Week 3 NFL Fishy Lines

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Aug 11, 2008
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108
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Denver -3 /Buffalo
Balt -3.5 /Jax
KC -3 /S.D.
Oak -3 /Wash

All seem "too easy"
 

Member
Handicapper
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Sep 6, 2015
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Den -2.5
Bal -3.5
KC -3

Strong 2-0 teams on the road vs inferior opponents.

Looks too easy. Must be some road/letdown data Vegas leaning on
 

Dain Bramaged
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Mar 21, 2008
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dont forget look ahead...

Den has Oakland
Balt has Pitt

KC seems about right, Bolts in their new digs lookin for a W. DIV GM HT gettin 3
 

Dice, Sports & Cocktails
Joined
Mar 19, 2008
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Ah week 3 - the public is starting to think they have the teams figured out ....here's a nice stat over the last 6 years Favs getting > 70% of the action are 11-3-18 in week 3.

KC line stinks to high heaven,
they open at -2.5
that line is 3 to 4 lower than my 2 PR.
Public perception very high on KC - 2 nice wins
Public perception is very low on Chargers - 2 bad beats
KC at 81% Public backing


GM 2 - At first I thought Oakland would be a good fade this week .... with Denver on tap.

But I think it is the opposite Denver is the trap game
Denver's first road game they open -2
My PR had them 3-4 points higher
Public perception high on Denver after 2 big wins
Not sure how good the Bills defense is but Seimian will be a different guy on the ROAD
Denver at 85% Public backing
* denver just seems a bit too easy at only a FG now



gl guys
 

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Jul 27, 2010
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Ah week 3 - the public is starting to think they have the teams figured out ....here's a nice stat over the last 6 years Favs getting > 70% of the action are 11-3-18 in week 3.

KC line stinks to high heaven,
they open at -2.5
that line is 3 to 4 lower than my 2 PR.
Public perception very high on KC - 2 nice wins
Public perception is very low on Chargers - 2 bad beats
KC at 81% Public backing


GM 2 - At first I thought Oakland would be a good fade this week .... with Denver on tap.

But I think it is the opposite Denver is the trap game
Denver's first road game they open -2
My PR had them 3-4 points higher
Public perception high on Denver after 2 big wins
Not sure how good the Bills defense is but Seimian will be a different guy on the ROAD
Denver at 85% Public backing
* denver just seems a bit too easy at only a FG now



gl guys
11-3-18...?? 18 pushes?? is that straight up or ATS..??just trying to figure that out... thanks
 

Dice, Sports & Cocktails
Joined
Mar 19, 2008
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11-3-18...?? 18 pushes?? is that straight up or ATS..??just trying to figure that out... thanks


Sorry should have clarified 11 fav wins ats, 3 dog covers but favs win Su and 18 Dogs win SU ....LOL hope that helps
 

New member
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Sep 21, 2004
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Strangest lines? Den - 3 seems like the book is begging for Denver action. I lean Buffalo. Dallas - 3 seems that way too, given that Zona barely kept pace with Indy.

I do like betting on 0-2 teams in week 3. Looking pretty hard at NYJ, NYG, NO.
 

Balls Deep
Handicapper
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Sep 26, 2012
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Agree on DEN. They have best home field adv in NFL. Now they travel with look ahead game. They wont be able to run on BUF like they have in their first two games. BUF defence will be a bigger test.
 
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the biggest sucker bet this WEEK is Denver @ Buffalo

