Wednesday 9/27/17 ... Comps / Bonus Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Post Bonus Plays / requests / comments/ trends and concerns here.
 

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Soccer

Europe - Champions League

2:45pm ET

Atletico Madrid v Chelsea

Referee: Cuneyt Cakir

Last Head-To-Heads at Atletico Madrid:
0-0
2-2

Recent Form:
Atletico Madrid: 3-0-2
Chelsea: 5-0-1

KEY STAT: Chelsea have won only one of their last five meetings with Atletico Madrid

EXPERT VERDICT: Atletico Madrid can triumph in their first European match at the Wanda Metropolitano. Atletico won the shots-on-target count 10-1 in their goalless draw at Roma and Diego Simeone’s troops have lost just one of their last 22 Champions League home matches, while Chelsea have won only three of their last 12 European away games.

RECOMMENDATION: Atletico Madrid (2)
 

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Soccer

Europe - Champions League

2:45pm ET

Anderlecht v Celtic

Referee: Jesus Gil Manzano

Last Head-To-Heads at Anderlecht:
1-0 (Anderlecht win)

Recent Form:
Anderlecht: 2-2-2
Celtic: 4-1-1

KEY STAT: Celtic have won only five of their last 25 Champions League away games

EXPERT VERDICT: Celtic were taught a harsh lesson by an explosive PSG side in their first group game and could suffer a second European defeat at Belgian champions Anderlecht. The hosts have lost just four of their last 32 home games and were not disgraced in the 3-0 defeat at Bayern despite playing 80 minutes with ten men.

RECOMMENDATION: Anderlecht (2)
 

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Soccer

Europe - Champions League

2:45pm ET

CSKA Moscow v Manchester United

Referee: Jonas Eriksson

Last Head-To-Heads at CSKA Moscow:
1-1
0-1 (Manchester United win)

Recent Form:
CSKA Moscow: 4-1-1
Manchester United: 5-0-1

KEY STAT: CSKA have drawn six of their last 12 Champions League home matches

EXPERT VERDICT: CSKA Moscow stunned Benfica in their Champions League opener and could avoid defeat against in-form Manchester United. The Russians held Bayer Leverkusen and Monaco on home soil last term and United, who drew 1-1 at CSKA two years ago, may have to settle for a point.

RECOMMENDATION: Draw (1)
 

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MLB

National League

Braves @ Mets
Newcomb is 2-0, 3.37 in his last two starts; under is 6-2 in his last eight. Atlanta is 2-4 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 7-11

Gsellman is 1-1, 6.19 in his last three starts; over is 3-1-1 in his last five. Mets are 6-7 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 8-11-2

Atlanta won four of its last seven games; under is 10-3 in their last 13 games. Mets are 5-11 in their last 16 games; under is 6-3 in their last nine home games.

Nationals @ Phillies
Roark is 2-2, 3.38 in his last five starts; under is 9-1 in his last 10 starts. Nationals are 8-5 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 14-12-2

Leiter is 1-3, 7.39 in his last five starts; under is 5-1 in his last six. Phillies are 1-4 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 4-6

Washington won six of last nine games; under is 10-4-2 in their last 16 games. Phillies lost four of their last six games; under is 9-1-2 in their last 12.

Reds @ Brewers
Bailey is 1-3, 4.88 in his last five starts (under 3-1-1). Reds are 4-4 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 6-10-1

Woodruff is 1-1, 4.71 in his last five starts (under 5-1-1). Brewers are 1-4 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 3-2-2

Reds lost their last seven games; under is 8-4 in their last 12 games. Milwaukee lost three of last five games (under 3-1-1). Brewers are 1.5 games out in the Wild Card race.

Cubs @ Cardinals
Lackey is 1-1, 2.78 in his last four starts; over is 5-2-2 in his last nine. Chicago is 8-5 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 9-17-3

Wacha is 3-1, 2.93 in his last five starts (under 4-1). Cardinals are 8-7 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 13-11-5

Cubs won 11 of last 14 games; under is 6-3-1 in their last ten. St Louis won six of last eight home games; under is 6-3 in their last nine.

Marlins @ Rockies
Conley is 1-1, 8.44 in his last four starts; over is 7-1-1 in his last nine. Miami is 5-6 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 10-6-3

Gray is 3-0, 1.50 in his last four starts; under is 6-1 in his last seven. Colorado is 5-2 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 11-6-2

Marlins won six of last ten games; 10 of their last 13 road games went over. Colorado lost six of its last nine games; under is 10-2 in their last 12 games. Rockies have 1.5-game lead in race for the last Wild Card spot.

Giants @ Diamondbacks
Samardzija is 0-3, 6.50 in his last three starts; under is 5-1 in his last six. Giants are 6-10 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 8-16-7

Shipley is 0-1, 8.00 in his last two starts (over 1-1), last of which was June 4. This is his first home start of the year. Arizona’s first 5-inning record with him: 0-1-1

Giants won five of their last eight games; under is 9-3 in their last 12 games. Arizona lost five of last nine games; over is 5-1 in their last six games.

Padres @ Dodgers
Richard is 2-1, 1.86 in his last three starts; under is 6-2 in his last eight. San Diego is 4-10 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 14-15-2

Hill is 2-0, 1.64 in his last two starts (under 13-10-1). Dodgers are 7-6 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 11-9-4

San Diego lost its last three games (under 8-5). Dodgers are 5-1 in their last six games; under is 8-3-3 in their last 14.
__________________________________________________

American League

Rays @ New York

Andriese is 0-3, 9.35 in his last four starts; over is 7-3 in his last ten. Tampa Bay is 1-6 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 11-5

Severino is 4-1, 2.68 in his last seven starts; over is 10-1 in his last 11. New York is 10-5 in his home starts — their first 5-inning record with him: 17-10-3

Tampa Bay is 4-7 in its last 11 games; three of their last four games went over. New York won 10 of last 13 games; under is 5-3-1 in their last nine.

Twins @ Indians
Mejia is 0-2, 6.75 in his last four starts; under is 7-4-1 in his last 11. Minnesota is 4-3 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 10-6-4

Salazar is 1-1, 12.38 in his last three starts; under is 5-3-1 in his last nine. Cleveland is 2-3 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 9-6-3

Twins won their last five games; over is 5-0-1 in their last six games. Cleveland is 29-3 in its last 32 games; under is 10-4 in their last 14 home games.

Blue Jays @ Red Sox
Estrada is 5-0, 3.32 in his last six starts; under is 3-0-1 in his last four. Toronto is 7-10 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 14-15-3

Porcello is 1-2, 5.82 in his last four starts; under is 4-1 in his last five. Boston is 7-11 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 10-19-3

Toronto won four of its last five games; over is 3-0 in their last three games. Boston won nine of last 12 games; over is 4-1 in their last five home games.

Astros @ Rangers
Verlander is 4-0, 0.64 in four starts for Houston (under 4-0). Astros won both his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 2-0-2

Martinez is 0-4, 6.89 in his last six starts; under is 3-1 in his last four. Texas is 4-2 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 4-10-3

Houston won 10 of its last 12 games; under is 6-3 in their last nine. Texas lost its last five games; under is 7-3 in their last ten.

