September 24th Games Analysis

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September 24th GAMES ANALYSIS

Detroit Tigers - Minnesota Twins
Farmer vs Berrios


Minnesota won 3 straight games of the 4-games series.
The Twins are 5.5 games behind the Yankees and 4.5 ahead forn the Wild Card spot when only 7 games are left. The very only thing that the Tigers are looking for is to be done with this season, but still they play a Sunday home game and I assume they gonna try to avoid to get swept by the Twins, that after winning the three games they have almost achieved the Wild Card spot.
I wouldn't bet a team like the Tigers with no motivation whatsoever against a stronger team like the Twins, but also lay -170 the Twins on away game after winning the first 3 games doesn't sound like a great investment.

Toronto Blue Jays - New York Yankees
Stroman vs Garcia


The Yankees clinched yesterday the WC spot.
New York is 5.5 games ahead of the Twins and 4 games behind the Red Sox.
Only 7 games left and in my opinion the next 7 games for the Yankees are just routine games.
The Blue Jays are done with the season, they are trying out a couple of new players/prospects, just looking to the next season.
The Blue Jays are well favorite cause of Stroman vs Garcia, playing home Sunday game they might try to put some effort on it, but still you would be betting your money on a team that is really playing for nothing.
Like I said the Yankees are close to be done and get ready for the Playoffs...
Don't like Garcia and the line is what it is.

Cincinnati Reds - Boston Red Sox
Stephens vs Fister


Cincinnati lost 5 straight games, last two against the Reds and they are another team looking to the next season.
The Red Sox are 4 games ahead of the Yankees and their regular season is close to be done, getting the energy and shape for the playoffs.
You could expect the Reds putting an effort on this one to end the losing streak and avoid getting swept by the Red Sox, but the bet wouldn't make much sense anyways.
Don't like much Fister and wouldn't lay on him on away game after winning the first two of the 3-games series.

New York Mets - Washington Nationals
deGrom vs Scherzer

Nationals are 4 games behind the Dodgers and I believe in the last 7 games not much will change.
Scherzer is no doubt TOP 3 of the league, Nationals are obviously way better than the Mets, but still you gotta respect deGrom pitching at home.
The line is right, I wouldn't lay juice in away against deGrom, on the other hand it's not really easy to take in consideration going for a team like the Mets vs Washington and Scherzer.

Atlanta Braves - Philadelphia Phillies
Don't even consider this game as both teams have a losing record and no Playoffs chances, anything can happen.

Baltimore Orioles - Tampa Bay Rays
Bundy vs Archer


Rays are 5 games behind the WC and have plenty of teams ahead of them, their season is likely done like for the Orioles.

Pittsburgh Steelers - St. Louis Cardinals
Taillon vs Gant


First major league start for Gant on a crucial game for the Cardinals after losing badly yesterday.
Taillon struggled at home this season, but he is a very talented pitcher and I believe the Cardinals can have a very hard time against him.
The line is pretty much even, extremely hard to guess on this game, because on one side you have the Cardinals that desperately need the win but starting with Gant and on the other side Taillon leads the Pirates that showed yesterday that are still looking to win games.

Chicago White Sox - Kansas City Royals
Giolito vs Kennedy


The Royals are 4.5 games behind the White Sox.
They likely need a miracle to get a WC spot, don't think they even believe that.
White Sox with a lot of young players.
Close to be a even game, I guess if you want to flip the coin, it's up to you.

Milwaukee Brewers - Chicago Cubs
Anderson vs Quintana


Crucial game for the Brewers, that are 4.5 games behind the Cubs but most important only 1 game behind the WC spot.
Anderson is 5-0 at home with a brilliant ERA, on the other hand don't like much Quintana.
Obviously the Cubs have a better lineup, they won the first two games of the series and lost yesterday on a thriller game ended with a 2 runs walk-off home run on the 10th after Wade Davis' first blown save of the season on the 9th and the Cubs got the lead as well on the TOP of the 10th.
Like better for sure Anderson, but Chicago is just way better on the lineup, maybe +120 is a little too much for Milwaukee and surely I wouldn't go with the Cubs, but still don't feel confident enough to tail the Brewers.

Oakland Athletics - Texas Rangers
Cotton vs Perez


Very little chances for the Rangers, behind 4.5 games to the WC spot.
Even line and extremely hard game to guess, at least for me.
Athletics have a lot of up and down, Rangers as well.
Flip your coin if you feel like..

Arizona D-backs - Miami Marlins
Corbin vs Straily


Arizona 6 games ahead of the Rockies, shouldn't be a problem to get home-game on the WC.
Miami playing for nothing but yesterday scored 12 and won the game.
Very brave to lay -185 on a pretty much meaningless game after the other team scored 12 yesterday.

Los Angeles Dodgers - San Francisco Giants
Kershaw vs Stratton


Dodgers lost yesterday and they are 5-5 on the last 10, Kershaw lost versus the Phillies.
Very high juice on the Dodgers...

Seattle Mariners - Cleveland Indians
Leake vs Kluber


Seattle is 6 games behind the WC, forget it..
The Tribe with an impressive run, better pitcher and a lot of juice, nothing else to say.

San Diego Padres - Colorado Rockies
Perdomo vs Marquez


The Rockies are 3-7 on the last 10, lost and scored 0 runs in 2 of the 3-games they played @Padres
and they are on a crucial game behind only ahead 1 game to the Brewers and 1.5 games to the Cardinals.
On the other hand the Padres with a lot of younger and interesting players they are still no matter the records playing strong and Perdomo has gone at least 6 innings on 10 games of the last 11 and won the only one that went 5 1/3 innings.
Marquez is a talented pitcher, but if he gets the bad day is going to be a problem and this Colorado talented lineup at the moment forgot how to score runs.
Most of the people are obviously going with the Rockies, but betting them as favorite in away seeing how poorly they are playing lately is really not a very safe idea in my opinion.

Houston Astros - Los Angeles Angels
McCullers vs Skaggs

The Angels before losing last 6 straight games looked the favorite for the WC spot, right now they fell 4.5 games behind the Twins and they are likely done.
McCullers get back on the field after the back injury, no way I'm going to lay -150.

IT'S ABOUT RISKING YOUR MONEY ON THESE KIND OF GAMES

or

JUST WAIT FOR THE PLAYOFFS AND MAKE THE BIG MONEY THERE.

What would you do? I know my answer and you know it as well.


OVERALL RESULTS

71 WINNERS / 35 LOSSES / $44,220

May: 6 WINNERS / 1 LOSS / $4,410
June: 19 WINNERS / 5 LOSSES / $12,770
July: 18 WINNERS / 17 LOSSES / $400
August: 18 WINNERS / 8 LOSSES / $14,100
September: 10 WINNERS / 4 LOSSES / $12,540[/FONT]

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My Sunday begun with a great Baltimore bet. 7:44
Should I go with the Brewers?
 

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Miss your plays TRD, looking forward to a great postseason BOL
 

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