Play Buffalo


TimeTeamsATSMoneylineTotal
(EDT) PicksPercentagePicksPercentagePicksPercentage
Thursday, September 21, 2017
8:25pm
odds
(301) Los Angeles Rams
(302) San Francisco 49ers
3718
1620
graph_away.gif
70%
graph_home.gif
30%
1063
1002
graph_away.gif
51%
graph_home.gif
49%
O 2028
U 2061
graph_away.gif
50%
graph_home.gif
50%
Sunday, September 24, 2017
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1:00pm
odds
(469) Denver Broncos
(470) Buffalo Bills
3188
673
graph_away.gif
83%
graph_home.gif
17%
1123
286
graph_away.gif
80%
graph_home.gif
20%
O 1425
U 1428
graph_away.gif
50%
graph_home.gif
50%
1:00pm
odds
(471) Houston Texans
(472) New England Patriots
391
1631
graph_away.gif
19%
graph_home.gif
81%
307
438
graph_away.gif
41%
graph_home.gif
59%
O 355
U 343
graph_away.gif
51%
graph_home.gif
49%
1:00pm
odds
(465) Pittsburgh Steelers
(466) Chicago Bears
1476
373
graph_away.gif
80%
graph_home.gif
20%
578
98
graph_away.gif
86%
graph_home.gif
14%
O 655
U 652
graph_away.gif
50%
graph_home.gif
50%
4:25pm
odds
(485) Cincinnati Bengals
(486) Green Bay Packers
265
1072
graph_away.gif
20%
graph_home.gif
80%
118
375
graph_away.gif
24%
graph_home.gif
76%
O 381
U 380
graph_away.gif
50%
graph_home.gif
50%
4:25pm
odds
(483) Kansas City Chiefs
(484) Los Angeles Chargers
2173
542
graph_away.gif
80%
graph_home.gif
20%
748
237
graph_away.gif
76%
graph_home.gif
24%
O 179
U 172
graph_away.gif
51%
graph_home.gif
49%
1:00pm
odds
(475) Tampa Bay Buccaneers
(476) Minnesota Vikings
83
28
graph_away.gif
75%
graph_home.gif
25%
8:30pm
odds
(487) Oakland Raiders
(488) Washington Redskins
1944
636
graph_away.gif
75%
graph_home.gif
25%
563
388
graph_away.gif
59%
graph_home.gif
41%
O 426
U 426
graph_away.gif
50%
graph_home.gif
50%
1:00pm
odds
(477) Atlanta Falcons
(478) Detroit Lions
747
289
graph_away.gif
72%
graph_home.gif
28%
132
227
graph_away.gif
37%
graph_home.gif
63%
O 47
U 31
graph_away.gif
60%
graph_home.gif
40%
9:30am
odds
(461) Baltimore Ravens
(462) Jacksonville Jaguars
1758
778
graph_away.gif
69%
graph_home.gif
31%
554
385
graph_away.gif
59%
graph_home.gif
41%
O 809
U 821
graph_away.gif
50%
graph_home.gif
50%
1:00pm
odds
(467) Miami Dolphins
(468) New York Jets
962
460
graph_away.gif
68%
graph_home.gif
32%
356
131
graph_away.gif
73%
graph_home.gif
27%
O 214
U 217
graph_away.gif
50%
graph_home.gif
50%
1:00pm
odds
(473) New Orleans Saints
(474) Carolina Panthers
693
381
graph_away.gif
65%
graph_home.gif
35%
322
75
graph_away.gif
81%
graph_home.gif
19%
O 358
U 362
graph_away.gif
50%
graph_home.gif
50%
1:00pm
odds
(479) New York Giants
(480) Philadelphia Eagles
383
641
graph_away.gif
37%
graph_home.gif
63%
141
210
graph_away.gif
40%
graph_home.gif
60%
O 325
U 330
graph_away.gif
50%
graph_home.gif
50%
1:00pm
odds
(463) Cleveland Browns
(464) Indianapolis Colts
489
796
graph_away.gif
38%
graph_home.gif
62%
223
195
graph_away.gif
53%
graph_home.gif
47%
O 369
U 376
graph_away.gif
50%
graph_home.gif
50%
4:05pm
odds
(481) Seattle Seahawks
(482) Tennessee Titans
966
823
graph_away.gif
54%
graph_home.gif
46%
400
260
graph_away.gif
61%
graph_home.gif
39%
O 778
U 781
graph_away.gif
50%
graph_home.gif
50%
Monday, September 25, 2017
8:30pm
odds
(489) Dallas Cowboys
(490) Arizona Cardinals
1152
440
graph_away.gif
72%
graph_home.gif
28%
322
262
graph_away.gif
55%
graph_home.gif
45%
O 602
U 603
graph_away.gif
50%
graph_home.gif
50%
 

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