Angels @ White Sox
Richards is 0-2, 1.88 in five starts this year (under 4-1); Angels scored 2 runs in his last three starts. Halos are 2-1 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 1-3-1

Lopez is 3-0, 6.05 in his last three starts (over 3-0); Chicago scored 28 runs in the three games. White Sox are 2-2 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 4-3

Angels lost seven of their last nine games; seven of their last nine road games stayed under. Chicago won four of last six games; over is 6-2-1 in their last nine home games.

Tigers @ Royals
Zimmerman is 1-4, 9.25 in his last five starts; over is 4-2 in his last six. Detroit is 4-10 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 12-16

Hammel is 0-3, 13.50 in his last three starts; over is 8-1 in his last nine starts. Royals are 4-11 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 9-15-7

Detroit lost its last eight games; over is 8-3-1 in their last 12. Royals are 5-8 in their last 13 games; under is 9-5 in their last 14.

Mariners @ A’s
Ramirez is 0-2, 3.82 in his last five starts; under is 6-2 in his last eight. Seattle is 3-2 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 5-5

Graveman is 2-0, 1.20 in his last three starts; over is 6-4 in his last ten. Oakland is 8-2 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 7-5-6

Seattle lost eight of its last 11 games, but won last two; under is 14-7 in their last 21. Oakland is 14-5 in its last 18 games, but lost last two; over is 10-4 in their last 14 home games.
__________________________________________________

Interleague

Orioles @ Pirates

Ynoa is 1-2, 3.71 in three starts this year (under 2-1). Orioles lost both his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 1-2

Kuhl is 1-3, 3.67 in his last five starts (under 4-1). Pirates are 8-6 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 14-12-4

Orioles lost eight of last 11 games; over is 9-3 in their last 12. Pittsburgh won four of last five games; under is 16-6 in their last 22 games.
__________________________________________________

Record with this pitcher starting:
National League

Wsh-Phil: Gonzalez 18-12; Thompson 4-3
Atl-NY: Dickey 16-14; Montero 7-10
Cin-Mil: McGuire 0-0; Davies 19-13
Chi-StL: Arrieta 16-13; Martinez 16-15
Mia-Colo: Urena 17-9; Anderson 6-8
SF-Az: Moore 10-20; Ray 18-8
SD-LA: Lamet 9-11; Wood 17-7

American League
TB-NY: Snell 10-11; Severino 19-11
Min-Clev: Colon 5-8; Tomlin 13-12
Tor-Bos: Happ 10-14; Sale 22-9
Hst-Tex: Keuchel 15-7; Hamels 13-9
LA-Chi: Bridwell 15-3; Fulmer 2-2
Det-KC: Sanchez 7-8; Vargas 19-11
Sea-A’s: Paxton 13-9; Mengden 4-1

Interleague
Balt-Pitt: Gausman 16-16; Williams 10-14

Pitchers allowing a run in first inning:
National League

Wsh-Phil: Gonzalez 11-30; Thompson 2-7
Atl-NY: Dickey 7-30; Montero 4-17
Cin-Mil: McGuire 0-0; Davies 9-32
Chi-StL: Arrieta 8-29; Martinez 11-31
Mia-Colo: Urena 4-26; Anderson 1-14
SF-Az: Moore 10-30; Ray 9-26
SD-LA: Lamet 6-20; Wood 4-24

American League
TB-NY: Snell 6-21; Severino 6-30
Min-Clev: Colon 1-13; Tomlin 7-25
Tor-Bos: Happ 4-24; Sale 3-31
Hst-Tex: Keuchel 5-22; Hamels 9-22
LA-Chi: Bridwell 2-18; Fulmer 0-3
Det-KC: Sanchez 3-15; Vargas 7-30
Sea-A’s: Paxton 3-22; Mengden 0-5

Interleague
Balt-Pitt: Gausman 10-32; Williams 7-24
__________________________________________________

Umpires
National League

Atl-NY: Under is 5-2 in last seven West games.
Wsh-Phil: Over is 3-1-1 in last five Ortiz games.
Chi-StL: Under is 6-2 in last eight Hoberg games.
Mia-Colo: Home team is 16-4 in last 20 Iassogna games.
SF-Az: Over is 7-3-1 in last eleven Nelson games.
SD-LA: Under is 8-4 in last 12 Timmons games.

American League
Tor-Bos: Four of last five Rackley games stayed under.
Hst-Tex: Under is 8-2-1 in last eleven Torres games.
LA-Chi: Over is 6-2-2 in last ten Winters games.
Sea-A’s: Under is 13-4 in last 17 TBarrett games.
__________________________________________________

Interleague play
NL @ AL– 84-57 AL, favorites -$280
AL @ NL– 73-72 NL, favorites +$416
Total: 156-130 AL, favorites +$136

Totals in interleague games
NL @ AL: Over 71-68-4
AL @ NL: Over 74-64-8
Total: Over 145-132-12
__________________________________________________

Teams’ records in first five innings:
Team (road-home-total)- thru 9/19/17
Ariz 28-26-20……43-25–12……..71-51
Atl 27-35-10……26-42-8………..53-77
Cubs 33-31-8…….39-25-14………..72-56
Reds 23-43-9……..30-37-9…………53-80
Colo 38-31-7………40-29-5………..78-60
LA 38-24-13…….41-25-9…………79-49
Miami 32-36-10…….36-26-11………68-62
Milw 37-27-10…….38-29-10……….74-56
Mets 33-39-5……..30-37-7………….63-76
Philly 19-43-16……30-36-9………..49-79
Pitt 31-37-9…….28-33-13………..60-70
St. Louis 32-34-9……..39-25-10………..71-59
SD 21-46-8……..38-29–9…………59-75
SF 16-49-9……..30-33-13……….46-81
Wash 43-23-7……34-33-10………….77-56

Orioles 29-39-5……..31-39-8………..60-78
Boston 31-35-11………34-37-3……….65-72
White Sox 25-40-11………29-42–4…….54-82
Cleveland 45-23-8……..39-24-10……..84-47
Detroit 27-38-10…….30-36-11……..57-74
Astros 37-28-11……..47-24-5………84-52
KC 26-35-13……..30-31-13…….56-66
Angels 26-39-8………31-31-14……..57-70
Twins 38-24-13………38-33-8……..76-57
NYY 34-38-7……….40-28-5…..…74-66
A’s 29-39-10……..32-32-12……..61-71
Seattle 29-39-9……..39-25-11………68-64
TB 36-29-11……..40-24-9……..76-53
Texas 35-27-12……..38-28-9……..73-55
Toronto 30-40-5……..30-33-12……..60-73

