Richard just picked up a contract extension from the Padres. The left-hander has actually been decent this season in his 30 starts with a 4.82 ERA, a 4.32 FIP, and a 3.84 xFIP. Between the contract extension and the high workload, I’m looking to fade Richard today. He’s worked 185 innings this season. He only worked 277.2 innings across all levels from 2013-16 because of injuries. He has pitched well over his last several starts, but this can be a really precarious situation for a pitcher as he reaches new innings thresholds.

The Rockies are a mess right now and it wouldn’t surprise me if they lose, but I think there’s value in this short price.

MLB Umpire Assignment:

901 Los Angeles Dodgers
902 Philadelphia Phillies
Scott Barry 2017: 15-10, 12-12 o/u (2016: 12-13, 8-15 o/u)
Under is 10-4-2 in Barrys last 16 Phillies games behind home plate.
Over is 12-5-1 in Barrys last 18 Dodgers games behind home plate.

919 Cleveland Indians -140 Over 8½ +100
920 Los Angeles Angels +130 Under 8½ -120
Mark Ripperger 2017: 15-11, 11-14 o/u (2016: 10-21, 14-17 o/u)
Indians are 8-3 in their last 11 games with Ripperger behind home plate.

913 Kansas City Royals +143 Over 9 -105
914 Toronto Blue Jays -153 Under 9 -115
Ben May 2017: 9-10, 10-8 o/u (2016: 9-7, 7-6 o/u)
Road team is 4-1 in Mays last 5 games behind home plate.
Over is 7-3-2 in Mays last 12 games behind home plate.

903 St. Louis Cardinals -151 Over 8½ -125
904 Cincinnati Reds +141 Under 8½ +105
Brian Gorman 2017: 6-13, 13-6 o/u (2016: 9-10, 10-9 o/u)
Reds are 16-5 in their last 21 games with Gorman behind home plate.
Cardinals are 1-5 in their last 6 games with Gorman behind home plate.
Over is 6-2 in Gormans last 8 games behind home plate.

905 Washington Nationals -135 Over 9 -120
906 Atlanta Braves +125 Under 9 +100
Nic Lentz 2017: 10-14, 10-12 o/u (2016: 12-12, 11-12 o/u)
Road team is 4-0 in Lentzs last 4 games behind home plate.
Road team is 4-0 in Lentzs last 4 Nationals games behind home plate.

917 Chicago White Sox +290 Over 8½ -125
918 Houston Astros -320 Under 8½ +105
Sean Barber 2017: 8-6, 8-6 o/u (2016: 10-7, 7-10 o/u)
Road team is 4-1 in Barbers last 5 games behind home plate.
Over is 4-1 in Barbers last 5 Cubs games behind home plate.

921 Texas Rangers +143 Over 8½ +100
922 Seattle Mariners -153 Under 8½ -120
Will Little 2017: 10-14, 10-13 o/u (2016: 18-11, 12-14 o/u)
Road team is 13-3 in Littles last 16 games behind home plate.
Road team is 4-0 in Littles last 4 Mariners games behind home plate.

NFL Long Sheet:

LA RAMS (1 - 1) at SAN FRANCISCO (0 - 2) - 9/21/2017, 8:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA RAMS is 176-225 ATS (-71.5 Units) in all games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 176-225 ATS (-71.5 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 17-35 ATS (-21.5 Units) in a road game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points since 1992.
LA RAMS is 126-177 ATS (-68.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
LA RAMS is 137-177 ATS (-57.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
LA RAMS is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
LA RAMS is 34-53 ATS (-24.3 Units) in September games since 1992.
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 3-1 against the spread versus LA RAMS over the last 3 seasons
SAN FRANCISCO is 3-1 straight up against LA RAMS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

NFL Trend Report

9:25 PM
LOS ANGELES vs. SAN FRANCISCO
Los Angeles is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing San Francisco
Los Angeles is 4-13-1 SU in its last 18 games ,when playing San Francisco
San Francisco is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 18 of San Francisco's last 24 games at home

LA RAMS @ SAN FRANCISCO
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Rams's last 6 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Rams's last 5 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing at home against LA Rams
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing LA Rams

StatFox Super Situations

LA RAMS at SAN FRANCISCO
Play On - Any team (SAN FRANCISCO) after scoring 9 points or less in 2 straight games 34-11 over the last 10 seasons. ( 75.6% | 21.9 units )

Rams (1-1) @ 49ers (0-2) — SF didn’t score a TD (0 TD, 4 FGA on 23 drives) in first two games. Niners are 9-16 vs spread in last 25 home games; under is 23-10 in their last 33. LA split its first two home games, scoring 66 points, but defense allowed 229 rushing yards in loss to Washington LW. First road game for Rams, who are 2-6 in last eight games vs 49ers- they’re 1-7-1 in last nine visits to Bay Area. LA is 7-2-1 vs spread in last 10 road openers (2-0 when favored). Last four years, Rams are 10-15-1 vs spread on road- since 2011, they’re 1-4 as a road favorite. Under is 16-7-1 in LA’s road games the last three years. Rams’ OC LaFleur, 49ers’ DC Saleh were roommates as grad assistants at Central Michigan; LaFleur worked for coach Shanahan before lot of familiarity.

