You are using an out of date browser. It may not display this or other websites correctly.
You should upgrade or use an alternative browser.
You should upgrade or use an alternative browser.
Monday 9/25/17 ... Comps / Bonus Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
- Thread starter Pesos
- Start date
Soccer
England - Premier League
3pm ET
Arsenal v West Bromwich
Referee: Robert Madley
Last Head-To-Heads at Arsenal:
1-0 (Arsenal win)
2-0 (Arsenal win)
4-1 (Arsenal win)
1-0 (Arsenal win)
Recent Form:
Arsenal 3-2-1
West Brom: 2-2-2
KEY STAT: Four of the last five home meetings ended 1-0 or 2-0
EXPERT VERDICT: After a couple of tough games against Cologne and Chelsea last week Arsenal will be nicely rested for this Monday clash and should gain a workmanlike victory. West Brom have managed just four goals in five league games and this is a chance for the Gunners to steady their defence.
RECOMMENDATION: Arsenal & Under 3.5 Goals (2)
England - Premier League
3pm ET
Arsenal v West Bromwich
Referee: Robert Madley
Last Head-To-Heads at Arsenal:
1-0 (Arsenal win)
2-0 (Arsenal win)
4-1 (Arsenal win)
1-0 (Arsenal win)
Recent Form:
Arsenal 3-2-1
West Brom: 2-2-2
KEY STAT: Four of the last five home meetings ended 1-0 or 2-0
EXPERT VERDICT: After a couple of tough games against Cologne and Chelsea last week Arsenal will be nicely rested for this Monday clash and should gain a workmanlike victory. West Brom have managed just four goals in five league games and this is a chance for the Gunners to steady their defence.
RECOMMENDATION: Arsenal & Under 3.5 Goals (2)
The Walker Group at Ajax Downs
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 5 - Maiden - 400y on the Dirt. Purse: $14400 Class Rating: 60
QUARTER HORSE 400Y, FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 4 FAMOUS MISCHIEF 8/1
# 8 EYE GOT YER BACK 3/1
# 2 DASH TO MIAMI 7/1
I give my vote to FAMOUS MISCHIEF in this race especially at a long price. Lately Watson has provided risk takers with a decent winning percentage with horses moving in short races. Must be carefully examined for this event if only for the solid speed figure recorded in the last outing. Must be given a shot given the class of races run recently. EYE GOT YER BACK - Overall the speed figs of this horse look respectable in this contest. Looks very good against this group and will almost certainly be one of the early speedsters. DASH TO MIAMI - Change in Lasix (on Lasix) may be the difference to a turnaround. Peltier has him trained very well to break quickly out of the gate.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 5 - Maiden - 400y on the Dirt. Purse: $14400 Class Rating: 60
QUARTER HORSE 400Y, FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 4 FAMOUS MISCHIEF 8/1
# 8 EYE GOT YER BACK 3/1
# 2 DASH TO MIAMI 7/1
I give my vote to FAMOUS MISCHIEF in this race especially at a long price. Lately Watson has provided risk takers with a decent winning percentage with horses moving in short races. Must be carefully examined for this event if only for the solid speed figure recorded in the last outing. Must be given a shot given the class of races run recently. EYE GOT YER BACK - Overall the speed figs of this horse look respectable in this contest. Looks very good against this group and will almost certainly be one of the early speedsters. DASH TO MIAMI - Change in Lasix (on Lasix) may be the difference to a turnaround. Peltier has him trained very well to break quickly out of the gate.
The Walker Group at Louisiana Downs
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight - 5.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $18000 Class Rating: 60
FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 2 MISTER ANDER 5/1
# 4 SINGING DEACON 5/2
# 5 VALID ARGUMENT 7/2
MISTER ANDER appears to be the wager in here. Smith will probably be able to get this colt to break out early in this event. Have to look at solely on class, with some of the most competitive class figures of this field. SINGING DEACON - Exhibits the look of a money-making play, averaging a solid 50 speed rating which is one of the best in this field. Make a note that this entrant runs with second time Lasix today. VALID ARGUMENT - Ought to be considered as he drops to compete against this less demanding field of horses. The average class fig of 50 makes this horse difficult to beat.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight - 5.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $18000 Class Rating: 60
FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 2 MISTER ANDER 5/1
# 4 SINGING DEACON 5/2
# 5 VALID ARGUMENT 7/2
MISTER ANDER appears to be the wager in here. Smith will probably be able to get this colt to break out early in this event. Have to look at solely on class, with some of the most competitive class figures of this field. SINGING DEACON - Exhibits the look of a money-making play, averaging a solid 50 speed rating which is one of the best in this field. Make a note that this entrant runs with second time Lasix today. VALID ARGUMENT - Ought to be considered as he drops to compete against this less demanding field of horses. The average class fig of 50 makes this horse difficult to beat.