%age of times teams score in first inning
(road/home/total- 9/19/17)
Ariz 24-76……..27-74………..51
Atl 17-71……….19-79………36
Cubs 20-72……..26-78………..46
Reds 30-76……..27-76……….57
Colo 20-76……..25-74..……..45
LA 23-76……..26-74..…….49
Miami 32-78……..27-73……….59
Milw 24-74……29-78…..…..53
Mets 34-75……..26-75……….60
Philly 17-78……..24-74……….41
Pitt 22-77……..22-75……….44
StL 16-76……..23-73………..39
SD 23-75……….26-75……….49
SF 17-75……….22-77……….39
Wash 26-73……..30-77……….56

Orioles 17-76……..25-77……….42
Boston 21-77……..18-74……….39
White Sox 24-76……20-75……….44
Clev 22-77……..26-75………48
Detroit 18-74…….27-77………45
Astros 21-77……..29-74………50
KC 18-75……..16-76………..34
Angels 27-75……..22-77……….49
Twins 17-73……..20-77……….37
NYY 19-78……..21-73……….40
A’s 20-76……..27-76………47
Seattle 21-77…….25-77……….46
TB 22-74……..26-77………48
Texas 29-76……..30-74………59
Toronto 26-76……..21-78………47
 

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MLB Trend Report

2:08 PM
HOUSTON vs. TEXAS
Houston is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games when playing on the road against Texas
Houston is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games at home
Texas is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Houston

3:10 PM
MIAMI vs. COLORADO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Colorado
Miami is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games at home
Colorado is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games

3:35 PM
SEATTLE vs. OAKLAND
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oakland
Seattle is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games
Oakland is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games at home

3:40 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. ARIZONA
San Francisco is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Arizona
San Francisco is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Arizona's last 15 games when playing at home against San Francisco

7:05 PM
BALTIMORE vs. PITTSBURGH
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
Baltimore is 4-15 SU in its last 19 games
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games

7:05 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. NY YANKEES
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
Tampa Bay is 1-7 SU in their last 8 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
NY Yankees are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games at home
NY Yankees are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

7:05 PM
WASHINGTON vs. PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
Philadelphia is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

7:08 PM
CHI CUBS vs. ST. LOUIS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chi Cubs's last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of St. Louis's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs

7:10 PM
TORONTO vs. BOSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Toronto's last 19 games when playing on the road against Boston
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games when playing at home against Toronto
Boston is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games when playing Toronto

7:10 PM
ATLANTA vs. NY METS
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Atlanta's last 10 games when playing NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of NY Mets's last 10 games when playing Atlanta

7:10 PM
MINNESOTA vs. CLEVELAND
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Minnesota's last 9 games when playing Cleveland
Minnesota is 8-16 SU in its last 24 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Cleveland's last 11 games at home

8:10 PM
LA ANGELS vs. CHI WHITE SOX
LA Angels are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
LA Angels are 3-6 SU in their last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chi White Sox's last 8 games when playing at home against LA Angels
Chi White Sox are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games when playing at home against LA Angels

8:10 PM
CINCINNATI vs. MILWAUKEE
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Cincinnati is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Milwaukee's last 11 games at home

8:15 PM
DETROIT vs. KANSAS CITY
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Detroit's last 22 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Detroit is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Kansas City's last 22 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing Detroit

10:08 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. LA DODGERS
San Diego is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
San Diego is 5-11 SU in their last 16 games when playing LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 6 games when playing at home against San Diego
LA Dodgers are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games when playing at home against San Diego
 

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HOUSTON @ TEXAS
Houston is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Texas's last 10 games

MIAMI @ COLORADO
Miami is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Colorado
Miami is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Colorado's last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing Miami

SEATTLE @ OAKLAND
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Oakland
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games
Oakland is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home

SAN FRANCISCO @ ARIZONA
The total has gone OVER in 12 of San Francisco's last 15 games when playing on the road against Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of San Francisco's last 11 games
Arizona is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games

TAMPA BAY @ NY YANKEES
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
NY Yankees is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

WASHINGTON @ PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
Philadelphia is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Washington

BALTIMORE @ PITTSBURGH
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing Baltimore

CHI CUBS @ ST. LOUIS
Chi Cubs is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing St. Louis
Chi Cubs is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing St. Louis
St. Louis is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of St. Louis's last 8 games

MINNESOTA @ CLEVELAND
Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Cleveland is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games
Cleveland is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games at home

TORONTO @ BOSTON
Toronto is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Boston
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Boston is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Boston's last 19 games when playing at home against Toronto

ATLANTA @ NY METS
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Atlanta's last 10 games when playing NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games at home
NY Mets is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta

LA ANGELS @ CHI WHITE SOX
LA Angels is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Angels's last 8 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chi White Sox's last 8 games when playing at home against LA Angels
Chi White Sox is 13-4 ATS in its last 17 games

CINCINNATI @ MILWAUKEE
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Cincinnati is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
Milwaukee is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

DETROIT @ KANSAS CITY
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Detroit's last 11 games on the road
Kansas City is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing Detroit

SAN DIEGO @ LA DODGERS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego's last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games when playing San Diego
LA Dodgers is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against San Diego
 

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MLB Long Sheet

MIAMI (74 - 83) at COLORADO (85 - 73) - 3:10 PM
ADAM CONLEY (L) vs. JON GRAY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 52-104 (-40.1 Units) against the money line in road games in day games since 1997.
COLORADO is 85-73 (+11.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 34-22 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
COLORADO is 26-19 (+12.9 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
MIAMI is 62-63 (+0.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
COLORADO is 75-60 (-43.1 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -175 to -250 since 1997.
COLORADO is 76-78 (-20.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 40-45 (-18.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 4-1 (+3.6 Units) against COLORADO this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.9 Units)

ADAM CONLEY vs. COLORADO since 1997
CONLEY is 1-0 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 5.90 and a WHIP of 1.593.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

JON GRAY vs. MIAMI since 1997
GRAY is 0-2 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 7.63 and a WHIP of 1.890.
His team's record is 0-3 (-3.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-2. (-1.3 units)

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SAN FRANCISCO (62 - 96) at ARIZONA (91 - 67) - 3:40 PM
JEFF SAMARDZIJA (R) vs. BRADEN SHIPLEY (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 11-7 (+3.9 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
10 of 18 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.4 Units)

JEFF SAMARDZIJA vs. ARIZONA since 1997
SAMARDZIJA is 3-4 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 4.36 and a WHIP of 1.341.
His team's record is 4-7 (-3.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-7. (-3.8 units)

BRADEN SHIPLEY vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
No recent starts.