TNF - Rams at 49ers

L.A. Rams (-2.5, 39.5) at San Francisco
Despite being underdogs in both of last season's meetings, the 49ers managed to prevent the newly relocated Rams from picking up a win against them. Considering San Francisco won only two games last season, that doesn't say much for L.A.'s initial showing against its new in-state divisional rival.

The Niners still haven't beaten any team other than the Rams since Dec. 6, 2015, going 0-19 in that span while sporting a perfect 3-0 mark against the team that formerly resided in St. Louis. Carlos Hyde has three touchdowns in his last two games against them, which has to be music to first-year head coach Kyle Shanahan's ears since his team has yet to reach the end zone in losses to Carolina and Seattle.

L.A. may not be quite as talented on defense as those two recent Super Bowl teams, but does bring the game's most feared interior lineman Aaron Donald to the table in what will be his second game back following a training camp holdout that didn't end in time for him to participate in Week 1.

Despite his return last week, the Rams have allowed 295 yards to opposing running backs this season, which is worst in the league thus far in the early going. The 49ers will look to take advantage by feeding Hyde and utilizing accurate passes from Brian Hoyer to the likes of Pierre Garcon and rookie Trent Taylor while occasionally taking their deep shots to track star Marquise Goodwin. Thus far, the attack has produced four field goals, but Shanahan does have a strong track record in generating offense and has been working with new pieces nowhere near as efficient as what he worked with in Atlanta.

Sean McVay, in his first season with the Rams, has tasted immediate success. In this battle of the NFL's youngest head coaches, the 31-year-old McVay has a chance to get over on his 37-year-old friend Shanahan, who hired him to coach tight ends when he was the offensive coordinator in Washington earlier this decade. To do so, he must continue getting production from second-year QB Jared Goff, who currently ranks in the top 10 in the league in passing yards. It's too early to make a mountain out of his progression, but there's no question he's improved and will look to take a step forward on a national stage.

These teams don't have another primetime game scheduled for the rest of the season. Judging by the reaction to the prospect of having to watch this following last week's hideous Texans-Bengals game, that news will be well-received. Still, there will be reasons to watch. Beyond monitoring two teams counting on new leadership to produce improvement after what has been a dismal stretch for both, talented players like Donald, Hyde, Todd Gurley and young defensive players Trumaine Johnson, DeForest Buckner and Solomon Thomas get a chance to strut their stuff.

Gurley jumped over a 'Skins defender on his way to a touchdown last week and has been impressive thus far, both running it and serving as an option for Goff out of the backfield. He'll be worth tuning in for, but be sure to adjust your screen to shield your eyes from looking directly at the bright yellow "Color Rush" uniforms L.A. will wear. The 49ers will be draped in black. Here are more angles and nuggets to be aware of.

Los Angeles Rams
Season win total: 6 (Over +140, Under -160)
Odds to win NFC West:5/1 to 8/1
Odds to win NFC: 40/1 to 40/1
Odds to win Super Bowl: 80/1 to 80/1

San Francisco 49ers
Season win total: 5 (Over +100, Under -120)
Odds to win NFC West: 60/1 to 80/1
Odds to win NFC: 250/1 to 250/1
Odds to win Super Bowl: 500/1 to 500/1

LINE MOVEMENT
These teams remain the third and worst-ranked teams in the division in the latest WestgateLV odds update for the NFC West, but there's still a wide margin of expectation between the two.

The Rams were impressive enough in Week 1 in destroying the Colts to come way down to 5/1 to win the division (25/1 opening), but went back slightly the other direction after their comeback bid against Washington. The 49ers are now 80/1 after opening 40/1 to come out of the NFC West and have the worst odds of anyone in the NFC to win its conference or a championship. L.A.'s numbers didn't change on those due to the loss and are still slightly better than where they opened (50/1, 100/1).

As far as this matchup is concerned, the Rams were installed as a 2.5-point favorite when the Westgate's early numbers were announce and opened the week there too. It's barely budged and remains available there at most shops as of late Wednesday afternoon. The total opened at 40.5 or 41 and hasn't moved much, although it's now most widely available at 39.5.