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Mountaineer Park
Mountaineer Park - Race 3
$1 Pick 3 (Races 3-4-5) $2 Trifecta $2 Exacta $1 Trifecta Box $1 Exacta Box ($.50) Superfecta
Maiden Special • 1 Mile 70 yards • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 57 • Purse: $14,100 • Post: 7:44P
FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. (IF NECESSARY WILL BE RUN SAME DISTANCE MAIN TRACK.).
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Dominant Stalker. SHACK AMORE is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * SHACK AMORE: Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. GOLDHUNT: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surfac e.
3
SHACK AMORE
2/1
5/2
2
GOLDHUNT
4/1
6/1
Mountaineer Park - Race 3
$1 Pick 3 (Races 3-4-5) $2 Trifecta $2 Exacta $1 Trifecta Box $1 Exacta Box ($.50) Superfecta
Maiden Special • 1 Mile 70 yards • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 57 • Purse: $14,100 • Post: 7:44P
FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. (IF NECESSARY WILL BE RUN SAME DISTANCE MAIN TRACK.).
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Dominant Stalker. SHACK AMORE is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * SHACK AMORE: Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. GOLDHUNT: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surfac e.
3
SHACK AMORE
2/1
5/2
2
GOLDHUNT
4/1
6/1
The Turf Club Analysts
Bar
Presque Isle Downs - Race #1 - Post: 5:25pm - Allowance - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $28,000 Class Rating: 84
Rating: 3
#1 SOLITARY JACK (ML=4/1)
#2 RED CAT (CHI) (ML=5/2)
SOLITARY JACK - A pony coming back this rapidly after a sharp effort is a good sign. This horse is uppermost in earnings per race. He looks good in today's race. RED CAT (CHI) - Have to give this gelding a good shot. Ran a solid outing in the last race within the last 30 days. A repeat of that last performance on September 12th where he registered a speed rating of 85 looks high enough to prove victorious in this race.
Vulnerable Contenders: #5 BLUE MOON DIAMOND (ML=3/1), #4 AT LEAST (ML=7/2), #6 EXCELISBERG (ML=9/2),
BLUE MOON DIAMOND - Usually I need a sprinter to have some recent success in short distance affairs in order to bet on him. The speed rating in the last race doesn't fit very well in this event when I look at the class rating of today's race. Mark this horse as a questionable challenger. AT LEAST - Don't feel this horse will make a winning move in today's race. That last speed figure was run-of-the-mill when compared with today's Equibase class figure. EXCELISBERG - Didn't show much last time out. Probably won't make an impact in today's event.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Put your money on #1 SOLITARY JACK on the nose if you can get odds of 3/1 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,2]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
Bar
Presque Isle Downs - Race #1 - Post: 5:25pm - Allowance - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $28,000 Class Rating: 84
Rating: 3
#1 SOLITARY JACK (ML=4/1)
#2 RED CAT (CHI) (ML=5/2)
SOLITARY JACK - A pony coming back this rapidly after a sharp effort is a good sign. This horse is uppermost in earnings per race. He looks good in today's race. RED CAT (CHI) - Have to give this gelding a good shot. Ran a solid outing in the last race within the last 30 days. A repeat of that last performance on September 12th where he registered a speed rating of 85 looks high enough to prove victorious in this race.