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WASHINGTON (95 - 62) at PHILADELPHIA (63 - 95) - 7:05 PM
TANNER ROARK (R) vs. MARK LEITER JR. (R)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 25-33 (-18.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 36-36 (+8.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 437-436 (+50.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 50-30 (+16.3 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
WASHINGTON is 83-73 (+24.5 Units) against the money line in road games in September games since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 68-34 (+23.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
WASHINGTON is 39-24 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
WASHINGTON is 36-20 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 63-95 (-13.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 38-65 (-15.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 39-74 (-27.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 11-7 (+1.1 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
10 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.4 Units)

TANNER ROARK vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
ROARK is 5-4 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 3.54 and a WHIP of 1.119.
His team's record is 7-7 (-2.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-6. (+0.3 units)

MARK LEITER JR. vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
LEITER JR. is 1-0 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 6.00 and a WHIP of 1.167.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-0. (+0.0 units)

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ATLANTA (71 - 86) at NY METS (68 - 90) - 7:10 PM
SEAN NEWCOMB (L) vs. ROBERT GSELLMAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 139-179 (+3.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 42-36 (+9.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
ATLANTA is 71-85 (+25.2 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 28-23 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 34-36 (+16.3 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 50-55 (+24.0 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 56-62 (+21.9 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 40-49 (+14.0 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 68-90 (-30.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY METS are 36-44 (-18.7 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
NY METS are 129-146 (-58.3 Units) against the money line in home games in September games since 1997.
NY METS are 15-21 (-12.7 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents this season.
NY METS are 28-36 (-14.3 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
NY METS are 40-44 (-28.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 11-7 (+2.6 Units) against ATLANTA this season
10 of 18 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.9 Units)

SEAN NEWCOMB vs. NY METS since 1997
NEWCOMB is 1-1 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 1.54 and a WHIP of 1.115.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

ROBERT GSELLMAN vs. ATLANTA since 1997
GSELLMAN is 3-2 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 4.36 and a WHIP of 1.333.
His team's record is 4-2 (+2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-2. (+1.9 units)

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CINCINNATI (66 - 91) at MILWAUKEE (83 - 74) - 8:10 PM
HOMER BAILEY (R) vs. BRANDON WOODRUFF (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 66-90 (-13.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CINCINNATI is 7-23 (-14.0 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
MILWAUKEE is 83-74 (+17.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 52-39 (+13.4 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 27-20 (+10.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 37-34 (+6.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
MILWAUKEE is 53-47 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 66-57 (+15.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MILWAUKEE is 43-38 (+9.8 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
CINCINNATI is 35-36 (+7.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
CINCINNATI is 58-64 (+3.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 10-7 (+1.7 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
12 of 17 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+6.7 Units)

HOMER BAILEY vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
BAILEY is 6-9 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 4.87 and a WHIP of 1.383.
His team's record is 12-13 (-2.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 13-12. (-0.1 units)

BRANDON WOODRUFF vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
No recent starts.

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CHICAGO CUBS (88 - 69) at ST LOUIS (82 - 75) - 8:15 PM
JOHN LACKEY (R) vs. MICHAEL WACHA (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 12-5 (+6.6 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
8 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.6 Units)

JOHN LACKEY vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
LACKEY is 3-2 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 2.67 and a WHIP of 1.064.
His team's record is 5-4 (-0.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-3. (+1.7 units)

MICHAEL WACHA vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
WACHA is 4-7 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 6.25 and a WHIP of 1.533.
His team's record is 5-9 (-5.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-11. (-10.1 units)

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SAN DIEGO (70 - 88) at LA DODGERS (101 - 57) - 10:10 PM
CLAYTON RICHARD (L) vs. RICH HILL (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 12-6 (-1.0 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
12 of 17 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+6.7 Units)

CLAYTON RICHARD vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
RICHARD is 7-5 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 4.05 and a WHIP of 1.504.
His team's record is 14-8 (+11.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 12-10. (+1.3 units)

RICH HILL vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
HILL is 3-3 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 3.76 and a WHIP of 1.148.
His team's record is 3-4 (-3.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-1. (+3.9 units)

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HOUSTON (97 - 60) at TEXAS (76 - 81) - 2:05 PM
JUSTIN VERLANDER (R) vs. NICK MARTINEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 24-23 (-14.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
VERLANDER is 4-10 (-7.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season. (Team's Record)
TEXAS is 171-151 (+25.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 79-68 (+16.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 127-114 (+14.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 116-109 (+19.9 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 32-30 (+13.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
TEXAS is 17-13 (+9.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
HOUSTON is 97-60 (+9.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 49-27 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 49-26 (+9.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
HOUSTON is 77-37 (+22.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
HOUSTON is 30-17 (+9.5 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 11-7 (+0.6 Units) against TEXAS this season
9 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.5 Units)

JUSTIN VERLANDER vs. TEXAS since 1997
VERLANDER is 11-7 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 3.24 and a WHIP of 1.156.
His team's record is 12-9 (+1.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 10-10. (-1.3 units)

NICK MARTINEZ vs. HOUSTON since 1997
MARTINEZ is 3-2 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 3.29 and a WHIP of 1.226.
His team's record is 4-3 (+2.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-6. (-5.3 units)

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SEATTLE (77 - 81) at OAKLAND (72 - 85) - 3:35 PM
ERASMO RAMIREZ (R) vs. KENDALL GRAVEMAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 45-35 (+12.3 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
OAKLAND is 33-27 (+8.6 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
SEATTLE is 23-12 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in road games in September games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 88-77 (+18.0 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 42-34 (+7.9 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
SEATTLE is 41-24 (+16.0 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 14-3 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
OAKLAND is 209-272 (-48.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 36-41 (-21.7 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 58-89 (-19.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 69-109 (-31.9 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 90-118 (-29.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 12-6 (+4.6 Units) against OAKLAND this season
10 of 18 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.2 Units)

ERASMO RAMIREZ vs. OAKLAND since 1997
RAMIREZ is 0-6 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 5.33 and a WHIP of 1.511.
His team's record is 2-7 (-4.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-5. (-2.0 units)

KENDALL GRAVEMAN vs. SEATTLE since 1997
GRAVEMAN is 1-3 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 4.99 and a WHIP of 1.639.
His team's record is 1-6 (-4.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-4. (-1.6 units)

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TAMPA BAY (76 - 81) at NY YANKEES (88 - 69) - 7:05 PM
MATT ANDRIESE (R) vs. LUIS SEVERINO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 144-174 (-38.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 91-116 (-30.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 21-6 (+13.6 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
NY YANKEES are 20-6 (+13.6 Units) against the money line in home games in September games over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 48-24 (+19.8 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 63-33 (+17.9 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 11-6 (+3.7 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
10 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.3 Units)

MATT ANDRIESE vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
ANDRIESE is 2-2 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 6.29 and a WHIP of 1.562.
His team's record is 2-3 (-0.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-2. (+0.9 units)

LUIS SEVERINO vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
SEVERINO is 3-1 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 3.90 and a WHIP of 1.446.
His team's record is 3-2 (+0.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-2. (+0.6 units)

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MINNESOTA (83 - 74) at CLEVELAND (98 - 59) - 7:10 PM
ADALBERTO MEJIA (L) vs. DANNY SALAZAR (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 7-10 (+1.1 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
12 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+6.6 Units)

ADALBERTO MEJIA vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
MEJIA is 1-1 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 1.86 and a WHIP of 1.551.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.2 units)

DANNY SALAZAR vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
SALAZAR is 5-3 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 4.10 and a WHIP of 1.304.
His team's record is 8-4 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-7. (-2.3 units)