Los Angeles opened as a -135 money line favorite, fluctuated slightly and is now closer to -140 (5/7) as kickoff approaches.

ODDSMAKER'S TAKE
Scott Cooley of Bookmaker.eu had a compelling opinion on Thursday night's total.

"We maybe should have opened lower than the key number, but we’re expecting to see over money by the squares at some point. The public usually doesn’t do much perception into totals, they just want to see points scored. But this number will probably continue to drop with smart money behind it."

INJURY CONCERNS
Trumaine Johnson, L.A.'s top corner and a budding star who won NFC Defensive Player of the Week honors for Week 1, is expected to play after cramping up late in Sunday's loss to Washington. Corner Troy Hill is coming off suspension, so the Rams will have better depth in their secondary even if corner Kayvon Webster can't participate due to a shoulder injury.

Tight end Gerald Everett, who has four catches on as many targets this season, is nursing a thigh issue and joins Webster and backup RB Malcolm Brown (hamstring) as questionable. There's concern Donald won't be sharp since he was a little rusty on Sunday and didn't participate in camp, so we'll see whether he's on a pitch count again due to the short week.

Another of San Francisco's young defensive gems, late first-round pick Ruben Foster out of Alabama, looked great before being sidelined by an ankle injury that has him ruled out for this one. Top safety Eric Reid (knee) will also miss the contest, which makes the availability of Jimmie Ward (hamstring) and Jaquiski Tartt (neck) important. Both are questionable, joining fellow 49ers Eli Harold (foot) and George Kittle (hip) in that status.

RECENT MEETINGS (San Francisco 6-2 SU, 6-2 ATS last eight; UNDER 5-3)
12/24/16 San Francisco 22-21 vs. L.A. Rams (SF +5.5, 39.5)
9/12/16 San Francisco 28-0 at L.A. Rams (SF +2.5, 43.5)
1/3/16 San Francisco 19-16 OT at St. Louis (SF +3, 39)
11/1/15 St. Louis 27-6 vs. San Francisco (STL -7.5, 40.5)
11/2/14 St. Louis 13-10 vs. San Francisco (STL +10.5, 44)
10/13/14 San Francisco 31-17 at St. Louis (SF -3, 44)
12/1/13 San Francisco 23-13 vs. St. Louis(SF -7.5, 41)
9/26/13 San Francisco 35-11 at St. Louis (SF -3.5, 43)

PROPS
Of the props available below at BetOnline.ag, I'd ride the OVER on the longest field goal made and like the value on backing no scoring in the first half's final two minutes.

Team to reach 10 points first: (Rams -130, 49ers +110)
Team to reach 10 points first: (Rams -140, 49ers +120)
First score: (Touchdown -130, FG/Safety +110)
Total FGs made by both teams: (3.5, Over -130, Under +110)
Longest FG made: (46, Over -125/Under +105)
Total sacks by both ts combined: (4.5 Over -120, Under +100)
Will there be a score in final 2 minutes of 1st half: (Yes -200, No +170)
Will there be a defensive or special teams TD?: (Yes +110, No -130)
Will there be a TD of 38 yards or more?: (Yes -110, No -110)
Will there be a 1-yard TD?: (Yes +180, No -220)
Will there be overtime: (Yes +700, No -1000)
Will there be 3 straight scores by either team: (Yes -135, No +125)

RAMS AS A ROAD FAVORITE
L.A. is in an opposing stadium for the first time in 2017 and were only in this spot twice last season. The first, last year's 28-0 season-opening debacle, put Jeff Fisher's tenure in jeopardy immediately since his team was slightly favored. The most recent occasion saw the Rams cover, beating the Jets 9-6 as a 1.5-point chalk. Hopefully this one isn't that low-scoring.

49ERS AS A HOME UNDERDOG
This is a role San Francisco has grown quite accustomed to at Levi's Stadium, opening the season with a 23-3 loss to the Panthers. They went 1-5 staright up, beating the Rams, but did cover one other time, losing just 25-23 in finale against Seattle.

NEXT WEEK'S NUMBERS POSTED
The Westgate opens its advance lines for the following week on Tuesdays and Week 4 unsurprisingly sees both teams in road underdog roles. The Rams as an 8.5-point 'dog against the Cowboys in Arlington. The 49ers are a 7-point underdog at Arizona.