Vulnerable Contenders: #5 BLUE MOON DIAMOND (ML=3/1), #4 AT LEAST (ML=7/2), #6 EXCELISBERG (ML=9/2),
BLUE MOON DIAMOND - Usually I need a sprinter to have some recent success in short distance affairs in order to bet on him. The speed rating in the last race doesn't fit very well in this event when I look at the class rating of today's race. Mark this horse as a questionable challenger. AT LEAST - Don't feel this horse will make a winning move in today's race. That last speed figure was run-of-the-mill when compared with today's Equibase class figure. EXCELISBERG - Didn't show much last time out. Probably won't make an impact in today's event.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Put your money on #1 SOLITARY JACK on the nose if you can get odds of 3/1 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,2]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Parx Racing
Parx Racing - Race 2
Second Half Daily Double / Pick 3 (Races 2-3-4) Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta
Claiming $12,500 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 70 • Purse: $22,000 • Post: 1:22P
(PLUS UP TO 40% PABF) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 25 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Lone Stalker. LUCY IN DISGUISE is the Lone Stalker of the race, but has been deemed a non-contender due to a low Platinum Figure or other overall low ratings. * KEY ANGLES * POPPY'S SHADOW: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Po wer Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. CHARLYBROWN'S ROSE: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Today is a sprint and the hor se's last start was within the last ten days. MI GAL FREN: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
2
POPPY'S SHADOW
5/1
7/2
5
CHARLYBROWN'S ROSE
8/1
6/1
4
MI GAL FREN
15/1
7/1
Parx Racing - Race 2
Second Half Daily Double / Pick 3 (Races 2-3-4) Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta
Claiming $12,500 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 70 • Purse: $22,000 • Post: 1:22P
(PLUS UP TO 40% PABF) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 25 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Lone Stalker. LUCY IN DISGUISE is the Lone Stalker of the race, but has been deemed a non-contender due to a low Platinum Figure or other overall low ratings. * KEY ANGLES * POPPY'S SHADOW: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Po wer Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. CHARLYBROWN'S ROSE: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Today is a sprint and the hor se's last start was within the last ten days. MI GAL FREN: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
2
POPPY'S SHADOW
5/1
7/2
5
CHARLYBROWN'S ROSE
8/1
6/1
4
MI GAL FREN
15/1
7/1
The Turf Club Analysts
Bar
Thistledown - Race #5 - Post: 3:40pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $9,500 Class Rating: 58
Rating: 4
#5 MIND YOUR MANNERS (ML=6/1)
MIND YOUR MANNERS - This rider and trainer have a high win percent together. You don't need to look any further. This pony has my money. Way too much pace. Gelding has shown some pace. This shorter distance should be better for him.
Vulnerable Contenders: #6 UNITED OCALA (ML=3/1), #1 SIN PROBLEMA (ML=4/1), #2 SHOO FLY (ML=9/2),
UNITED OCALA - Hasn't been on the Thistledown oval in the last few weeks. Cause for some concern. Hasn't been getting close at all recently. SIN PROBLEMA - Awfully hard to bet on this entrant when he hasn't been showing any signs of readiness of late. SHOO FLY - You figure that this horse is going to win today just because he's always close. Just doesn't finish on top frequently. This runner ran a quite unimpressive speed fig last out. He shouldn't run much better and will likely suffer defeat today running that figure.
Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - MIND YOUR MANNERS - Consider this. Finished ninth in the slop last time out. With better footing today, I'd expect a 25, possibly 30 percent improvement in form.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Play #5 MIND YOUR MANNERS to win if you can get odds of 1/1 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:
5 with 7
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
Bar
Thistledown - Race #5 - Post: 3:40pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $9,500 Class Rating: 58
Rating: 4
#5 MIND YOUR MANNERS (ML=6/1)
MIND YOUR MANNERS - This rider and trainer have a high win percent together. You don't need to look any further. This pony has my money. Way too much pace. Gelding has shown some pace. This shorter distance should be better for him.
Vulnerable Contenders: #6 UNITED OCALA (ML=3/1), #1 SIN PROBLEMA (ML=4/1), #2 SHOO FLY (ML=9/2),
UNITED OCALA - Hasn't been on the Thistledown oval in the last few weeks. Cause for some concern. Hasn't been getting close at all recently. SIN PROBLEMA - Awfully hard to bet on this entrant when he hasn't been showing any signs of readiness of late. SHOO FLY - You figure that this horse is going to win today just because he's always close. Just doesn't finish on top frequently. This runner ran a quite unimpressive speed fig last out. He shouldn't run much better and will likely suffer defeat today running that figure.
Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - MIND YOUR MANNERS - Consider this. Finished ninth in the slop last time out. With better footing today, I'd expect a 25, possibly 30 percent improvement in form.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Play #5 MIND YOUR MANNERS to win if you can get odds of 1/1 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:
5 with 7
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
Valuline at Zia Park
Today's Most Likely Winner Is at:
Zia Park, Race 8 (Monday September 25, 2017)
EXPECT A STORM
(For ten of today's most likely winners, see Exotic Key Plays.)
ZIA-8 6.5f DIRT Ten Horses
"A" ALW 3YUP $28,500
P# dd ex p3 p4 t s ML WP TVL
6 EXPECT A STORM 8/5 38% 8/5 Strong Favorite icon
2 DOM STRAIT 9/2 14% 6/1
7 CASABLANCA HOT 20/1 13% 7/1
Today's Most Likely Winner Is at:
Zia Park, Race 8 (Monday September 25, 2017)
EXPECT A STORM
(For ten of today's most likely winners, see Exotic Key Plays.)
ZIA-8 6.5f DIRT Ten Horses
"A" ALW 3YUP $28,500
P# dd ex p3 p4 t s ML WP TVL
6 EXPECT A STORM 8/5 38% 8/5 Strong Favorite icon
2 DOM STRAIT 9/2 14% 6/1
7 CASABLANCA HOT 20/1 13% 7/1