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TORONTO (75 - 83) at BOSTON (91 - 66) - 7:10 PM
MARCO ESTRADA (R) vs. RICK PORCELLO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 75-83 (-17.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TORONTO is 34-42 (-12.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
TORONTO is 45-56 (-17.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TORONTO is 30-45 (-19.1 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
BOSTON is 51-26 (+22.1 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 73-47 (+14.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ESTRADA is 53-39 (+17.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
BOSTON is 687-617 (-82.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
BOSTON is 37-36 (-16.9 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 370-293 (-48.4 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
BOSTON is 17-20 (-13.3 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents this season.
PORCELLO is 6-11 (-9.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season. (Team's Record)
PORCELLO is 7-11 (-9.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season. (Team's Record)
PORCELLO is 4-12 (-11.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season. (Team's Record)
PORCELLO is 5-9 (-8.2 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 12-6 (+4.1 Units) against TORONTO this season
10 of 18 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.1 Units)

MARCO ESTRADA vs. BOSTON since 1997
ESTRADA is 3-3 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 3.07 and a WHIP of 1.364.
His team's record is 4-7 (-3.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-3. (+4.9 units)

RICK PORCELLO vs. TORONTO since 1997
PORCELLO is 8-8 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 4.84 and a WHIP of 1.249.
His team's record is 9-10 (-1.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 10-8. (+1.1 units)

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LA ANGELS (78 - 79) at CHI WHITE SOX (64 - 93) - 8:10 PM
GARRETT RICHARDS (R) vs. REYNALDO LOPEZ (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 4-1 (+1.9 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

GARRETT RICHARDS vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
RICHARDS is 2-1 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 2.53 and a WHIP of 0.938.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

REYNALDO LOPEZ vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
No recent starts.

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DETROIT (62 - 95) at KANSAS CITY (77 - 80) - 8:15 PM
JORDAN ZIMMERMANN (R) vs. JASON HAMMEL (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 62-95 (-32.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 4-21 (-16.4 Units) against the money line in September games this season.
DETROIT is 36-66 (-28.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
DETROIT is 42-73 (-29.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
DETROIT is 27-46 (-21.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
DETROIT is 12-24 (-12.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
KANSAS CITY is 77-80 (+2.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 87-70 (+14.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 80-70 (+12.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 59-59 (+3.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
KANSAS CITY is 84-75 (+12.1 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 26-26 (-23.8 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -175 to -250 since 1997.
HAMMEL is 6-16 (-11.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
HAMMEL is 9-15 (-12.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 10-7 (+3.4 Units) against DETROIT this season
11 of 17 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+4.7 Units)

JORDAN ZIMMERMANN vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
ZIMMERMANN is 3-0 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 1.26 and a WHIP of 0.977.
His team's record is 3-1 (+2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.3 units)

JASON HAMMEL vs. DETROIT since 1997
HAMMEL is 3-2 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 6.42 and a WHIP of 1.804.
His team's record is 5-5 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-3. (+2.9 units)

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BALTIMORE (75 - 83) at PITTSBURGH (72 - 85) - 7:05 PM
GABRIEL YNOA (R) vs. CHAD KUHL (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 60-86 (-26.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 28-48 (-17.8 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
BALTIMORE is 62-97 (-29.0 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 48-60 (-13.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
BALTIMORE is 15-31 (-15.7 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss this season.
BALTIMORE is 163-157 (+4.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 72-85 (-11.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 45-63 (-20.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 114-135 (-32.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 35-40 (-8.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 2-1 (+0.8 Units) against PITTSBURGH this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.1 Units)

GABRIEL YNOA vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
No recent starts.

CHAD KUHL vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
KUHL is 0-0 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 1.80 and a WHIP of 1.600.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)
 

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MLB Top Trends

HOUSTON @ TEXAS
Play OVER TEXAS on the total in Home games when playing against a team with a winning record. The record is 35 Overs and 15 Unders for the last two seasons (+19 units)

HOUSTON @ TEXAS
Play OVER TEXAS on the total in All games when playing on Wednesday. The record is 50 Overs and 24 Unders for the last three seasons (+24.45 units)

ATLANTA @ NY METS
Play OVER NY METS on the total in All games in night games. The record is 68 Overs and 34 Unders this season (+31.05 units)

ATLANTA @ NY METS
Play OVER NY METS on the total in All games in all games. The record is 89 Overs and 58 Unders this season (+24.85 units)

DETROIT @ KANSAS CITY
Play OVER DETROIT on the total in All games after 3 or more consecutive losses. The record is 34 Overs and 13 Unders for the last two seasons (+20 units)

SAN DIEGO @ LA DODGERS
Play OVER LA DODGERS on the total in Home games when playing against a team with a losing record. The record is 24 Overs and 10 Unders this season (+13.45 units)
 

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StatFox Super Situations

SAN DIEGO at LA DODGERS
Play On - Any team (SAN DIEGO) bad offensive team (<=3.8 runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA<=3.70) (NL), with an on base percentage of .260 or worse over their last 3 games 193-170 since 1997. ( 53.2% | 79.3 units ) 5-8 this year. ( 38.5% | -1.4 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends

SAN DIEGO at LA DODGERS
SAN DIEGO is 38-32 (+19.7 Units) against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse this season. The average score was: SAN DIEGO (4.4) , OPPONENT (4.5)
 

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Diamond Trends - Wednesday

TOP SU TREND:
The Dodgers are 11-0 since Jun 25, 2017 after they had more than ten team-left-on-base last game.

TOP OU TREND:
The Yankees are 10-0-1 OU (3.73 ppg) since Apr 12, 2017 at home past the first game of a series after they won by 5+ runs last game.

TOP STARTER TREND:
The Giants are 9-0 since Apr 28, 2017 when Jeff Samardzija starts after their bullpen gave up 3+ runs yesterday.

TOP CHOICE TREND:
The Red Sox are 0-11 OU (-2.95 ppg) since Oct 04, 2015 when it is the last game of a three game series when they lost the first two games.
 

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MLB Betting Picks & Tips

Houston (-190) at Texas; Total: 10

Just wanted to drop in on this game and say that Texas team total under is definitely on my list today. Justin Verlander was already pitching better before he joined the Astros and has allowed two runs on 11 hits with a 32/5 K/BB ratio in his 28 innings with his new team. Not only has pitching in a playoff race rejuvenated him, I think the Astros are a phenomenal fit for Verlander. He’s a smart dude and has made a lot of adjustments over the last few seasons to regain velocity and find new ways to get hitters out. Being with an analytically-minded organization can only help him. I can’t imagine a better fit for Verlander and he’s in a really nice groove right now in terms of locating his pitches and attacking hitters.

I don’t think Texas has much of a chance tonight and I’ll be backing him in the ALDS against Boston, New York, or Minnesota.

Seattle at Oakland (-115); Total: 9.5

Remember when there was all that buzz about Kendall Graveman? He was going to be this year’s Zach Davies in terms of contact-based arms that can survive with elite command. Well, he got hurt and it never came close to happening. Graveman’s season comes to a close today with a start against Erasmo Ramirez and the Mariners.