Thursday's NFL Best Bet

L.A. Rams vs. San Francisco 49ers

Odds: L.A. Rams (-2.5) vs. San Francisco (+2.5); Total 39.5

Week 3 begins with a NFC West showdown that too many NFL fans around the country who aren't fans of the Rams or 49ers can't be thrilled about. L.A. and San Francisco have been two of the worst teams in the league the past few years, and given the reputation TNF games have gained for being bad, sloppy games as guys play on a short week, putting these two organizations in primetime on TNF could be setting them up to fail.

Yet, someone's got to win this game and while interest from the general fan may be low, NFL bettors everywhere will be looking to get some piece of action down regardless. So far this year we've seen the road team go 2-0 SU and ATS on Thursday nights, and both times they were significant underdogs. This game sees the home side from San Francisco catching points, so will L.A. keep the trend of road teams winning alive, or will San Francisco hold fort for the underdogs?

Right off the bat there will be totals bettors who notice that this is going to be the second straight week of a sub-40 total for TNF. Last week's Houston/Cincinnati game never came close to threatening their 38 mark, and with the San Francisco 49ers one of two teams (along with those Cincinnati Bengals) yet to score a touchdown in 2017, it's no surprise to see much of the early action on this total come in on the low side.

San Francisco won't be held of the endzone forever though with new HC Kyle Shanahan at the helm, and facing a Rams team that is by no means a powerhouse on defense could be just what San Francisco's offense needs to get going.

But with road teams 2-0 SUATS on TNF this year, I'm focusing on the side for this game as there is a bit more value (and less guesswork). Trusting both teams to put up around 20+ points each is going to be tough, considering the 49ers offense hasn't scored a TD yet, and their defense has looked quite good in holding offenses from Carolina and Seattle in check the first two weeks.

It's that 49ers defense who I believe can have some significant success against this Rams team who've done quite well offensively through two weeks. Putting up 40+ on Indy in Week 1 was impressive, as was the 20 they scored last week vs. Washington, but both of those games were at home. This is L.A.'s first venture out on the road this year and this San Francisco defense didn't exactly treat this Rams offense kindly in two meetings a year ago.

The 49ers won 28-0 in Week 1 at home with Case Keenum starting for L.A., and the rematch on Christmas Eve in L.A. finished with a 22-21 win by San Francisco when Goff was under center for the Rams.

In the first meeting this 49ers team completely shut down RB Todd Gurley (47 rush yards on 17 attempts) and the second game saw Goff do next to nothing as he went 11-for-24 for 90 yards with 1 TD (3-yard pass) and 2 INT's. Gurley was held to just 67 yards on the ground in 23 attempts that game, and it it weren't for two San Francisco turnovers that directly lead to Rams TD's, L.A. would have been lucky to break 10 points.

That same 49ers defense has played well in 2017, and now it's time for their offense to step up. L.A.'s own defensive unit caught a break in Week 1 facing Scott Tolzien for the Colts, but showed more of their true colors in Week 2 when Kirk Cousins and the Redskins hung 27 on them. San Francisco's offense isn't as good or as explosive as Washington's, but QB Brian Hoyer is a vet in this league and should find much more success against L.A..

After all, part of the reason San Francisco has yet to find the endzone in 2017 is the fact that they faced Carolina and Seattle's defense right out of the gate, and L.A.'s defense is miles behind those two squads in terms of talent and efficiency on that side of the ball.

VegasInsider.com's betting percentage numbers show nearly 70% of the spread bets and just over 80% of the ML bets coming the Rams way as there is little question they've produced better results through two weeks.

But as an organization (in St Louis and L.A.), the Rams are 1-14 SU and 3-12 ATS the past 15 years in their first road game of the year, and dating back to last season they are on a 1-8 ATS run overall, including a 1-6 ATS run when coming off a SU loss. Those aren't the kind of numbers I'd want to see when considering joining the masses in backing the Rams.

Meanwhile, San Francisco is 4-0 ATS in their last four divisional games, the underdog is 4-1 ATS the last five times these two teams have met, and the 49ers are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games with the Rams. At the moment there aren't many bettors who want to trust the 49ers in this game, but I believe they snap that TNF trend of road teams winning outright and give HC Kyle Shanahan is first NFL SU victory as an NFL head coach.

Best Bet: San Francisco +2

Thursday Night Football Betting Preview: Rams at 49ers

Los Angeles Rams at San Francisco 49ers (+2, 39.5)
A pair of rookie head coaches will square off for the first time when the San Francisco 49ers host the Los Angeles Rams on Thursday night in a matchup of longtime NFC West rivals. San Francisco has yet to find the end zone through its first two games, but has won three in a row in the series, including a season sweep against the Rams in 2016.