Ramirez is a really tough guy for me to figure out. It seems like scouting and analysts have raved about the quality of the stuff and the durability to work a lot of roles, but the numbers have only shown it one time, back in 2015 when he was worth 2.3 fWAR. In his 10 starts with the Mariners, Ramirez has a 3.79/4.80/4.23 pitcher slash. His 17.4 percent HR/FB% really stands out, as he has allowed 12 HR in 57 innings. He’s coming off a start in which he struck out one of the best contact lineups in baseball, the Indians, 10 times and allowed just three hits. That was one of those starts that validates those opinions that I mentioned. On the other hand, he’s a pretty run-of-the-mill dude with a 4.19/4.38/4.17 career pitcher slash in 587 innings. I just don’t know how to price him or what to expect.

What I do know is that Oakland hitters swing for the fences. The fact that Ramirez has allowed 22 HR in 126.1 innings isn’t a great boost of confidence for today’s day game in Oakland.

Kendall Graveman has a 4.17 ERA with a 4.32 FIP and a 4.59 xFIP. It isn’t a very sexy profile at all and he has only managed to work 99.1 innings out of his 18 starts. Since his return from the DL on August 3, Graveman has a 4.47 ERA with a 4.18 FIP and a 4.65 xFIP. I would love to see him on a team with a decent defense since he has a .335 BABIP against and has done a good job of keeping the ball in the park. I don’t love the profile, though. Ground balls are good, but mixing some strikeouts in the mix is also good. We’re in an era where the number of strikeouts has risen every year this decade. It will again this season when all is said and done. We are 57 strikeouts behind with five days worth of games left. At least other command guys like Zach Davies and Kyle Hendricks miss more bats.

Quietly, Oakland is 14-5 over the last 19 games, so the A’s have started putting things together a little bit. Initially, I wanted to go with Seattle here, but this is the last home game for Oakland, so maybe they rally once again. On the other hand, Seattle has won the first two in this series and can win out for a .500 record. That is a motivation for teams at this point in time. Seattle had lost eight of nine before this series started. Perhaps Oakland is the way to look here.

Minnesota at Cleveland (no line)

This is one of the games without a line, but the Twins can clinch the second Wild Card spot with a win today. They’ve been a pesky team for the Indians for several years now and it wouldn’t surprise me to see them scratch this one out. Danny Salazar will only throw maybe 60-75 pitches in this one, so the Indians will be bridging the gap with a lot of middle reliever types. Andrew Miller probably won’t work back-to-back days. The Indians have bigger motivations. Getting their 100th win is all but a formality at this point. It seems like they are pushing for home field throughout the AL part of the playoffs, but that isn’t a worry that will go in front of player health.

Adalberto Mejia is nothing special, but the Twins are certainly motivated for tonight’s proceedings and play very good defense, which allows bad pitchers to play up a bit. I think the Twins are going to be worth a look. I’m not sure where this number opens, probably $2 or higher, and I’d look to hit it. The Indians have played at such a remarkable level for so long. We saw a bit of regression hit with yesterday’s bullpen meltdown and that possibility is certainly there today.

Detroit at Kansas City (-175); Total: 9.5

If you’re looking at a money line parlay or want to consider a run-line play, the Royals are part of the equation. I’ve talked about this, but this is a team that wants to finish strong. This is a team that wants to go 4-1 or better to finish .500. There are still motivations, even though the playoffs are not attainable and the window is closing. Even with Jason Hammel, I’d lay the big number here or work some derivatives in there.

The Tigers have nothing to play for. They have a lame-duck manager. This should be a Royals win and could very well be a comfortable one at that given the fact that Jordan Zimmermann is starting.
 

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Wednesday's Diamond Notes

Hottest team: Twins (5-0 last five) vs. Indians

Minnesota is on the doorstep of completing an incredible turnaround following a 59-103 campaign in 2016. The Twins’ magic number sits at one for clinching the final Wild Card spot in the American League after defeating the Indians on Tuesday, 8-6 as +165 road underdogs. Bartolo Colon exited the game following one inning of work, but Brian Dozier saved the Twins by drilling a three-run homer in the seventh inning to take a 7-6 advantage.

The Twins’ offense continues to hit the ball around the field as they have scored at least seven runs in each victory during this five-game winning streak. Adalberto Mejia takes the mound for Minnesota as the southpaw tossed 4.2 innings in his previous outing at Detroit, a 12-1 rout of the Tigers. The Twins have won four of Mejia’s six road outings this season, including a 5-0 victory at Progressive Field in late June.

Coldest team: Reds (0-7 last seven) vs. Brewers

Milwaukee is holding onto to dear life after edging Cincinnati on Tuesday, 7-6 to remain 1½ games behind Colorado for the second Wild Card spot in the National League. The Reds will look to play spoilers, but have dropped each of their past three meetings at Miller Park, while allowing at least five runs in each of their last seven losses. Cincinnati’s struggles on the road continue as the Reds are 2-8 in their last 10 games away from Great American Ballpark.

Homer Bailey tries to stop the bleeding for the Reds as Cincinnati owns a 2-5 record in his past seven outings. Bailey has pitched well recently against the Brewers as Cincinnati won his previous two outings in the underdog role by one run apiece, including an 11-10 triumph at Miller Park as a +160 underdog.

Hottest pitcher: Luis Severino, Yankees (13-6, 3.03 ERA)

New York may have found its ace for the future this season by winning 19 of Severino’s 30 starts. Severino lasted only three innings in his last start against the Twins, but the right-hander had tossed six consecutive quality outings prior to that short stint. Tonight will be the 10th time this season that Severino is listed as a favorite of -200 or higher as the Yankees have dominated in this role by going 8-1. Severino allowed three earned runs in two starts against the Rays this season, as New York is 1-1 in those outings.

Coldest pitcher: Jason Hammel, Royals (8-13, 5.32 ERA)

Kansas City faltered down the stretch, but the Royals picked up their eighth win over the Tigers in the last nine meetings on Tuesday, 2-1. Hammel has been knocked around in his last three starts by giving up 29 hits and 18 earned runs as the Royals are 0-3 in this stretch. The right-hander last won on September 6, which came at Detroit, 13-2 as -130 favorites, scattering nine hits and two earned runs in six innings. The Royals have won three of Hammel’s four starts against the Tigers this season, but the lone loss came at home in May.

Biggest OVER run: Orioles (10-2 last 12)

Amazingly, Baltimore is on this OVER run as its offense has been grounded recently. In the last 10 games, the O’s have produced three runs or fewer six times, while coming off Tuesday’s 10-1 drubbing at Pittsburgh. So it’s a pitching problem for Baltimore, as the Orioles have allowed at least eight runs six time in the past 10 contests, while compiling a dreadful 4-15 record the last 19 games overall. Gabriel Ynoa heads to the hill for the O’s in the series finale at PNC Park, as the right-hander is coming off his best career start by allowing one earned run in eight innings of a 3-1 victory over the Rays last Thursday.

Biggest UNDER run: Phillies (5-0 last five)

Philadelphia’s offense stepped up against Los Angeles last week by scoring a combined 13 runs in two of the victories. Recently, the Phillies have plated only 11 runs in the last five contests, including two runs in each of the three games at Atlanta this past weekend. Philadelphia knocked off Washington on Tuesday, 4-1 as the pitching staff has performed well of late by giving up only four runs in the last three games. Mark Leiter, Jr. takes the mound for Philadelphia as the Phillies are 4-0-1 to the UNDER in his five starts at Citizens Bank Park.

Matchup to watch: Cubs vs. Cardinals

Chicago was denied another NL Central title in last night’s 8-7 loss at Busch Stadium. The Cubs dug themselves an early 5-1 hole as Jake Arrieta lasted only three innings and rallied for four runs in the eighth inning, but couldn’t finish off the comeback. The Cardinals are still alive Wild Card race, sitting 2½ games behind Colorado for the final NL playoff spot, while the Cubs maintain a five-game edge over the Brewers in the NL Central with five games remaining.

The Cubs can clinch the division championship tonight as John Lackey heads to the hill. Chicago has won 11 of Lackey’s last 13 starts, including an 8-2 victory at Wrigley Field over St. Louis on September 15. The Cubs have cruised to a 5-1 record in his last six road starts, while winning in his only outing at Busch Stadium back in April, 6-4 as a -120 favorite.

The Cardinals defeated the Cubs for the first time in the last seven meetings last night as Michael Wacha looks to start a winning streak for St. Louis. Wacha has given up three earned runs or fewer in five consecutive starts, while the Cardinals are 4-1 in that span. The Redbirds have won six of Wacha’s last nine starts at Busch Stadium, but are 0-3 in his three starts against the Cubs this season, although all three losses came in Chicago.

Betcha didn’t know: Seattle will fall short of the postseason, but the Mariners have dominated the Athletics recently. The M’s are 8-0 in the past eight meetings with their AL West counterparts, while winning five straight matchups at the Coliseum. To make matters worse for Oakland, starting pitcher Kendall Graveman is winless in his last six starts against the Mariners since 2016.

Biggest public favorite: Yankees (-260) vs. Rays

Biggest public underdog: Mariners (+105) at Athletics

Biggest line move: Rockies (-180 to -185) vs. Marlins
 

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Double-Play Picks

Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies (+145, 9)

The Nats and Phillies go to battle at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia for the final game of their three-game series Wednesday evening. The first two games (one win for each team) were tight, low scoring, pitchers duels - and we expect nothing different tonight.

Neither offense is really clicking right now with the Nationals averaging only 2.75 runs per game over their last four contests and the Phillies are averaging only 2.2 over their last five. All of those games (Nats' last four and Phils' last five) have cashed for Under bettors.

"Mr. Consistency" Tanner Roark gets the start for Washington tonight. While Roark doesn't blow you away with eye-popping stats or radar gun results, he has certainly been a dependable hurler who hasn't allowed more than three runs in a start in two months (nine straight starts allowing three runs or less). His ERA during this solid nine-game run is 3.32 and he is actually carrying a current Under trend of 10-1 in his last 11 starts.

On the mound for the Phillies will be rookie right-hander Mark Leiter. While Leiter's overall numbers aren't very impressive, like many young starting pitchers, his splits at home are overwhelmingly better than those on the road. At home in his career (five starts and six relief appearances) he owns an ERA of 2.36, a WHIP of only 1.03, and an opponent's on base percentage of .277. Leiter is also in the midst of an Under trend at 4-0-1 in his five career starts at Citizens Bank Park.

There is a slight breeze blowing in from right field (7-9 miles per hour), both teams are riding Under streaks, and both starters are riding Under streaks.

Pick: Under 9

Detroit Tigers at Kansas City Royals (-175, 9)

It’s a matchup of American League Central teams who just a few seasons ago were battling for the division title, but this year it’s just pride on the line as the Tigers and Royals continue their three-game set Wednesday night in Kansas City.

The Royals took the opener 2-1, but there is a very good chance the bats wake up for Game 2, as the Tigers send Jordan Zimmermann to toe the rubber against the Royals' Jason Hammel.

Zimmermann’s first year with the Tigers has not gone as planned. The veteran right-hander is 8-13 with a 6.19 ERA and a 1.58 WHIP, both career worsts by a wide margin. Zimmermann’s last six starts have been particularly rough, where he has gone 1-4 with a whopping 10.41 ERA and a 2.13 WHIP.

The Tigers still owe Zimmermann around $88 million through 2020, yeesh.

Hammel meanwhile, has also not enjoyed his first season with his new team (luckily for KC at a much cheaper rate), struggling to an identical 8-13 record with a 5.32 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP. Hammel has been roughed up in his last three starts, going 0-3 while pitching to a 12.79 ERA and a 2.53 WHIP.

Despite the offensive numbers for both teams not being the greatest, they can take advantage of bad pitching and this is a whopper of bad pitching matchup.

Plus, the O/U is 11-6 this season in this matchup with an average of 10.8 total runs scored per game. Tonight’s total is too tempting.

Pick: Over 9

Yesterday's Picks: 1-1
Season To Date: 157-143-15


Streaking and Slumping Starting Pitchers

Streaking:
Justin Verlander, Houston Astros (14-8, 3.38 ERA, $400)

Maybe a change of scenery is all Justin Verlander needed, because pitching in a pennant race sure looks good on him. The Astros newest starter has been nothing short of fantastic since coming over from the Tigers.

Verlander is 4-0 with an unfathomable 0.64 ERA and a crazy good 0.57 WHIP, while striking out 32 and walking just five since and has the best strikeout per nine innings of his career since switching jerseys at the end of August.

Verlander has actually won six of his last seven starts with a 1.10 ERA and a 0.63 WHIP with 58 strikeouts and nine walks. Oh, and he has allowed just five hits in his last 22 innings pitched.

Verlander and the Astros are currently hefty -195 road favorites for their matchup with the Rangers.

Slumping: Adam Conley, Miami Marlins (7-7, 5.74, $-15)

Unfortunately for Marlins fans, the only positive thing to talk about for this team has been Giancarlo Stanton's home run chase (of not a record 61 home runs?) as Miami failed to take a step forward this season. The same can be said for Adam Conley.

The southpaw has had a disappointing season after pitching to a 3.80 ERA in his first season and a half in the Bigs. Conley is 7-7 with a 5.74 ERA and a 1.50 WHIP in 2017 and his last three starts have not gone well. He is 1-0, but owns a big 10.50 ERA and a 2.17 WHIP in those starts.

Conley and the Marlins are big +175 road dogs for this afternoon's contest in Colorado.

Wednesday's Top Trends

* The Tampa Bay Rays are 7-22 in their last 29 games at Yankee Stadium. +235 today @ Yankees.
* The Baltimore Orioles are 0-7 in their last seven interleague games. +115 today @ Pirates.
* The Cincinnati Reds are 5-13 in Homer Bailey's last 18 starts vs. National League Central. +150 today at Brewers.
* Over is 14-3 in Jordan Zimmermann's last 17 starts vs. American League Central. Tigers/Royals Total: 9.