Although the 49ers acquitted themselves well in a three-point loss at Seattle last week, they have been limited to four field goals under coach Kyle Shanahan, marking the first time in franchise history they haven't scored a touchdown in the opening two games. "I don't think there are any moral victories in the NFL, especially with the way I played," San Francisco quarterback Brian Hoyer said in the wake of the 12-9 defeat to the Seahawks. The Rams were denied a possible 2-0 start under coach Sean McVay after surrendering a late touchdown in a 27-20 setback to the Washington Redskins on Sunday. Los Angeles had the second-worst passing game in the league last season -- behind only San Francisco -- and averaged an NFL-low 14.0 points, but it has amassed 86 points during its 1-1 start.

POWER RANKINGS: Rams (+6.5) - 49ers (+7) + home field (-3) = 49ers -2.5

LINE HISTORY:
The Rams opened the week as 2.5-point road favorites but by Wednesday morning that number was down to 2. The total hit the betting boards at 42 and has been bet all of the way down to 39.5. View the complete line history here.

INJURY REPORT:

Rams
RB M. Brown (Questionable, Hamstring), TE G. Everett (Questionable, Thigh), CB K. Webster (Questionable, Shoulder), CB T. Johnson (Questionable, Leg), WR M. Thomas (Out, Suspension), TE T. Hemingway (I-R, Shin), RB L. Dunbar (Out, Knee), WR B. Marquez (I-R, Knee), DT D. Easley (I-R, Knee).

49ers
TE G. Kittle (Questionable, Hip), J. Tartt (Questionable, Neck), DB J. Ward (Questionable, Hamstring), S E. Reid (Out, Knee), LB R. Foster (Out, Ankle), G J. Garnett (I-R, Knee), DB D. Jones (I-R, Knee), RB J. Williams (I-R, Ankle), DL R. Blair III (I-R, Thumb), WR A. Burbridge (I-R, Hamstring), DL C. Jones (I-R, Undisclosed), LB D. Newsom (I-R, Concussion), S C. James (I-R, Knee), LB M. Smith (I-R, Pectoral), LB J. Gilbert (I-R, Knee), WR B. Johnson III (I-R, Hamstring).

ABOUT THE RAMS (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS, 2-0 O/U):
The semblance of a passing game has provided a boost for third-year back Todd Gurley, who along with Kansas City rookie Kareem Hunt are the only players to amass more than 100 yards rushing and 100 yards receiving. Quarterback Jared Goff, the No. 1 overall pick a year ago, was not as sharp as his performance in the season opener but did rally Los Angeles from a pair of double-digit deficits to forge a fourth-quarter tie on Sunday. Sammy Watkins and rookie Cooper Kupp each have seven catches through the first two games to tie for the team lead. Stud defensive tackle Aaron Donald had a quiet debut after returning from a contract dispute but vowed to be better against San Francisco.

ABOUT THE 49ers (0-2 SU, 1-1 ATS, 0-2 O/U):
Running back Carlos Hyde is coming off a huge game in Seattle, rushing for 124 yards on only 15 carries while ripping off runs of 61 and 27 yards. Given the state of San Francisco's passing game, expect Shanahan to lean heavily on Hyde, who rambled for 88 yards and a pair of touchdowns to carry the 49ers to a 28-0 rout of the Rams in the 2016 season opener. Journeyman Hoyer, playing with his fourth different team in four seasons, needs to rebound from a wretched performance in Seattle when he managed only 99 yards and an interception on 15-of-27 passing. Wideout Pierre Garcon has a team-leading nine receptions, but the 49ers are dealing with myriad injuries in their defensive backfield.

TRENDS:
* Rams are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
* 49ers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games.
* Over is 4-0 in Rams last 4 games overall.
* Under is 21-8 in 49ers last 29 home games.
* Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in San Francisco.

CONSENSUS:
The public is siding with the road favorite Rams at a rate of 73 percent and the Under is picking up 66 percent of the totals action.

CFB

TEMPLE (2 - 1) at S FLORIDA (3 - 0) - 9/21/2017, 7:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.
S FLORIDA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
S FLORIDA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
S FLORIDA is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
TEMPLE is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points since 1992.
TEMPLE is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
TEMPLE is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
TEMPLE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
TEMPLE is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TEMPLE is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
S FLORIDA is 1-1 against the spread versus TEMPLE over the last 3 seasons
S FLORIDA is 1-1 straight up against TEMPLE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


TEMPLE vs. SOUTH FLORIDA
Temple is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Temple is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
South Florida is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
South Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home


TEMPLE @ SOUTH FLORIDA
Temple is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
Temple is 12-4 ATS in its last 16 games
South Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
South Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games