Weather To Keep An Eye On

There is a 50 percent chance of rain this afternoon in Denver where Stanton and the Marlins are scheduled to take on the Rockies at Coors Field. The Rockies are big -185 favorites today.

There will be a 9-11 mile per hour pitcher's wind blowing in from left field at Busch Stadium where the Cubs will be hoping to celebrate a National League Central division title on rival soil. The total for tonight is currently set at 9.

There will also be a pitcher's wind blowing in from left field in Cleveland (12 miles per hour) where the Indians will host the Twins. The total for that one is currently at 9.5.

Ump Of The Day

Mike Estabrook will be behind the plate tonight in The Bronx where the Yankees will entertain the Rays. Estabrook is the No. 5 Under umpire in Major League Baseball this season at 17-8 and over his last two seasons the Under is 32-18 (64 percent).

The total for tonight is currently set at 8.5
 

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MLB Umpire Assignment

915 Houston Astros -182 Over 10 -115
916 Texas Rangers +172 Under 10 -105
Chris Guccione 2017: 19-9, 12-15 o/u (2016: 19-12, 9-19 o/u)
Astros are 6-0 in their last 6 games with Guccione behind home plate.
Rangers are 7-16 in their last 23 games with Guccione behind home plate.
Under is 7-1 in Gucciones last 8 Rangers games behind home plate.


901 Miami Marlins +174 Over 11½ +100
902 Colorado Rockies -184 Under 11½ -120
Alan Porter 2017: 14-13, 14-13 o/u (2016: 17-12, 13-15 o/u)
Home team is 4-1 in Porters last 5 games behind home plate.
Rockies are 7-2 in their last 9 games with Porter behind home plate.
Marlins are 1-5 in their last 6 games with Porter behind home plate.


917 Seattle Mariners +108 Over 9 -115
918 Oakland Athletics -118 Under 9 -105
Tom Woodring 2017: 15-10, 15-8 o/u (2016: 3-4, 5-2 o/u)
Over is 9-3 in Woodrings last 12 games behind home plate.
Over is 4-0 in Woodrings last 4 Athletics games behind home plate.


903 San Francisco Giants
904 Arizona Diamondbacks
Cory Blaser 2017: 16-13, 14-15 o/u (2016: 12-17, 7-21 o/u)
Home team is 8-1 in Blasers last 9 games behind home plate.
Diamondbacks are 8-1 in their last 9 games with Blaser behind home plate.
Giants are 0-4 in their last 4 games with Blaser behind home plate.


905 Washington Nationals -160 Over 9 +105
906 Philadelphia Phillies +150 Under 9 -125
Tony Randazzo 2017: 13-8, 11-8 o/u (2016: 11-20, 13-16 o/u)
Nationals are 16-5 in their last 21 games with Randazzo behind home plate.

911 Chicago Cubs
912 St. Louis Cardinals
Ted Barrett 2017: 19-10, 10-15 o/u (2016: 20-12, 18-13 o/u)
Under is 12-4-3 in Barretts last 19 games behind home plate.
Cardinals are 0-4 in their last 4 games with Barrett behind home plate.


919 Tampa Bay Rays +240 Over 8½ -105
920 New York Yankees -260 Under 8½ -115
Mike Estabrook 2017: 13-12, 8-17 o/u (2016: 14-14, 10-15 o/u)
Under is 8-2 in Estabrooks last 10 games behind home plate.
Under is 4-1 in Estabrooks last 5 Yankees games behind home plate.
Under is 20-5-1 in Estabrooks last 26 Rays games behind home plate.
Home team is 4-0 in Estabrooks last 4 games behind home plate.
Yankees are 5-1 in their last 6 games with Estabrook behind home plate.
Rays are 0-6 in their last 6 games with Estabrook behind home plate.


929 Baltimore Orioles +115 Over 9 +100
930 Pittsburgh Pirates -125 Under 9 -120
Chris Segal 2017: 15-14, 13-16 o/u (2016: 2-4, 3-3 o/u)
Under is 10-2 in Segals last 12 games behind home plate.
Under is 4-1-1 in Segals last 6 interleague games behind home plate.


907 Atlanta Braves -104 Over 8½ -115
908 New York Mets -106 Under 8½ -105
Ben May 2017: 9-12, 10-9 o/u (2016: 9-7, 7-6 o/u)
Road team is 4-0 in Mays last 4 games behind home plate.
Under is 4-1 in Mays last 5 games behind home plate.


921 Minnesota Twins
922 Cleveland Indians
Kerwin Danley 2017: 13-10, 9-13 o/u (2016: 15-15, 13-17 o/u)
Road team is 4-1 in Danleys last 5 games behind home plate.
Twins are 1-5 in their last 6 games with Danley behind home plate.
Under is 7-3-1 in Danleys last 11 games behind home plate.
Under is 4-1 in Danleys last 5 Twins games behind home plate.


923 Toronto Blue Jays +150 Over 9½ +100
924 Boston Red Sox -160 Under 9½ -120
Larry Vanover 2017: 13-11, 12-11 o/u (2016: 23-11, 10-21 o/u)
Home team is 4-0 in Vanovers last 4 games behind home plate.
Over is 5-2 in Vanovers last 7 games behind home plate.
Over is 16-6-4 in Vanovers last 26 Red Sox games behind home plate.


909 Cincinnati Reds +149 Over 9½ -125
910 Milwaukee Brewers -159 Under 9½ +105
Bruce Dreckman 2017: 16-15, 13-18 o/u (2016: 0-0, 0-0 o/u)
Under is 6-0 in Dreckmans last 6 games behind home plate.
Under is 4-0 in Dreckmans last 4 Brewers games behind home plate.
Over is 5-2 in Dreckmans last 7 Reds games behind home plate.
Home team is 4-0 in Dreckmans last 4 games behind home plate.
Brewers are 13-3 in their last 16 games with Dreckman behind home plate.
Reds are 1-5 in their last 6 games with Dreckman behind home plate.


925 Los Angeles Angels
926 Chicago White Sox
Marty Foster 2017: 17-8, 11-13 o/u (2016: 12-15, 12-13 o/u)
Home team is 15-5 in Fosters last 20 games behind home plate.
Angels are 6-1 in their last 7 games with Foster behind home plate.
White Sox are 20-8 in their last 28 games with Foster behind home plate.


927 Detroit Tigers +164 Over 9 -110
928 Kansas City Royals -174 Under 9 -110
D.J. Reyburn 2017: 12-19, 13-17 o/u (2016: 16-12, 12-15 o/u)
Under is 12-2 in Reyburns last 14 Royals games behind home plate.
Under is 3-1-1 in Reyburns last 5 Tigers games behind home plate.


913 San Diego Padres
914 Los Angeles Dodgers
Will Little 2017: 10-16, 11-14 o/u (2016: 18-11, 12-14 o/u)
Road team is 16-5 in Littles last 21 games behind home plate.
Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games with Little behind home plate.
 

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